Cash Flow Analysis in Retirement

Adding up all the money coming in and going out is called cash flow analysis, and it looks at all income from investments, properties, work, or anywhere else. And it looks at spending.

When it comes to cash flow, there are no hard and fast rules about what is good—it depends on personal goals and values. But there are some general guidelines to be consider.

  • Try to start early and save at least 15% of income for retirement—and any employer matching counts toward this goal.
  • Retirees should try to limit withdrawals from their savings to about 4% of their account balance in the year they entered retirement, though they can increase that for inflation each year.
  • Limit your monthly essential bills and housing costs to 50% of your monthly income.
  • Save about 5% of your income for short-term expenses.
  • Look to keep your total monthly debt bills below 36% of your monthly income.
  • Consider a growth portfolio consisting of (70% stocks, 25% bonds, and 5% cash) that would have allowed a retiree to withdraw more than 7% each year over 25 years of retirement—over 25% more than a conservative portfolio (20% stocks, 50% bonds, and 30% cash) with a sustainable withdrawal rate of 5.7%.3

Cash flow analysis may also show some opportunities for tax savings and other ways to make the most of one’s money.


Source: Financial health: Know your vital signs, FIDELITY VIEWPOINTS, 09/30/2019
3. The chart, “More stocks may mean higher anticipated withdrawal rates, but with less certainty,” was created based on simulations that relied on historical market data. The historical range analyzed was January 1926 to July 2018. These simulations take into account the volatility that a variety of asset allocations might experience under different market conditions. The illustration compares 3 different hypothetical portfolios—conservative, with 20% stocks, 50% bonds, and 30% cash; balanced, with 50% stocks, 40% bonds, and 10% cash; and growth, with 70% stocks, 25% bonds, and 5% cash. For each of the hypothetical portfolios, the maximum withdrawal rate was calculated such that the portfolios do not run out of money in 99%, 90%, and 50%, respectively, of the hypothetical scenarios. See footnote 4 for more information on asset classes and historical returns.

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