Most explosive stock market rally in history

We’re witnessing the most explosive stock market in history. We’re seeing a spectacular stock market rally.

We’ve witnessed the greatest 50-day rally in the history of the S&P 500. The S&P 500 has increased 37% over the past 50-days.

Ten weeks ago, March 23, 2020, the Dow dropped all the way to 18,591 points. The biggest gain ever in such a short timeframe. Today, June 4, 2020, the Dow Jones index has peaked above 26,274 points.

Why…T.I.N.A. (There is no alternative to stocks)

There are fewer publicly traded companies to invest in today than thirty years ago. In the 1990’s, there were about 8,000 companies listed on American stock exchanges. Today, there are about 4,000 publicly traded companies on American stock exchanges which represents a fifty percent cut.

Furthermore, there are fewer shares of company stocks available to be traded. Share buy-backs by U.S. companies have taken 20% of companies’ shares off the market.

Essentially, the number of available shares have been dramatically cut, yet the demand for share have been vastly increased the demand for shares. The market is awash in cash from the Federal Reserve loose monetary policy and trillions of dollars from 401K plans.

Economics 101 reveals that cutting the supply of stocks while increasing the demand for stocks cause the price of stocks to go up.

And don’t forget about investor psychology, the economy has entered the return to work phase and the economy is on the move again. Animal Spirits are on the rise again.

Regarding the S&P 500 index, 159 stocks in the index are up for the year an average of 13% / 350 are down year-to-date an average of 20%. And, there are $4 trillion still sitting on the sidelines in money market accounts.

FOMO (Fear of missing out)

Fear of missing out can be extremely expensive. When the equity market has explosive moves where it goes up this high and this fast, an investor can feel that they’re “being left out and left behind”. As a result, they start paying top dollar for expensive and overbought stocks. That is no longer investing…investors are buying high hoping for higher.


Sources: CNBC and Fox Business News

Principles for Investing Success | Vanguard Investment Management Company

Whatever financial challenge you’re facing, you can put yourself in a better financial position by setting goals, planning now and investing for the long term. The sooner you start, the sooner you’ll get on track.

Investing for the long term in order to grow your money is a marathon, not a sprint. An investment’s annual return provides perspective and growth over time.

https://vgi.vg/2Kyh3a3

Goals: Create clear, appropriate investment goals. Create appropriate investment goals you can measure and attain. Defining your goals clearly and planning realistic ways to achieve them can help protect you from common mistakes that could derail your progress.

https://vgi.vg/3c9ky3b

Balance: Develop a suitable asset allocation using broadly diversified funds. Create a sound investment strategy by choosing an asset allocation in line with your financial objectives. Build your allocation based on reasonable expectations and diversify your portfolio to avoid exposure to unnecessary risks. Balance is the key:

https://vgi.vg/3f7Qh6u

Costs: Minimize costs. Markets are unpredictable. Costs are forever. The lower your costs, the greater your share of an investment’s return. And research suggests lower-cost investments outperform higher-cost alternatives. You can’t control the markets, but you can control your costs and tax liability:

https://vgi.vg/2z6fQEv

Discipline: Maintain perspective and long term discipline. Investing can provoke strong emotions. During times of market uncertainty, you may find yourself tempted to make impulsive decisions or you may experience “paralysis by analysis,” unable to decide on how best to implement an effective investment strategy or when to rebalance your portfolio. Discipline and perspective can help you remain committed to a long-term investment philosophy through periods of market uncertainty.

https://vgi.vg/3c8ihFg


References:

  1. https://www.vanguard.com.au/adviser/en/article/cec-investment-philosophy/vanguards-principles-for-investing-success

6 habits of successful investors| Fidelity Investment

Planning, consistency, and sound fundamentals can improve results.

FIDELITY VIEWPOINTS – 03/19/2020

For most people, achieving success as an investor means reaching their financial goals, like owning a home, paying for college, or having the retirement you want.

What separates the most successful investors from the rest are habits. It is the reason why some individuals successfully accumulate wealth while others seem unable to save and invest successfully. Essentially , it can be traced back to daily habits.

Here are the 6 habits of successful investors that we’ve witnessed over the years—and how to make them work for you. Read more: https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/investing-ideas/six-habits-successful-investors?immid=100864&imm_pid=272043316&imm_aid=a466972197&dfid=&buf=99999999

Investing can be complex, but some of the most important habits of successful investors are pretty simple. If you build a smart plan and stick with it, save enough, make reasonable investment choices, and be aware of taxes, you will have adopted some of the key traits that may lead to success.


References:

  1. https://grow.acorns.com/7-daily-rich-habits-anyone-can-adopt/

Don’t Panic

Here’s the most important piece of advice for long-term investors: Don’t panic.

Both the current pandemic driven economic environment and equity market environment are incredibly uncertain. Likewise, the future is equally uncertain and unpredictable.

Unprecedented unemployment, declining oil prices, liquidity concerns in financial markets, and expanding federal debt represent a clear and present risk to future U.S. economic prosperity.

Moreover, the current uncertainty has had a negative impact on global economies and equity markets. The impact has created fear and caused investors to panic sell their positions and seek safe havens by moving into less riskier assets.

Yet, it is important to understand that market corrections happen on a regular basis. A stock market correction is a sudden drop in the value of stocks, usually by more than 10% from their most recent high.

Bottomline, it’s going to be okay. This too shall pass. Investors are advised to ‘stay the course’, follow your financial plan and focus on your long-term goals.

It’s best to be invested.

The global financial crisis of 2008 proved no one can consistently predict how the market will perform. Thus, it is best for investors to stay invested in the markets.

“You always have to remember the markets are forward-looking, and you don’t know when they’re going to take off—just like you don’t know when they’re going to tumble. So it’s best to be invested than to try to time it, because it’s close to impossible.” Tim Buckley, CEO, Vanguard Investments

If you’re confident in your financial life plan and investment strategy, leaving your investments alone during short-term market corrections and Bear markets could help you accumulate wealth over the long-term and help ensure your retirement nest egg. 

Vanguard will offer Private Equity Investments

Vanguard turns to what many view as the ‘dark side’ of investing, the world of complex, exclusive, expensive private equity investments

Vanguard Group plans to offer a private equity investments which will be managed by an outside firm called HarbourVest Partners. Initially, the private equity investment will be available only to institutions such as endowments and nonprofit foundations. But, Vanguard intends to move quickly beyond institutional investors.

Over time and as regulations change, Vanguard hopes to offer these private equity strategies to its individual, non-qualified retail investors.

Typically, private equity firms charge fees that are 2% of assets a year in management fees, plus 15% to 20% or higher of total returns in annual performance fees. Generally, money is locked up for years with little liquidity. This is why the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has long kept smaller, non qualified investors out of them.

In a statement, Vanguard chief executive Tim Buckley said, “Private equity will complement our leading index and actively managed funds, as we seek to broaden access to this asset class and improve client outcomes. While this strategy will be initially available to institutional advised clients, we aim to expand access to investors in additional channels over time. For individual investors in particular, this partnership will present an incredible opportunity — access and terms they could not get on their own.”

Contrasting Viewpoint

Eric Walters, founder of Silvercrest Wealth Planning, believes Vanguard’s move is “fraught with risks.” He added, “I think it could work if they are able to access top-quartile private equity managers, most of which are closed to new subscriptions”. Additionally, he added, “Managers below the top quartile often don’t do any better than public equities and often do worse. When you add the high fees and long holding periods, accessing lower-tier managers would be a bad deal for Vanguard clients.”

About Vanguard

Vanguard is one of the world’s largest investment management companies. As of December 31, 2019, Vanguard managed $6.2 trillion in global assets. The firm, headquartered in Valley Forge, Pennsylvania, offers 424 funds to its more than 30 million investors worldwide. For more information, visit vanguard.com.

About HarbourVest

HarbourVest is an independent, global private markets investment specialist with over 35 years of experience and more than $68 billion in assets under management, as of December 31, 2019.


References:

  1. https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoinegara/2020/02/05/vanguard-pushes-into-private-equity-by-accessing-dealmakers-like-stephen-schwarzman-robert-smith-and-orlando-bravo/#3431f0bf2760
  2. https://www.harbourvest.com/news/vanguard-and-harbourvest-announce-private-equity-partnership
  3. https://www.inquirer.com/business/vanguard-harbourvest-mortimer-tim-buckley-private-equity-20200206.html
  4. https://www.investmentnews.com/vanguard-puts-private-equity-investments-on-the-menu-187888

Make Money in Stocks | Forbes

Everyone can grow life-changing wealth and have strong investment results over the long term.

Investing in stocks is one of the most important financial skills you need to master. History has shown that the earlier you start and the longer you stay invested in the market the better your investments will be. On average, stocks have given an annualized return of around 10%. At that rate, your investments would double every 7.2 years.

Let’s say you start with $10,000. After a 40 year career, that turns into at least $320K from doubling 5 times. That’s from a single $10,000 investment.

And, it is important to understand that you can’t accumulate wealth off just your salary. Savings and bonds won’t do it either, the return isn’t high enough to make an impact during your lifetime.

But, you should not invest in stocks in a vacuum. It is important to develop a financial road map to help you invest to meet a goal, whether this means sending the kids to college, retire well, buy a house, get that BMW or some marvelous combination thereof.

When you have a financial plan, you have a road map to guide your investing to help you reach your financial goals. The important thing is that you keep your investments on track in order to reach your financial goals. 

Nick Murray may have said it best when he said,

“All financial success comes from acting on a plan. A lot of financial failures come from reacting to the market.”

Whether in real estate, stocks or even owning a business, you will never be able to achieve financial freedom without investing in assets and benefiting from the magic of compounding interest.

Few people will be able to save enough for a secure retirement without investing.

To read more: https://www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com/blog/make-money-in-stocks/


Sources:

  1. https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidrae/2020/03/10/4-investor-mistakes/#129fd4df15bb
  2. https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidrae/2020/03/22/is-now-the-time-to-buy-stocks/#3fca8a8d1829

Market Timing

“The idea that a bell rings to signal when investors should get into or out of the market is simply not credible. After nearly 50 years in this business, I do not know of anybody who has done it successfully and consistently. I don’t even know anybody who knows anybody who has done it successfully and consistently.” Jack Bogle

During the 2008 financial crisis and economic uncertainty, global financial markets were melting down and Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy protection.  The resulting economic recession and global slowdown brought unemployment rates in the U.S. as high as 10 percent.  And, the U.S. stock market lost trillion of dollars in value as the S&P 500 experienced a single day drop of 90.17 points, nearly 9.04 percent.

Americans, and specifically American investors, believed inherently that the global economy and financial markets were collapsing.  Fear and panic selling took hold worldwide.  Both professional and retail investors started to sell and it didn’t matter what they sold.  Yet, Warren Buffett was buying stocks that were rapidly falling in price when everyone else was panic selling and sprinting to cash.

“I will tell you how to become rich. Close the doors. Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful.” Warren Buffett

According to Buffett, “A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful,” he wrote in the NY Times.

Additionally, Buffett wrote in his 2018 shareholder letter.

“Seizing the opportunities when offered does not require great intelligence, a degree in economics or a familiarity with Wall Street jargon such as alpha and beta.  What investors then need instead is an ability to both disregard mob fears or enthusiasms and to focus on a few simple fundamentals. A willingness to look unimaginative for a sustained period — or even to look foolish — is also essential.”

There are several valuable lessons investors learned from the 2008 financial crisis that can be applied towards today pandemic driven crisis.  The lessons are based on the same principles that allowed Buffett to invest so effectively during the crisis. To sum them up:

  • Don’t panic and sell stocks simply because the market is crashing. When times get tough, Buffett is invariably a net buyer of stocks. For this reason, he keeps billions of dollars in cash on the sidelines — so he can take advantage during times of investors’ fear and panic selling.
  • Focus on best-in-breed companies trading at discounts. A great example was Buffett’s investment in Bank of America and Goldman-Sachs.
  • Don’t try to time the market. Just because the market has crashed doesn’t mean it can’t go down more. It certainly can. Instead of trying to invest at the absolute market bottom, focus on stocks you want to hold for the long term.
  • Understand that no stock or industry is completely immune. Back then, many investors had a disproportionate amount of their portfolio in financial stocks because they were thought to be safe.  Essentially, no stock or industry are safe.

Warren Buffett believes intrinsically that “it is a waste of time and hazardous to investment success trying to time the market”.  In a 1994 annual letter to shareholders, Buffett wrote:

“I never have an opinion about the market because it wouldn’t be any good and it might interfere with the opinions we have that are good.  If we’re right about a business, if we think a business is attractive, it would be very foolish for us to not take action on that because we thought something about what the market was going to do. … If you’re right about the businesses, you’ll end up doing fine.”


Bottom line: As long as investors keep a level head and maintain a long-term perspective as Buffett does, investors should come out of it just fine, if not stronger than they went in.


Sources:

  1. https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/14/warren-buffetts-rule-for-investing-during-the-financial-crisis.html
  2. https://www.fool.com/investing/2018/09/23/10-years-later-warren-buffett-and-the-financial-cr.aspx
  3.  https://www.cnbc.com/2018/05/08/warren-buffett-says-he-never-tries-to-time-stocks-i-never-have-an-opinion-about-the-market.html
  4. https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/24/highlights-from-warren-buffetts-annual-letter.html

Financial Goal Setting

“If you are bored with life, if you don’t get up every morning with a burning desire to do things – you don’t have enough goals.” Lou Holtz

Research shows that our brains are a goal-seeking organism.  Whatever personal or financial goals we give our subconscious mind will allow it to work night and day to achieve them. However, one goal isn’t good enough for our subconscious minds.

Some goals take longer to achieve than others, like buying a house or saving for retirement. If you spend years working toward only one objective, you’re likely to get discouraged when it doesn’t happen right away.

But when you have multiple goals you’d like to achieve, goals that align with your values and beliefs, you have more to strive for, and more opportunities to check those goals off your list. And the accomplishment you feel every time you complete a goal will inspire you to accomplish even more of them

Actions overcomes fear

Jack Canfield, author of Chicken Soup for the Soul™, states categorically that “the biggest reason most people don’t achieve their goals and realize their dreams is that they don’t take action, and the number one reason people don’t take action is fear.”

“There is a one thing that 99 percent of “failures” and “successful” folks have in common — they all hate doing the same things. The difference is successful people do them anyway.” Darren Hardy

People whom achieve their goals versus those whom fail has everything to do with overcoming the paralysis of fear versus taking action. The people who achieve great success in life are the ones who are willing to take consistent action toward realizing their dreams. They consistently push through their fear and take steps to make their goals happen, no matter what others may think or say about it.

Goal achievers make countless small decisions, they plan and they take deliberate actions every single day that keep them on target toward achieving their dreams. Because without deliberate action, your goals simply are not going to be achieved.

No matter how ambitious the goals or how brilliant the plans, if you’re not prepared to take deliberate action to reach them, they’re not really goals at all—they’re just dreams.

Start with goals you can achieve

Every successful investing journey starts with a set of clear goals.

Appropriate financial goals for an investor should be specific, measurable, attainable, reasonable and timed with a deadline (SMART). Successful achievement of goals should not depend upon unrealistic or outsize market returns or upon impractical saving or draconian spending requirements.

Defining goals clearly and being realistic about ways to achieve them can help protect investors from common mistakes that often derail their progress. Here we show that:

  • Recognizing constraints, especially those that involve risk-taking, is essential to developing an investment plan.
  • A basic financial plan will include specific, attainable expectations about action steps and monitoring.
  • Discouraging results often come from not following a financial plan, chasing overall market returns, an unsound investment strategy that can seduce investors who lack well-grounded plans for achieving their goals.
  • Without a plan, investors can be tempted to build a portfolio based on transitory factors such as fund ratings—something that can amount to a “buy high, sell low” strategy.

Life financial goals

Make a list of financial goals you’d like to achieve in your life. Be as specific as possible. Include details such as when they will happen, where they will happen, how much you’ll make, what model you’ll buy, what size it will be, and so on.

Keep your goals somewhere you can review them every morning. Put your goals on a poster or piece of paper where you read each night before you fall asleep.

Keep goals at the top of mind, you’ll be more likely to make them a reality. Reaching your retirement savings goals starts with developing a retirement plan. Fidelity Investments has developed a set of retirement guidelines based on 4 key metrics:

  • Yearly savings rate,
  • Savings factor to help you see where you stand,
  • Income replacement rate, and
  • Potentially sustainable withdrawal rate.

“Unsuccessful people carry their goals around in their head like marbles rattling around in a can, and we say goals that are not in writing are merely fantasies.” Darren Hardy

Writing your goals down is the first step in turning your dreams into a reality. If you keep goals in your head you’re not likely to focus and work on them consistently. Thus, it is important to write down all your goals. Whether it’s short-term or long-term goals, it is essential to list every goal in writing.

Writing it down will have a powerful effect on your subconscious mind to help you visualize and achieve your biggest dreams. Remember, a goal is a dream defined and written down.

Make Goals Real by Writing Them Down

Goals are a very effective way to build your self-belief because properly set goals require you to stretch a little outside of your comfort zone; causing you to expand your comfort zone as you achieve the goal.

With clear and measurable goals, investors can create a realistic plan for achieving their objectives within a certain time frame. Make a list of your short-term and long-term savings goals.

If you write down your goals, you’re more likely to achieve them. Think of them as a road map to where you want to go—and make them practical and attainable. Take a simple approach:

  1. Divide your financial goals into three categories: short term (less than one year); medium term (one to five years) and long term (more than five years).
  2. Attach a dollar amount to each goal. For instance, a short-term goal might be a family vacation. How much will it cost?
  3. The more specific you can be, the more motivated you’ll be to work toward that goal.

Goal Attainment Requires Believing in Yourself

Everything you have in your life is a result of your belief in yourself and the belief that all things are possible. According to Jack Canfield, the four most important steps to learning how to believe in yourself are:

  • Believe it’s possible. Believe that you can do it regardless of what anyone says or where you are in life.
  • Visualize it. Think about exactly what your life would look like if you had already achieved your dream.
  • Act as if. Always act in a way that is consistent with where you want to go.
  • Take action towards your goals. Do not let fear stop you, nothing happens in life until you take action.

Incorporate and practice these four steps.

Mistakes Investors Make

One of the biggest mistakes investors regularly make when goals and a plan are absent is to confuse investing with stock picking. Ask many people how their money is invested and they quickly tell you the latest hot stock they’ve purchased and the investment thesis that explains why they think it’s going to take off.

Saving for retirement and building an emergency fund should be the highest priorities, followed by other long-term financial goals, like college, travel, or a house. You can contribute a small amount to each goal or pick a couple to focus on first. Decide how much you need to save to reach those goals.


Sources:

  1. https://www.jackcanfield.com/about-jack-canfield/
  2. https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/retirement/retirement-guidelines