5G Wireless Spectrum Aviation Dispute

Posted on December 18, 2021 by admin

Six former chairs of the U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC) — Ajit Pai, Tom Wheeler, Julius Genachowski, Michael Copps, Michael Powell and Mignon Clyburn — urged the Biden administration to resolve a dispute over the planned use of 5G wireless spectrum that the aviation industry says poses an air safety risk, according to Reuters.

Major U.S. air carriers warned that plans by wireless carriers such as AT&T and Verizon to use C-Band spectrum for 5G wireless services starting January 5, 2022, could disrupt thousands of daily flights and cost air passengers more than a billion dollars annually in delays. United Airlines Chief Executive Officer Scott Kirby warned that the 5G spectrum use “could delay, divert or cancel about 4% of daily flights and impact hundreds of thousands of passengers”.

The aviation industry and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) have raised concerns about potential interference of 5G with sensitive aircraft electronics like radio altimeters. The FAA has issued directives for airlines to revise airplane and helicopter flight manuals to prohibit some operations requiring radio altimeter data when in the presence of 5G C-Band wireless broadband signals.

And, the FAA plans to issue further notices to airlines offering more detail on the potential interference and is in discussion about which altimeters could be used under the current mitigation plans.

The Biden administration wants eagerly to resolve the issue and has urged airlines to work with the wireless carriers to reach agreement. United’s Kirby has said that the FCC and FAA “need to get in a room and talk to each other and solve the problem,” adding that the issue “cannot be solved on the back of airlines.”

However, wireless carriers have shown no interest in further delays to using the spectrum. Verizon has said that “there is no evidence that 5G operations using C-band spectrum pose any risk to aviation safety, as the real-world experience in dozens of countries already using this spectrum for 5G confirms,” and added it was confident the FAA ultimately will conclude C-Band 5G use “poses no risk to air safety.”

References:

Long Term Investing

Posted on December 17, 2021 by admin

“No matter what the market is doing, no matter how it’s performed, there is always a smart-sounding excuse to sell that is very often regrettable in hindsight.” Motley Fool

Over the past century, research continues to demonstrate that staying invested in stocks over the long term has consistently outperformed every other investing strategy. Since, you can’t predict (or time the market) with certainty and you can’t meet long-term goals with short-term investment strategies.

Stocks have outperformed most assets such as bonds, real estate and cash, over the long run. Ideally, anyone with more than 10 years to invest would buy stocks at good prices and exercise patience. Stocks return 7% to 9% a year over the long run — better than any other asset class. But that can be misinterpreted to imply that stocks return 7% to 9% every year. While the long-term average annual return works out to 7% to 9% a year, what happens in between is wild and chaotic.

Investing is just a fancy word for making your money work for you!

Taking an appropriate amount of market risk is necessary because it’s difficult to meet long- term goals with only short-term investments.

It is widely accepted that there are risks of losing your hard earn money money when you invest in stocks, bonds and mutual funds. However, what is less well known and not widely discussed are the greater risks in not investing in assets. Over time, cash loses purchasing power and value.

Yet, in December 2020, households were holding about $16 trillion in cash, according to Motley Fool. Having this much cash on the sidelines is risky. By not investing your money and keeping it in cash will certainly result in your money losing purchasing power due to inflation and may result in you not achieving your long-term financial goals by having money sit on the sidelines.

Ultimately, it’s important to remember your long term financial goals, why you’re investing and to understand the risks of not investing.

According to investing guru Jeff Gundlach, the single biggest reason why most retail investors fail is simple: Their money flows in and out of assets at exactly the wrong time — in just when things are expensive, and out just as they’re cheap. “Volatility scares enough people out of the market to generate superior returns for those who stay in,” Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel explains.

There’s simply too much uncertainty, and no one can accurately predict or time the market. To successfully time the market, it requires a level of precision that nobody’s been able to achieve. Always remember, only a small number of days provide a huge proportion of total growth. Missing them can completely derail your long-term performance.

Bottomline, you should be invested should be in the stock market right now. And, the best way to build wealth is to be invested in stocks, stay invested, and not get scared out because of temporary fears and market volatility.

“The single biggest reason why most investors fail is simple and widespread: Money flows in and out of assets at exactly the wrong time — in just when things are expensive, and out just as they’re cheap.” Morgan Housel

References:

2021 Women and Investing Study | Fidelity Investments

Posted on December 16, 2021 by admin

More women than ever are taking a seat at the investing table, according to Fidelity Investments.

Fidelity Investments’ 2021 Women and Investing Study was conducted “to gather insights into women’s attitudes and behaviors when it comes to managing their finances” and investing for the long term. The study findings show:

67% of women are now investing outside of retirement
50% of women say they are more interested in investing since the start of the pandemic
42% say they now have more to invest since the start of the pandemic

When women do decide to invest, they are realizing positive results and returns. Analysis of more than 5 million Fidelity customers over the last ten years finds that, on average, women tend to outperform their male counterparts by 40 basis points or 0.4%.

While these investing trends by women are encouraging, still only 1/3 of women see themselves as investors, and additionally:

Only 42% feel confident in their ability to save for the long term, including retirement

Only 33% feel confident in their ability make investment decisions

Only 35% feel confident their non-retirement savings are invested appropriately

Only 14% of women say they know a lot about saving and investing

Overall, women feel less confident when it comes to long-term financial planning and investing to grow their money and build wealth, according to Fidelity Investments.

Women who set financial goals, create a financial plan and take the following additional actions feel more confident in their ability to save for the future and make investment decisions to help their savings grow:

Determine current financial status (net worth and cash flow)
Pay themselves first, automate their savings and invest consistently a portion of every paycheck
Select diversified investments like stocks, bonds, mutual funds or ETFs
Take a long-term approach to investing
Starting early and track progress regularly
Making time to educate themselves about personal finance topics

Bottomline, 64% of women surveyed by Fidelity said that they would like to be more active in their finances, including investment decisions. Not surprisingly, the factors that holds them back include:

70% of women say to invest they would need to know more about picking individual stocks.
65% of women say they’d be more likely to invest, or invest more, if they had clear plan or steps to do so.

It’s never too late for you to get started setting financial goals, creating a financial plan and investing for the long term.

References:

https://www.fidelity.com/bin-public/060_www_fidelity_com/documents/about-fidelity/FidelityInvestmentsWomen&InvestingStudy2021 .pdf

Keep in mind that investing involves risk. The value of your investment will fluctuate over time, and you may gain or lose money.

Calculating Net Worth

Posted on December 11, 2021 by admin

Calculating net worth involves adding up all your assets and subtracting all your liabilities. The resulting sum is your net worth.

The value of your primary residence is not included in your net worth calculation. In addition, any mortgage or other loan on the residence does not count as a liability up to the fair market value of the residence. If the loan is for more than the fair market value of the residence (i.e., if your mortgage is underwater), then the loan amount that is over the fair market value counts as a liability under the net worth test.

Further, any increase in the loan amount in the 60 days prior to your purchase of the securities (even if the loan amount does not exceed the value of the residence) will count as a liability as well. The reason for this is to prevent net worth from being artificially inflated through converting home equity into cash or other assets.

The following table sets forth examples of calculations under the net worth test for being an accredited investor:

Accredited Investor table

References:

Believe in Yourself and Know What You Want

Posted on December 7, 2021 by admin

“If you don’t know what you want, it’s difficult—often impossible—to create or to get what you want in life.” Paul J. Meyers

People generally think they know what they want, but in practice, they do not. Generally, they don’t know what they really want in life or want to do. Additionally, they don’t know where to start, don’t have a plan, and don’t where to look for help to change that.

American author Mark Twain said he could teach anyone how to get what they want; he just couldn’t find anyone who truly knew what they wanted. Being unclear on what you want is one of the biggest stumbling blocks to getting what you want and success. Paul Meyer, founder of Success Motivation Institute, says if you’re not achieving the success you desire, it’s simply because your objectives are not clearly defined. Your goals need to be written, specific and measurable.

Hundred of thousands of people live there lives without purpose or goals. If you don’t want to spend your life wandering aimlessly, you should dedicate your waking hours determining exactly what you want in life and making plans to achieve those goals.

“Crystallize your goals. Make a plan for achieving them and set yourself a deadline. Then, with supreme confidence, determination and disregard for obstacles and other people’s criticisms, carry out your plan.” Paul J. Meyer

Knowing what you want.

If you don’t know what you really want in life, you’re not alone. While most people may think they know what they want, they’re often wrong.

Positive mindset, attitude and focus are vitally important attributes. The attributes are required to reach your goals and to realize your dreams. Thus, you should have a real understanding that you are responsible and capable of creating your reality regardless of the various obstacles you might encounter along the way. According to Inc. Magazine, here are six steps to help you achieve what you want:

1. Make a decision to have what you want, even if you don’t know how to get it. Most people are tentative when it comes to being specific. Instead, be confident in declaring what you want and be comfortable with the fact that you don’t yet have a plan, but you do know what you want.

2. Be clear about the details of the outcome. You should focus on what you do want, not what you don’t want. Practice visualizing yourself in the situation you want to create. You must be clear about what you want, like financial freedom, finding the perfect partner or a happy life. You must imagine the look, feel and sound of the perfect situation for you in your life.

3. Detach from the process. Not knowing “how” to do something holds many people back. The “how to do it,” instructions will appear after you have clearly defined what you want.

4. Believe in yourself and expect that it will happen. You need to believe in yourself and in the creative process. Winners expect to win. A shortage of belief causes many people to give up or never begin in the first place. Believe and set an expectation that what you want will, in fact, appear. It may not appear in the way you thought or at the precise time. You may even experience frustration, anxiety or impatience trying to control the outcome.

“When you believe in yourself, others tend to believe in you.” Paul J. Meyers

5. Be open to possibility when things don’t go your way. The path to the outcome may show up in ways you never imagined before. Suspend judgment of how things should be done and consider that the very thing you think is a deterrent may be the very thing you need to get what you want. Many times, people, circumstances and resources will show up, but you’ll miss the connection. This is where not knowing how, while keeping your eye on the goal, is important.

6. Practice gratitude. Be thankful for the things you have in your life right now. Look at your challenges as opportunities to grow. When you practice being thankful for specific events in your life, even when you don’t understand why they appear in your life, your ability to manifest accelerates almost to the speed of thought.

Getting what you want is not always simple and easy. Challenges, emotions, other people’s negative views and comments can set you back. But in the end, it all comes back down to your choice, commitment, effort and most of all…attitude. It’s essential to choose what you want, believe in your abilities, trust the process, have faith that it will happen and embrace the right attitude.

That is why “attitude is everything”.

“Attitude is everything,” according to Meyers. “It doesn’t matter where you are or what you’re doing, it all has to do with attitude. And then I have an I will-not-be denied attitude. And that’s an incredible thing to have. I don’t look to my weakness; I look to my strength. I don’t look to my problems; I look to my power. It’s all about attitude.”

“When winners choose a goal, their commitment to achieving it is firm and steadfast,” says Meyers. “When winners are confronted with hurdles or run into stumbling blocks, they go over them or turn them into stepping stones. Winners pursue their goals persistently until they succeed.”

Every day, you should strive for increased clarity around your goals and knowing what you really want. Having clarity about what you want keeps you moving toward it.

References:

Determining Your Net Worth

Posted on December 6, 2021 by admin

Net worth is the most important number in personal finance and represents your financial scorecard.

What Exactly Is Net Worth?

Net worth is what you own minus what you owe. Or, you can think of net worth as everything you own less all that you owe. “Net worth is what’s yours, really yours. First, add up the value of everything you own, then subtract the total amount of any debts that you have. What’s left is your net worth”, explained Robert LeFevre Jr., a certified public accountant and certified financial planner.

Calculating your net worth requires you to take an inventory of what you own, as well as your outstanding debt. And when we say own, we include assets that you may still be paying for, such as a car or a house. Start with what you own (assets): cash, retirement accounts, investment accounts, cars, real estate and anything else that you could sell for cash. Then subtract what you owe ( liabilities]: credit card debt, student loans, mortgages, auto loans and anything else you owe money on. Then boom—you’ve got your net worth.

The average net worth for U.S. families is $748,800. The median — a more representative measure — is $121,700, according to the Federal Reserve Board’s Survey of Consumer Finances.

Financial planners point out that the actual value of your net worth is less important than its growth over time. Tallying up your net worth every three to six months can help keep you on track and alert to potential problems.

Assessing Your Assets

Start with what you own — your assets. The biggest ones might be your home and your car. You will want to write down your best estimates of what these items would sell for today rather than their original purchase prices. Add in other big-ticket items you own — a motorboat, shop machinery, musical instruments, jewelry, art and any other objects worth $500 or more. Next, add in your financial assets, such as cash, bank accounts, certificates of deposit, brokerage accounts, individual retirement accounts and any other investments. The tally represents your total assets.

Listing Your Liabilities

Liabilities are what you owe. Start with your biggest debts first. Your mortgage balance and remaining student loans might top the list. You also may be paying off one or more vehicles. Next, add in your current balances for credit cards, revolving home improvement loans and other types of consumer debt. Finish up with any medical bills, liens, court judgments or back taxes that you currently owe. Figure the sum of all your liabilities, and then subtract it from your assets, giving you your net worth.

What the Number Means

Net worth is the value of the assets a person owns minus the liabilities they owe.

When it comes to net worth, it’s not the number, but rather what you do with it that matters most. If you have a negative net worth, you’ve already taken a great first step by identifying the problem. Net worth is one way to check your financial well-being and spot strengths and weaknesses.

By inspecting your debts, you can develop ideas to modify your spending habits. Your list of assets will help show you if you need to increase your savings and investments. Most of all, be realistic with your numbers — an accurate number is a lot more valuable than a “feel good” one.

Examine the trend of your net worth over time. If it’s not growing as fast as you would like, consider putting together a budget that will help get you moving in the right direction. The payoff will come when you find you have enough net worth to do the things that are important to you, such as traveling or engaging in hobbies that were once too expensive to afford.

There are many tactics you can use to build net worth. Start with a few basic steps:

Choose a debt payoff strategy. Create a plan for shedding burdensome liabilities. We recommend paying down debts with the highest interest rates first, an approach known as the debt avalanche. Another option you may consider is debt consolidation: rolling multiple debts into one payment.
Grow your money. Set up automatic savings, take advantage of competitive account interest rates and explore other ways to build wealth.
Be patient. The trend for most people is that net worth increases as they get older. Do your best to get on the right track and allow time for your efforts to pay off.

Your income is not included in a net worth calculation. Although, a drop in income can impact your net worth, which is essentially a calculation of all of a person’s assets — including cash in checking and savings accounts, minus liabilities.

A person can earn a big paycheck but have a low net worth if they spend most of the money they earn. On the other hand, even people with modest lifetime incomes can accumulate significant wealth and a high net worth if they buy appreciating or income producing assets and are prudent savers.

References:

Successful Investors and Financial Literacy

Posted on December 5, 2021 by admin

Investing is all about: Putting your money to work for you making more money.

One of the most glaring failures in the U.S. K-12 education system is the lack of even basic education in the areas of personal finance, budgeting, saving and investing. We’re becoming a nation in crisis with regard to our schools’ failure to prepare and educate K-12 students in personal finance and decision-making.

Financial illiteracy is an American epidemic and the crisis is growing, according to the non-profit American Public Education Foundation’s national report card on K-12 personal financial education: Vision 2020 Financial Literacy Report Card, 2019-2020. The 50-state review points to a nation in crisis with regard to our schools’ failure to prepare and educate K-12 students in personal finance and decision-making.

“America is facing a growing epidemic,” observed David A. Pickler, J.D., CFP®, ChFC®, CDFA®, an award-winning wealth advisor and education leader and one of Financial Times’ 400 Top Advisors. “Our nation is rapidly sinking into a sea of debt and financial dependency. We have created a collective culture where it is acceptable to pursue bankruptcy as a solution to irresponsible financial behavior and decision making. Each of us has a responsibility to change this culture, to become accountable partners in preparing our children to make sound financial choices, or face the consequences that will undermine America’s future and threaten our economic and national security interests.”

According to The Aspen Institute, 16% of suicides in the US occur in response to a financial problem. Further, a USA TODAY report states that less than one-fourth of young Americans ages 18 to 26 are “very optimistic” about their financial futures.

Financial literacy

One of the most successful traders in history once remarked, “If I’d only been taught in high school what I later managed to learn on my own about investing, I likely could have retired wealthy by age 35.”

Anyone can potentially reap massive financial benefits from simply taking the time to learn the basics about investing as early as possible in life. It’s not too late to begin building a fortune through investing, and the sooner you start, the sooner you’ll achieve your financial dreams.

There are two truths:

Taking the time to acquire investing knowledge and skills, whether at sixteen or sixty, will put you well ahead of your peers in terms of financial literacy and in terms of financial success.
An important “secret” about investing and wealth – “You can make a lot more money a lot faster by sending your money to work for you every day, rather than just sending yourself to work every day.”

The best, most successful investors are continually learning and continually honing and expanding their skills at making money in the financial markets.

Stocks, also known as equities, represent fractional ownership in a company, asset, or security. The stock market is a place where investors can buy and sell ownership of such investable assets.

References:

Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)

Posted on December 4, 2021 by admin

Free Cash Flow (FCF) – The cash left after making investments in capital assets

The price-to-free cash flow ratio (P/FCF) is a valuation method used to compare a company’s current market share price to its per-share free cash flow.

Free cash flow (FCF) measures a company’s financial performance. It measures how much cash a business can generate after accounting for capital expenditures such as buildings or equipment. In other words, FCF measures a company’s ability to produce what investors care most about: cash that’s available to be distributed in a discretionary way.

FCF is calculated with the formula below:

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flow (CFO) – Capital Expenditures

Most information needed to compute a company’s FCF is on the cash flow statement. As an example, let Company A have $22 million dollars of cash from its business operations and $6.5 million dollars used for capital expenditures, net of changes in working capital. Company A’s FCF is then computed as:

FCF = $22 – $6.5 = $15.5m

Free cash flow relies heavily on the state of a company’s cash from operations (CFO). The cash from operations deals with the cash inflows and outflows directly related to the company’s primary activity: selling a good or service. Cash from operations is heavily influenced by the company’s net income (excluding depreciation).

The presence of free cash flow indicates that a company has cash to expand, develop new products, buy back stock, pay dividends, or reduce its debt. High or rising free cash flow is often a sign of a healthy and growing company that is thriving in its current environment.

For investors, free cash flow measures a company’s ability to generate cash, which is a fundamental basis for stock pricing. This is why some people value free cash flow more than just about any other financial measure out there, including earnings per share or book value per share.

Investors should understand that companies can manipulate their free cash flow by lengthening the time they take to pay the bills (preserving their cash), shortening the time it takes to collect what’s owed to them (accelerating the receipt of cash), and putting off buying inventory (preserving cash). Also, companies have some leeway about what items are or are not considered capital expenditures, and the investor should be aware of this when comparing the free cash flow of different companies.

Since FCF has a direct impact on the worth of a company, investors should hunt for companies that have high or improving free cash flow but low correlated market share prices.

Low P/FCF ratios typically can mean the shares of the underlying company are undervalued. Thus, the lower the P/FCF ratio, the “cheaper” and better value the stock remains.

The best, most successful investors are continually learning and continually honing and expanding their skills at making money in the financial markets.

References:

Avoid 5 Foods that Weaken Memory and Focus

Posted on December 3, 2021 by admin

We are what we eat!

Across America, people are struggling with mental health issues. Nearly one in five Americans are living with a mental health condition, and the number of people seeking help for anxiety and depression is skyrocketing, reports Mental Health America. According to the organization’s 2021 State of Mental Health in America Report, “suicidal thoughts are increasing among both adults and children, and 9.7 percent of youth is experiencing severe major depression compared to 9.2 percent last year”.

Accumulating scientific research shows that a standard American diet rich in refined sugar and highly processed foods may increase the risk of developing or worsening various mental health conditions. But a nutrient-based diet rich in fresh fruits and vegetables; omega-3 fatty acids; nuts, seeds and legumes; whole grains, fresh herbs and spices; fish and olive oil, may help to support and enhance mental health.

Source: https://mhanational.org/issues/state-mental-health-america

A Harvard nutritionist and brain expert implores Americans to avoid 5 foods that ‘weaken memory and focus’, and increase the likelihood of depression and mental health issues. Dr. Uma Naidoo, a nutritional psychiatrist, brain expert, and faculty member at Harvard Medical School, studied how gut bacteria can trigger metabolic processes and brain inflammation that impact memory.

In her book “This Is Your Brain on Food”, Dr. Naidoo explains which food contributes to our mental health and “how a sound diet can help treat and prevent a wide range of psychological and cognitive health issues, from ADHD to anxiety, depression, OCD, and others”.

Refined sugar is well known for creating chronic inflammation in the body which can cause dysfunction of the immune system.

Existing studies indicate that you “may be able to reduce the possibility of dementia by avoiding foods that can compromise our gut bacteria and weaken your memory and focus”.

The standard American diet (SAD) foods “to avoid or cut back on to fight inflammation and promote brain health, sharp thinking and good decision-making” are:

Refined sugars – a high-sugar or ‘high fructose corn syrup’ diet can lead to excess glucose in the brain, which studies have linked to memory impairments and less plasticity of the hippocampus — the part of the brain controlling memory. Consuming unhealthy processed foods like baked goods and soda floods the brain with too much glucose. And, be aware that refined sugar is “secretly added” to many popular food items like fast food french fries. Furthermore, sugar consumption triggers a cascade of chemical reactions in the body that promote chronic inflammation, according to Psychology Today. A little inflammation can be a good thing, since it can increase immune activity and blood flow to a wound. But in the long term, inflammation is a big problem. It disrupts the normal functioning of the immune system, and wreaks havoc on the brain.
High-glycemic-load carbohydrates – your body processes high-glycemic-load carbohydrates in much the same way it does with refined or high fructose sugar. That means they can also raise your risk for depression. “Better-quality” carbohydrates were defined as whole grains, foods high in fiber, and those ranked low on the glycemic index (GI). The GI is a measure of how quickly foods convert to glucose when broken down during digestion; the faster a food turns into glucose in the body, the higher its GI ranking. Researchers discovered that people who were eating better-quality carbs, were 30% less likely to develop depression than those who were eating high-GI carbs. Low-GI carbs include green vegetables, most fruits, raw carrots, kidney beans, chickpeas and lentils.
Fried foods – for brain health, it pays to reduce the amount of fried foods you eat. In fact, one study found that a diet high in fried foods was linked to lower scores in learning and memory. The likely reason is that fried foods can cause inflammation, which can damage the blood vessels that supply the brain with blood. Another study found that those who consumed more fried foods were more likely to develop depression in their lifetime. If you’re eating fried foods, try enjoying them just once a month.
Alcohol – Archana Singh-Manoux, a research professor and director at the French Institute of Health and Medical Research, and her colleagues reported in the British Medical Journal that “people who had abstained from alcohol completely or who consumed more than 14 drinks per week had a higher risk of dementia compared to those who drank alcohol in moderation”. Thus, the key is moderation.
Nitrates – nitrates are used as a preservative and to enhance color in deli slices and cured meats like bacon, salami and sausage. Nitrates may be also connected with depression.

What you eat does matter. Thus, by avoiding or eliminating these 5 foods from your diet, and by serving healthier, nutrient-rich food options, you can help to alleviate anxiety and depression, stabilize mood and promote mental health and wellness.

#MassGeneral physician @DrUmaNaidoo was quoted in @TODAYshow's report on the best foods to improve brain health. https://t.co/AH7mKVoXVp

— Mass General MDs (@MassGeneralMDs) November 22, 2021

“The gut/brain connection helps us understand the food/mood connection,” explains Dr. Naidoo. “The enteric nervous system—that is, the nerves supplying the gastrointestinal tract—totals over 100 million neurons and communicates directly with the brain, or central nervous system, by way of the vagus nerve, which is responsible for our ‘rest-and-digest’ response.

“It’s also vital to note that the gut contains the highest number of serotonin receptors, and the gut itself produces all the neurotransmitters that are also made in the brain, including serotonin, often called the happiness hormone. In turn, these neurotransmitters are implicated in sound mental health or potential problems when they are deficient.”

Bottomline, cleaning up your diet and eating healthier, nutrient-rich food, in most cases, will only help your mental health and emotional well-being.

Healthy diet, exercise, mindfulness, gratitude and sleep are all holistically important for your brain and mental health.

Retail Investor Inflation Strategy

Posted on December 2, 2021 by admin

Inflation refers to an aggregate increase in prices, commonly measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

The federal government has pumped trillions of dollars into the economy through deficit spending and stimulus measures since the COVID-19 pandemic began. Meanwhile, the central bank of the United States, the Federal Reserve, has dropped interest rates to near zero and has committed to keeping them there through 2023.

The Federal Reserve’s mandates are to manage the money supply and set the federal funds interest rate in an attempt to keep inflation within a reasonable limit. This reasonable level of inflation is maintained because it encourages people to spend now, thereby promoting economic growth, rather than saving, as a dollar today is worth more than the same dollar tomorrow on average.

A constant level of inflation helps maintain price stability and is thought to maximize employment and economic well-being. Investors expect returns greater than this “reasonable,” average level of inflation, and workers expect wage increases to keep pace with the increasing cost of living.

The Consumer Price Index tracks prices for a broad range of products such as gasoline, healthcare, and groceries. The CPI rose 6.2% in October from the same month in 2020, the biggest spike since December 1990, according to the Labor Department.

High and variable inflation is considered bad for both investors and the wider U.S. economy because it can eat away at the value of financial assets denominated in the inflated currency, such as cash and bonds, particularly longer term bonds with more interest rate risk.

The prospect of variable or high inflation introduces uncertainty to both the economy and the stock market, which doesn’t really benefit anyone. This uncertainty or variable inflation distorts asset pricing and wages at different times. Prices also tend to rise faster and earlier than wages, potentially contributing to economic contraction and possible recession.

“Cash is not a safe investment, is not a safe place because it will be taxed by inflation.” Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates

In an inflationary environment, “cash is trash” since inflation operates like a tax which causes saved dollars lose value over time. High inflation rates decrease the purchasing power of money and it discourages people from holding cash assets and saving. “Cash is not a safe investment, is not a safe place because it will be taxed by inflation,” Bridgewater Associates’ Ray Dalio, the founder of the world’s biggest hedge fund said on CNBC Squawk Box.

Here are several suggestions for investors to consider to counter the risk and derisive impact of inflation on assets and the economy.

Consider buying equity stocks like bank stocks or consumer goods companies that will benefit from higher inflation or higher interest rates. Banking, consumer staples, energy, utility, and healthcare equities are likely to perform well. Banks would come out ahead if the Federal Reserve eventually raises interest rates to combat inflation, and banks’ spreads between loans and deposits widen. Also, look for companies that benefit from rising labor costs and be very attentive to how much you pay for (e.g., the intrinsic value) of risk assets.
Consider buying TIPS, or Treasury inflation-protected securities, which are a useful way to protect your investment in government bonds. These U.S. government bonds are indexed to inflation, so if inflation moves up, the effective interest rate paid on TIPS will too. TIPS bonds pay interest every six months, and they’re issued in maturities of 5, 10 and 30 years. Because they’re backed by the U.S. federal government, they’re considered among the safest investments in the world.
Avoid fixed income assets such as corporate and government non-TIP bonds. If rates rise sharply, their principal value will take a major hit. If rates climb, then certificates of deposit, fixed annuities, bonds, and bond funds purchased today will look less attractive in the future. Similarly, buying a lifetime income annuity is less enticing in an inflationary environment. The monthly check you get for the rest of your life will lose value more quickly with high inflation.
Keep the right sort of debt. Don’t pay off that home mortgage or real estate investment mortgages early, you’re better off paying it off over time with watered-down dollars. Homeowners carrying fixed mortgages with low interest rates are in a great position. It’s highly recommended to refinance your mortgage to lock in low rates. If inflation takes off, homes prices are likely to climb and your fixed monthly payment may appear like a real bargain in a few years.
Consider commodities or gold. Investing in oil, natural gas, wheat and corn can be good hedges against inflation. Gold has traditionally been a safe-haven asset for investors when inflation revs up or interest rates are very low. Gold tends to fare well when real interest rates – that is, the reported rate of interest minus the inflation rate – go into negative territory. Investors often view gold as a store of value during tough economic times.
Make essential purchases and charitable giving. If consumers expect to spend money on home goods, renovations, car repairs, or other products and services, they might be better off doing so now, before prices climb even higher.
Expect rising health costs. Health costs have risen faster than inflation for years. The pandemic, which is driving some health professionals out of the field, could accelerate that trend.

Keep in mind that inflation is always happening within the economy, but hopefully at a relatively low and steady rate, and kept under control by the Federal Reserve. Investors with a long time horizon, a high tolerance for risk, and a high allocation to stocks shouldn’t be worried about short-term inflation fears.

However, it’s perfectly suitable and even desirable for retirees, risk-averse investors, and those with a short time horizon to have some allocation to inflation-protected assets like TIPS, REITs and bank stocks.

Rising inflation is a big concern for investors, but it remains to be seen whether current high levels of inflation will persist or end up being due to “transitory” factors. Investors will likely come out ahead using assets like equity stocks, REITs, short-term nominal bonds, and TIPS to hedge against inflation.

References:

From Gratitude to Greatness: Brownlee Global's Path to a Purposeful Life

Guide and Educate Individuals How to Build Long-Term Wealth, Better Manage Their Money, and Achieve Financial Freedom

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