“We have a lot of inflation in the U.S., more than we expected,” says @stlouisfed‘s James Bullard. “A lot depends on whether inflation is going to moderate in 2022 or not. I am a little skeptical … I think we want to get going on taper, get the taper finished by the end of Q1.” pic.twitter.com/DuuTcyegKs
— Squawk Box (@SquawkCNBC) August 26, 2021
Category Archives: Financial Planning
Individual Investor’s Coinbase Accounts Hacked…Money Gone Forever
Coinbase has become the world’s most popular exchange for buying and selling digital cryptocurrencies. It has also become the most popular exchange for hackers and scammers to compromse and empty investors digital currency wallets.
If your Coinbase account gets hacked and your cryptocurrency is stolen off Coinbase, it important to understand that it’s gone forever. Coinbase will not give you your money back, specifically if your Coinbase account gets compromised through a SIM swap scam through your cell phone carrier.They say that they are not responsible for a breach caused by a third party such as your cell phone carrier. Although they have “insurance”, it’s only applicable if Coinbase’s main site gets hacked, not your specific account.
SIM swap scams occur when a scammer pretends to be a legitimate customer of the cell phone service carrier in order to obtain a new SIM card. The new SIM card is connected to the real customer’s phone number without the real customer’s knowledge. Once the new SIM card is activated, the scammer uses the new SIM card on a phone under the scammer’s control. As the scammer now has control of the real customer’s phone number, all of the real customer’s phone calls, text messages, and data are directed to the phone under the scammer’s control.
“It has become harder and harder for people to protect their online accounts, given the amount of personal information that has become available to bad actors,” Coinbase chief information security officer Philip Martin acknowledged.
How to Secure Your Coinbase Accounts
Numerous Coinbase accounts get compromised every day, according to Reddit forum r/CoinBase. However, Coinbase says, unauthorized transactions are rare. In 2020, just 0.004% of customers experienced transactions where their email accounts were taken over, SIM swaps attacks occurred on their cellphones, or other personal information unrelated to Coinbase was breached, according to Coinbase.
To improve the security on your Coinbase accounts, the Reddit forum recommends that you should not use the same email everywhere especially for your bank and crypto accounts, and don’t use SMS 2 factor authenication. Your mobile phone SMS 2 factor authenicadtion is not secure.
Once a scammer discover your phone number, all he or she has to do is call his inside accomplice at your phone carrier and get your number swapped to his sim card. To protect your account, experts recommend:
- Don’t use phone texting SMS 2 factor authentication, use Authy or get a physical key.
- Don’t use the same email everywhere. Have a junk email, then a credit card email, then a bank account email. Make them all different.
- Get a password manager like KeePass, Kaspersky, or 1Password. If you can remember your password then it’s not a good password. However, you can have the strongest password in the world, but if you have SMS 2 factor authentication enabled the scammer can reset your password by receiving your text while he has control of your phone number.
Coinbase does offer physical USB security key capability for added account security, but the measure requires users to acquire additional hardware. Security experts say physical USB security keys would protect users from becoming victims of account hacks that occur through SIM swaps, which are occurring with increasing frequency.
On Coinbase’s website, customers should heed the company’s warning notes, “Please be aware that we currently do not offer any phone support with a live agent. Moreover, Coinbase does not respond timely to emails you send them, if you’re compromised. They don’t have customer support via phone or live chat.
9/ Learn how to protect your online accounts here: https://t.co/yg3Pd4YpYo
— Coinbase 🛡️ (@coinbase) August 19, 2021
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The National Study of Millionaires
“Anyone in America can build wealth. The only thing holding you back is you. Get out of debt. Save consistently. Keep your spending in check. Let time and compound interest do their magic. If you’re willing to work hard and keep the long-term goal in mind, you’ll reach the million-dollar milestone.” Chris Hogan
Summary
- “The National Study of Millionaires” is the largest survey of millionaires ever with 10,000 participants.
- Eight out of ten millionaires invested in their company’s 401(k) plan.
- The top five careers for millionaires include engineer, accountant, teacher, management and attorney.
- 79% of millionaires did not receive any inheritance at all from their parents or other family members.
The National Study of Millionaires by Ramsey Solutions concluded that millionaires successfully accumulated wealth through consistent investing, avoiding debt like the plague, and smart spending. No lottery tickets. No inheritances. No six-figure incomes.
8 out of 10 of millionaires invested in their company’s 401(k) plan, and that simple step was a key to their financial successhttps://t.co/QSM3DbRPQo
— ELB (@ebrownl33) August 25, 2021
Thus, according to the survey, there is positive news for Americans who may have lost hope that they can ever accumulate wealth. “The people in the study became millionaires by consistently saving over time. In fact, they worked, saved and invested for an average of 28 years before hitting the million-dollar mark, and most of them reached that milestone at age 49.”
The study’s results demonstrated a dramatic difference between how Americans think wealthy people get their money and how they actually earn and spend their money.
In a nutshell, regular, consistent investing over a long period of time is the reason most of the people in the survey successfully accumulated wealth. And, even when millionaires don’t have to worry about money anymore, they remain careful about their spending. Ninety-four percent of the people studied said they live on less than they make. By staying out of debt and watching expenses, they’re able to build their bank accounts instead of trying to get out of a financial hole every month.
SIM Swap Scam – Existential Risk to Your Personal Info and Financial Assets
“SIM swapping is a big deal, especially if you’re also actively involved in the cryptocurrency community—a great way for an attacker to make a little cash and mess up your life.” Lifehacker
SIM swapping involves a hacker duping your cell provider (e.g., AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile. etc. )into believing that you’re activating your SIM card on another device. In other words, they’re stealing your phone number and associating it with their SIM card.
If your SIM card has been activated on a new device, this could be signs that a scammer has pulled a SIM card swap to hijack your cell phone number.
How do scammers pull off a SIM card swap like this?
They may call your cell phone service provider and say your phone was lost or damaged, according to the Federal Trade Commission. Then they ask the provider to activate a new SIM card connected to your phone number on a new phone — a phone they own. If your provider believes the bogus story and activates the new SIM card, the scammer — not you — will get all your text messages, calls, and data on the new phone.
The scammer — who now has control of your number — could open new cellular accounts in your name or buy new phones using your information.
How to prevent a SIM swap scam—and what to do if you get duped https://t.co/vpVfQARo3M pic.twitter.com/DVhttXlFCh
— Lifehacker (@lifehacker) June 19, 2019
It’s a lot easier to set up defenses against a SIM swap attack right now than it is to deal with the fallout from one—one is a minor annoyance, the other will consume your week (or more).
Protect your accounts
Many digital accounts have settings that can help you take back your accounts if they’re ever stolen—but they need to be properly set up before the account is stolen in order to be of any help, acknowledges Lifehacker. These can include:
- Creating a PIN number that is required for logins and password changes. This is especially important to set up with your cellular carrier, as it’s a great defense against SIM hijacking.
- A suitable two-factor security method that relies on a physical device, like Google Authenticator or Authy, rather than SMS-based verification for logins. You can also spring for a hardware token to protect your accounts if you want to get really fancy.
- Strong answers security recovery questions that aren’t tied to your personal information.
- Unlinking your smartphone phone number from your accounts, where possible. (You could always use a free Google Voice number if you’re required to have one for your sensitive accounts.)
- Using long, randomized, and unique passwords for each account.
- Use an encrypted password manager.
- Don’t use your favorite services (Google, Facebook, et cetera) to sign in to other services; all an attacker needs is to break into one to have access to a lot more of your digital life.
You should also make note of important account-related information that could be used to identify you as the rightful account holder, such as:
- The month and year you created the account
- Previous screen names on the account
- Physical addresses associated with the account
- Credit card numbers that have been used with the accounts or bank statements that can confirm you were the one who made purchases
- Content created by the accounts, such as character names, if the account is for an online video game
- Similarly, keeping a list of all your critical accounts will make reacting to a SIM swaps or similar ID theft easier,
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Life Insurance
If something were to happen to you today, is your family protected?
Life insurance is a relatively low cost way to ensure that your family will have financial security if you or the primary earner should die prematurely. Furthermore, life insurance is often necessary financially because it provides peace of mind—not just for you, but for your whole family.
Conventional wisdom dictates that you don’t need life insurance if no one else depends on your income. While mostly true, there are many reasons why you should obtain life insurance if no one depends on your income.
- Insurability and low premiums. Buying a policy both locks in lower premiums and guarantees insurability later in life. An existing insurance policy guarantees the ability to purchase additional insurance with no medical underwriting or physical exams.
- Cash Value Growth. Whole Life insurance policy provides attractive cash value growth. Access this cash value at any time using a policy loan. Or, if you cancel the policy, you get a return of all or a majority of the premiums paid, or the cash value – whichever is greater.
- Funeral and burial expenses. From a practical perspective, in addition to the emotional devastation, parents also face significant expenses in the event of a child’s death. According to the Natural Funeral Directors Association, the median cost of a funeral with burial exceeds $7,000. Purchasing insurance for children alleviates the significant financial burden for a family coping with a tragic loss.
Not only do rising prices make life increasingly expensive, but, as life’s circumstances change – you marry, buy a house, have children, and perhaps need to care for others – you have greater responsibilities and a need for better financial protection.
Key Takeaways
There are several excellent reasons to obtain insurance coverage for you and your family.
- You can lock in low premiums while they are young and healthy.
- You can lock in eligibility for other services while they have an active policy.
- Permanent insurance provides a store of cash value that safely grows at a high crediting rate, which can be used to help fund future expenses like college tuition.
- In the event of loss, a policy can cover the ever growing expenses of funerals and burials and protect your savings.
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What is a Trust Fund
“Regardless of your income, estate planning is a vital part of your financial plan. Planning ahead can give you greater control, privacy, and security of your legacy.” Fidelity
A trust is an estate planning tool that anyone can use to ensure their assets are passed down as they wish, to friends, family or a charity. It is a legal entity that that allows a third party, or trustee, to hold assets until an intended recipient or beneficiary is able to receive them.
Trusts can be arranged in many ways and can greatly expands your options when it comes to managing your financial assets, whether you’re trying to shield your wealth from taxes or pass it on to your children or grandchildren.
To understand how a trust fund works, it helps to understand the following three terms:
- Grantor. This is the person who transfers assets to a trust fund. That would be you, if you’re the one looking to start a trust.
- Beneficiary. The person who is given the legal right to assets in a trust fund is a beneficiary. That might be your loved ones or a favorite charity.
- Trustee. The decisionmaker responsible for ensuring the assets in the trust fund are appropriately distributed is called the trustee.
Trusts can hold assets like real property (such as heirlooms or jewelry), real estate, stocks, bonds or even businesses.
Since trusts usually avoid probate, your beneficiaries may gain access to the trust’s financial assets more quickly than they might to assets that are transferred using a will. Additionally, if it is an irrevocable trust, it may not be considered part of the taxable estate, so fewer taxes may be due upon your death.
Assets in a trust may also be able to pass outside of probate, saving time, court fees, and potentially reducing estate taxes as well.
Other benefits of trusts include:
- Control of your wealth. You can specify the terms of a trust precisely, controlling when and to whom distributions may be made. You may also, for example, set up a revocable trust so that the trust assets remain accessible to you during your lifetime while designating to whom the remaining assets will pass thereafter, even when there are complex situations such as children from more than one marriage.
- Protection of your legacy. A properly constructed trust can help protect your estate from your heirs’ creditors or from beneficiaries who may not be adept at money management.
- Privacy and probate savings. Probate is a matter of public record; a trust may allow assets to pass outside of probate and remain private, in addition to possibly reducing the amount lost to court fees and taxes in the process.
There are several basic types of trusts
- Marital or “A” trust – Designed to provide benefits to a surviving spouse; generally included in the taxable estate of the surviving spouse
- Bypass or “B” trust – Also known as credit shelter trust, established to bypass the surviving spouse’s estate in order to make full use of any federal estate tax exemption for each spouse
- Testamentary trust – Outlined in a will and created through the will after the death, with funds subject to probate and transfer taxes; often continues to be subject to probate court supervision thereafter
Revocable vs. irrevocable
The major distinction between trust is whether they are revocable or irrevocable.
Revocable trust: Also known as a living trust, a revocable trust can help assets pass outside of probate, yet allows you to retain control of the assets during your (the grantor’s) lifetime. A living trust is a legal document that states who you want to manage and distribute your assets if you’re unable to do so, and who receives them when you pass away. Having one helps communicate your wishes so your loved ones aren’t left guessing or dealing with the courts. It is flexible and can be dissolved at any time, should your circumstances or intentions change. A revocable trust typically becomes irrevocable upon the death of the grantor.
You can name yourself trustee (or co-trustee) and retain ownership and control over the trust, its terms and assets during your lifetime, but make provisions for a successor trustee to manage them in the event of your incapacity or death.
Although a revocable trust may help avoid probate, it is usually still subject to estate taxes. It also means that during your lifetime, it is treated like any other asset you own.
Irrevocable trust. An irrevocable trust typically transfers your assets out of your (the grantor’s) estate and potentially out of the reach of estate taxes and probate, but cannot be altered by the grantor after it has been executed. Therefore, once you establish the trust, you will lose control over the assets and you cannot change any terms or decide to dissolve the trust.
An irrevocable trust is generally preferred over a revocable trust if your primary aim is to reduce the amount subject to estate taxes by effectively removing the trust assets from your estate. Also, since the assets have been transferred to the trust, you are relieved of the tax liability on the income generated by the trust assets (although distributions will typically have income tax consequences). It may also be protected in the event of a legal judgment against you.
Deciding on a trust
State laws vary significantly in the area of trusts and should be considered before making any decisions about a trust. Consult your attorney for details.
As mentioned above, by creating a trust, you can:
- Determine where your assets go and when your beneficiaries have access to them.
- Save your beneficiaries (your children, for example) from paying estate taxes and court fees.
- Protect your assets from creditors that your beneficiaries may have, or from loss through divorce settlements.
- Direct where remaining assets should go in the event of a beneficiary’s death. This can be helpful in a family that includes second marriages and step-children.
- Avoid a lengthy probate court process.
This last point is a crucial one, as trusts also allow you to pass on assets quickly and privately. In contrast, settling an estate through a traditional will may trigger the probate court process — in which a judge, not your children or other beneficiaries, has final say on who gets what. Not only that, the probate process can drag on for months or even years and may even become a public spectacle as well.
With a trust, much of that delay can be avoided, and the entire process is private, saving your beneficiaries from unwanted scrutiny or solicitation.
References:
61% of Americans Paid No Federal Income Tax in 2020 | CNBC
By Robert Frank, CNBC Wealth Reporter and a leading authority on the American wealthy
“The hardest thing in the world to understand is the income tax.” Albert Einstein
- More than 100 million U.S. households, or 61% of all taxpayers, paid no federal income taxes last year, according to a report from the Tax Policy Center.
- The pandemic and federal stimulus led to a huge spike in the number of Americans who either owed no federal income tax or received tax credits from the government.
- The main reasons for the spike — high unemployment, large stimulus checks and generous tax credit programs.
More than 100 million U.S. households, or 61% of all taxpayers, paid no federal income taxes last year, according to a new report.
According to the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, 107 million households owed no income taxes in 2020, up from 76 million — or 44% of all taxpayers — in 2019. The main reasons for the spike — high unemployment, large stimulus checks and generous tax credit programs — will largely expire after 2022, so the share of nontaxpayers will fall next year.
61% of American households paid no federal income taxes in 2020 — up from 44% in 2019. The top quintile paid 78% of taxes. https://t.co/zB0Bz8f7B1
— Robert Frank (@robtfrank) August 18, 2021
“The COVID-19 pandemic and the policy response to it led to an extraordinary increase in the number of American households that owed no federal individual income tax in 2020”, writes Howard Gleckman, Senior Fellow at the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center.
The share of Americans who pay zero income taxes is expected to stay high, at around 57% this year (2021), according to the Tax Policy Center.
“Congress can raise taxes because it can persuade a sizable fraction of the populace that somebody else will pay.” Milton Friedman
In contrast, the top 20% of taxpayers by income paid 78% of federal income taxes in 2020, according to the Tax Policy Center, up from 68% in 2019. The top 1% of taxpayers paid 28% of taxes in 2020, up from 25% in 2019.
In 2021, Congress increased the size of the child tax credit, the earned income tax credit, and the child and the dependent care tax credit — all of which erased the federal taxes owed for millions of American families.
Twenty million workers lost their jobs. Many were low-wage workers who were paying very little income tax before the pandemic hit. Effectively, no household making less than $28,000 will pay any federal taxes this year due to the credits and tax changes, according to the Tax Policy Center. Among middle-income households, about 43% will pay no federal income tax.
Federal income taxes do not include payroll taxes. The Tax Policy Center estimates that only 20% of households paid neither federal income taxes nor payroll taxes. And “nearly everyone” paid some other form of taxes, including state and local sales taxes, excise taxes, property taxes and state income taxes, according to the report.
“We contend that for a nation to try to tax itself into prosperity is like a man standing in a bucket and trying to lift himself up by the handle.” Winston Churchill
“There is a dichotomy between how capital is taxed in this country and how labor is taxed. That seems wrong to me, to have these two sources of wealth that are taxed so differently”, according to Billionaire philanthropist John Arnold.
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It's not only wealthy individuals moving to Florida. Corporations are taking advantage of tax breaks in the Sunshine State. @robtfrank reports: pic.twitter.com/v0EItO6tUg
— Squawk Box (@SquawkCNBC) July 27, 2021
Philip A. Fisher’s Keys to Successful Investing
“The need for patience [is necessary] if big profits are to be made from investment. Put another way, it is often easier to tell what will happen to the price of a stock than how much time will elapse before it happens. The other is the inherently deceptive nature of the stock market. Doing what everybody else is doing at the moment, and therefore what you have an almost irresistible urge to do, is often the wrong thing to do at all.” Philip A. Fisher
Legendary investor Philip Fisher was willing to pay more for a stock he felt it had high growth-potential regardless of the fact that it might not be an undervalued company according to value-investing standards. However, Fisher warned against the purchase of promotional companies and falling for the usually manipulated tone of the financial statements.
Philip Fisher is among the most influential investors of all time. His investment principles, introduced six decades ago, are studied and applied by today’s finance professionals. He recorded these principles in Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, a book considered by investors as a must read when it was first published in 1958.
According to Philip Fisher, investigation was the key to successful investing. And, he used a variety of means to research and deeply analyze a company.
Fisher’s approach to growth stock investing was something he called ‘scuttlebutt’. ‘Scuttlebutt’ is the process of going beyond the financial statements or company disclosures and investigating the internal and external stakeholders of the company to get in-depth information and wider perspective on the business to realize growth potential.
Philip Fisher’s 15-point approach essentially attempts to determine whether a company is in a position to continue to grow sales for several years, has an innovative and visionary management, strong profit margins, effective sales organization and high-quality management. Fisher also argued against over-diversifying and, in his heyday, tended to hold only about 30 stocks.
Fisher recommends investors rigorously analyze and ask probing questions of a company regarding:
- Long-term sales growth potential,
- Competitive edge (moat),
- High management capability and Vision,
- Effective research and development undertaken by the company,
- Strong profit margins, and
- Internal company relations;
- The findings and answers from these questions can help an investor find the right growth stock to keep for the long-run.
- In short, Fisher believed that…“Such a study indicates that the greatest investment reward comes to those who by good luck or good sense find the occasional company that over the years can grow in sales and profits far more than industry as a whole. It further shows that when we believe we have found such a company we had better stick with it for a long period of time. It gives us a strong hint that such companies need not necessarily be young and small. Instead, regardless of size, what really counts is a management having both a determination to attain further important growth and an ability to bring its plans to completion.”
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Owning a Stock of a Good Company
“It’s always okay to own a stock of a good company for the long term that has a strong balance sheet, growing revenue and earnings, increasing free cash flow and efficient management.”
Peter Lynch based his success to investing principles on owning stocks of a good company. His overall strategy, based on a few core concepts, is surprisingly simple. A few of the most salient points are:
- Invest in what you know. Be very wary of complex investment stories and instead, prefer stocks that are readily understandable. With consumer spending driving two-thirds of the U.S. economy, products and services desired by most consumers would be good investments.
- Invest in companies with strong foundations. Companies with certain traits make them easier to buy and hold for the long run. On the business side, look for competitive advantages, such as high barriers to entry or efficient scale. Also, you should prefer stocks that have solid cash balances and conservative debt-to-equity ratios. “It’s hard to go backward if you have no debt,” Lynch once said.
- Focus on value. Invest in value stocks that trade at cheap valuations based on their price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. But, also considered growth as part of the equation and thus don’t automatically reject a high-P/E stock at a reasonable price if it had a high growth rate. Covet strong companies that are undervalued because they operate in out-of-favor industries.
Lynch is famous for introducing price/earnings-to-growth (PEG), which factors growth into value. He also used a dividend-adjusted PEG ratio, since cash from dividends is part of the total-return equation.
Here are important financial ratios that are recommended that you utilize in your financial analysis of a company:
- Stock price
- Market cap
- Price to book value ratio
- Earnings per share
- Price to earnings ratio
- Net profit margin
- Debt to equity ratio
- Return on equity
- Dividend payout ratio
- Free cash flows
- Cash on hand balance
- Dividend yield
Lynch writes in his book, One Up on Wall Street: “In general, a P/E that’s half the growth rate is very positive, and one that’s twice the growth rate is very negative.”
Furthermore, Peter Lynch liked:
- Strong players in out-of-favor industries and decent valuation
- Companies that generate recurring revenues and provide essential services;
- Businesses with a solid financial position and generate above-average profit margins.
- A solid, growing performer with relatively low net debt.
Research, patience and discipline
Overall, Lynch’s strategy looks for stocks trading at a reasonable price relative to earnings growth that also possess strong balance sheets. In short, nobody is born a great investor. Research, patience and discipline are what will eventually transform a novice investor into a seasoned stock picker.
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