Category Archives: Asset Allocation

Choosing a Financial Advisor

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Choosing a financial advisor is a major life decision that can potentially determine your financial net worth trajectory for years to come. 

A 2020 Northwestern Mutual study found that 71% of U.S. adults admit their financial planning needs improvement. However, only 29% of Americans work with a financial advisor.

The value of working with a financial advisor varies by person and advisors are legally prohibited from promising returns, but research suggests people who work with a financial advisor feel more at ease about their finances and could end up with about 15% more money to spend in retirement, according to SmartAsset.com.

A recent Vanguard study found that, on average, a $500K investment would grow to over $3.4 million under the care of an advisor over 25 years, whereas the expected value from self-management would be $1.69 million, or 50% less. In other words, an advisor guided portfolio would average 8% annualized growth over a 25-year period, compared to 5% from a self-managed portfolio.

But, it essential that you do your homework in selecting a financial advisor. There are several key questions to ask and factors to consider regarding anyone who may advise you in money matters:

  1. What’s your philosophy of investing?” If they can’t articulate their philosophy in a few simple paragraphs, in plain English, then keep looking.
  2. “What has been one of your greatest triumphs in the market? And what was the decision making that brought you to it? What did you learn from the process?” Then ask, “What about one of your biggest mistakes? What went wrong and what did you learn from it?”
  3. “What do you own yourself? Where do you put your own money?”
  4. Hire an advisor who is a Fiduciary. By definition, a fiduciary is an individual who is ethically bound to act in another person’s best interest. This obligation eliminates conflict of interest concerns and makes an advisor’s advice more trustworthy. 
  5. Pick an advisor with an compatible strategy. Each advisor has a unique strategy. Some advisors may suggest aggressive investments, while others are more conservative. If you prefer to go all-in on stocks, an advisor that prefers bonds and index funds is not a great match for your style.
  6. Ask about credentials. To give investment advice, financial advisors are required to pass a test. Ask your advisor about their licenses, tests, and credentials. Financial advisors tests include the Series 7, and Series 66 or Series 65. Some advisors go a step further and become a Certified Financial Planner, or CFP.  

Many people who want to oversee and manage your money probably don’t have significant assets of their own. You would want a money manager to have skin in the game, to be eating their own cooking.

References:

  1. https://news.northwesternmutual.com/planning-and-progress-2020
  2. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/19/fathers-day-letter-to-kid-money-life-lessons-people-learn-too-late-in-life.html
  3. https://personal.vanguard.com/pdf/how-america-invests-2020.pdf
  4. https://article.smartasset.com/financial-advisor-secrets-1/

Loss of Purchasing Power: Is $1 million enough for retirement?

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“One million dollars doesn’t buy as many Cadillac Escalades as it used to.”

Today, $1 million no longer buys as many McDonald’s Big Mac sandwiches or Rolex Submariner watches or Ford F150 trucks as it once did thirty years ago.  There’s a good reason for that called ‘loss of purchasing power’ which is a byproduct of inflation. That’s because $1 million of purchasing power in 1970 was the equivalent of nearly seven million dollars today, according to Motley Fool. And as recently as 1990, a million dollars has lost half its buying power since then, meaning you’d need two million today to have the same buying power as you did in 1990.

As a result of normal inflation and loss of purchasing power, $1 million retirement nest egg today definitely will not offer you as comfortable a retirement lifestyle as it did a few years ago or a few decades ago.

Retirement is not an age, but a number

Financial preparedness is more important than reaching a certain retirement age. And, to answer the question of whether $1 million or any amount of money is enough for retirement, the answer depends on what you want your retirement to look like.

It’s important to ensure you have enough savings and income to sustain your spending and lifestyle in retirement. If you don’t have enough money set aside to pay for your retirement, then you may have to delay retiring. And no matter where you are on your retirement journey, you can make your financial number. No matter how little you have or how much time you have left until you want to retire, you can always improve your financial situation. Getting started and creating a retirement plan can carry you a long way.

A 2018 Northwestern Mutual study found that one in three Americans has less than $5,000 saved up for retirement, and 21% of Americans have no retirement savings at all. Overall, Americans are feeling underprepared and less confident regarding the financial realities of retirement, according to the data.

Despite these findings regarding the woeful retirement savings rate by Americans, it’s still not too late to enjoy the kind of life you’ve worked so hard for… and the retirement you deserve.

One of the most important goals for Ameriocans facing retirement is knowing that they can sustain their desired level of spending and lifestyle throughout their lives, with a sense of financial peace of mind and without the fear of running out of money.  For our purposes, financial peace of mind is the knowledge that, no matter your level of savings or degree of market volatility, you are confident that you are unlikely to run out of money during retirement to support your level of spending and  lifestyle.

Taking the financial road less traveled

Conventional wisdom recommend that older Americans should reduce their stock allocation in retirement and move into more safe investments such as bonds and cash.  Although this may seem the less risky road to take in your retirement years, a few experts do not agree.  If you expect to maintain your purchasing power into future, you must stay invested in stocks.

“The idea that a 60-year-old retiree should be investing primarily in conservative investments is an antiquated way of approaching personal finance”, says Jake Loescher, financial advisor, at Savant Capital Management in a 2017 U.S. News article. “Historically, the rule of thumb stated that an individual should take the number 100, subtract their age, which will define the amount of stocks someone should have in their portfolio. For a 60-year-old, this obviously would mean 40 percent stocks is an appropriate amount of risk.”

“A better approach would be to perform a risk assessment and consider first how much risk an individual needs to take based on their personal circumstances,” Loescher says.

According to the article, there are five circumstances when retirees should eskew conventionl wisdom:

  1. The likelihood you’ll live into your 90s or beyond. Since life expectancy is much longer these days and in today’s low-interest environment, you face an increase risk of your nest egg not keeping up with inflation over the long haul.
  2. If you don’t have enough cash for retirement. If you didn’t accumulate enough retirement assets to sustain an expected lifestyle, it becomes essential to decide how much capital in a retirement portfolio you’re willing to risk for the potential upside appreciation.
  3. When interest rates are low. Low interest rates makes the capital risk seem greater than the value bonds might provide due to a loss of purchasing power.  Taking a total-return approach, using low volatility, dividend-paying stocks to replace part of our typical bond component seems the best approach.
  4. If you have estate planning needs. If you don’t depend totally on your investments for income, then your money may be providing a bequest for charity or an inheritance for children.
  5. For historical purposes. The stock market has outperformed all other asset classes over the last century.

In retrospect, retirees will need to allocate a certain portion of their assets to higher-return equity investments to achieve long-term retirement objectives – be it longevity of assets, a desired level of sustainable income, the ability to leave a legacy, etc.

Essentially, the stock market has outperformed all other asset classes over the last century. And studies continue to show that unless you are within three years of retirement, the average variability of stocks relative to their returns is superior to that of Treasurys, municipal and corporate bonds.  Thus, the right course of action is for older Americans to stay invested in the stock market past age 60 which will provide you at least 20 years, on average, to ride out the long-term volatility inherent in equities.

References:

  1. https://www.fool.com/ext-content/is-1-million-enough-for-retirement/
  2. https://www.pimco.com/en-us/insights/investment-strategies/featured-solutions/worried-about-retirement-pimcos-plan-to-help-retirement-savings-last-a-lifetime
  3. https://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/2017-07-24/5-reasons-to-stay-in-the-stock-market-in-your-60s
  4. https://www.pimco.com/en-us/insights/investment-strategies/featured-solutions/income-to-outcome-pimcos-retirement-framework
  5. https://money.usnews.com/money/blogs/on-retirement/2011/03/22/why-retirement-is-not-an-age

7 Investing Principles

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The fundamentals you need for investing success.  Charles Schwab & Co., Inc

1. Establish a financial plan based on your goals

  • Be realistic about your goals
  • Review your plan at least annually
  • Make changes as your life circumstances change

Successful planning can help propel your net worth. Committing to a plan can put you on the path to building wealth. Investors who make the effort to plan for the future are more likely to take the steps necessary to achieve their financial goals.

A financial plan can help you navigate major life events, like buying a new house.

2. Start saving and investing today

  • Maximize what you can afford to invest
  • Time in the market is key
  • Don’t try to time the markets—it’s nearly impossible.

It pays to invest early.  Maria and Ana each invested $3,000 every year on January 1 for 10 years—regardless of whether the market was up or down. But Maria started 20 years ago, whereas Ana started only 10 years ago. So although they each invested a total of $30,000, by 2020 Maria had about $66,000 more because she was in the market longer.

Don’t try to predict market highs and lows. 2020 was a very volatile year for investing, so many investors were tempted to get out of the market—but investors withdrew at their peril. For example, if you had invested $100,000 on January 1, 2020 but missed the top 10 trading days, you would have had $51,256 less by the end of the year than if you’d stayed invested the whole time.

3. Build a diversified portfolio based on your tolerance for risk

  • Know your comfort level with temporary losses
  • Understand that asset classes behave differently
  • Don’t chase past performance

Colorful quilt chart showing why diversification makes long-term sense. The chart shows that it’s nearly impossible to predict which asset classes will perform best in any given year.

Asset classes perform differently. $100,000 invested at the beginning of 2000 would have had a volatile journey to nearly $425,000 by the end of 2020 if invested in U.S. stocks. If invested in cash investments or bonds, the ending amount would be lower, but the path would have been smoother. Investing in a moderate allocation portfolio would have captured some of the growth of stocks with lower volatility over the long term.

4. Minimize fees and taxes; eliminate debt

  • Markets are uncertain; fees are certain
  • Pay attention to net returns
  • Minimize taxes to maximize returns
  • Manage  and reduce debt

Fees can eat away at your returns. $3,000 is invested in a hypothetical portfolio that tracks the S&P 500 Index every year for 10 years, then nothing is invested for the next 10 years. Over 20 years, lowering fees by three-quarters of a percentage point would save roughly $13,000.

5. Build in protection against significant losses

  • Modest temporary losses are okay, but recovery from significant losses can take years
  • Use cash investments and bonds for diversification
  • Consider options as a hedge against market declines—certain options strategies can be designed to help you offset losses

Diversify to manage risk. Investing too much in any single sector or asset class can result in major losses when markets are volatile.

6. Rebalance your portfolio regularly

  • Be disciplined about your tolerance for risk
  • Stay engaged with your investments
  • Understand that asset classes behave differently

Regular rebalancing helps keep your portfolio aligned with your risk tolerance. A portfolio began with a 50/50 allocation to stocks and bonds and was never rebalanced. Over the next 10 years, the portfolio drifted to an allocation that was 71% stocks and only 29% bonds—leaving it positioned for larger losses when the COVID-19 crash hit in early 2020 than it would have experienced if it had been rebalanced regularly.

7. Ignore the noise

  • Press makes noise to sell advertising
  • Markets fluctuate
  • Stay focused on your plan

Progress toward your goal is more important than short-term performance. Over 20 years, markets went up and down—but a long-term investor who stuck to her plan would have been rewarded.

References:

  1. https://www.schwab.com/investing-principles

Index Fund Investing

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Successful investing always starts with a goal!

Source: Napkin Finance

Investing is for everyone and it can help you reach your financial goals. And, you don’t have to try to pick the winners in the stock market to achieve long-term investing success.

When investing, you don’t have to have tons of money, trade a lot, or employ sophisticated strategies. A proven strategy is just doing the “boring” thing of determining an appropriate asset mix (of stocks, bonds, cash and real estate), owning well-diversified, passively managed index funds, avoiding the herd following tendency to “buy high / sell low,” and sticking with that asset mix over time can help you reach your financial goals.

Even billionaire investor Warren Buffett, the chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, has repeatedly recommended index funds. Buffett said at a shareholders’ conference, “In my view, for most people, the best thing to do is to own the S&P 500 index fund,”

An index fund is a professionally managed collection of stocks, bonds, or other investments that tries to match the returns of a specific index. They tend to:

  • Pool money from a group of investors and then buy the individual stocks or other securities that make up a particular index. That model helps to reduce the associated costs that fund managers charge, compared to those funds where someone is actively strategizing which investments to include.
  • Track the performance of a particular market benchmark, like the S&P 500 or the Dow Jones Industrial Average. They’re a form of passive investing, because they allow investors to buy a lot of assets at once and hold them for the long term.
  • Offer instant diversification for a portfolio, which helps reduce risk. They also tend to be low-cost investment options, which is a big reason why they’re popular with investors.

While individual stock prices can fluctuate wildly, the broader index tends to go up over time — and with index funds, you don’t have to pick the winning stocks to benefit from the market’s overall gains.

Although all index funds track an index, according to Napkin Finance, what they invest in can vary widely:

  • U.S. stocks—some index funds track a well-known U.S. index, like the S&P or the Dow.
  • Global stocks—some try to essentially track the entire global stock market.
  • A specific industry—some index funds focus only on tech or healthcare stocks or those of another industry.
  • A particular region or country—there are index funds that track only investments in Japan, South America, or other regions.
  • Bonds—some index funds try to track the whole bond market, while others focus on a specific slice.
  • Alternatives—there are index funds that track oil, gold, real estate, and more.

Putting your money to work

There are some inherent risks that come with investing in the stock market, but investing also offers a higher rate of return than the interest rates you’ll earn on a savings account. The S&P 500, an index representing the 500 largest U.S. companies, has delivered average annual returns of almost 10% going back 90-plus years.

You don’t have to be an expert or professional investor to be successful. Index funds are a low cost and easy way to beef up the diversification of your portfolio. Additionally, they are relatively low cost and you don’t need a lot of index funds to achieve diversification.

References:

  1. https://napkinfinance.com/napkin/index-fund/
  2. https://grow.acorns.com/warren-buffett-index-funds/
  3. https://rajn.co/warren-buffett-quotes-investing-business-stocks-risk-debt/
  4. https://grow.acorns.com/why-index-funds-are-often-the-best-way-to-invest/

Cash Flow in Retirement | Fidelity Investments

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Cash flow simply means the amount of cash you have coming in and going out each month.

Think about cash flow as mapping your income versus your expenses. If you anticipate risk factors that can often come with retirement (health care expense, a downturn in the market, or a family emergency) then consider increasing your position in cash (or cash equivalents like Treasury bills, CDs, and money market accounts).

How will you help maintain a steady flow of income in retirement?

You’ve spent years saving money in anticipation of retirement, and while accumulating retirement savings is indeed important, it’s only half the story. Once you stop working, your focus shifts away from saving money and toward using that money to live the retirement you want.

Generating your retirement income

Retirement is an exciting stage of life that many Americans eagerly anticipate, yet retirement as we’ve known it has changed. Different concepts of retirement are emerging — your personal vision of retirement likely differs from how your parents, neighbors, and friends expect to spend their retirement years. In addition, Americans today are living longer and are more responsible for funding their retirements than past generations.

As we navigate this continually evolving retirement landscape, it’s important that your retirement-planning process reflect your unique situation. And remember that retirement income (or cash flow) planning requires a different set of strategies, products, plans, and choices than saving for your retirement. Education and guidance can help you develop an income plan and a spending strategy that are right for you.

Understanding retirement income

While most people understand the importance of saving money for retirement, the concept of retirement income planning is less familiar. Some basic definitions are.

  • Retirement income is the money you use to cover your expenses when you stop working.
  • Potential retirement income sources include Social Security, pensions, annuities, retirement savings from a qualified employer sponsored plan (QRP) like 401(k), 403(b) and governmental 457(b) as well as IRAs.
  • Retirement income planning is the process of determining how much money you’ll need in retirement, and where your cash flow will come from each year. Retirement income planning involves four components:
    • Planning:  Write a plan that includes your expected retirement expenses to help provide a roadmap through retirement.
    • Retirement investing strategies: Determine your various retirement income sources and consider the best way to invest your assets to help meet your retirement income goals.
    • Managing your retirement money: Decide how to manage your money to help maintain a steady flow of income that will cover your expenses throughout your retirement years.
    • Ongoing monitoring: Revisit and adjust your retirement income plan whenever your circumstances change, but at least once a year.

Benefits of planning your retirement income

Developing a written income plan can help you retire with confidence by considering questions such as: What do I want to do in retirement? Where do I want to live? Do I have enough to retire when I’d like? How do I create a steady income stream to take the place of my paycheck? How can I plan for the unexpected, such as extreme market fluctuations, health care needs, and other financial needs? And, will my money last throughout my retirement years?

For illustrative purposes only.

Starting the retirement income planning process five to 10 years before you retire allows you time to develop a thoughtful, personalized plan that will help make the most of your hard-earned savings.

cash flow to help meet both your near-term liquidity needs and longer-term needs for both income and growth

One approach to consider is to bucket cash for different shorter- and longer-term needs, such as living expenses, short-term goals, and emergencies. Here are some ways to implement each:

Read Viewpoints on Fidelity.com: Budgeting for retirees

References:

  1. https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/retirement/managing-cash-flow

Bitcoin and Risky Investing

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Volatility isn’t always bad, and it’s important to be cautious about applying leverage

Bitcoin is a new currency that was created in 2009 by an unknown person using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. Transactions are made with no middle men – meaning, no banks! Bitcoin can be used to book hotels on Expedia, shop for furniture on Overstock and buy Xbox games.

Bitcoin has become an asset class of great interest to many investors and speculators across the world. But recently a few leading asset managers have recommended that investors direct a small allocation of their capital to cryptocurrency as part of their investments and retirement savings.

Where does Bitcoin fit in?

“Bitcoin is neither intrinsically valuable, nor is it a reliable store of wealth,” said Stuart Trow, a credit strategist at the European Bank for Reconstruction & Development, in a Bloomberg Opinion article. “It certainly does not produce an income. It does, however, possess two characteristics that could make it a good fit for even the most conservative portfolio”…volatility and it is not leveraged.

Volatility

Many investors and financial advisors view Bitcoin’s volatility with horror. Between Dec. 2017 and Dec. 2018 the price of Bitcoin fell by almost 85%. But since that meltdown it has risen more than tenfold, demonstrating that volatility can cut both ways. The greater an investment’s volatility, the larger the losses but the larger the potential returns.

Bitcoin’s volatility offers a greater possibility of meaningful gains, while committing a relatively small, manageable sum. Since over the past year, its price has more than quadrupled. Had you invested one percent of your capital to Bitcoin, it would have contributed much to your portfolio. Thanks to Bitcoin’s volatility, as long as you don’t bet the ranch, there remains the possibility of making a real gain without too much loss.

Leverage

Bitcoins other key characteristic is that it is not a leveraged investment. Unlike leveraged trading strategies, which traders apply leverage (or debt) to trading financial instruments such as option and future contracts, your losses with Bitcoin are limited to your initial stake. Most other get-rich-quick schemes, including contracts for derivatives, rely on debt to some degree.

Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)

“Fear of missing out” and viewing cryptocurrencies as an alternative safe have to gold were just a few of the reasons that were heard when new Bitcoin investors were asked to explain their purchases in a month when the cryptocurrency had reached historical record highs.  Especially when conventional investing wisdom would advise against buying the elevated prices, and these investors knew that the cryptocurrency might lose value.

Yet, Bitcoin is not for everyone, as underlined by its recent short term $10,000 fall in early January 2021.  But, if you have a couple of dollars that you can afford to lose, there are probably worse things to buy right now than the world’s most popular cryptocurrency.

Reference:

  1. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-01-30/personal-finance-what-bitcoin-teaches-us-about-risky-investing
  2. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2021-01-21/bitcoin-investing-why-people-are-buying-the-cryptocurrency-now

Asset Allocation

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Asset allocation is one of the most important factors in your success as a long-term investor according to many financial experts. It’s a hundred times more important than any stock pick and more important than knowing the next hot country to invest in… what option to buy… what the housing market is doing… or whether the economy is booming or busting.

Asset allocation is how you balance your wealth among stocks, bonds, cash, real estate, commodities, and precious metals in your portfolio. This mix is the most important factor in your retirement investing success.

Ignorance of this topic has ruined more investment and retirement portfolios than any other financial factor. Many investors have no clue on what a sensible asset allocation should be. So they end up taking huge risks by sticking big chunks of their portfolios into just one or two investment assets.

For example, people who had most of her wealth in real estate investments in 2008 experienced significant losses when the market busted in 2009. Or consider employees of big companies that put a huge portion of their net worth or retirement money into their company stock. Employees of big companies that went bankrupt, like Enron, WorldCom, Bear Stearns, and Lehman Brothers were totally wiped out. They believed in the companies they worked for, so they kept more than half of their retirement portfolios into company stock.

And it’s all because they didn’t know about proper asset allocation. Because of this ignorance, they lost everything. These examples demonstrate why asset allocation is so important because keeping your wealth stored in a good, diversified mix of assets is the key to avoiding catastrophic losses.

If you keep too much wealth – like 90% to 100% of it – in a handful of stocks and the stock market goes south, you’ll suffer badly. The same goes for any asset… gold, oil, bonds, real estate, or blue-chip stocks. Concentrating your retirement nest egg in just a few different asset classes is way too risky. Betting on just one horse or putting your eggs in a single asset basket is a fool’s game.

Spread your risk around.

A sensible asset mix should include five broad categories… cash, stocks, bonds, real estate, and precious metals. And, a favorite asset of all long-term investors should be cash. “Cash” simply means all the money you have in savings, checking accounts, certificates of deposit (CDs), and U.S. Treasury bills. Anything with less than one year to maturity should be considered cash.

It’s best to keep plenty of cash on hand so you can be ready to buy bargains in case of a market collapse. Investors flush with cash are often able to get assets on the cheap after a collapse – they can swoop in and pick things up with cash quickly, and often at great prices.

Generally, it’s recommended to hold between 10% and 15% of your assets in cash, depending on your circumstances. In fact, one of the major tenets of good financial planning is to always have at least 6 to 12 months of essential living expenses in cash in case of disaster. If you haven’t started saving yet, this is the No. 1 thing to start today.

Next, you have conventional equity stocks. These are investments in individual businesses, or investments in broad baskets of stocks, like mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Stocks are a proven long-term builder of wealth, so almost everyone should own some. But keep in mind, stocks are typically more volatile than most other assets.

Just like you should stay diversified overall with your assets, you should stay diversified in your stock portfolio. Once, a well-known TV money show host ask callers: “Are you diversified?” According to him, owning five stocks in different sectors makes you diversified. This is simply not true. It is a dangerous notion.

The famous economist Harry Markowitz modeled math, physics, and stock-picking to win a Nobel Prize for the work on diversification. The science showed you need around 12-18 stocks to be fully diversified.

Holding and following that many stocks might seem daunting – it’s really not. The problem is easily solved with a mutual fund that holds dozens of stocks, which of course makes you officially diversified.

Next you have fixed income securities, with are generally called “notes” or “bonds.” These are basically any instrument that pays out a regular stream of income over a fixed period of time. At the end, you also get your initial investment – which is called your “principal” – back.

Depending on your age and tolerance for risk, bonds sit somewhere between boring and a godsend. The promise of interest payments and an almost certain return of capital at a certain fixed rate for a long period of time always lets me sleep well at night.

Adding safe fixed-income bonds to your portfolio is a simple way to stabilize your investment returns over time. For people with enough capital, locking up extra money (more than 12 months of your expenses) in bonds is a simple way to generate more income than a savings account.

Another asset class is real estate. Everyone knows what this is, so we don’t need to spend much time covering this. If you can keep a portion of wealth in a paid-for home, and possibly some income-producing real estate like a rental property or a farm, it’s a great diversifier.

Precious metals, like gold and silver, an important piece of a sensible asset allocation

Precious metals, like gold and silver, are like insurance. Precious metals like gold and silver typically soar during times of economic turmoil, so it’s wise to own some “just in case.” Avoid the mindset of the standard owner of gold and silver, who almost always believes the world is headed for hell in a hand basket. You should remain an optimist, but also a realist and own insurance. Stay “hedged.”

For many years, the goal with hedging strategies was to protect wealth and profits from unforeseen events. Wealthy people almost always own plenty of hedges and insurance. They consider what could happen in worst-case scenarios and take steps to protect themselves. Poor people tend to live with “blinders” on.

So just like wearing a seat belt while driving or riding in a vehicle, it’s important to own silver and gold – just in case. For most people, most of the time, keeping around 3% to 5% of your wealth in gold and silver provides that insurance.

Asset allocation guidelines

There’s no “one size fits all” asset allocation. Everyone’s financial situation is different. Asset allocation advice that will work for one person, can be worthless for another.

But most of us have the same basic goals: Wealth preservation… creating safe consistent income… and safely growing our nest egg. We can all use some guidelines to help make the right individual choices. Keep in mind, what I’m about to say are just guidelines…

If you’re having a hard time finding great bargains in stocks and bonds, I think an allocation of 15%… even 20% in cash is a good idea.

This sounds crazy to some people, but if you can’t find great investment bargains, there’s nothing wrong with sitting in cash, earning a little interest, and being patient. If great bargains present themselves, like they did in early 2009, you can lower your cash balance and plow it into stocks and bonds.

As for stocks, if you’re younger and more comfortable with the volatility involved in stocks, you can keep a stock exposure to somewhere around 65%-80% of your portfolio. A young person who can place a sizable chunk of money into a group of high-quality, dividend-paying stocks and hold them for decades will grow very wealthy.

If you’re older and can’t stand risk or volatility, consider keeping a huge chunk of your wealth in cash and bonds… like a 25%-35% weighting. Near the end of your career as an investor, you’re more concerned with preserving wealth and keeping up with inflation than growing it, so you want to be very conservative.

As a guideline, the big thing to keep in mind with asset allocation is that you’ve got to find a mix that is right for you… that suits your risk tolerance… your station in life. Whatever mix you choose, just make sure you’re not overexposed to an unforeseen crash in one particular asset class. This will ensure a long and profitable investment career.

In summary, asset allocation is how you balance your wealth or net worth assets among stocks, bonds, cash, real estate, commodities, and precious metals in your portfolio. It is the single most important factor in your success as an investor.

References:

  1. https://stansberryinvestor.com/media-article/328231?fbclid=IwAR2z_5CGah4ZGsSJPoMsSX8Tb9jExRTJIWmedbMI7Il18Wjii8RtjzFTDLg
  2. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/harrymarkowitz.asp