Category Archives: Growth Investing

Auto Enrollment Retirement Plans are Here

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“Americans aren’t saving enough for retirement and nearly half of people 55 and older have nothing saved for when they stop working. Government Accounting Office

Nearly one in four working-age Americans aren’t saving for retirement, and those who are say they aren’t saving enough, according to a PwC analysis. Further, a majority (55%) said they either are not participating in a workplace sponsored retirement plan like a 401(k) or they don’t know if they are in a plan.

The Government Accountability Office reports that nearly half of people 55 and older have nothing saved for when they stop working, meaning there is a building retirement-savings crisis and a wave of future retirees threatens to overburden an already fragile Social Security Administration. Consequently, this can upset a balanced economy that relies on older Americans spending money in the housing and health-care sectors.

Auto-enrollment retirement plans

Auto-enrollment and auto-escalation programs implemented by a few states have proved successful at closing that gap, particularly for workers in retail and service sectors of the economy. These sectors in the past have rarely offered retirement benefits to low-income staff.

In fact, plans that used automatic enrollment had a 92% participation rate in 2020, compared with 62% for plans with voluntary enrollment, according to Vanguard’s “How America Saves 2021” research. And, employees who worked for firms with automatic enrollment saved more than 50% more for retirement in 2020 than those employed at firms with voluntary enrollment.

Further, research shows that participants enrolled in a plan with automatic increase save, on average, 20% to 30% more after three years in the plan, compared with participants in an automatic enrollment plan that does not automatically increase participants.

As a result, Congress is proposing a Federal mandatory framework for workplace retirement plans. Starting in 2023, the retirement saving plan would require employers with more than five workers to automatically enroll new hires for retirement benefits, the contributions to which would automatically increase over time.

In short, businesses would automatically deduct 6% of new workers’ income into a low-cost retirement plan and automatically escalated that contribution to 10% over time, unless workers themselves opted for something different.

It’s mandatory for employers, but not their employees, who can choose to opt out of the savings plan or change their contributions. But the default choice would always be to signup, essentially making retirement funds a statutory benefit like unemployment or workers’ compensation insurance.

Failure to provide a low-cost retirement option such as a 401(k) or individual retirement account would cost a business an excise tax liability of $10 for every worker per day of noncompliance, which would add up.

Over the last two decades, continued adoption of automatic solutions has increased employee savings and the use of professionally managed allocations. Thoughtful retirement plan designs are helping people save and invest for retirement.

References:

  1. https://news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-tax-report/retirement-savings-and-democrats-latest-tax-plans-explained
  2. https://www.pwc.com/us/en/industries/asset-wealth-management/library/retirement-in-america.html
  3. https://institutional.vanguard.com/content/dam/inst/vanguard-has/insights-pdfs/21_TL_HAS_InsightsToAction_2021.pdf

Staying Invested in the Stock Market

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“The stock market is the only market where the goods go on sale and everyone becomes too afraid to buy.”  Nerd Wallet

When the market dips even a few percent, as it often does, many retail investors become fearful and sell in a panic, according to Nerd Wallet. Yet when stock prices rise, investors beomce greedy and plunge in headlong which is the perfect definition for “buying high and selling low.”

Here are the three popular fairytales investors tell themselves regarding investing:

  1. Wait until the stock market is safe to invest – This excuse is used by investors after stocks have declined, when they’re too afraid to buy into the market. But when investors say they’re waiting for it to be safe, they mean they’re waiting for prices to climb. So waiting for (the perception of) safety is just a way to end up paying higher prices, and indeed it is often merely a perception of safety that investors are paying for. Fear drives the behavior and psychologists call this behavior “myopic loss aversion.” That is, investors would rather avoid a short-term loss at any cost than achieve a longer-term gain.
  2. Buy back in next week when the stock market is lower – This excuse is used by would-be buyers as they wait for the stock to drop. But as the data shows, investors never know which way stocks will move on any given day, especially in the short term. Both fear and greed drive this behavior. The fearful investor may worry the stock is going to fall and waits, while the greedy investor expects a fall but wants to try to get a much better price.
  3. Bored with this stock, so I’m selling – This excuse is used by investors who need excitement from their investments. But smart successful investing is actually boring. The best investors sit on their stocks for years and years, letting them compound gains. All the gains come while you wait, not while you’re trading in and out of the market. Investor’s desire for excitement drives this behavior.

The key to long term investment success is creating a plan, sticking to the plan and remaining in the stock market through “thick and thin”. Your length of “time in the market” is the best predictor of your investing performance. Unfortunately, investors often move in and out of the stock market at the worst possible times, missing out on performance and annual return.

“The secret to making money in stocks? Staying invested long-term, through good times and bad.”  Nerd Wallet

In a nutshell, more time in the stock market equals more opportunity for your investments to increase in value. The best companies tend to increase their revenue and profits over time, and investors reward these greater earnings with a higher stock price. That higher price translates into a higher total return for patient and disciplined investors who own the stock.

References:

  1. https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/make-money-in-stocks

The Biggest Mistakes Individual Investors Make

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“The public’s careful when they buy a house, when they buy a refrigerator, when they buy a car. They’ll work hours to save a hundred dollars on a roundtrip air ticket. They’ll put $5,000 or $10,000 on some zany idea they heard on the bus. That’s gambling. That’s not investing. That’s not research. That’s just total speculation.” Peter Lynch

For the 13 years, Peter Lynch ran Fidelity’s Magellan® Fund (1977–1990). During his tenure, he earned a reputation as a top performer, increasing assets under management from $18 million to $14 billion. He beat the S&P 500 in all but two of those years. He averaged annual returns of 29% which means that $1 grew to more than $27.

Additionally, Lynch has authored several top-selling books on investing, including One Up on Wall Street and Beating the Street. He has a plain-spoken manner and offers wisdom on investing that can help you become a better investor.

To become a successful investor, you really need to “have faith that 10 years, 20 years, 30 years from now common stocks are the place to be”, according to Lynch. “If you believe in that, you should have some money in equity funds.”

Yet, “there will still be declines”, Lynch says. “It might be tomorrow. It might be a year from now. Who knows when it’s going to happen? The question is: Are you ready—do you have the stomach for this?”

Long term, the stock market has been a very good place for investors to employ their money and capital. But whether the market will be 30% higher or lower in 2 years from now…nobody knows. “But more people have lost money waiting for corrections and anticipating corrections than in the actual corrections”, according to Lynch. “I mean, trying to predict market highs and lows is not productive.”

“In the stock market, the most important organ is the stomach. It’s not the brain.” Peter Lynch

Theoretically, in Lynch’s opinion, the individual investor has an edge versus the professional in finding winning companies (“10-baggers”) that will go up 4- or 10- or 20-fold. They have the opportunity to see breakthroughs, company’s fundamentals get better, and analyze companies way ahead of most people. That’s an edge and you need an edge on something to find the hidden gems.

“The problem with most individual investors is people have so many biases. They won’t look at a railroad, an oil company, a steel company. They’re only going to look at companies growing 40% a year. They won’t look at turnarounds. Or companies with unions.” Thus, individual investors miss great opportunities in overlooked industries or unjustly beaten down companies to chase hot growth stocks.

“But my system for over 30 years has been this: When stocks are attractive, you buy them. Sure, they can go lower. I’ve bought stocks at $12 that went to $2, but then they later went to $30.” Peter Lynch

“You have to really be agnostic” to pick winners and to invest in a company poised for a rebound, according to Lynch.

“Stocks aren’t lottery tickets. Behind every stock is a company. If the company does well, over time the stocks do well.” Peter Lynch

Peter Lynch’s eight simple investing principles for long term investors are:

  1. Know what you own – Few individual investors actually do their research. And, almost every investor is guilty of jumping into a stock they know very little about.
  2. It’s futile to predict the economy and interest rates (so don’t waste time trying) – The U.S. economy is an extraordinarily complex system. Trying to time the market is futile. Set up a financial plan that allocates your assets based on your risk tolerance, so that you can sleep at night.
  3. You have plenty of time to identify and recognize exceptional companies – You don’t need to immediately jump into the hot stock. There’s plenty of time to do your research first.
  4. Avoid long shots – Lynch states that he was 0-for-25 in investing in companies that had no revenue but a great story. Make sure the risk-reward trade-off on an unproven company is worth it.
  5. Good management is very important; good businesses matter more – “Go for a business that any idiot can run – because sooner or later, any idiot is probably going to run it.”
  6. Be flexible and humble, and learn from mistakes – “In this business, if you’re good, you’re right six times out of 10. You’re never going to be right nine times out of 10.” You’re going to be wrong. Diversification and the ability to honestly analyze your mistakes are your best tools to minimize the damage.
  7. Before you make a purchase, you should be able to explain why you’re buying – You should be able to explain your thesis in three sentences or less. And in terms an 11-year-old could understand. Once this simply stated thesis starts breaking down, it’s time to sell.
  8. There’s always something to worry about. – There are plenty of world events for investors to fear, but past investors have survived a Great Depression, 911 terrorist attack, two world wars, an oil crisis, 2007 financial crisis, and double-digit inflation. Always remember, if your worst fears come true, there’ll be a heck of a lot more to worry about than some stock market losses.

Finally, in the words of Peter Lynch…”You can lose money in the short term, but you need the long term to make money.”

References:

  1. https://investinganswers.com/articles/51-peter-lynch-quotes-empower-your-investing
  2. https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/investing-ideas/peter-lynch-investment-strategy
  3. https://www.fool.com/investing/general/2010/05/21/how-peter-lynch-destroyed-the-market.aspx
  4. https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/investing-ideas/peter-lynch-investment-strategy

Sage Advice: Stay Invested

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“If you’ve got $25,000, $50,000, $100,000, you’re better off paying off any debt you have because that’s a guaranteed return.” Mark Cuban

The late Jack Bogle was fond of saying, “Nobody knows nothing.”  Which demonstrates that predicting the future is always hard, but 2020 illustrated to us just how difficult it can be. If you would’ve predicted that U.S. domestic stocks would rise over 10% in the same year as a global pandemic, no one would have believed you.  But that’s what makes markets so complex and volatile, especially in 2020, a year unlike any other.

The real problem is that there are too many economic and financial market unknowns to consider in the coming years and decade. And, he says, we, as a nation, are not focusing on what he believes to be the single most important concern in the economy: the “soaring cost of health care”. There is also the soon to be problem of pandemic caused ballooning federal deficits and national debt as a percentage of GDP.

Elected officials seem content to continue to kick the health care cost can down the road. But, with all of the potential economic uncertainty and financial market volatility, it’s hard to know what to do when it comes to investing.

The U.S. stock market is the greatest wealth-creation tool in history.

Investing in the stock market allows you to become a partial owner of thousands of profitable and growing companies. And, when paired with the power of compounding, the market is what allows you to save for retirement.

Below are five pieces of advice for investors who are worried about the turbulent economy and volatile financial markets:

  1. Keep investing. Keep putting money away. Despite fluctuations in the market, Investors should continue to save. And if the market dips? That’s okay since a lower market can be beneficial for funding longer-term goals such as retirement and education. Saving is always a good idea, and if you can add to savings when the market is low, you may be in a better position when the market goes back up.
  2. Pay attention to asset allocation. A good starting point for asset allocation, according to most financial advisors is a portfolio consisting of 65% stocks and 35% bonds. That’s it. “Stay out of the exotic stuff,” he says, however, noting that the allocations of assets may change depending on age and circumstances. If you’re younger, for example, you might skew towards investing more in stocks: you have time to take more risks. However, if you’re older, you might consider putting more in bonds, typically more conservative and consistent. But don’t tilt too far in either direction, he warns, noting that you should pay attention to the norms.
  3. Diversification is the key to any successful portfolio, and for good reason–a well-diversified portfolio can help an investor weather through the most turbulent markets. Diversification is the practice of spreading money among different investments to reduce risk. Historically, stocks, bonds, and cash have not moved up and down at the same time. The rationale is that a portfolio constructed of different kinds of assets will, on average, yield higher long-term returns and lower the risk of any individual holding or security. Diversification is a strategy that can be neatly summed up as “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket.”
  4. Expect lower returns. For years, the market was flush and paying out significant returns. That’s not going to continue. You should expect to see lower stock returns for the next 10-20 years, noting that 12% returns moving forward isn’t realistic. The same is true when it comes to bonds, he says, claiming that 6% returns are not in the cards. Managing those expectations is key.
  5. Don’t pay attention to fluctuating markets and keep putting money away so long as you are able. Remember that the markets – and your own investment strategy – may change over time. That shouldn’t make you so nervous that you bail. “Stay the course.”

If 2020 taught investors anything, it was, “Nobody knows nothing.”

It’s important to focus on saving and investing. You need to live below your means and invest the difference to accumulate wealth. There’s no backdoor trick around that fact.

References:

  1. https://investornews.vanguard/getting-started-with-investing/
  2. https://www.forbes.com/sites/kellyphillipserb/2016/06/15/vanguard-founder-jack-bogle-talks-about-taxes-investing-and-the-election/

Investing Goals

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“If you avoid the losers, the winners will take care of themselves.”

If you’re new to the world of investing, figuring out how and where to start can be daunting. Investing involves putting your money into an asset with the hope that the asset will grow in value or generate profit over time.

Deciding on which goals, on different kinds of accounts and investments are critical first steps to get you moving in the right direction.

The world of investing can seem vast and overwhelming if you haven’t been a part of it before. But if you take things one step at a time, you can make a plan that’ll get you started on the right path toward your financial goals.

Put your goals first. It’s important to decide what those goals are. Maybe you want to save for retirement.

  • The Joneses are in debt…Make your lifestyle and purchasing decisions based on what you can afford, not what your peers are buying, and instead of coveting thy neighbor’s car, try to feel smug about your fat retirement account, your zero credit card balances, and the car you own free and clear.
  • If it’s good for the planet, it’s usually good for your wallet. Think: small cars, programmable thermostats, compact fluorescent lightbulbs, a garden, refilling your water bottle…the list goes on.

“The biggest mistake you can make is to stop laying the foundation of a generational wealth developing portfolio because it feels temporarily monotonous.”

The primary reason you are investing is to create or preserve wealth, and no one cares more about your personal financial situation — saving for the future, investing for the long term, and accumulating wealth — than you do. So be proactive. Do your research before buying a security or fund, ask questions of your adviser and be prepared to sell any investment at any given time if your reasons for selling so dictate.

Consistency is a key characteristic of successful investors. But as many longtime investors know, it’s hard to stay consistent when volatility whipsaws one’s portfolio, or when losses pile up, or even when one’s portfolio is perceived to trail those of one’s peers. All those factors can drive an investor to abandon their plan and make trades they might one day regret.

  • The secret to successful investing isn’t talent or timing…it’s temperament, according to Jean Chatzky, New York Times Bestselling Author and financial editor at the TODAY Show.. Sad but true–human psychology works against the behaviors that have historically led to good long-term returns.

    • Your goal should be excellence in investing. This means achieving attractive total returns without the commensurate higher risk. Your objective must be to strive for superior investment returns. Your first investment priority is to produce consistency, protect capital, and produce superior performance in bad times.

    It takes superior performance in bad times to prove that those good-time gains were earned through skill, not simply the acceptance of above average risk, according to Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital. Thus, you should place the highest priority on preventing losses. Since, it is should be your overriding belief that, “if you avoid the big losers, the winners will take care of themselves.”

    You can have too much of a good thing

    The power of asset allocation is all about building an intelligent portfolio of stocks, bonds, and other asset classes also means you’ll have less to worry about and more to gain. Asset allocation and asset class mix are a few of the most important factors in determining performance. Look at the size of a company (or its market capitalization) and its geographical market – U.S., developed international or emerging market.

    Financial advisory firm Edward Jones recommends that, when owning individual securities, you consider a diversified portfolio of domestic large-cap and mid-cap stocks. For the more volatile international, emerging-market and small-cap stocks, they favor a mutual fund to help manage risk. Remember, while diversification cannot guarantee a profit or prevent a loss, it can help smooth out performance over time since stocks, bonds, real estate, gold, and other investments move in different directions and are influenced by different economic factors. By holding multiple asset classes, you reduce your risk and increase the return you get per “unit” of risk you take on.

    References:

    1. https://www.forbes.com/sites/bobcarlson/2018/05/01/investing-as-a-business-what-the-tax-code-says/?sh=7b1c9f967bc6
    2. https://www.oaktreecapital.com/about/investment-philosophy
    3. https://investornews.vanguard/getting-started-with-investing/?cmpgn==RIG:OSM:OSMTW:SM_OUT:011921:TXL:VID:2MIN$$:PAQ:INVT:GAD:CSD:PRS:POST:GS:sf241078738&sf241078738=1
    4. https://www.edwardjones.com/market-news-guidance/guidance/stock-investing-benefits.html

    Investing in Edge Computing: Cloudflare

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    Cloudflare’s platform helps clients secure and accelerate the performance of websites and applications. Motley Fool

    Cloudflare (NYSE:NET), which completed its IPO in 2019, is a software-based content delivery network (CDN) internet security company that uses edge computing to protect against cybersecurity breaches. The whole premise of edge computing is to bring the access points closer to the end users. Cloudflare has access points at over 200 cities throughout the world, and they claim that 99% of Internet users are close enough that they can access the network within 0.1 seconds or less.

    This internet infrastructure company manages the flow of information online and therefore plays an important role in migrating data from the cloud to the edge. Its platform helps clients secure and accelerate the performance of websites and applications. And, it offers myriad security products and development tools for software engineers and web developers.

    The public internet is becoming the new corporate network.

    Cloudflare is a leading provider of the network-as-a-service for a work-from-anywhere world. Effectively, the public internet is becoming the new corporate network, and that shift calls for a radical reimagining of network security and connectivity. Cloudflare is focused on making it easier and intuitive to connect users, build branch office on-ramps, and delegate application access — often in a matter of minutes.

    No matter where applications are hosted, or employees reside, enterprise connectivity needs to be secure and fast. Cloudflare’s massive global network uses real-time Internet intelligence to protect against the latest threats and route traffic around bad Internet weather and outages.

    Edge computing

    While cloud computing houses data and software services in a centralized data center and delivers to end users via the internet, edge computing moves data and software out of the cloud to be located closer to the end user.

    Edge computing reduces the time it takes to receive information (the latency) and decreases the amount of traffic traveling across the internet’s not-unlimited infrastructure. Businesses that want to increase the performances of their networks for employees, customers, and smart devices can take advantage of edge computing to bring their apps out of the cloud and host them on-site either by owning and using networking hardware or paying for hosting at localized data centers.

    The company recently launched Cloudflare One, a network-as-a-service solution designed to replace outdated corporate networks. Cloudflare One acts as a secure access service edge (SASE). Rather than sending traffic through a central hub, SASE is a distributed network architecture. This means employees connect to Cloudflare’s network, where traffic is filtered and security policies are enforced, then traffic is routed to the internet or the corporate network.

    This creates a fast, secure experience for employees, allowing them to access corporate resources and applications from any location, on any device.

    Enterprise accelerating growth

    Cloudflare has gained hundreds of thousands of users with a unique go-to-market strategy, according to Motley Fool. It launches a new product for free (with paid premium features) to acquire lots of individual and small business customers and then markets its new product to paying enterprise customers.

    Cloudflare has created a massive ecosystem that it can leverage to land new deals and later expand on those relationships. It’s what makes this company a top edge computing pick since businesses and developers continue to flock to the next-gen edge network platform.

    There is increased risk associated with a small-cap, pure-play edge computing company like Cloudflare.

    References:

    1. https://www.fool.com/investing/stock-market/market-sectors/information-technology/edge-computing-stocks/
    2. https://www.cloudflare.com
    3. https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/17/forget-amc-this-growth-stock-could-make-you-rich/

    Dividend Growth Stock Investing

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    Dividend growth stocks, known for steady dividend increases over time, can be valuable additions to your income portfolio.

    Since 1926, dividends have accounted for more than 40% of the return realized by investing in large-cap U.S. domestic stocks, according to American Association of Individual Investors. The 9.9% historical annualized return for stocks is significantly impacted by the payment of dividends. Research shows that if dividends were taken out of the equation, the long-term annual return for stocks would fall to 5.5%.

    Dividend stocks have long been a foundation for steady income to live on and a reliable pathway to accumulating wealth for retirement. Even in times of market stress, companies could be counted on to do everything possible to maintain their payouts. Most dividend-paying companies follow a regular calendar schedule for distributing the payments, typically on a quarterly basis. This gives investors a reliable source of income.

    This stream of income helps to boost and protect returns. When stock prices move upward, dividends enhance shareholders’ returns. Shareholders get the benefit of a higher stock price and the flow of income; when combined, these elements create total return. Dividend payments provide a minimum rate of return that will be achieved, as long as the company does not alter its dividend policy. This helps cushion the blow of downward market moves.

    Yet, dividend stocks typically don’t offer dramatic price appreciation, but they do provide investors with a steady stream of income.

    “I do not own a single security anywhere that doesn’t pay a dividend, and I formed a mutual-fund company with that very simple philosophy.” Kevin O’Leary

    Kevin O’Leary, known to many as “Mr. Wonderful”, is Chairman of O’Shares Investments and can be seen on the popular TV show Shark Tank, invests only in stocks that have steady “cash flow” and “pay dividends” to shareholders.  He looks for stocks that exhibit three main characteristics:

    1. First, they must be quality companies with strong financial performance and solid balance sheets.
    2. Second, he believes a portfolio should be diversified across different market sectors.
    3. Third, and perhaps most important, he demands income—he insists the stocks he invests in pay dividends to shareholders.

    Kiplinger

    Power of Dividend Investing

    Dividends are a commitment by a company to distribute a portion of its earnings to shareholders on a regular basis. Once companies start paying a dividend, they are reluctant to cut or suspend periodic the payments.

    Dividends are payments that companies make to shareholders at regular intervals, usually quarterly. Dividends and compounding may be a strong force in generating investor returns and growing income.

    Dividend-paying stocks are not fancy, but they have a lot going for them. Dividends have played a significant role in the returns investors have received during the past 50 years. Going back to 1970, 78% of the total return of the S&P 500 Index can be attributed to reinvested dividends and the power of compounding.

    “High” dividend yield stocks beat “Highest”

    Investors seeking dividend-paying investments may make the mistake of simply choosing those that offer the highest yields possible. A study conducted by Wellington Management reveals the potential flaws in this thinking.

    The highest-yielding stocks have not had the best historical total returns despite its ability to pay a generous dividend. The study found that stocks offering the highest level of dividend payouts have not always performed as well as those that pay high, but not the very highest, levels of dividends.

    With the economy in recession, equity income investors may be at risk of dividend cuts or suspensions in their portfolios. Dividend quality matters more today than it has in a long time. Thus, it’s important to select high quality U.S. large-cap companies for their profitability, strong balance sheets and dividend quality, which increase the likelihood that they will be able to maintain and grow dividends paid to investors even during periods of economic uncertainty.

    Income-producing dividend stocks

    Dividends have historically played a significant role in total return, particularly when average annual equity returns have been lower than 10% during a decade. Seek dividend stocks that possess the following characteristics:

    • Currently pays a dividend;
    • Dividend yield above bench mark yields;
    • Higher dividend payments this year relative to last year, or a reasonable expectation that future dividend payments will be raised (in certain cases, a company that recently initiated a dividend will be considered if there is a reasonable expectation that it will increase its dividend in the future);
    • A free-cash-flow payout ratio below 100%(utility stocks are allowed to have a ratio above 100% if free cash flow is positive when calculated on a pre-dividend basis);
    • Improving trends in sales and earnings;
    • A strong balance sheet, as measured by the current ratio and the liabilities-to-assets ratio;
    • An attractive valuation, as measured by the price-earnings ratio;
    • Has no more than one class of shares; and
    • Dividends are paid as qualified dividends, not non- dividend distributions.

    Dividend Growth Key to Outperformance

    You should invest in corporations that consistently grow their dividends, have historically exhibited strong fundamentals, have solid business plans, and have a deep commitment to their shareholders. They also demonstrate a reasonable expectation of paying a dividend in the foreseeable future and a history of rising dividend payments.

    You should also take into consideration the indicated yield (projected dividend payments for the next 12 months divided by the current share price) for all stocks, but place a greater emphasis on stocks with the potential to enhance the portfolio’s total return than those that merely pay a high dividend.

    The market environment is also supportive of dividends. A pre-pandemic strong US economy has helped companies grow earnings and free cash flow, which resulted in record levels of cash on corporate balance sheets. This excess cash should allow businesses with existing dividends to maintain, if not grow, their dividends. And while interest rates have risen from historic levels, they’re expected to stay stable for another year or so. This means dividend- paying stocks should continue to offer attractive yields relative to many fixed-income asset classes.

    Furthermore, dividend growers and initiators have historically provided greater total return with less volatility relative to companies that either maintained or cut their dividends. There is ample evidence that dividend growers outperform other stocks over time with much lower volatility. For instance, a Hartford Funds study of the past 50 years showed dividend growers outperforming other dividend payers by 37 basis points annually and non-dividend payers by 102 basis points.

    One reason dividend growers tend to outperform may be the expanding earnings and cash flow and shareholder-friendly management teams that often characterize these companies. In addition, consistent profitability, solid balance sheets and low payouts enable dividend growers to weather any economic storm.

    Trends that bode well for dividend-paying stocks include historically high levels of corporate cash, historically low bond yields, and baby boomers’ demand for income that will last throughout retirement.

    Traits of consistent dividend payers

    Today’s historically low interest rates have caused investors to invest heavily in dividend- paying stocks and strategies, which has helped bolster their performance. This trend shows no sign of abating as long as interest rates continue to remain relatively low, and demand for these investments will only grow as investors continue to seek income and return.

    Here are several financial traits investors should look for in consistent dividend payers:

    • Relatively low payout ratios. A payout ratio measures the percentage of earnings paid out as dividends. The median is 38% for S&P 500 companies, according to Goldman Sachs. In theory, the higher the ratio, the less financial flexibility a company has to boost its dividend
    • Reasonable debt levels. As with payout ratios, this isn’t a one-size-fits-all metric. But if a company has a big debt load, there’s less cash available for the dividend.
    • Strong free cash flow. This typically measures operating cash, minus capital expenditure. It’s important for a company to cover its dividend with its free cash flow.
    • Stable earnings growth. Put another way, dividend investors should be wary of companies with volatile earnings, which can pressure the ability to maintain, let alone raise, payouts.

    It’s important to know that not all dividends are treated the same from a tax perspective.

    There are 2 basic types of dividends issued to investors:

    • Qualified dividends: These are dividends designated as qualified, which means they qualify to be taxed at the capital gains rate, which depends on the investor’s modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) and taxable income (the rates are 0%, 15%, 18.8%, and 23.8%). These dividends are paid on stock held by the shareholder, which must own them for more than 60 days during the 121-day period that begins 60 days before the ex-dividend date. This means if you actively trade stocks and ETFs, you probably can’t meet this holding requirement.
    • Nonqualified dividends: These dividends are not designated by the ETF as qualified because they might have been payable on stocks held by the shareholder for 60 days or less. Consequently, they’re taxed at ordinary income rates. Basically, nonqualified dividends are the amount of total dividends minus any portion of the total dividends treated as qualified dividends. Note: While qualified dividends are taxed at the same rate at capital gains, they cannot be used to offset capital losses.

    Dividend growth stocks, known for steady dividend increases over time, can be valuable additions to your income portfolio. A dividend grower typically has a cash-rich balance sheets, formidable cash flow and meager payouts allowing room for more dividend growth. Additionally, dividend growth stocks can provide an hedge against inflation by providing a bump in income every time the dividend is hiked.

    References:

    1. https://www.aaiidividendinvesting.com/files/pdf/DI_UsersGuide_12.pdf
    2. https://www.hartfordfunds.com/dam/en/docs/pub/whitepapers/WP106.pdf
    3. https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stocks/dividend-stocks/602692/dividend-increases-stocks-announcing-massive-hikes
    4. https://www.valdostadailytimes.com/news/business/kevin-o-leary-says-thanks-a-billion-as-aum-passes-1-0-billion-for-o/article_0c22d134-4004-5bc5-868b-c705e26194cc.html
    5. https://vgi.vg/37Gls7y

    Past performance does not guarantee future results. Dividend-paying stocks are not guaranteed to outperform non-dividend-paying stocks in a declining, flat, or rising market.

    Understanding Your Credit

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    Building credit is an important part of your financial life.

    Credit is effectively your reputation as a borrower, made up of information about your borrowing and repayment history. Good credit histories generate good credit scores and are rewarded by lenders with lower rates and favorable terms; bad credit can cost you.

    Stack of credit cards and american dollars, close-up view. Horizontal financial business background.

    Your spending habits—including purchases made with credit cards, as well as payments for insurance, car loans, utilities and cell phone bills—are the blueprint for your credit history and can make or break your reputation as a borrower.

    Paying bills on time and in full is key to good credit and makes it easier for you to secure a mortgage, car loan or private student loan in the future.

    Paying late or defaulting on payments is a red flag for lenders. If you have poor credit history, you’ll likely be seen as a risk and may not get a loan or credit card, or may be given one with a higher interest rate.

    In addition to helping you get a loan, credit can affect other aspects of your life, from renting an apartment to getting hired for a job. Why? Just like lenders, if landlords or employers see a low credit score, they may perceive you to be financially irresponsible and too risky to take on.

    Credit: Histories, Reports & Scores

    You need a history of responsible credit use to establish a solid credit history and credit score.

    For many, the terms “credit history,” “credit report” and “credit score” may appear interchangeable. In fact, they are three separate entities that are directly related to one another.

    • Credit History: an unofficial record of your debts and repayments
    • Credit Report: an official record of your credit history collected from sources like lenders, utility companies, landlords and collection agencies, and compiled by the three credit bureaus, Equifax®, Experian® and TransUnion®
    • Credit Score: a statistically calculated numeric value indicating your creditworthiness based on the information contained in your credit report. While there are several credit-scoring formulas, FICO® (the acronym for Fair Isaac Corporation, the company that provides this model to financial institutions) is the most widely recognized. Scores range from 300 to 850, with under 400 typically indicating very poor credit and above 670 demonstrating you’re a responsible borrower.

    Scores are available for lenders, landlords and others to use in assessing if you’re a good financial risk to take on. Ranges of scores are often translated into quality ratings, such as good, fair and poor. While ranges may vary by lender, here is an example of how scores may be broken up:

    Score Range Rating
    800+ Exceptional
    740-799 Very Good
    670-739 Good
    580-669 Fair
    580 and less Poor

    *Scores are based on the Understanding FICO® Scores Booklet. Lenders may use other qualifying ratios and factors when approving loans. Speak to your lender for more information.

    Credit Card Limit

    Credit cards are a form of borrowing, like a short-term loan

    It’s important to know what the credit limits are on your credit cards and where you stand, because the percentage of credit you have available can impact your credit score, for better or worse.

    When you’re approved for a credit card, you’ll be given a pre-set limit of how much money you can put on the card. Keep in mind that you’ll be charged interest on your purchases if you don’t pay your bill in full each month. If that balance creeps up, the interest can push you above your limit.

    Credit Utilization and Your Overall Credit Health

    It’s easy, purposely, for you to pull out your credit card to buy items you want or need. If you pay that debt off each month, it won’t negatively affect your credit. However, if you keep a balance on one or more cards, it can start to reduce your credit score due to a high credit utilization.

    Credit utilization is the sum of the debt you have on all your revolving credit—essentially, your credit cards and lines of credit—divided by your limit. Many experts recommend to keep credit utilization below 30%, but lower is always better since it’s an influential part of figuring your credit score.

    Understanding Credit Facts

    • Income has nothing to do with your credit score and isn’t even reported to the credit bureaus, so it’s not listed on your report.
    • Bankruptcy does not erase bad credit history. Although declaring bankruptcy frees you from paying back all or part of your debt, the delinquent accounts aren’t deleted from your credit report. Instead, they’re added to show they were included in bankruptcy and can remain there between 7 and 10 years.
    • Negative information and late payments remain on your credit report for seven years from the date of the initial late payment. The effects of these black marks on your credit score will, however, lessen over time.
    • Paying cash for everything isn’t better than using credit responsibly. You need a history of responsible credit use to establish a solid credit history and credit score. If you don’t establish and maintain various types of credit accounts, your scores won’t be as good as someone with a long history of responsible credit use.
    • You can’t hide debt. Having many credit cards affects your credit, as does the amount of debt you carry. You can opt for a balance transfer to help you save money and pay off your loan faster by moving debt from a high-rate card (or cards) to a low-rate card. Balance Transfer is the balance of money owed on one credit card transferred to another credit card, generally to take advantage of lower interest rates.

    Effect on Credit

    “Most American’s spending habits are based on the amount of available credit they have, and not on their pay check, cash flow or checking account balance.”

    Credit cards are known for their convenience, safety and dependability, but did you know they also offer excellent financial benefits that cash just can’t beat? When used responsibly, credit cardholders can maximize their financial opportunities now while making a positive impact on their financial future.

    How you use a credit card affects your credit history and can effect one aspect of your credit report. So it’s really important to create a credit history that reflects responsible and intelligent financial habits.  You can take positive steps to build a positive credit history:

    • Use your card regularly
    • Make your payments on time
    • Keep your balance below your limit
    • Continue to use your credit card over an extended period of time
    • Regularly read your credit report to make sure it’s error-free

    When you practice these tips and responsibly use your credit card, you’ll improve your credit and may even get a higher credit limit. With a higher credit limit and the same responsible practices, you can maintain a low debt-to-credit-limit ratio and further improve your credit standing—which will give you the opportunity to finance large purchases, such as a home, at lower interest rates.

    Why Would I Want to Increase My Limit?

    There are several reasons you may want to consider asking your creditor for an increase, including:

    • When your credit has improved. If you got a credit card at a time when your credit was on the low side or just starting out, chances are your limit is small. If you feel your credit has improved, now may be an appropriate time for an increase.
    • When you want your credit to improve. As mentioned before, a high credit utilization can hurt your credit. Increasing your credit limit would reduce the utilization numbers and possibly increase your credit score, provided you don’t increase your balance as well.
    • When you need to buy a big-ticket item. Should you need to cover a larger expense that you’d like to budget for and pay off over time, such as a new water heater or vet bills, a credit limit increase can be helpful. If you’ve been diligent in paying your credit card bill, your creditor may approve an increase that can take the stress off your purchase.

    Before You Ask

    It could cause a temporary drop in your credit score. Although an increase in your credit limit ultimately may help your credit score, it will create a “hard inquiry” on your credit history and could lower your score in the short term. If you continue paying your bills on time and keep your utilization below 30%, it should come back up.

    Make sure a higher limit won’t cause too much temptation. Whether you’re asking for a limit to help increase your credit or another similar reason, be careful that you don’t overspend once your credit is increased. Being unable to make payments or keep your utilization level low could cause long-term problems you didn’t intend on facing. Be mindful that those are the two most important factors in credit scores.

    Items Taken Into Consideration

    When you ask for an increase, the creditor will usually take the following into account before making their decision:

    • Account age and standing
    • Time since last increase request (avoid asking frequently; space out your requests)
    • Annual income
    • Employment status
    • Payment history

    In some instances, the company will ask you how much of an increase you’re asking for. Be realistic in order to increase your chances of approval. Once you’ve asked, you’ll usually get an answer quickly—sometimes even instantly if you apply online or through your bank’s mobile app.

    Credit is a financial tool, debt is bad.

    References:

    1. https://www.navyfederal.org/makingcents/knowledge-center/credit-cards/articles/6-benefits-of-using-a-credit-card.html
    2. https://www.navyfederal.org/makingcents/knowledge-center/credit-cards/how-credit-cards-work/credit-card-basics.html

    Stay Invested – Time in the Markets

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    “Time in the markets, not timing the markets.”

    A common mantra in investing circles is ‘it’s about time in the markets, not timing the markets’. In other words, the best way to make money is to stay invested for the long term, rather than worrying about short term volatility or whether now is the best time to invest.

    Value investing guru Benjamin Graham once quipped that “in the short term the stock market is a voting machine” that measures the popularity of companies and the sentiment of investors, whereas in “the long term it is a weighing machine” that measures each company’s fundamentals and intrinsic value.

    Time in the market works because it takes this ‘guess the market bottom’ element out of the equation. By focusing on the long term, it’s easier to ignore the volatility of markets. Sure, it’s still scary watching the value of your share portfolio fall from time to time.

    Time in the market is really about harnessing the power of compound interest. Compounding is the best thing about investing. Albert Einstein once said “Compound interest is the most powerful force in the universe. Compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it, he who doesn’t, pays it.”

    With compounding, your money accumulates a lot faster because the interest is calculated in regular intervals and you earn interest on top of interest. Compounding is usually what makes investors like billionaire investor Warren Buffett wealthy. If you are able to achieve a consistently high annual rate of return over the long term, building wealth is almost inevitable. And Buffett has never tried to time a market in his life.

    But pushing and pulling your money in and out of the market stymies the compounding process. And all it takes is one massive mistime to end up back at square one given the fact that market can never be timed. Investor Peter Lynch said it best: “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in the corrections themselves.”

    Compounding plays a pivotal role in growing your wealth. When using compounding, the results will be small at the start but over time, your wealth will accumulate fast. Warren Buffet is known to make the majority of his wealth later in his adult life and this is due to the compounding interest effect on his assets and invested capital.

    Missing the best days

    Timing the markets involves trying to second-guess the ups and downs, with the hope that you will buy when prices are low and sell when they are high. This can be lucrative if you get it right consistently, but this is very difficult to do and getting it wrong means locking in losses and missing out on gains.

    Not only is timing the market difficult to get right, it also poses the risk of missing the ‘good’ days when share prices increase significantly. Historically, many of the best days for the stock markets have occurred during periods of extreme volatility.

    Instead of trying to time the market, spending time in the market is more likely to give you better returns over the long term. It is best to base your investment decisions on the long-term fundamentals rather than short-term market noise and volatility.

    Value of $10,000 investment in the S&P 500 in 1980

    Source: Ned Davis Research, 12/31/1979-7/1/2020.

    This chart uses a series of bars to show that from the end of 1979 until July 1, 2020, a $10,000 investment would have been worth $860,900 if invested the entire period. Missing just the 10 best days during that period would reduce the value by more than half, to $383,400.

    Anybody who pulls money out in the early stages of a volatile period could miss these good days, as well as potentially locking in some losses. For instance, between May 2008 and February 2009 in the depths of the global financial crisis the MSCI World index dropped by -30.4%. By the end of 2009 it had bounced back +40.8%.

    References:

    1. https://www.edwardjones.com/us-en/market-news-insights/guidance-perspective/benefits-investing-stock
    2. https://www.fa-mag.com/news/retirees-are-leading-precarious-financial-lives-42426.html
    3. https://www.tilney.co.uk/news/it-s-about-time-in-the-markets-not-timing-the-markets
    4. https://www.fool.com.au/2020/10/06/does-time-in-the-market-really-beat-timing-the-market/
    5. https://www.fool.com.au/definitions/compounding/

    Beginner’s Guide to Investing

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    “Successful investors had to start somewhere, and it’s never too early or too late to start planning for your financial future and learning how to invest wisely.” Phil Town

    Getting started investing can be intimidating. The learning curve combined with the fact that you are putting your own money at risk is often enough to scare many people away from one of the safest ways to put ‘your money to work for you’ and financial freedom.

    However, the most successful investors like Peter Lynch and Warren Buffett had to start somewhere, and it’s never too early or too late to start planning for your financial future and learning how to invest wisely.

    This beginner’s guide to investing, according to investment advisor and NY Times Best-Selling author Phil Town, covers everything you need to know to start investing on your own and make smart investing decisions.

    Step 1: Pay Off Bad Debt and Avoid Money Traps

    Don’t even think about making any major investments before you have paid off unnecessary debt.

    These things shouldn’t hold you back from starting to invest, but if you have “bad” debt from credit cards and high interest personal loans that will get you in trouble with interest payments, pay that off before you put money in the stock market.

    Additionally, don’t fall into the common money traps. People of all ages trying to keep up with the Joneses: buying the latest phone, shiniest car, biggest house.

    “Money traps are things that will take all your money so you have nothing left to invest.” Phil Town

    These are money traps because they are things that will take all your money so you have nothing left to invest. Spending money wisely is one of the most important steps you can take to put yourself in the best possible financial situation before you begin investing.

    Step 2: Create an Emergency Fund

    If you have figured out how to spend your money wisely, you have probably figured out how to save it. An emergency fund is part of your savings that you set aside in case of an emergency.

    It’s a good idea to put 3-6 months of your living expenses into your emergency fund (it can just be in a savings account) should something crazy happen a pandemic!

    If your car breaks down, you get laid off, or you have unforeseen medical expenses, you will have the funds you need. An emergency fund will also come in handy in case of a recession.

    Even if you don’t have to tap it, you will have peace of mind knowing there is a cushion available if you need it.

    Step 3: Learn the Investing Basics

    You wouldn’t start driving a truck without knowing the basics driving, so you shouldn’t jump in the stock market without knowing the basics of investing.

    Before you begin building wealth, it’s important to understand the basic goal of investing as well as the basic process that you will use to reach that goal.

    Step 4: Embrace a Positive Investing Mindset

    Your investing psychology (mindset and behavior) and how it affects your investing are important aspects to understand and appreciate. It will dictate how you as an investor will actually behave, the reasons and causes of that behavior, why the behavior can hurt your wealth and what you can do about it.

    Understanding the psychological aspects and how psychology affects investing are an important and critical aspect of investing. Knowing that you belong in the market and that your capable of investing in the market are important first steps.

    Successful investing has much to do with you needing to be a pretty good amateur psychologist of both your own biases and the market’s, according to Nick Murray. Virtually all market tops and bottoms occur at emotional extremes:

    • Bottoms coincide with widespread panic while
    • Tops tend to be associated with some unjustified level of overconfidence or greed.

    The theory behind sentiment analysis is quite simple. Market peaks occur when buying power has become exhausted. This happens because those buyers have become either complacent, overconfident or just plain greedy. Once they’ve all bought in, who’s left to buy?

    Step 5: Create an Investment Plan

    Once you have a positive investing mindset and know you know how investing works, you can move on to the next steps, but don’t get your wallet ready just yet.

    Before you put your money in the market, you need to have a clear plan of what you want to accomplish and how you are going to do it. This is where creating an investment plan comes in.

    The best investment plan is one that is customized to your lifestyle, so it’s necessary to create an individualized strategy that will set you on the path to success.

    • Evaluate your current financial standing to understand how much risk you can take.
    • Determine your goals and how long it will take you to realistically achieve them.
    • Figure out which types of investments and strategies are the best way to get you to where you want to be.

    Having a clear investment plan will give you a ton of clarity as you begin investing.

    Step 6: Decide What Type of Investment to Make

    Next, you need to decide what type of investments will help you accomplish what you have set out to accomplish. There are several different types of investments that you should be aware of before you start investing your money.

    Step 7: Establish Your Investing Strategy

    Investing is more than picking a few stocks and hoping for the best. If you’re doing it right, there’s a real strategy involved. Now, you can choose from a plethora of investment strategies for investing beginners. These investment strategies include:

    • Impact Investing: Investing in companies with a measurable environmental or charitable impact
    • Growth Investing: Investing in companies that exhibit signs of above-average growth
    • Income Investing: Investing in securities that pay dividends
    • Small-Cap Investing: Investing in small companies that are new and potentially grow faster
    • Value Investing: Investing in great companies when they are on sale for prices lower than they are worth

    There is one investment strategy that is recommended which follows the principles of value investing.  When you value invest, you buy growth companies, small-cap companies, and impactful companies, but you buy them when they are on sale.

    This investing strategy will give you the highest rates of return with the lowest amount of risk.  When you buy wonderful high-value companies for half or even a quarter of their value, you can ensure big returns.

    Step 8: Determine Where To Invest

    Once you decide that you are ready to start buying and selling stocks, you need to choose what platform or service you will use to make your investments.

    For most investors, an online broker will be the best option because online brokers allow you to place trades for a relatively small fee while still offering all of the resources and information you need to make wise investments.

    There are many online brokers available to choose from and most are fairly competitive in regards to the fees they charge and the services that they offer. And, you really can’t go wrong with any of the major online brokers.

    Step 9: Build a Stock Watchlist

    It’s time to start investing. If you decided stocks are the right type of investment, you can start picking stocks…carefully. A stock watchlist is your own personal list of companies that you have researched and found to be worthy of your investment. Once you build your watchlist, you watch and wait for the companies on it to go on sale.

    To build a watchlist, you need to do your research

    The best companies to invest in for beginners are companies that have been around for at least ten years, companies that you understand, companies that exhibit past growth and the potential for future growth, companies that are run by trustworthy management, and companies that have been placed on-sale relative to their value.

    You can break down these qualifications into what we call the Four Ms of Investing. It will take a bit of research to discover the Four Ms for each company, but the payoff will be worth it.

    If you find a company that meets these qualifications, you will have found an ideal investment for any investor, beginners included.

    If you find a company that meets all of these qualifications, you will likely have found an ideal investment opportunity.

    Practice Patience and Wait

    Once you have found a company that meets your qualifications, it still may not be prudent to invest in it right away. Instead, you’ll want to put the company on your watchlist and wait until the stock market places it on sale.

    The good news is that the market puts wonderful companies on sale all the time. If you’re patient, the companies on your watchlist will eventually dip to a price that allows you to buy them up for a bargain rate and profit once the price of those companies goes back up to their true value.

    Investing Tip: Check Your Emotions

    By far, the most important investing tip for beginners to follow is this: keep your emotions in check.

    If you invest in wonderful companies at a point when the market has placed them on sale relative to their value, it’s hard not to make money; that is, if you don’t let your emotions get the better of you.

    Even great companies can experience dips in price over the short-term, and these dips often cause inexperienced investors to become afraid and sell off their shares.

    By the same token, greed causes many investors to buy into a company at times when the company is overpriced. This leads to lower returns or even losses.

    If you want to succeed as an investor, you have to avoid letting fear or greed drive your decision-making process.

    Remain patient and logical as you invest and you’ll be able to avoid many of the pitfalls that beginner investors often fall prey to.

    Step 10: Know When to Buy Your Stocks

    Succeeding at investing in stocks is all about choosing the right companies as well as the right time to invest, but the right time won’t last forever. Once a company on your watchlist goes on sale, it’s time to buy.

    Making money requires some degree of timing. Investment legends like Warren Buffett may condemn market timing, however, they would not disagree that there are far better times to enter a stock position and exit a stock position than others.

    Entering a new position when there is panic is a far better bet than when the stock price has increase to levels far above its intrinsic value due to fear of missing out.

    At this point, all you need to do is place your money in the company and keep it there for the long-term. If you made a wise investment, your money will grow in value for many years after you invest it in the company.

    References:

    1. https://www.ruleoneinvesting.com/blog/how-to-invest/get-started-investing-with-these-10-steps/
    2. https://www.markonomics101.com/2018/10/08/the-psychology-of-investing/