Investing Rules of the Road

“Invest for the long term, seek quality investments and manage risk through diversification.”

The market changes every day, but what you want for your future probably doesn’t. The same goes for your investment / financial mindset, strategy and goals.

Your investment / financial mindset, strategy and goals are as unique as the route you take to reach them. But regardless of your course, the following 10 investing “rules of the road”, according to financial-services firm Edward Jones, can help you get where you want to be.

1. Develop your long-term goals and strategy

Determine your long-term goals, investment time frame and comfort level with risk – before deciding on a strategy. The more you can outline and clearly define what you are trying to achieve, the more you can tailor your strategy.

It’s tempting to chase the market, but most successful investors make their money over time, not overnight. Long-term investing with an emphasis on quality and diversification is a proven and time tested course of action.

The best way to build and preserve your financial future is with a long-term approach to investing. That’s why you don’t follow investment fads. But “buy and hold” doesn’t mean “buy and ignore.” You should still review your portfolio at least once a year to make sure you’re on track for the long haul.

Before you put your money in the market, you need to have a clear plan of what you want to accomplish and how you are going to do it. This is where creating an investment plan comes in.

The best investment plan is one that is customized to your lifestyle, so it’s necessary to create an individualized strategy that will set you on the path to success.

  1. Evaluate your current financial standing to understand how much risk you can take.
  2. Determine your goals and how long it will take you to realistically achieve them.
  3. Figure out which types of investments and strategies are the best way to get you to where you want to be.

Having a clear investment plan will give you a ton of clarity as you begin investing. By creating a specific plan, you will be ready to make your retirement goals a reality when that day comes.

2. Understand the risk and your risk tolerance

As a rule, the higher the return potential, the more risk you’ll have to accept. To determine what makes sense for you, you will want to know:

  • What is your comfort level with risk? Understanding this can help you determine how you may react to market ups and downs over time.
  • How much risk are you able to take? The amount of time you have to invest plays an important role in determining how much risk you’re able to take.
  • How much risk do you need to take? Your financial advisor will want to determine the return, and therefore the risk, that may be necessary to reach your long-term goals.

3. Diversify for a solid foundation

Your portfolio’s foundation is your asset allocation, or how your investments are diversified among stocks, bonds, cash, international and other investments. Your mix should align with your goals and comfort with risk.

While diversification can’t protect you against a loss, it can help reduce your risk. If your money is invested in just one or a few investments, and one of them struggles, your entire financial strategy could be in trouble. So most financial advisors recommend building a portfolio that includes different types of investments that perform differently over time.

4. Stick with quality

Believe in long-term investing with an emphasis on quality and diversification. Of all the factors to consider when investing, quality is one of the most important factor. It’s also one of the most overlooked. Although it may be tempting to buy a popular investment, it may not fit with the rest of your portfolio, and it may be riskier than you expect. If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is.

5. Save and Invest for the long term

It’s tempting to chase the market, but despite stories of fortunes made on one or two trades, most successful individual investors make their money over time, not overnight. One of the biggest mistakes you can make is trying to “time” the markets.

Timing the market is difficult or simply impossible for even the most seasoned professional investors and smart money. Rather than waiting for the best time to invest, it can often be a better idea to just take the plunge into the market and get invested. Waiting for the best time will lead to a lot of missed opportunities.

6. Establish realistic expectations

You’ll need to determine the return you’re trying to achieve – which should be the return you need to reach your long-term goals. Then you can base your expectations on your asset allocation, the market environment and your investment time frame.

The average stock market total return (e.g. S&P 500 historical returns), from 1950 to 2020 was 8.9%.

7. Maintain your balance portfolio and asset mix

Your portfolio’s mix could drift from its initial objectives from time to time. You can rebalance to reduce areas where your investments are overweight or add to areas where they are underweight. By rebalancing on a regular basis, you can help ensure your portfolio remains aligned with your objectives and on track to reach your long-term goals.

8. Prepare for the unexpected

When things are going well, emergency savings can seem unimportant. But in addition to your regularly occurring expenses, like rent/mortgage and utility bills, you’ll often deal with unforeseen events and unexpected costs.

Unforeseen events can derail what you’re working so hard to achieve financially. By preparing for the unexpected and building a strategy to address it, you’ll be better positioned to handle the inevitable bumps along the way.

No one wants to think about car breakdowns or job loss. But as much as we’d like to avoid thinking about them, emergencies do happen. Building an emergency savings account that is dedicated to handling unexpected costs is important.

9. Focus on what you can control

You can’t control market fluctuations, the economy or the political environment. Instead, you should base your decisions on time-tested investment principles, which include:

  • Diversifying your portfolio
  • Owning quality investments
  • Maintaining a long-term perspective

Additionally, taking control of your spending habits and weighing them against your dreams for the future can determine how to align your spending goals. Perhaps you might decide that it’s more important for your family that you retire by a certain age, and you could drive one car for a longer time or cut back in other areas. That way, more money would be available to make that bigger dream a reality.

If you have “bad” debt from credit cards and high interest personal loans that will get you in trouble with interest payments, pay that off before you put money in the stock market. 

Don’t fall into the common money traps of trying to keep up with the Joneses: buying the latest phone, shiniest car, biggest house. These are money traps because they are things that will take all your money so you have nothing left to invest. Spending money wisely is one of the most important steps you can take to put yourself in the best possible financial situation before you begin investing.

10. Review your strategy regularly

The one constant you can expect is change. That’s why it’s so important that you review your strategy on a regular basis. You should still review your portfolio at least once a year to make sure you’re on track for the long haul.

Realizing your dreams starts with smart investing. By regularly reviewing your strategy and make the adjustments you need, you can have a clearer picture of where you stand and what you need to do to help reach your goals.

No matter what your path forward looks like, tailor your strategies – so you can see the road ahead and move forward with confidence.


References:

  1. https://www.edwardjones.com/us-en/market-news-insights/personal-finance/investing-strategies/investing-rules
  2. https://www.edwardjones.com/us-en/why-edward-jones/investing-approach/investment-philosophy
  3. https://www.ruleoneinvesting.com/blog/how-to-invest/get-started-investing-with-these-10-steps/

Financial Literacy: Six Principles of Personal Finance | TD Ameritrade

Imagine operating a boat without the basic understanding of nautical rules of the road or even how to operate a boat. Scary thought.

Here’s another scary circumstance – one that is all too real. Many Americans are making financial decisions with minimal financial knowledge of investing, budgeting, and credit. The TIAA Institute conducted a survey on U.S. financial literacy, asking 28 basic questions about retirement saving, debt management, budgeting, and other financial matters. The average respondent answered only about half of the questions correctly.

Another study, conducted by Pew Research, found that one in four Americans say that they won’t be able to pay their bills on time this month.

It has been said that knowledge is power, and if that’s true, then too many Americans lack the power to control their financial futures. Financial success rarely happens by accident; it is typically the outcome of a journey that starts with education.

Talking about money is one of the most important skills to being a fiscally responsible and a financially literate person. However, 44% of Americans surveyed would rather discuss death, religion or politics than talk about personal finance with a loved one, according to CNBC.

Why? Two major reasons are embarrassment and fear of conflict, even though the consequences can be grave: 50% of first marriages end in divorce, and financial conflict is often a key contributor. Additionally, it is considered rude to discuss money and wealth.

The missing component is financial literacy education and training.

Mastering personal finance requires you to look at your financial situation holistically and come up with a plan for how to manage your money. In this TD Ameritrade video, we’ll look at helpful principles for six personal finance topics:

  1. Budgeting – focus on the big ticket items by cutting cost on the expensive costs such as cars and homes
  2. Saving and investing – be specific about your destination and your plan on achieving your goal and reaching your destination
  3. Debt and Credit – avoid high interest debt and loans on items that will quickly lose value
  4. Reduce taxes – find ways to legally pay less taxes on the income you earn,
  5. Avoid insurance for expenses you can pay out of pocket – purpose of insurance is to protect you in unfortunate scenarios.  60% of all bankruptcy is related to medical expenses
  6. Investing for retirement. – don’t just save for retirement, invest for retirement.

Make high impact adjustments to your finances to improve your financial future.


References:

  1. https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/30/the-us-is-in-a-financial-literacy-crisis-advisors-can-fix-the-problem.html
  2. https://www.tiaainstitute.org/publication/financial-well-being-and-literacy-midst-pandemic
  3. https://www.pewtrusts.org/en/research-and-analysis/articles/2017/04/06/can-economically-vulnerable-americans-benefit-from-financial-capability-services

Option Investing 101 | Fidelity

From Fidelity Investments

Learn the fundamentals of options trading. This introduction to trading option contracts is all about getting to know the basics of options investing and trading; learning the key terms and concepts essential for a new or novice options trader.

Put/Call Ratio

High put/call (P/C) levels are a sign of fear (bullish from a contrarian view), while low P/C levels are a sign of complacency (bearish from a contrarian view). The trend of P/Cs is more important than absolute levels. When the intermediate- to longer-term trend of P/Cs is lower, it is bullish for stocks. When the trend is higher, it is bearish for stocks from an intermediate-/longer-term basis.

Annual Black Investor Survey by Ariel Investments Charles Schwab

“Black Americans are already behind the eight ball, and it is disheartening to see that at current savings and investing rates, the wealth gap will continue to expand, endangering our futures and leaving our families exposed.” Mellody Hobson, co-CEO & President of Ariel Investments

The annual Black investor survey by Ariel Investments and Charles Schwab was recently released.

This year, the survey revealed that Black Americans continue to have less opportunity to benefit from stock market growth than white Americans at similar income levels, according to Ariel Investments. The data also showed signs of hope, including increased young investor engagement.

For more than 20 years, the Ariel-Schwab Black Investor Survey has compared attitudes and behaviors on saving and investing among Black and white Americans.

This year’s results show the deep-rooted gap in participation between the groups persists. The survey conveyed several important trends:

  • Growing engagement in the stock market by younger Black Americans, with 63% under the age of 40 now participating in the stock market, equal to their white counterparts
  • The closing of this gap among younger investors is being driven by new investors: 3 times as many Black investors as white investors (15% vs. 5%)
  • A wide investing gap exists overall – 55% of Black Americans and 71% of White Americans reporting stock-market investments

It is encouraging to view that younger African Americans are investing in greater numbers. Yet, a significant gap persist in the overall number of who invests by race and ethnicity.

More Black Americans became first-time investors in 2020 than in any other year, according to the results of a new survey by Ariel Investments and Charles Schwab. The rise has primarily been driven by younger investors: 63% of Black Americans under 40 now report participating in the stock market, equal to their white counterparts.

On the whole, however, wide gaps remain, with 55% of Black Americans and 71% of white Americans reporting stock-market investments. “This disparity, compounded over time, means that middle-class Black Americans will have less money saved for retirement and less wealth to pass onto the next generation,” the report’s authors write.

The ongoing pandemic has only exacerbated the imbalance, according to the report. In 2020:

  • More than twice as many Black 401(k) participants (12% vs. 5%) borrowed money from their retirement accounts.
  • Almost twice as many Black Americans (18% vs. 10%) dipped into an emergency fund.
  • Nine percent of Black Americans (vs. 4% of white Americans) say they asked family or friends for financial support.

“Financial literacy is a great equalizer, and a life skill that everyone needs.” Carrie Schwab-Pomerantz, President of Charles Schwab Foundation

Financial literacy and education are desperately needed in the African American community. And, it needs to start at a very early age before the vestiges of debt and negative spending behaviors becomes a difficult to break habit.

Trust Remains an Issue

Trust in the financial services industry continues to affect stock market participation among Black Americans. While similar proportions of Black and white investors believe that financial services institutions are not trustworthy, only 35 percent of African American investors feel they are treated with respect by financial institutions versus 62 percent for white investors. As a result, Black Americans are less likely to work with financial advisors.

Additionally, what works against new African Americans investors is that most wealth and financial advisors will not work with you if you don’t already have large amounts of money you either earned or inherited. This leaves the vast majority of American (Black, White, etc) out of the financial advisory equation.

There will be a conversation among leading financial services experts from Ariel Investments, Charles Schwab, and CNBC discussing the challenges driving the racial wealth opportunity gap. This group will discuss the research findings, broader trends, and how the financial services industry can challenge the status quo.

The The Racial Wealth Opportunity Gap Widened in 2020 conversation will occur on Tuesday, March 2, 2021, 3:00 – 4:00 p.m. EST.


References:

  1. https://www.aboutschwab.com/ariel-schwab-black-investor-survey-2021
  2. https://blackinvestorsurvey.swoogo.com/ariel-schwab/979446?ref=swbh?SM=URO&sf243370044=1

When Markets Dip, Don’t Drop Out

“Just stay the course. Don’t do something, just stand there. This is speculation that we’re seeing out there, and you can’t respond to it.” Jack Bogle, Vanguard Investment

When the market gets jumpy, so do many investors.

In periods of volatility, anxious stock market investors can be tempted to take money off the table, fearing a potentially major slide in their portfolio. Selling off stocks when the market dips and returning only when things calm down is emotional, not rational or successful investing strategy. Data has proven that over the long term investors are always able to overcome dips and recessions successfully.

Markets tend to overshoot in both directions,” the late financier Leon Levy wrote in his memoir, The Mind of Wall Street. “Just as we saw stock prices rise far above the value of the companies, we are likely to see the reverse. Stocks will then be undervalued, and there will be new opportunities for investors.”

“During the last 20 years alone, there have been 25 months (i.e. more than every tenth month) where the S&P 500 index dropped by more than 5% in a month, with the decline averaging -7.9% among those 25 months. Despite this, over this time period the annualized compound growth rate on the index has been +6.3% per year. “ Jakub Jurek, Wealthfront Advisers’ VP of Research explains.

The Charles Schwab infographic explains how staying the course during market dips can be healthier for an investor’s portfolio.

It considers three types of investors over the course of 40 years:

  • The Stalwart – a discipline investor who sits tight and continues to invest, no matter how the market is performing.
  • The Reactor – an investor who reacts and pulls his money out of a bear market. He continues to save 10 – 15 percent of his income in hopes recouping some of his losses, but didn’t invest it.
  • The Waffler – during a year with negative returns, a waffling investor will move all his money out of the market and will sit on the sideline in cash. And, if the market rises up after a few years, he would finally get back into the market.

“If you take money out of your accounts in anticipation over a market downturn, it’s hard to know when you should put your money back in,” says Celine Sun, Wealthfront’s Director of Research. “This means that most likely, you’ll miss the upside returns more than you’ll avoid the downside.” Exiting stocks amid a turbulent market may help assuage your anxiety, but you’re likely to miss out on substantial gains while you sit on the sidelines.

Stay the course

“Stay the course” is a phrase that means to continue with your current investment plan. Investing should be for the long term. The stock market will always have turbulence, so it’s important that you ride out market cycles. If you are invested in high quality equities and your investments are based on a solid financial plan, don’t sell anything that you wouldn’t sell when there isn’t crashing. The only exception is when it’s clear that a company or niche industry isn’t going to recover, and then it may be time to cut your losses.

“In the short run, listen to the economy; don’t listen to the stock market,” Vanguard Group founder Jack Bogle said during an interview in the midst of a rather severe market turmoil. “These moves in the market are like a tale told by an idiot: full of sound and fury, signalling nothing.”

Whether the market recovers quickly or years from now, the most important thing to remember is, it will recover. And so will you. According to Carlos Slim Helu, “Courage taught me no matter how bad a crisis gets … any sound investment will eventually pay off.”


References:

  1. https://www.schwab.com/resource-center/insights/sites/g/files/eyrktu156/files/Q120_When_Markets_Dip_fina%401x_72dpi_0.jpg
  2. https://blog.wealthfront.com/what-should-you-do-when-markets-dip-hint-nothing/
  3. https://www.marketplace.org/2009/01/05/history-rewards-stalwart-investor/
  4. https://www.forbes.com/sites/lizfrazierpeck/2020/03/12/three-things-to-do-during-a-stock-market-crash/?sh=185db9a54c78

Note: Investors simply don’t experience FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) as much as they experience FOLO (fear of losing out). Consequently, the fear of losing lingers far beyond the crisis period and investors are left worse off than if they had done nothing at all. For those investors who sold during a market crash, it is important that they get back into the market and not engage in the destructive speculation.

Never invest in something you don’t understand.

Many successful investors follow one extremely important rule of thumb: Never invest in something you don’t understand.

Selecting the right companies to invest is very difficult and the decision shouldn’t be taken lightly. When you invest in the stock market, you will be tempted often to buy companies or products that you don’t truly understand.

Consequently, if you can’t understand the investment and understand how it will help you save for the future, build wealth over the long term or achieve your financial goals, do not buy the asset. You need to resist temptation, and focus on the only question that counts:

“Do I understand the business of this company well enough so that I am reasonably confident that it is going to be a good investment?”.

Warren Buffett famously said he has three boxes for investment ideas: in, out and too hard. If a company’s business or product is too difficult to understand, it’s better to just file it in the “too hard” category and move on to another opportunity.

Investors should always remember that a share of stock represents partial ownership of a company. “Just as you would never purchase a private business from someone else without at least looking at its sales, profits, debt and trends of all three of those things at a bare minimum, you need to do the same thing before purchasing stock in a company,” Cornerstone Wealth chief investment officer Chris Zaccarelli says. “If you are doing anything else, you are just hoping what you bought will go higher – and hope is never a good strategy.”

Be sure to always read an investment asset’s prospectus or disclosure statement carefully. And, if you are still confused, you should think twice about investing.

The bottom line for investors is simple: If you don’t completely understand how an investment works, or creates revenue, earnings and cash flow, then don’t buy it.


References:

  1. http://www.mymoneyworks.de/back-to-basics/dont-buy-what-you-dont-understand/
  2. https://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/2017-05-11/never-invest-in-something-you-dont-understand

Buying Homes During Covid

People Rushed to Buy Homes During COVID-19. Now, They Regret It.

The hot real-estate markets across the U.S. led to a number of buyers to purchase homes without performing due diligence

A cardinal rule of home buying is that you shouldn’t rush into a purchase of a home. But in 2020 and now in early 2021, millions of Americans did and are doing just that…rush into purchasing a home, occasionally sight unseen or without a thorough home inspection.

Fleeing small apartments, buying vacation homes or simply looking for a change of scenery amid the crushing boredom of lockdowns, people scrambled to buy houses amid the pandemic, spurring bidding wars and supercharging real-estate markets across the country, according to Candance Taylor*, reporter with the WSJ. Now, many are discovering the pitfalls of these hasty purchases, ranging from buyers’ remorse and financial strain to damage caused by unexpected problems.

At the same time, inventory dropped as many homeowners hesitated to list their properties in the pandemic.  The pandemic has aggravated the housing market’s longstanding lack of supply, creating a historic shortage of homes for sale. The shortage has pushed home prices higher, stretching the budgets of many middle-class and first-time home buyers. The median existing-home price crossed above $300,000 for the first time ever in July, up 8.5% from a year earlier, according to NAR.

The result is that much of the country saw a price spike and bidding wars, brokers said, leaving buyers with little to choose from. In these conditions, many are tempted to waive inspections or skip other due diligence they would normally perform before buying a home.

Over the past two years, the insurance company Chubb has seen large, non-weather-related losses increase in frequency and severity, according to Fran O’Brien, division president of Chubb North America Personal Risk Services. She attributed these losses in part to hasty home purchases: Buyers moving from a small city apartment to a large home in a rural area may not be well versed in how to prevent the pipes from freezing, for example.

“People are moving to places that they don’t know a lot about,” Ms. O’Brien said. “They’re thinking, ‘this looks like a nice place to live’ for amenities it may have. They don’t understand what risk there could be with that home.”

People are even more likely to overlook those risks, she said, when they are in a hurry to snap up a home before someone else does. “You run into this lack of awareness and lack of time, which is not a good combination.”

A HomeAdvisor report found that Americans did an average of 1.2 emergency home repairs in 2020, up from 0.4 in 2019, while emergency home spending jumped to an average of $1,640, up $124 from the 2019 average.


References:

  1. https://www.wsj.com/articles/these-people-rushed-to-buy-homes-during-covid-now-they-regret-it-11613062856
  2. https://www.wsj.com/articles/americans-want-homes-but-there-have-rarely-been-fewer-for-sale-11600680612?mod=article_inline

* Candace Taylor, Real Estate Reporter and Editor at The Wall Street Journal

Investment Plan

“An idiot with a plan can beat a genius without a plan.” Warren Buffett

Creating budgets and financial milestones are great, but you need an actual investment plan to help you stay on track. It’s one of the most critical steps to meeting your long-term financial goals. According to Warren Buffett, “An idiot with a plan can beat a genius without a plan,” and this is especially true in investing.

Planning helps you focus on long-term goals, not short-term fears and market volatility. If your goal is 20 years away, a loss over one month or year probably isn’t all that important. Focus on your individual goals and time horizon. People who invest more time planning their finances invariably make better decisions, get better results, and achieve financial independence.

It’s also important to know why and for what you are investing in because it will influence how and in what you invest. This is the basis of an investment plan. The best investment plan is one that is tailored to you, and includes an individualized strategy and goals that will set you on the path to success. That means a plan that takes into account your individual goals, situation, and time horizon—and one that’s diversified.

“People who invest more time planning their finances invariably make better decisions, get better results, and achieve financial independence.” Brian Tracy

Diversification doesn’t mean you won’t ever lose money. But owning a mix of investments can help reduce the risk. That way if some investments drop, others may rise, helping you reach your goals. And, you should always manage your risk—by choosing an asset mix that is appropriate for your current circumstances, and creating diversification within that asset mix to improve your risk/return relationship.

Step 1: Evaluate Your Current Financial Standing

The first step in creating your investment plan is to evaluate your current financial standing and determine how much you have to invest.

Step 2: Define What You Want to Accomplish

Your short or long term goals that you want to achieve in your life will impact your investing strategy. Where do you want to be when you retire? Do you want to own a house? Do you want to create passive income? Do you want to create generational wealth for your family?

Defining what you want to accomplish will help you determine how much risk you can take and what type of investments to make that will help you achieve what you want to accomplish in your lifetime.

Step 3: Determine How Much Risk You Can Take

Rule #1 of Investing is to not lose money, but there is always some risk involved when investing in an unpredictable stock market. How much risk can you take based on what you want to accomplish (what we just talked about) and how much time do you have to accomplish it?

If you want to earn money for retirement and retirement is 30 years away, you have a lot of time for your money to grow and recover from economic downturns, so you can afford to be more aggressive. However, if retirement is only a few years away, you will need to make more conservative investments that ensure you will have enough money, but won’t lose it.

Step 4: Decide What Type of Investment to Make

You need to decide what type of investments will help you accomplish what you have set out to accomplish. Consider building a mix of stocks, bonds, and short-term investment. You should learn about the different types of investments that are available before you start investing your money.

Step 5: Establish Your Time Horizon

Time Horizon is the period where one expects to hold an investment for a specific goal. The longer the time horizon, the more aggressive, or riskier portfolio, an investor can build.  Simply put, your investment time horizon is the length of time you need your portfolio to work for you.

Planning and goals are really just the means to the end. The end being the tangible things (retirement security, house, generational wealth, etc.) you set out to accomplish. You should make a promise to yourself that you will accomplish that thing and make a plan to go after it.

And monitor your investments per you plan and progress toward your goals on a set, not-too-frequent schedule—perhaps quarterly or twice a year, or if your goals or circumstances change.

By developing and sticking to an investment plan that’s squarely focused on achieving your individual goals is essential in successful investing.

Regardless of your plan, it is critically important to recognize that investing involves the risk of loss. Having a plan that aligns with your objectives and risk tolerance, educating yourself on investing and doing your research to know the risks associated with investing are all vitally important.

Bottom line is that financial plans don’t fail people. Instead, people fail to plan.

The only way to find financial security is to draw yourself a map. Folks who have specific financial plans that detail what they want save more than people who don’t…Why? Because human beings are easily distracted (especially by shiny new things). So unless you have a road map that tells you where you’re going, it is very, very hard to get there. It’s not that the map will never change.  Revising your specific plans for the future is far better than not having any plans at all.


References:

  1. https://www.ruleoneinvesting.com/blog/how-to-invest/investment-planning/?utm_medium=cpc&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=investing-strategies&utm_content=interest&utm_term=cold&dclid=CID8g7PmzO4CFTEYwQod5T0EGw
  2. https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/personal-finance/financial-improvement?ccsource=email_weekly
  3. https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/active-investor/trading-guide-managing-investment-risks-and-opportunities?ccsource=email_weekly

Just Buy Low Cost Index Funds

“The less you spend on investing, the more you get to keep.”. Rick Ferri

When investors who don’t manage their costs, they pay a significant price for their inaction and inexperience. As John Bogle has famously said, “In investing, you get what you don’t pay for.” The primary issue is that investment product providers, especially annuities and actively managed funds, and financial intermediaries are selling commission-based products that take advantage of unsophisticated investors by marketing high-fee, high-commission funds that earn low returns. 

Cost Matters Hypothesis.

It costs money to try to beat the market, according to Bogle, and you pay whether or not the manager succeeds. When a group of financial people try to out perform the market, some will win and be successful, some will lose, but collectively they will get the market’s return—before fees. After fees, they will get much less. Bogle once calculated that “active stock investors lose close to 3% a year in fees, trading costs and taxes.”

“Costs matter. They matter more than past performance.” John Bogle

Occasionally, you might get lucky for a year or five or ten. Eventually, though, your luck will run out. With each passing year it becomes more likely that you will be overtaken by the law of averages.

Buffet advice to investors

Billionaire investor Warren Buffett recommends that most investors should buy low-cost index funds. In his sage opinion, buying index funds would go a long way toward solving this serious problem of overpaying for investments. Buffett’s recommends inexperienced investors and investors without time or inclination to conduct research buy index funds. His view is that index funds, such as those that mimic the S&P 500 benchmark, are a smart investment that almost anyone can follow.

“Costs really matter in investments,” Buffett says in a CNBC interview. “If returns are going to be 7 or 8 percent and you’re paying 1 percent for fees, that makes an enormous difference in how much money you’re going to have in retirement.”

The appeal of index investments is their low cost compared to most actively managed mutual funds and ETFs. With active funds and ETFs, according to Fidelity Investment, a manager attempts to deliver performance that outpaces a chosen index, often referred to as a benchmark. Passive ETFs and mutual funds, on the other hand, try to match the performance of a benchmark.

Benchmarks may include familiar indexes such as the S&P 500, as well as custom benchmarks created by a fund’s managers. Passive investments may not offer the potential to outperform an index, but they typically offer lower costs than active funds managed against a similar index or benchmark.

When evaluating cost, most investors focus on the expense ratio—the annual percentage of assets that mutual funds and ETFs charge investors to cover services such as investment management, recordkeeping, compliance, and shareholder services. In general, these costs are much lower for passive strategies than for active ones. And, even this expense that can vary dramatically even among seemingly similar passive index funds and ETFs.

Labor Secretary Thomas Perez said during a Senate panel meeting: “The problem with our [financial] system in the U.S. is it incentivizes complexity when simplicity is all too frequently what’s called for. … It incentivizes complexity because complexity generates more fees.”

The solution and best defense against those who prey on investor ignorance, according to Rick Ferri, is investor education and requiring financial literacy in our schools and colleges. Perhaps we need to scream continuously, “Just buy low-cost index funds!” every time an investor is pitched a hyped-up mutual fund advertisement or a high-cost fund.

Investing in index mutual funds and ETFs can be an outstanding low-cost strategy. And, like any other investment strategy, investing in index funds requires that you understand what you are investing in. You need to ensure that you are investing in a low-cost product that tracks a benchmark that fits with your investing strategy.


References:

  1. https://rickferri.com/forewarned-is-forearmed-on-investment-expenses/
  2. https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/03/why-warren-buffett-says-index-funds-are-the-best-investment.html
  3. https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/investing-ideas/how-to-shop-smart
  4. http://johncbogle.com/wordpress/

Dividends are Important in Retirement

“Get paid to wait” Kevin O’Leary

Noted Shark Tank investor, Kevin O’Leary aka “Mr. Wonderful”, has one simple rule when it comes to investing in a stock. If it doesn’t pay a dividend, he does not consider the stock. His investment mantra is “get paid to wait”.

“My whole investment strategy is built around cash flow”, O’Leary said. “I have a little Charlie Munger on my shoulder every day when I look at a deal, and he’s just saying two words: ‘cash flow, cash flow.'”

Know your cash flow.

How much do you make after taxes? How much do you spend. Investors in retirement must figure out how to generate cash flow without a job from multiple income streams to meet essential living expenses and spending while also making sure they don’t outlive their income stream.

Receiving regular dividends, or “getting paid to wait” reduces an investor’s dependence on the market’s volatility and the roller coaster like price swings by stocks to make ends meet.

Essentially, dividends could become investors “cash flow” in retirement. Naturally, then, the best retirement stocks to buy in 2021 (or any other year) to accomplish those objectives are ones that pay dividends.

Regular dividends lessen an investor’s dependence on the market’s fickle price swings because it reduces or eliminates the need to sell shares to generate income. Regardless of whether the market rises or falls in 2021, a portfolio of high-quality companies can provide you with predictable, growing dividend income.

And in today’s low-interest-rate environment, dividend stocks can generate much higher income than many fixed-income instruments. Better still, many dividend-paying stocks grow their payouts, which preserves those dividends’ purchasing power. And dividend stocks, like other equities, also provide meaningful long-term price appreciation potential.

Whether or not the market rises or falls, a portfolio of quality businesses delivering predictable, growing dividend income is always preferred.

Dividend stocks, like other equities, can provide long-term price appreciation. Dividends are the periodic payouts investors can earn by investing. And because many companies pay a dividend — more than 80% of the S&P 500 stocks currently pay dividends, according to data from FactSet — investors can actually earn money even when the market is down.

Research firm Simply Safe Dividends published an in-depth guide about living on dividends in retirement here. However, a key component to this strategy is finding the best retirement stocks that can deliver safe dividends and grow in value over time.

What are Dividend Stocks

When investors buy stocks, they can make money two different ways. The first is by selling their shares for a price that’s higher than their original cost. The second is by collecting dividends. Dividend stocks are companies that pay shareholders a portion of earnings, as dividend, on a regular basis. Not all stocks pay dividends, but those that do offer shareholders a steady stream of income.

These payments are funded by profits and cash flow that a company generates but doesn’t need to retain to reinvest in the business. Shareholders can receive dividends as cash or additional shares of stock. As an investment category, dividend stocks also have an impressive track record of helping people build wealth over the long term.

To live on dividends in retirement, a key component to this strategy is finding the best retirement stocks that can deliver safe dividends and grow in value over time. Look for companies with a history of paying and increasing dividends, as well as sufficient earnings and cash flow from current operations.

Dividend Aristocrats

Dividend Aristocrats are a select group of S&P 500 Index stocks with a history of 25+ years of consecutive dividend increases. These businesses have both the desire and ability to pay shareholders rising dividends year-after-year. They are considered the ‘best of the best’ dividend growth stocks.

The Dividend Aristocrats have a long history of outperforming the market. The requirements to be a Dividend Aristocrat are that they’re in the S&P 500, have 25+ consecutive years of dividend increase, and must meet certain minimum market cap and liquidity requirements.

Dividend Yield

Dividend yield refers to a stock’s annual dividend payments to shareholders expressed as a percentage of the stock’s current market price. A stock’s dividend yield can and frequently does change over time, either in response to market fluctuations or as a result of dividend increases or decreases by the issuing company. And, it’s important to keep in mind that a high dividend yield alone doesn’t make a stock a great investment.

Dividend amounts and yield might seem small in mid-2019. The average dividend payment for U.S. stocks was 1.87% of your investment, according to Siblis Research. Regardless the size of the ratio, they can drastically impact an investor’s long-term investment performance and retirement income.

GE’s Dividend Story

General Electric (GE) has been one of America’s most widely held stocks, and countless retirees relied on the dividend payments. But, the company was under enormous balance sheet and cash flow pressure, and it became necessary to cut the dividend in half. By cutting, GE saved significant cash flow making it one of the largest dividend cuts in the history of the S&P 500 and the biggest for GE since 2009, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices.

But dividend cuts had been rare at the time since many companies were increasing them because the U.S. economy was healthy and the stock market was booming. GE’s dividend had been reliably paid for multiple decades.

Prior to GE Board’s decision to cut its dividend, GE was having problems and could not earn enough money to cover its dividend payments. Free cash flow, which measures how much cash is being generated after investing in the business, had deteriorated for six straight years.

Dividends: Cash Flow is King during Retirement

The distinction between income and cash flow is important during retirement. Generating income in retirement is focused on finding investments that pay a high yield, which necessarily means taking on more risk. Focusing instead on cash flow allows investors to take a broader perspective, assessing various aspects of their finances to determine how to creatively produce the money required for expenses. Cash flow strategies may allow retirees to reach their financial goals while not necessarily taking on a higher level of risk.

A primary financial goal in retirement is to guarantee a minimum daily standard of living so you don’t outlive your nest egg and can sleep well at night.  Some folks are able to meet that minimum income amount they need through some combination of pension income, Social Security payments, and guaranteed interest from certificates of deposit. 

 “I have found that retirement is all about cash flow, not net worth, especially after the real estate crash. I have met people who have a net worth of $2 million, which looks great on paper, but when it comes to retirement income, they are just barely squeaking by on their Social Security and a small pension. It’s great that you are worth $2 million, but ultimately, it’s your cash flow that will determine your quality of life in retirement, not your net worth.” Jason R. Parker, Sound Retirement Planning: A Retirement Plan Designed to Achieve Clarity, Confidence & Freedom

When picking dividend stocks, chasing yield can cause issues where the price has declined, which may be an opportunity for capital appreciation, but may create greater risk for income seekers since the stock may be cheap for a legitimate idiosyncratic reason.

It’s important for investors to find a company they feel comfortable with, and whose product line they understand. Next, they can look at the company’s ability to generate sufficient earnings and cash flow to pay their annual dividends, operate their business, and have enough left over to grow, remembering that not all quarters must indicate growth.

An investor’s particular situation must be considered such as their required income needs during retirement, weighed against their desire for capital growth— typically, lower-growth segments, such as utilities, pay more yield. Investors who allocate upwards of 80-100% of their portfolio to dividend-paying stocks to generate more income and achieve stronger long-term capital appreciation potential and income growth, are incurring greater risks.

Additionally, their specific risk/reward trade-off (and there is risk in all stocks), keeping in mind their ability to ride out a downturn without having to sell the stock on the way down.


References:

  1. https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/shark-tank-star-kevin-oleary-investing-yahoo-short-retail-pandemic-2021-1-1029932948
  2. https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stocks/dividend-stocks/602016/21-best-retirement-stocks-income-rich-2021
  3. https://www.simplysafedividends.com/intelligent-income/posts/1-living-off-dividends-in-retirement
  4. https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanshenkman/2020/10/21/7-strategies-to-generate-sufficient-cash-flow-in-retirement/?sh=2fe4062b2ac4#click=https://t.co/qv3DensgA1
  5. https://www.spindices.com/documents/education/indexology-december-2017-can-dividends-yield-a-better-retirement.pdf?force_download=true
  6. https://www.fool.com/knowledge-center/dividend.aspx
  7. https://www.fool.com/investing/your-definitive-dividend-investing-guide.aspx