Category Archives: Investing

Long-term Investing Perspective

Posted on by

Warren Buffett once said, “Someone is sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”

One tried and true investment philosophy is investing with a long-term perspective. In essence, the time-arbitrage approach gives long-term investors an edge. Most investors are focused on the short term, basing trading decisions on factors that may have little to do with business fundamentals, such as quarterly earnings beat or miss or overall market volatility.

Long-term investors often adopt a long-term perspective while taking advantage of the shortsightedness and noise of the market. They tend to conduct extensive research and conduct a deep dive into the fundamentals of every company in which they are considering an investment.

Their extensive research allows them to develop an informed and thorough understanding of the longer-term secular advantages of these companies. Ultimately, they are more interested in the duration of a company’s growth opportunity rather than being overly focused on its timing.

They like to invest early before a company is on the market’s radar because they believe it’s impossible to pinpoint precisely when the market will notice and start trading the stock up to reflect its growth opportunity properly. This is a vital part of the engine that drives alpha for us.

Low turnover is an outgrowth of this investment process rather than a goal in and of itself. If they find and invest in the right companies, they believe that it makes little sense to replace these companies with new and relatively untested ones. Wsupported remain invested throughout the duration of the growth trajectory of our highest conviction companies. We also believe this is a more tax efficient approach to managing a portfolio and one that is often attractive to company management who are aware of our reputation as long-term holders of stock.

Your primary goal must be capital appreciation, and you should stay involved as companies grow and flourish as long as your investment thesis holds true.

The best risk management starts with knowing the companies in which you invest. By conducting extensive research prior to initiating a position in a company and continuing to conduct due diligence will keep you apprised of the company’s growth story.

Tesla – Electric Vehicles

Posted on by

Tesla is planning to build another factory overseas, There is a demand across the globe by several nations wanting the plant to built.

Tayyip Erdogan, the president of Turkey, would like the next Tesla factory to be built in his country. Erdogan asked the Tesla CEO to put the eighth factory for its electric vehicles in Turkey.

Musk mentioned India as a possible place to make a low-cost electric vehicle. Tesla is currently building a factory in Mexico.

Saudi Arabia is also vying for the new plant. Attracting Tesla would be part of a push by Saudi Arabia to secure metals needed for EVs in Africa as the country tries to diversify its economy away from oil, reports Barron’s.

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

Posted on by

 

  • The ROIC is the operating profit divided by the invested capital. It tells us how much money the company can generate with new capital by investing in profitable projects.
  • The ROIC basically explains how much shareholder wealth could be generated in the future and is oftentimes highly correlated with a high P/E.

Return on invested capital, or ROIC, is a valuable financial ratio  A high ROIC rewards companies that are able to produce the most net operating profit with the least amount of invested capital.

The basics of ROIC are very simple: it basically tells us how much profits are generated (financials statement) compared to how much capital is invested in the company (balance sheet), provided as a percentage. If the ROIC is 10%, it tells us that the company is generating $10 of profits with each $100 that it invested in the company.

ROIC is net operating profit minus taxes minus dividends divided by invested capital:

Image placeholder title

ROIC is net operating profit minus taxes minus dividends divided by invested capital:

ROIC is a measure of how much cash a company gets back for each dollar it invests in its business.

ROIC is a much better predictor of company performance than either return on assets or return on equity. In ROA and ROE, the key metric is net income. Net income often has nothing to do with the profitability of a company. Significant expenses are not included in net income such as interest income, discontinued operations, minority interest, etc. which can make a company look profitable when it is not. Also, ROA measures how much net income a company generates for each dollar of assets on its balance sheet. The problem with using this metric is that companies can carry a lot of assets that have nothing to do with their operations, so ROA isn’t always an accurate measure of profitability.

ROE has similar limitations as ROA. ROE is a measure of company profit compared to shareholder equity. Although this might seem a reasonable metric, many companies use financial leverage to raise ROE. Companies often increase debt levels to repurchase shares, thereby increasing ROE. Using this financial leverage to affect ROE does not accurately reflect a company’s profitability, returns or long-term prospects.

Companies with higher-than-median ROIC (when viewed in conjunction with their overall capital-expenditure and operating-expenditure strategy) will deliver better returns.

Valuation biasedness is one of the most common investing errors.

Some investors prefer picking a stock which is “undervalued” rather than buying a more expensive stock with strong long-term fundamentals. As a consequence, they oftentimes end up with “value traps” which actually destroy shareholder value over time. One of the reasons for this is that they know how to “value” a company (via multiples etc.), but lack the ability to determine the quality of a company and its potential to drive long-term value for shareholders.

The most important metric will tell you whether you are buying a good company that is able to generate strong future shareholder wealth: the return on invested capital (“ROIC”).

Basically, investors should look for a high (+10%) and consistent ROIC. In the long run, the ROIC can be a leading indicator of what an investor may expect from longer term stock returns.

References:

  1. https://www.thestreet.com/opinion/10-stocks-with-high-return-on-invested-capital-and-why-you-should-care-13279076

Small Cap Stock Investing

Posted on by

Small Cap Stocks

The Real Value of Wealth

Posted on by

Invest first before living like a King and Queen

Asset vs Liability

Son: Dad, may I speak with you?
Dad: Go ahead.
Son: Among all my classmates, I am the only one without a car. It is embarrassing.
Dad: What do you want me to do?
Son: I need a car. I don’t want to feel odd.
Dad: Do you have a particular car in mind?
Son: Yes dad (smiling)
Dad: How much?
Son: $15K
Dad: I will give you the money on one condition.
Son: What is the condition?
Dad: You will not use the money to buy a car but invest it. If you make enough profit from the investment, you can go ahead and buy the car.
Son: Deal.

Then, the father gave him a check of $15K. The son cashed the check and invested it in obedience to the verbal agreement that he had with his father.

Some months later, the father asked the son how he was faring. The son responded that his business was improving. The father left him.

After some months again, the father asked him about his business again and the son told him that he is making a lot of profit from the business.

When it was exactly a year after he gave him the money, the father asked him to show him how far the business has gone. The son readily agreed and the following discussion took place:

Dad: From this I can see that you have made a lot of money.
Son: Yes dad.
Dad: Do you still remember our agreement?
Son: Yes
Dad: What is it?
Son: We agreed that I should invest the money and buy the car from the profit.
Dad: Why have you not bought the car?
Son: I don’t need the car. I want to invest more.
Dad: Good. You have learned the lessons that I wanted to teach you.
– You didn’t really need the car, you just wanted to feel apart of the crowd. That would have placed extra financial obligations on you. It wasn’t an asset then; but a liability.
– Two, it is very important for you to invest in your future before living like a king.
Son: Thanks dad.

Then the father gave him the keys of the latest model of that car.

MORALS:
1. Always invest first before you start living the way you want.

2. What you see as a need now may become a want if you can take a little time to get over your feelings.

3. Try to be able to distinguish between an asset and a liability so that what you see as an asset today will not become a liability to you tomorrow.

Investing Advice

Posted on by

Investor Stan Druckenmiller says one of his mentors taught him two crucial things:

• Never invest in the present; look 18 months out.
• The central bank moves the market, not earnings.

“If you invest in the present, you’re going to get run over!”

Compound interest – By saving $10, you are really saving $100 or $1,000 [because of the future compound growth of the $10], and this compounding growth requires a little wait and patience.

https://twitter.com/joincommonstock/status/1661902483147612160?s=61&t=8ACS6bcx2PFMgdLuBnL1JQ

Posted on by

Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones II, Tudor Group’s Founder and Chief Investment Officer, is one of the pioneers of the modern-day hedge fund industry.  He is known for his macro trades, particularly his bets on interest rates and currencies.

In 1980, he founded Tudor Investment Corporation, which now manages $13 billion in assets.

Between 1989 to 2014, he generated compounded annual returns of nearly 20% without a single down year.

Tudor considers himself one of the most conservative investors in the world.  He would describe himself as the “single most conservative investor on earth”, and he “absolutely hates losing money.” Once he commented that his grandfather told him at a very early age that “you are only worth what you can write a check for tomorrow.”

Thus, his investment philosophy is that he does not take a lot of risks, instead, he looks “for opportunities with tremendously skewed reward-risk opportunities.” Others describe his strategy as: ‘Don’t be a hero. Don’t have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability. Don’t ever feel that you are very good. The second you do, you are dead”

Source:  https://www.tudor.com/