Category Archives: Finance

Black-White Inequality Wealth Gap

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“Wealth is a safety net that keeps a life from being derailed by temporary setbacks and the loss of income.”  Brookings Institute

The wealth gap for African Americans remains significant. A close examination of wealth in the U.S. finds evidence of persistent and staggering racial disparities and past racist federal policies, according to the Brookings Institute findings. Specifically, the disparities include:

  • At $171,000, the net worth of a typical white family is nearly ten times greater than that of a Black family ($17,150) in 2016.
  • Gap in stock market participation between the groups persists, with 55 percent of Black Americans and 71 percent of white Americans reporting stock market investments.

This disparity means that Black Americans will have less money saved and invested for retirement, and less accumulated wealth to pass onto the next generation than their white peers.

Figure 1. White families have more wealth than Black, Hispanic, and other or multiple race families in the 2019 SCF.

Notes: Figures displays median (top panel) and mean (bottom panel) wealth by race and ethnicity, expressed in thousands of 2019 dollars.

These gaps in wealth and investments between Black and White households reveal the effects of centuries’ of accumulated inequality, discrimination and racism, as well as differences in power and opportunity that can be traced back to this nation’s inception. The Black-White wealth gap reflects a society that has not and does not afford equality of opportunity to all its citizens.

It is important to note that it was never the case that a White asset-based middle class simply emerged, according to research based on a study of historical and contemporary racial inequality. Rather, it was extraordinary government policy, and to some extent literal government giveaways, that provided Whites the financial assets, educational opportunities, land grants and infrastructure to accumulate and pass down wealth.

In contrast, blacks were largely excluded from these wealth generating benefits. When they were able to accumulate land and enterprise, it was often stolen, destroyed or seized by government complicit in theft, fraud and terror.

Federally funded racism in housing and labor unions

In the mid-twentieth century, the government subsidized builders to construct suburbs of single-family homes  in scores of developments across the country on explicit federal condition that no homes be occupied by African Americans, according to the NAACP Legal Defense Fund. Over several generations, federally subsidized white homebuyers gained a quarter million dollars in home equity or more. In contrast, the government restricted African Americans, including war veterans, mostly to segregated urban apartment rentals where no wealth appreciated.

White homeowners were able to bequeath some of this federally subsidized wealth to subsequent generations, after using it for retirements, children’s college education, care for elderly parents, or medical emergencies. African Americans had to use current income for such expenses, if they could do so at all, pushing many into poverty. Largely because of twentieth century federal segregation policy, while average African American income is about 60 percent of white income, African American wealth is only 7 percent of white wealth.

Other federal policies forced African Americans into poverty, continuing for generations. In 1935, the government gave construction and factory unions the right to collectively bargain for higher wages and benefits. As proposed by Senator Robert Wagner, the law denied that right to unions that barred African Americans. Segregated unions lobbied to remove that provision and the Wagner Act was then passed, unconstitutionally empowering unions to exclude black workers — a policy that continued for over 30 years. Denied the best blue-collar employment, African Americans participated less in the collectively bargained income boom that raised white working class incomes in the three decades following World War II.

Wealth

“Black children are less economically upwardly mobile partly because of the multigenerational effects of federal and state government racist policies that purposely segregated their grandparents and great-grandparents into low-income communities and low paying jobs from which exit was difficult.”

Wealth is the sum of resources available to a household at a point in time; as such it is clearly influenced by the income of a household, but the two are not perfectly correlated.

Two households can have the same income, but the household with fewer expenses, or with more accumulated wealth from past income or inheritances, will have more wealth.

As a result, high- and middle-income white families are much wealthier than Black families with the same incomes. A few reasons are that White families receive much larger inheritances on average than Black families. Economists Darrick Hamilton and Sandy Darity conclude that inheritances and other intergenerational transfers “account for more of the racial wealth gap than any other demographic and socioeconomic indicators.”

For example, while 51 percent of white Americans say they have inherited wealth, just 23 percent of Black Americans have, according to an annual Ariel-Schwab Black Investor Survey.

All of this matters because wealth confers benefits that go beyond those that come with family income.

Wealth is a safety net that keeps a life from being derailed by temporary personal economic setbacks and the loss of income, according to Brookings Institute. This safety net allows people to take career risks knowing that they have a buffer when success is not immediately achieved.

Family wealth allows people (especially young adults who have recently entered the labor force) to access housing in safe neighborhoods with good schools, thereby enhancing the prospects of their own children.

Wealth affords people opportunities to be entrepreneurs and inventors. And the income from wealth is taxed at much lower rates than income from work, which means that wealth begets more wealth.

Education a Way to Weslth

Social science research indicates that blacks attain more years of education than whites from families with comparable resources. Essentially, blacks place a high premium on education as a means of mobility

Yet, the racial wealth gap between Blacks and Whited expands at higher levels of post secondary education. In short, Black families where the head graduated from college have less accumulated than wealth than white families where the head dropped out of high school.

One take-away…better mindsets regarding wealth and money alone can’t fix the legacy of unconstitutional and racist federal and state sanctioned economic policy.

References:

  1. https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2020/02/27/examining-the-black-white-wealth-gap/
  2. https://www.aboutschwab.com/ariel-schwab-black-investor-survey-2021
  3. Source: Federal Reserve Board, 2019 Survey of Consumer Finances.
  4. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-why-black-families-have-struggled-for-decades-to-gain-wealth-2019-02-28
  5. https://www.epi.org/blog/is-poverty-a-mindset/

Looming Threat of Inflation

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“Inflation destroys savings, impedes planning, and discourages investment. That means less productivity and a lower standard of living.” Kevin Brady

Brian Wesbury, Chief Economist at First Trust Advisors, is concerned about inflation increasing faster than the Federal Reserve anticipates. Wesbury said that he is focused on the rapid increase in the M2 measure of the money supply. This measure has soared since COVID-19 hit the US, up about 25% from a year ago, the fastest growth on record.

From his viewpoint, the rapid increase in M2 is the key difference between the current situation and the situation in the aftermath of the Financial Crisis of 2008-09. During that first round of Quantitative Easing and big spending bills (like TARP), the M2 measure remained subdued because the Fed kept banks from lending, in part by raising capital standards. As a result, inflation remained subdued as well.

The late great economist Milton Friedman stress that policy makers watch M2: Nominal economic growth and inflation will tend to track M2 broadly over time, adjusted for any fluctuations in the velocity of money, the speed with which money circulates through the economy.

The US economy is healing faster than expected, while the US Congress and President Biden are intent on pouring at least one more massive government spending stimulus into the system, according to Wesbury. They are doing this even though the pandemic is waning, and a double-dip recession seems highly unlikely.

The big risk for the next couple of years is an upward surge in inflation that’s larger than anything we’ve experienced in the past couple of decades.

“I think the inflation prospects for the U.S. over the next five or six, seven years, are quite serious. You cannot have a bumper crop in apples without the value or the price of each apple falling. The Fed has had the largest increase in the monetary base in the history of the U.S., from colonial times to the present, times ten.” Arthur Laffer, an Economist known for his tax revenue theory called the Laffer Curve

He still project 2.5% CPI inflation for 2021, as the government’s measure of housing rents holds the top-line inflation number down. But commodity prices are likely to continue rising and overall inflation will as well in in 2022 and beyond. There is an old saying: When the Fed is not worried about inflation, Wesbury states, “the market should be worried.”

References:

  1.  https://www.ftportfolios.com/Commentary/EconomicResearch/2021/3/1/powell-disses-uncle-milty

What Every Woman Needs To Know About Her Money

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“The lion’s share of wealth, two-thirds of wealth in the United States, is going to end up in the hands of women by the year 2030.” Jean Chatzky

The women that Jean Chatzky, New York Times Bestselling Author and financial editor at the NBC TODAY Show, has talked with “share a lack of confidence” regarding managing and investing their money. “Whether we’ve got one hundred, one hundred thousand, or one million dollars, we don’t always feel equipped to manage it, even when we’re doing exactly the right things,” she explained.

In order to create a better world, Chatzky suggests women should, “…use this power that’s coming our way to improve not just our lives, but the lives of the people that we love and care about, and the causes that  we believe in. We really do have an opportunity through giving and investing to create the world we want.”

Women…”have an opportunity through giving and investing to create the world we want.” Jean Chatzky

Chatzky offers 15 tips to help you get a handle on your finances and to create the financial future you want for yourself.  A future that aligns with your goals, values and purpose in life.

1. Talk openly about money

Chatzky explains, “We gather groups of women who don’t make a habit of talking about money with the specific purpose of talking about money…and it’s really freeing.” One open ended question she asks is, “What do you want your money to do for you?”.

2. Track your spending to see what you really value

Do you want a clear picture of your spending? More so, do you want to uncover whether or not what you say are priorities are aligned with your expenditures?

3. Determine what your ideal life actually costs

“What do you want from your life?” This is a question Chatzky believe you need to consider so that you can determine what your ideal life actually costs. Write down what you want and next to each item, list the price to do or have it.

4. Use money as a resource to buy you more time

Money is a tool which creates freedom of time and choice. Chatzy shares, “The most important thing to realize is the opportunity that you’re wasting. Money we can get more of. Time, you absolutely can’t get more of…But by moving around some of our money, we can restructure our time in a way that feels much better, much more fulfilling, and much less stressful. We are so stressed, and using our money to swap for a little bit of extra time is one great way to reduce some of that stress.”

5. Identify your money scripts

“We all have stories around money which became ingrained as children. In some cases we mimic them, in others we rebel against them. In order to know where you’re going with your financial future, it’s helpful to identify the scripts that are overtly or subliminally impacting your views and habits around money,” advises Chatzky.

6. Find financial harmony in your primary relationship

Chatzy suggests, “Listening is the key to success within a relationship. You have to understand why your partner needs what they need as much as they need to understand what you need.”

7. Don’t let money injure your friendships

“Listen and read between the lines. We know an awful lot about our friends’ financial situations, even if they tell us not one thing. We see how they spend. We see how they manage. We know if they’re stressed financially. We just have to be a little bit empathetic and open-minded about the fact that they may not have the same choices or priorities that we have. And that doesn’t mean that we can’t be great friends,” shares Chatzky.

8. Teach your kids early

It can feel scary to talk to your kids about money, especially if you feel tentative about your own financial skills. Fortunately, it doesn’t have to be challenging: “Kids have to have money in order to learn to manage money.”

9. Get paid what you deserve

To charge or get paid what you deserve, “First, you must know what you deserve and once you know what that number is, you have to ask for it:

10. Negotiating won’t hurt your outcomes

The person on the other side of the table, they are waiting for you to negotiate, according to Chatzky. They’re not going to punish you for negotiating. You may not get the money. But asking is not going to hurt you.

11. To be or not to be (an entrepreneur)

30% of US businesses are women-owned, and that number is rising steadily.

12. Spend on others

Studies show that when you do for others, you’re guaranteed to feel happier. This includes when you spend on others. “There’s no sense in feeling guilty for spending money that’s not sabotaging our financial life”, says Chatzky.

13. Talk with aging parents

“If you haven’t had a conversation with your parents before you’ve hit age forty or they hit age seventy, it’s time”, she comments

14. Have a little fun with your money

Chatzky comes from a judgment-free zone when it comes to how you spend your money. But, “know how much it costs” since you earned that money and yours to do with as you want.

15. Consider your legacy

“You have to think about what’s important to you. That’s where a lot of us fall down when it comes to charitable giving”, Chatzky says.

Building wealth

If you want to build wealth, you need only do four things, according to Chatzky:

  1. Make a decent living.
  2. Spend less than you make.
  3. Invest the money you donʼt spend.
  4. Protect the financial world you build so that a disaster doesnʼt take it all away from you.

Building wealth sounds easy, so why is it so hard, particularly for women?  “Because women according to Chatzky, “make excuses”. We tell ourselves that we’re “just not good with money,” or that our husbands “like taking care of the finances.”

In short, “what successful women want from their money are: independence, security, choices, a better world, and–oh yes–way less stress, not just for themselves but for their kids, partners, parents, and friends.”

To read more: https://www.vunela.com/jean-chatzky-on-the-top-15-things-every-woman-needs-to-know-about-her-money/

References:

  1. https://www.vunela.com/jean-chatzky-on-the-top-15-things-every-woman-needs-to-know-about-her-money/
  2. https://www.jeanchatzky.com/books/

Investment Plan

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“An idiot with a plan can beat a genius without a plan.” Warren Buffett

Creating budgets and financial milestones are great, but you need an actual investment plan to help you stay on track. It’s one of the most critical steps to meeting your long-term financial goals. According to Warren Buffett, “An idiot with a plan can beat a genius without a plan,” and this is especially true in investing.

Planning helps you focus on long-term goals, not short-term fears and market volatility. If your goal is 20 years away, a loss over one month or year probably isn’t all that important. Focus on your individual goals and time horizon. People who invest more time planning their finances invariably make better decisions, get better results, and achieve financial independence.

It’s also important to know why and for what you are investing in because it will influence how and in what you invest. This is the basis of an investment plan. The best investment plan is one that is tailored to you, and includes an individualized strategy and goals that will set you on the path to success. That means a plan that takes into account your individual goals, situation, and time horizon—and one that’s diversified.

“People who invest more time planning their finances invariably make better decisions, get better results, and achieve financial independence.” Brian Tracy

Diversification doesn’t mean you won’t ever lose money. But owning a mix of investments can help reduce the risk. That way if some investments drop, others may rise, helping you reach your goals. And, you should always manage your risk—by choosing an asset mix that is appropriate for your current circumstances, and creating diversification within that asset mix to improve your risk/return relationship.

Step 1: Evaluate Your Current Financial Standing

The first step in creating your investment plan is to evaluate your current financial standing and determine how much you have to invest.

Step 2: Define What You Want to Accomplish

Your short or long term goals that you want to achieve in your life will impact your investing strategy. Where do you want to be when you retire? Do you want to own a house? Do you want to create passive income? Do you want to create generational wealth for your family?

Defining what you want to accomplish will help you determine how much risk you can take and what type of investments to make that will help you achieve what you want to accomplish in your lifetime.

Step 3: Determine How Much Risk You Can Take

Rule #1 of Investing is to not lose money, but there is always some risk involved when investing in an unpredictable stock market. How much risk can you take based on what you want to accomplish (what we just talked about) and how much time do you have to accomplish it?

If you want to earn money for retirement and retirement is 30 years away, you have a lot of time for your money to grow and recover from economic downturns, so you can afford to be more aggressive. However, if retirement is only a few years away, you will need to make more conservative investments that ensure you will have enough money, but won’t lose it.

Step 4: Decide What Type of Investment to Make

You need to decide what type of investments will help you accomplish what you have set out to accomplish. Consider building a mix of stocks, bonds, and short-term investment. You should learn about the different types of investments that are available before you start investing your money.

Step 5: Establish Your Time Horizon

Time Horizon is the period where one expects to hold an investment for a specific goal. The longer the time horizon, the more aggressive, or riskier portfolio, an investor can build.  Simply put, your investment time horizon is the length of time you need your portfolio to work for you.

Planning and goals are really just the means to the end. The end being the tangible things (retirement security, house, generational wealth, etc.) you set out to accomplish. You should make a promise to yourself that you will accomplish that thing and make a plan to go after it.

And monitor your investments per you plan and progress toward your goals on a set, not-too-frequent schedule—perhaps quarterly or twice a year, or if your goals or circumstances change.

By developing and sticking to an investment plan that’s squarely focused on achieving your individual goals is essential in successful investing.

Regardless of your plan, it is critically important to recognize that investing involves the risk of loss. Having a plan that aligns with your objectives and risk tolerance, educating yourself on investing and doing your research to know the risks associated with investing are all vitally important.

Bottom line is that financial plans don’t fail people. Instead, people fail to plan.

The only way to find financial security is to draw yourself a map. Folks who have specific financial plans that detail what they want save more than people who don’t…Why? Because human beings are easily distracted (especially by shiny new things). So unless you have a road map that tells you where you’re going, it is very, very hard to get there. It’s not that the map will never change.  Revising your specific plans for the future is far better than not having any plans at all.

References:

  1. https://www.ruleoneinvesting.com/blog/how-to-invest/investment-planning/?utm_medium=cpc&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=investing-strategies&utm_content=interest&utm_term=cold&dclid=CID8g7PmzO4CFTEYwQod5T0EGw
  2. https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/personal-finance/financial-improvement?ccsource=email_weekly
  3. https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/active-investor/trading-guide-managing-investment-risks-and-opportunities?ccsource=email_weekly

Bitcoin and Risky Investing

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Volatility isn’t always bad, and it’s important to be cautious about applying leverage

Bitcoin is a new currency that was created in 2009 by an unknown person using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. Transactions are made with no middle men – meaning, no banks! Bitcoin can be used to book hotels on Expedia, shop for furniture on Overstock and buy Xbox games.

Bitcoin has become an asset class of great interest to many investors and speculators across the world. But recently a few leading asset managers have recommended that investors direct a small allocation of their capital to cryptocurrency as part of their investments and retirement savings.

Where does Bitcoin fit in?

“Bitcoin is neither intrinsically valuable, nor is it a reliable store of wealth,” said Stuart Trow, a credit strategist at the European Bank for Reconstruction & Development, in a Bloomberg Opinion article. “It certainly does not produce an income. It does, however, possess two characteristics that could make it a good fit for even the most conservative portfolio”…volatility and it is not leveraged.

Volatility

Many investors and financial advisors view Bitcoin’s volatility with horror. Between Dec. 2017 and Dec. 2018 the price of Bitcoin fell by almost 85%. But since that meltdown it has risen more than tenfold, demonstrating that volatility can cut both ways. The greater an investment’s volatility, the larger the losses but the larger the potential returns.

Bitcoin’s volatility offers a greater possibility of meaningful gains, while committing a relatively small, manageable sum. Since over the past year, its price has more than quadrupled. Had you invested one percent of your capital to Bitcoin, it would have contributed much to your portfolio. Thanks to Bitcoin’s volatility, as long as you don’t bet the ranch, there remains the possibility of making a real gain without too much loss.

Leverage

Bitcoins other key characteristic is that it is not a leveraged investment. Unlike leveraged trading strategies, which traders apply leverage (or debt) to trading financial instruments such as option and future contracts, your losses with Bitcoin are limited to your initial stake. Most other get-rich-quick schemes, including contracts for derivatives, rely on debt to some degree.

Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)

“Fear of missing out” and viewing cryptocurrencies as an alternative safe have to gold were just a few of the reasons that were heard when new Bitcoin investors were asked to explain their purchases in a month when the cryptocurrency had reached historical record highs.  Especially when conventional investing wisdom would advise against buying the elevated prices, and these investors knew that the cryptocurrency might lose value.

Yet, Bitcoin is not for everyone, as underlined by its recent short term $10,000 fall in early January 2021.  But, if you have a couple of dollars that you can afford to lose, there are probably worse things to buy right now than the world’s most popular cryptocurrency.

Reference:

  1. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-01-30/personal-finance-what-bitcoin-teaches-us-about-risky-investing
  2. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2021-01-21/bitcoin-investing-why-people-are-buying-the-cryptocurrency-now

Habits for a more Abundant Life

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Two most important:

  • Read at least thirty minutes everyday
  • Know and pursue a goal your passionate about

Intelligence, talent and charm are great, but more often than not these aren’t what separate the wealthiest among us from the poorest.

Instead, the differences are in our daily habits.

Do you realize that these subconscious, second-nature activities make up 40 percent of our waking hours? That means that two out of every five minutes, all day and every day, we operate on autopilot.

It’s true: Habits are neural pathways stored in the basal ganglia, a golf ball-size mass of tissue right in the center of our brains, in the limbic system.

This neural fast lane is meant to save the brain energy: When a habit is formed and stored in this region, the parts of the brain involved in deeper decision-making cease to fully participate in the activity. However, we all know there are good habits and bad habits.

5 habits

We know that habits can either help or hurt your success in life. Bad habits can fester and grow into a lifestyle that takes you away from the things you want to do—and good habits can help you create a life that’s full of action and accomplishment.

If you were to look at someone you respect, someone who’s successful, you would see that they spend each day doing the things that help them accomplish their biggest goals. This isn’t to say they’re perfect—because no one is—but despite the things that are not perfect in their lives, they continue to make moves that have a positive impact. And it starts with their daily habits.

Now, while we can all study successful habits, it’s meaningless if we don’t implement that knowledge. So, according to Kimanzi Constable, here are five daily habits you can adopt to create the life you truly want to live:

1. Plan out your day the night before.

It’s easy to get off track when you don’t have a plan. Without planning what your day will look like, you wake up not knowing what you want to do or accomplish. Spend a little time the night before giving yourself clear goals for the next day. Life rarely works out as planned, but with a plan, you can adjust without losing momentum.

2. Read books and novels to get inspired.

Reading is an essential element in success—books contain so much knowledge. Forming a daily reading habit will expand your knowledge, allow you to learn more about your profession and help you on your journey to success.

3. Make your health and fitness a priority.

What you eat and how much you exercise affects every area of your life. Successful people use their exercise as a time to reset and reinvigorate. And they make smart food choices that will give them the energy they need to accomplish everything on their daily to-do list.

4. Don’t get distracted by what other people are doing.

Other people’s journeys to success can be inspiring; you can learn so much—about their mistakes, their victories, what to do, what not to do. But if you start comparing your progress to theirs, instead of using their stories as inspiration, you can lose focus and fail to keep your eyes on your own mountain top. Realize your journey is unique and can’t be compared. So don’t get stuck in the comparison trap—stay focused on your why.

5. Live each day as if it were the last.

Life is busy, it’s chaotic, and so you tend to want to focus on the future—we all do it, worry about what’s next. But while planning is important, so is living—being fully present.

Life is short, and there’s no guarantee as to when it will end. Successful people live each day as if it were their last and make the most out of each moment—and so should you.

When you look at a big goal, it’s common to get frustrated at the enormity of what you’re trying to accomplish. If you wake up each day determined to spend it forming good habits, you give yourself a better chance at success. So use these five habits as a starting place to build whatever a successful life means to you.

Read more:

  1. https://www.success.com/16-rich-habits/
  2. https://www.moneycrashers.com/productive-habits-wealthy-successful-people/

Top Five Global Investment Risks In 2021 | Charles Schwab

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The top five global risks for investors in 2021 are all surprises to the consensus view:

  • Problems with the vaccine rollout,
  • Geopolitical and trade tensions do not subside,
  • Fiscal and/or monetary policy tightens,
  • A “zombie” economy, and
  • Interest rate/dollar shock.

History demonstrates that the biggest financial risks in a typical year aren’t usually from out of left field (although a black swan did occur in 2020 with the COVID-19 outbreak). Rather, they are often hiding in plain sight.

Risk appears when there is a very high degree of confidence among market participants in a specific outcome that doesn’t pan out. So, by identifying the unexpected, here are the top five downside global risks for investors in 2021. To read more: https://www.schwab.com/resource-center/insights/content/top-five-global-investment-risks-2021?cmp=em-QYD

Be prepared

Whether or not these particular risks come to pass, a new year almost always brings surprises of one form or another. Having a well-balanced, diversified portfolio and being prepared with a plan in the event of an unexpected outcome are keys to successful investing.

References:

  1. https://www.schwab.com/resource-center/insights/content/top-five-global-investment-risks-2021?cmp=em-QYD

Trading vs. Investing

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Trading and investing are two approaches to participating in the stock market. Each approach brings its own opportunities and risks

  • Investing involves buying an asset you expect will rise in value over the long term, with the goal of long-term gains.
  • Trading, on the other hand, is about timing market short term moves and buying and selling stocks within a short period for quick returns.

With trading, you’re hoping to earn quick returns based on short-term fluctuations in the market and stock price. Long-term investors, in contrast, tend to build diversified portfolios of assets and stay in them for the long term through the ups and downs (volatility) of the market.

Investing basics

Investing is geared towards managing and growing wealth in the market over a longer period of time like years or even decades. This means buying securities with a long-term outlook in mind and holding them through both market ups and downs until you reach your financial goal or are near the end of your investment time horizon.

Investing involves putting money into a financial asset (stocks, bonds, mutual or exchange-traded fund, etc). that you expect will rise in value over time. Investors generally have a long time horizon and predominantly look to build wealth through gradual appreciation and compound interest.

Diversification (owning a mix of investments) is important for investors as it can reduce their risk — mainly by mitigating the effects of volatility.

Trading basics

Trading is all about making frequent, short-term transactions with the goal of “beating the market,” or generating greater returns than you’d expect to receive by buying and holding over a longer time frame.

Trading involves buying and selling stocks or other securities in a short period of time with the goal of making quick profits. While investors typically measure their time horizon in years, traders think in terms of weeks, days, or even minutes.  

Two of the most common forms of trading are day trading and swing trading. Day traders buy and sell a security within the same trading day; positions are never held overnight. Swing traders, on the other hand, buy assets that they expect will rise in value over a matter of days or weeks.

Trading can be a risky endeavor for the uneducated and unskilled trader. If a trade goes against you, you can lose a lot of money in a short period of time. If you have a low risk tolerance and want to avoid volatility, investing will be the way to go. But if you’re more of a risk-taker and would like the chance to earn bigger returns, trading could be appealing.

https://twitter.com/jrdorkin/status/1332382094048202753?s=21

Takeaway

Although the terms — trading and investing — are often used interchangeably: trading focuses on short-term buying and selling, while investing involves buying and holding securities for an extended period of time.

If you’re comfortable with the risks, trading a portion of your money can be rewarding and could lead to higher returns. If reducing risk and volatility are your main goals, then you’ll want to stick with long-term investing to build wealth.

References:

  1. https://www.ally.com/do-it-right/amp/investing/trading-vs-investing/?__twitter_impression=true
  2. https://www.businessinsider.com/trading-vs-investing

Without another round of financial assistance, Black business owners facing tough choices | Bizwomen

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Without another round of financial assistance, Black business owners facing tough choices

Caitlin Mullen, Bizwomen contributor, Sep 14, 2020, 9:01am EDT

The pandemic has presented challenges for most business owners, but new research indicates recovery could take longer for Black-owned businesses. 

About 4 in 10 Black small business owners who received Paycheck Protection Program loans have had to lay off staff or cut worker pay as that money has run out, Goldman Sachs discovered. By comparison, 32% of all respondents said they had done so. 

Although just 16% of all business owners surveyed reported less than one-quarter of their pre-Covid revenues have returned, more Black business owners said this — almost 33%, reports Business Insider. 

The situation has prompted Grammy-winner Alicia Keys to create a $1 billion fund to support Black-owned businesses; the NFL is one of the organizations contributing to the fund, per Billboard. 

“As an artist, I’m always thinking about how can I use my platform to further racial equity. This fund is one of the answers and our goal is to empower Black America through investing in Black businesses, Black investors, institutions, entrepreneurs, schools and banks in a way to create sustainable solutions,” Keys told Billboard. 

Keys acknowledged the initial $1 billion goal won’t close the economic gap, but it’s a start.

“The next steps are to reach out to different industries to invite them to invest in racial justice and create a multi-billion dollar endowment across business sectors,” Keys told Billboard. 

A National Bureau of Economic Research working paper released earlier this year indicated the spring’s pandemic lockdown was particularly devastating for Black business owners: The number of working Black business owners went from 1.1 million in February to 640,000 in April. 

Black business owners also have faced discrimination as they’ve sought coronavirus-related financial assistance. About 95% of Black-owned businesses had little chance of receiving funds in the first wave of PPP loans, the Center for Responsible Lending said. 

The National Community Reinvestment Coalition found Black business owners had a tougher time securing loans at banks and faced bias their white counterparts did not, reports The New York Times.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York recently noted counties with the highest concentration of Covid-19 also have the highest concentration of Black businesses and networks, and there were clear PPP coverage gaps in those communities.   

“Covid has basically been a very severe, devastating scenario for Black-owned businesses that were already struggling to survive,” Kenneth L. Harris, national president and CEO of the National Business League, a trade association representing Black businesses, told the Detroit Free Press.

The NBER working paper noted the pandemic’s effect on these businesses could result in near-term impacts on economic advancement and job creation, and long-term effects on wealth inequality. 

Congress has yet to agree on legislation that would provide another round of funds and unemployment benefits. If Congress doesn’t take action this month, 43% of Black small business owners say their cash reserves will run out by the end of the year, Goldman Sachs found; 30% of all respondents said this. 

And 40% of Black small business owners said they’ll have to cut wages or lay off workers without another round of stimulus funds; 36% overall expect they’ll have to do this.

Babson College and David Binder Research conducted the Goldman Sachs survey of 860 small business owners in the U.S. and U.S. territories in early September; 55% of respondents were women.

Main Street America has said almost 7.5 million businesses could close permanently this year due to the pandemic, leaving 35.7 million workers without jobs.

Source: https://www.bizjournals.com/bizwomen/news/latest-news/2020/09/without-more-assistance-black-business-owners-fac.html

It’s a Stock Market Bubble | Barron’s

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Excerpts from Barron’s article entitled:Yes, It’s a Stock Market Bubble. That Doesn’t Mean Trouble for Investors Just Yet.

By Ben Levisohn, September 12, 2020

“Every stock market bubble begins with a story.”

“”The story began easily enough, if not with “once upon a time.” A virus forced the country to shut down and accelerated the gains in a select few technology stocks that are uniquely capable of thriving with everyone stuck at home. A central bank took quick action to prevent financial markets from seizing up, pushing interest rates about as low as they could go. That helped lift the stocks of companies that are growing, including chiefly the aforementioned tech stocks, even if some have no profits. These stocks were among the first to rally once the stock market bottomed in March.”

“Now, get ready for the plot twist: Good investment ideas can stop being good ideas if the story goes on for too long. The tech trade—including tech companies that aren’t officially labeled as such—went too far before correcting suddenly in the past two weeks.”

“The forces that drove stocks such as Apple and Amazon.com to astonishing heights remain firmly in place. They include the companies’ continued growth, the Federal Reserve’s determination to do whatever it takes to keep the economy afloat, retail investors’ newfound interest in trading, and maybe even a bit of fiscal largess.”

Stocks will remain volatile, but the tech bubble will continue to inflate.

“For an investment bubble to occur, there has to be a widespread belief that a new paradigm has taken hold requiring an adjustment in valuations far beyond what previous fundamentals would imply. This belief needs to engage the imagination of investors beyond Wall Street, and there must be plenty of capital available to chase stock prices higher. The Covid-19 crisis has unlocked all three prerequisites.”

“Consider how the world has changed in the past six months. Social distancing is now the rule, and working from home is encouraged, when possible. Movie theaters are half-empty, and attending school now means opening a laptop at home for many students.”

“Companies that bring us a taste of our previous lives—such as Zoom Video Communications (ZM) and Peloton Interactive (PTON)—have seen their share prices soar. Shares of tech titans Apple, Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon, Alphabet (GOOGL), and Facebook (FB) have risen because the businesses are growing far more than most, and investors know that bigger is better in today’s world.”

“Some retail investors, starved for something to bet on in the absence of professional sports, have turned their attention to stocks.”

“At the same time, near-zero interest rates have encouraged investors to pay up for growth, while some retail investors, starved for something to bet on in the absence of professional sports, have turned their attention to stocks, trading through online brokers like it’s 1999.”

“As a result, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Facebook now account for nearly a quarter of the value of the S&P 500 index, a level of concentration rarely seen in the benchmark. And that might understate the influence of Big Tech. Add Amazon and the S&P Information Technology and Communication Services sectors constitute 45% of the benchmark index, according to J.P. Morgan data, compared with 40% during the dot-com bubble.”

“Even as the biggest tech names have seen market caps swell, some formerly small companies have graduated to the big leagues. Zoom, for one, jumped 41% in a single day after reporting sales that more than quadrupled the previous year’s, a consequence of the video service’s widespread adoption beyond a business audience. Zoom stock, having zoomed 465% in 2020, is now worth more than $100 billion. Peloton has a market cap of $25 billion after gaining 209% this year, as its stationary bikes replaced gym memberships.”

“Zoom trades for 50 times 2020 sales, and Peloton, 9.3 times. Both are priced as if future growth is unlimited—a risky bet, especially if the postvirus world looks not all that different from the previrus world.”

The Fed has pumped trillions of dollars into the economy

“Behind the scenes, meanwhile, the Fed is operating the bubble-making machinery. It has pumped trillions of dollars into the economy, expanding its own balance sheet to more than $7 trillion from $4.1 trillion at the start of 2020. This time around, its asset purchases have included not only Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities but also investment-grade and high-yield bonds. All of this demand has served to lower interest rates to near zero.”

“The Fed typically has burst past bubbles, including the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and the housing bubble of the mid-2000s, by raising interest rates. Don’t count on that now, or at least not yet. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has effectively promised to keep rates low for years, which means there should be plenty of cash sloshing around to keep the bubble growing.”

“Perhaps the biggest reason to keep betting on tech—and the stock market—is that things aren’t nearly as frothy now as they were during, say, the dot-com bubble. Even in August, the market never reached the sustained frenzy that characterized the late 1990s, when the major indexes went parabolic and stayed that way for months, says Katie Stockton, managing partner of Fairlead Strategies. Stockton thinks the market’s recent pullback will create another buying opportunity, “A bubble would be characterized by prolonged upside momentum,” she says. “The market doesn’t have that.””

To read more: https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-market-is-a-bubble-but-that-doesnt-mean-troubleyet-51599862332?st=zdbk5yoalgbsduv

Source: https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-market-is-a-bubble-but-that-doesnt-mean-troubleyet-51599862332?st=zdbk5yoalgbsduv