Category Archives: Long-Term

Own Your Net Worth and Cash Flow

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8 out of 10 women will be solely responsible for their financial well-being. Some women will be ready. Many won’t. UBS Wealth Management Report

As women’s life expectancies increase and the rate of divorce for individuals over age 50 continues to climb, more women will find themselves solely responsible for their own current and long term financial well-being.

UBS Wealth Management embarked on research–Own Your Worth–to explore women’s thoughts and feelings, the challenges they faced, lessons they learned and advice they would impart to other women.

With the wisdom of hindsight, nearly 60% of widows and divorcees regrettably wish they had been more involved in long-term financial decisions while they were married, according to UBS’ findings. A full 98% of them urge other women to become more involved early on.

Unfortunately, too many women ignore the advice of widows and divorcees. In direct contrast to the advice, many married women are taking a lesser role in managing the household finances. In a counterintuitive twist, Millennials are the most willing to leave investing and financial planning decisions to their husbands.

Fifty-six percent of married women still leave investment decisions to their husbands, according to UBS. Surprisingly, 61% of Millennial women do so, more than any other generation. What’s more, most women are quite content with their backseat role when it comes to investing and financial planning.

UBS’ research reveals many reasons for women’s abdication, from historical and social precedents to family, gender roles and confidence levels.

So. why do women minimize their role in major financial decisions? According to USB’ research, the reasons vary:

  • Gender roles run deep – Gender roles are ingrained from early in life and often prove hard to shake. In many cases, married couples are simply imitating the gender roles they witnessed growing up.
  • Men are still the breadwinners – Within families, 70% of men are the main breadwinners, in part because of the gender pay gap and the career breaks women take to raise children.
  • Time constraints are challenging – Whether married or not, women have many demands on their time. They take on the majority of household duties, including childcare and chores, as well as paying bills and tracking spending.
  • Competence vs. confidence – Together, history and society have conspired to affect women’s financial confidence. Both women and men think men know more about investing, and women are less confident than men in making major financial decisions. Women consistently underestimate their own abilities while overestimating what is required to be financially involved.

Yet, most study respondents participated in some financial decisions while married, from handling cash flow and bills to saving and investing. Regardless of their level of engagement, however, most agree it wasn’t enough. The research shows:

  • 59% of widows and divorcees wish they had been more involved in long-term financial decisions
  • 74% don’t consider themselves very knowledgeable about investing
  • 64% of widows blame themselves for not being more financially involved (53% of divorcees)
  • 56% of widows and divorcees discover financial surprises
  • 53% would have done fewer household chores to find more time for finances
  • 79% of women who remarry take a more active role

USB recommends three actions to take today

The advice from women who have been there is clear: The time to become involved in your family’s present and future financial well-being is today, not when some unforeseen events happen in the future.

Women are encouraged to get involved in their financial well-being as a form of self care, much in the same way you would take care of your health by:

  1. Owning your worth – Know where you stand and what you want for the future. Take the time to add up your assets and liabilities, like loans, credit and other debts, and ask for full transparency from your partner.
  2. Finding your voice – Start the conversation with your partner. Talking about money is considered taboo to some couples, particularly before they are married. But if you found yourself alone tomorrow, do you know what you’d do to make sure you’re financially secure? There is a tremendous benefit to having open communication about money with a trusted confidante.
  3. Setting an example – Model financial partnership for your family and loved ones. According to our survey, women are repeating the gender roles they saw growing up. As you begin taking a more active role in your finances, you can set an example of financial partnership for the younger generation.

Though women are aware of their increasing longevity and the financial needs associated with it, most tend to focus their efforts on short-term financial responsibilities such as managing the household’s day-to-day expenses and paying the bills.

In contrast, taking charge of long-term financial decisions, such as investing, financial planning and insurance, can have far more impact on their future than balancing a checkbook.

By sharing decisions jointly, both women and men can face the future with optimism—and set an example of financial partnership for generations to come.

Almost 60% of women do not engage in the most important aspects of their financial well-being: investing, insurance, retirement and other long-term planning. USB Wealth Management Report

References:

  1. https://www.ubs.com/content/dam/WealthManagementAmericas/documents/2018-37666-UBS-Own-Your-Worth-report-R32.pdf
  2. https://www.ubs.com/us/en/investor-watch/own-your-worth/_jcr_content/mainpar/toplevelgrid_1797264592/col2/teaser/linklist/link_2127544961.2019551086.file/PS9jb250ZW50L2RhbS9XZWFsdGhNYW5hZ2VtZW50QW1lcmljYXMvZG9jdW1lbnRzL293bi15b3VyLXdvcnRoLXJlcG9ydC5wZGY=/own-your-worth-report.pdf

Sequence of Returns Risk in Retirement

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A stock market pullback can pose a risk early in retirement.

Retirees face many risks when investing for retirement. Markets crash, inflation can eat into your returns, you might even worry about outliving your savings. And, there’s another big retirement risk: Sequence of returns risk.

Down markets can pose significant “sequence of returns” risk in the early years of retirement. Sequence risk is the danger that the timing of withdrawals from a retirement account will have a negative impact on the overall rate of return available to the investor, according to Investopedia.

A “sequence of returns” risk is basically about how the order, or sequence, of stock returns over time — combined with your portfolio withdrawals — can impact your balance down the road.

Once you start withdrawing income, you’re affected by the change in the sequence in which the returns occurred. During your retirement years, if a high proportion of negative returns occur in the beginning years of your retirement, it will have a lasting negative effect and reduce the amount of income you can withdraw over your lifetime.

Timing is everything. Sequence risk is the danger that the timing of withdrawals from a retirement account will damage the investor’s overall return. Account withdrawals during a bear market are more costly than the same withdrawals in a bull market.

“If there’s a big loss in the market and you’re taking withdrawals, you could be taking more from your portfolio than what it can make up for,” said certified financial planner Avani Ramnani, managing director at Francis Financial in New York. “If that happens early in retirement … the recovery may be very weak and put you in danger of not recovering at all or being lower than where you would have been and therefore jeopardizing your retirement lifestyle.”

One of the basic rules of investing is that a long-term strategy is self-correcting. And, for long-term investors — those whose retirement is many years or decades away — such market drops matter less because there’s time for their portfolios to recover from this risk before they need to start relying on that money for cash flow in retirement.

Retirement is a long game.

Since running out of money in retirement is the primary concern for most retirees, fortunately, there are options for mitigating the risk:

  • Plan to spend more conservatively since the less you spend consistently, the less you have to withdraw overall.
  • Withdraw and spend less when your portfolio performance is suffering. 
  • Reduce the risk in your portfolio by creating a low stock allocation early in retirement but increase it over time, or use bonds for short-term expenses and stocks for long-term ones.
  • Set aside assets outside your investment portfolio that can support your spending needs when stocks are underperforming.

You may simply be able to meet your goals without taking on the risk that comes with stocks.

Key Takeaways

Sequence of return risk is basically the risk that market declines in the early years of retirement, paired with ongoing withdrawals, could significantly reduce the longevity of your portfolio. Thus, timing is everything, and in retirement early market declines, particularly if they are paired with rising inflation, can have a huge effect on how long a nest egg can sustain you in retirement.

The recommended way to mitigate sequence of returns risk when you can’t predict future market performance or future rates of inflation is by managing spending and/or keeping a portion of your portfolio in liquid assets, such as cash or bonds, to ride out the market downturn.

When market returns are high and inflation is low, retirees can distribute more from their portfolios, according to Forbes Advisor Staff Editors Rob Berger and Benjamin Curry. When market returns are negative and inflation is higher than expected, retirees reduce the amount of their annual distributions.

Remember, no one can forecast market performance or economic inflation. Yet, by managing your spending, you can adjust annual withdrawal amounts to reflect inflation and market returns.

References:

  1. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/sequence-risk.asp
  2. https://www.thebalance.com/how-sequence-risk-affects-your-retirement-money-2388672
  3. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/09/21/stock-market-pullback-is-a-big-risk-early-in-retirement-what-to-know.html
  4. https://www.forbes.com/advisor/retirement/sequence-of-returns-risk/

Patience is the Key to 10X Investing

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“The stock market is a device to transfer money from the impatient to the patient.”  Warren Buffett

Patience and successful investing are necessary natural partners. Investing is a long-term prospect, the benefits of which typically come after many years. Patience, too, is a behavior where the benefits are mostly long-term. To be patient is to endure some short-term sacrifice or difficulty for a future reward. Patience is an important investment skill which we need to develop more fully and learning it could help you reach your financial goals.

Patience involves staying calm in situations where you lack control. Being a patient investor might not be easy, but there are tools to help you overcome impatience. Here are a few strategies you can use to cultivate patience and clarity of thought in your investing decisions.

  • Have a plan and think long term. Set long-term financial goals and keep them front of mind during volatile times. A written financial plan is a great idea. Long-term thinking helps you mentally separate your investing journey from your long-term financial destination. Keeping a long-term perspective will give you the psychological fortitude you need to grow your portfolio over the long term.
  • Understand that market volatility is normal. Market volatility is a normal part of life. It might still be unpleasant in the moment, but recognizing that you’ll encounter volatile markets will help you mentally prepare for corrections or other downturns.
  • Look for fear or fundamentals. Consider whether a recent stock decline reflects investor fear or actual negative fundamentals. If markets are driven more by fear, you may not need to worry too much about it: Fear-based corrections often turn around quickly. Even if fundamentals have declined, markets may be pricing in a future far worse than reality. In either situation, be patient and stick to your investment strategy.
  • Remember, time is on your side. Take solace in the long history of capital markets. Corrections are temporary and usually brief, and even bear markets eventually end. Historically, markets go up far more often and by a much greater margin than they go down. Owning stocks for the long term is one of the best ways to profit from economic progress, innovation and compound growth.

Time and patience are two of the most potent factors in investing because it brings the magic of something Albert Einstein once called the 8th wonder of the world- Compounding. It’s not easy, but hopefully these practices can help you focus on the long term and take comfort in stocks’ exceptional performance history.

Its difficult to be patient

Your brain makes it hard to be patient. Human beings were designed to react to threats, either real or perceived. Stressful situations trigger a physiological response in people. This is called the “fight-or-flight” response — either attack or run away, whatever helps alleviate the threat.

The problem is, your mind doesn’t recognize the difference between true physical danger and psychological triggers, like a market crash. Being patient is difficult because it means overcoming these natural instincts. Turbulent financial markets can trigger the response causing real-world impacts you’ll need patience to overcome.

During pandemic-driven bear market, your brain perceives a threat to your financial well-being. Even though stock market volatility isn’t a physical threat, the fight-or-flight response kicks in, emotion takes over, and your brain starts telling you to do something. Your investment portfolio is perceived as being harmed and your metabolically influenced to take action.

With investing, action too often translates into selling something because selling feels like you’re shielding your portfolio from further harm. But selling at the wrong time — like in the middle of a major downturn — is one of the biggest investment mistakes you can make.

If you can find a way to invest inexpensively in the market and stay in the market, you can start to build your net worth. Success in investing requires patience.

“In the end, how your investments behave is much less important than how you behave.” Benjamin Graham

You need patience when what you are invested in is performing poorly—and you need it when what you don’t own is performing well.

one of the most valuable traits an investor can have is patience. If you are a patient investor and decide on great businesses, there is virtually no scenario where you will not make money.

Investing your money in great companies over time will grow into a fortune. Switching in and out of investments cost investors significant returns over time.

“Waiting helps you as an investor and a lot of people just can’t stand to wait. If you didn’t get the deferred-gratification gene, you’ve got to work very hard to overcome that.”  Charlie Munger

When it comes to investing, staying invested is quite often the most prudent and smartest approach for long-term investors. While there will always be market volatility and corrections, the key to successful investing is to stay focused on your goals.

References:

  1. https://www.entrepreneur.com/video/342261
  2. https://www.etmoney.com/blog/time-and-patience-two-key-virtues-to-become-successful-in-investing/
  3. https://www.thestreet.com/thestreet-fisher-investments-investor-opportunity/patience-the-most-underused-investing-skill

Believe in the Power of Compounding

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“Compounding is the eighth wonder of the world.” Albert Einstein

It is said that Albert Einstein once noted that the most powerful force in the universe is the principle of compounding. In simple terms, compound interest means that you begin to earn interest on the interest you receive, which multiplies your money at an accelerating rate. This is one significant reason for the success of many top investors.

Believe in the power of compounding

The key to successful investing is patience to search and wait for great companies that are selling for half or less than what they were worth (intrinsic value), and to hold the investment for the forever. The task is to try to buy a dollar of value for a fifty cents price, and to hold the investment for the long term.

  • Compound interest is the interest you earn on interest.
  • Compounding allows exponential growth for your principal.
  • Compounding interest can be good or bad depending on whether you are a saver or a borrower.
  • Think of stocks as a small piece of a business
  • Think of Investment fluctuations, volatility, are a benefit to a patient investor, rather than a curse.
  • Focus your attention on businesses where you think you understand the competitive advantages
  • The more people respond to short term events allow patient and value investors to make a lot of money.
  • Buy stocks when things are cheap. It’s important to control your emotions.

The key is that if you spend less than you earn, you put something away, and that little something can become more and more and eventually what you want to do is you want to be your own boss.” Mohnish Prbrai

Four important factors that determine how your money will compound:

  1. The profit you earn on your investment.
  2. The length of time you can leave your money to compound. The longer your money remains uninterrupted, the bigger your fortune can grow.
  3. The tax rate and the timing of the tax you have to pay to the government. You will earn far more money if you do not have to pay taxes at all or if the taxes are deferred.
  4. The risk you are willing to take with your money. Risk will determine the return potential, and ultimately determine whether compounding is a realistic expectation.

Rule of 72

The Rule of 72 is a great way to estimate how your investment will grow over time. If you know the interest rate, the Rule of 72 can tell you approximately how long it will take for your investment to double in value. Simply divide the number 72 by your investment’s expected rate of return (interest rate).

“The first rule of compounding: Never interrupt it unnecessarily. The elementary mathematics of compound interest is one of the most important models there is on earth.” Warren Buffett

The power of compounding is truly visible with billionaire investor Warren Buffett, the Oracle of Omaha. He first became a billionaire at the age of 56 in 1986. Today, his net worth is over $100 billion at the age of 90-plus. And that’s after he donated tens of billions of stock to charity. His wealth is due to compounding, over 99% of the billionaire’s net worth was built after the age of 56.

When you understand the time value of money, you’ll see that compounding and patience are the ingredients for wealth. Compounding is the first step towards long-term wealth creation.

References:

  1. https://www.thebalance.com/the-power-of-compound-interest-358054
  2. https://www.valuewalk.com/2020/07/power-compounding-getting-rich/

Financial Metrics for Evaluating a Stock

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“If you don’t study any companies, you have the same success buying stocks as you do in a poker game if you bet without looking at your cards.” Peter Lynch

Anyone can be successful investing in the stock market. But, it does take thorough research, patience, discipline and resilience. And, it’s important to appreciate that “Behind every stock, there is a company. Find out what it’s doing”, says Peter Lynch, who managed the Fidelity Magellan Fund from 1977 to 1990 and achieved an impressive return which reportedly averaged over 20% per year.

With a long-term view to investing, Lynch would patiently wait for the company to become recognized by Wall Street for its growth, which subsequently unleashed an explosive rise in its stock price as smart money and institutional investors rush to buy stock.

In his book “One Up On Wall Street”, he reveals his principles and metrics for successful investing. Here are 11 financial metrics investors can utilize to evaluate a company’s value:

  1. Market Cap – Shows the current size and scale of the company. “If a picture is worth a thousand words, in business, so is a number.” Peter Lynch
  2. Strong Balance Sheet (Cash on Hand / Long Term Debt to Equity) – Shows how financially sound a business has become and its capacity to withstand an economic downturn. Determine if the company’s cash has been increasing and long term debt has been decreasing?
  3. Sales and Earnings Growth Rates – Shows if the business model works & current growth rate
  4. Free Cash Flow – Shows if company generating or burning through cash
  5. Returns on Capital (ROE / ROIC / ROA)- shows capital efficiency of business
  6. Margins (Gross Profit Margin / Operating Margin / Profit Margin / Net Income) – Shows current profit profile of products, spending rates, & potential for operating leverage
  7. Total Addressable Market – What is market size and long term growth potential for the company.
  8. Long Term (5+ years) Stock Performance vs. market – has the stock created or destroyed value for shareholders. “In the long run, it’s not just how much money you make that will determine your future prosperity. It’s how much of that money you put to work by saving it and investing it.” Petere Lynch
  9. Current Valuation (Price to Sales / Price to Earnings / Price to Book / Price to FCF) – How expensive or inexpensive is the stock price.or is the company reasonably priced. “If you can follow only one bit of data, follow the earnings (assuming the company in question has earnings). I subscribe to the crusty notion that sooner or later earnings make or break an investment in equities. What the stock price does today, tomorrow, or next week is only a distraction.” Peter Lynch
  10. Mission and Vision Statement – Understand why the company exist.  What is it doing. “Behind every stock is a company. Find out what it’s doing.” Peter Lynch
  11. Insider Ownership – Do insiders have skin in the game. SEC Filings. Information available on proxy statement.

Additionally, it is important to figure out:

  1. What is changing
  2. What is not changing
  3. Is there an underappreciation for either. “Your investor’s edge is not something you get from Wall Street experts. It’s something you already have. You can outperform the experts if you use your edge by investing in companies or industries you already understand.” Peter Lynch

Do that well, move on #3, you’re the best investor in the world.

As an investor, unless you understand the underlying business of a company, you will not be able to hold its stock when the price is falling. You could end up selling a great company out of fear – even though its price will recover in the future and give you great returns in the years to come. The ability to hold a good company even when its stock price is falling or undergoing a time correction – will play a crucial role in you becoming a successful investor.

In the long run, the stock price will go up only if the business of the company does well.

In Peter Lynch’s own words “I think you have to learn that there’s a company behind every stock, and that there’s only one real reason why stocks go up. Companies go from doing poorly to doing well or small companies grow to large companies”

If you like a stock, buy small quantity of shares. Study the company in more detail. Buy more shares if you like its business. As your understanding of the business increases, your conviction (confidence) will also increase, this will allow you to give higher allocation in your portfolio.

Categories of Stocks in the Stock Market

Peter Lynch divided different stocks into six categories

Slow Growers – Slow growers are those stocks that have a slow growth rate i.e. a low upward slope of earnings and revenue growth.These slow growers can be characterized by the size and generosity of their dividend. According to Peter Lynch, the only reason to buy these stocks are dividends.

The Stalwarts – The Stalwarts have an average growth rate as that of industry and are usually mid to large companies. They have an earnings growth between the 8-12 percent CAGR range. According to Peter Lynch, investors can get an adequate return from these stocks if they hold these stocks for a long time.

The Fast Growers – The fast growers are generally aggressive companies and they grow at an impressive rate of 15-25% per year. They are fast-growth stocks and grow at a comparatively faster rate compared to the industry average and competitors. However, Peter Lynch advises that one should be open-eyed when they own a fast grower. There is a great likelihood for the fast growers to get hammered if they run out of steam or if their growth is not sustainable.

The Cyclicals – Cyclical are stocks that grow at a very fast pace during their favorable economic cycle. The cyclical companies tend to flourish when coming out of a recession into a vigorous economy. Peter Lynch advises investors to own the cyclical only on the right part of the cycle i.e. when they are expanding. If bought at the wrong phase, it may even take them years before they perform. Timing is everything while investing in cyclical stocks.

The Turnarounds – The turnarounds are characterized as potential fatalities that have been badly hammered by the market for one or more of a variety of reasons but can make up the lost ground under the correct circumstances. Holding turnarounds can be very profitable if the management is able to turn the company as these stocks can be bought at a very low valuation by the investors. However, if the management fails to bring back the company on track, it can be very troublesome for the investors.

Asset Plays – Asset Plays are those stocks whose assets are overlooked by the market and are undervalued. These assets may be properties, equipment, or other real assets that the company is holding but which is not valued by the investors when there has been a general market downturn. The real value may be worth more than the market capitalization of the company. Peter Lynch suggests owning a few of these stocks in your portfolio as they are most likely to add a lot of value to your portfolio. However, the biggest significant factor while picking these stocks is to carefully estimate the right worth of the assets. If you are able to do it, you can pick valuable gems.

“Average investors can become experts in their own field and can pick winning stocks as effectively as Wall Street professionals by doing just a little research.” Peter Lynch

Infinity income – When your income from investments is higher than your expenses, you might be able to live off those returns for 10 years, 30 years, 50 years… or forever!

References:

  1. https://stockinvestingtoday.blog/the-investing-style-of-peter-lynch?
  2. https://www.thebalance.com/peter-lynch-s-secret-formula-for-valuing-a-stock-s-growth-3973486
  3. https://goldenfs.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/summary-One-Up-On-Wall-Street-Peter-Lynch-2-scaled.jpg

Investing Goals, Time Horizon and Risk Tolerance

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When it involves investing, it’s important that you start with your financial goals, time horizon and risk tolerance.

At times in calendar year 2020, the global economy seemed on the verge of collapse. Risk, ruin and enormous opportunity were the big stories of the year. Overall, the year was marked by change, opportunity, calamity and resilience in the financial markets.

Yet, in the financial markets, winners dramatically outweighed the losers, according to Forbes Magazine. Almost overnight, new winners were born in communications, technology, lodging and investments. Innovative technology companies in the S&P 500 Index propelled U.S. markets higher. And, many industries were more resilient than expected, in part because of an unprecedented monetary and fiscal response from Washington.

In light of the unprecedented upheaval, you, like everyone else, want to see their money grow over the long term, but it’s important to determine what investments best match your own unique financial goals, time horizon and tolerance for risk.

To learn the basics of investing, it might help to start at one place, take a few steps, and slowly expand outward.

Begin by Setting Goals

As an investor, your general aim should be to grow your money and diversify your assets. But your investing can take on many different forms.

For instance, it might help you to decide the investing strategies you intend to follow in order to grow your money. Such as whether you are interested in purchasing assets that could appreciate in value, such as equity stocks and funds, or play it relative safe with bonds and cash equivalents.

If you’re interested in investing in bonds, you will receive a steady stream of income over a predetermined time period, after which you expect repayment of your principal.

You might also be interested in pursuing both growth and income, via dividend stocks.

Learning to invest means learning to weigh potential returns against risk since no investment is absolutely safe, and there’s no guarantee that an investment will work out in your favor. In a nutshell, investing is about taking “calculated risks.”

Nevertheless, the risk of losing money—no matter how seemingly intelligent or calculated your approach—can be stressful. This is why it’s important for you to really get to know your risk tolerance level.  When it comes to your choice of assets, it’s important to bear in mind that some securities are riskier than others. This may hold true for both equity and debt securities (i.e., “stocks and bonds”).

Your investment time horizon can also significantly affect your views on risk. Changes in your outlook may require a shift in your investment style and risk expectations. For instance, saving toward a short-term goal might require a lower risk tolerance, whereas a longer investing horizon can give your portfolio time to smooth out the occasional bumps in the market. But again, it depends on your risk tolerance, financial goals, and overall knowledge and experience.

References:

  1. https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoinegara/2021/12/28/forbes-favorites-2020-the-years-best-finance–investing-stories/
  2. https://tickertape.tdameritrade.com/investing/learn-to-invest-money-17155

Roth IRA

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“Roth individual retirement accounts were created to help middle class earners set aside money for retirement that they wouldn’t have to pay taxes on at withdrawal.” Barron’s

The Roth individual retirement account (IRA) was created to provide an alternative to making non-deductible contributions to traditional IRAs. Roth IRAs are funded with after-tax dollars, which means at withdrawal at age 59 ½ the money is tax-free. Comparatively, traditional IRAs are funded with pre-tax dollars, so distributions are taxed at withdrawal.

You’re taxed or penalized when you withdraw your Roth IRA contributions and earnings if your Roth IRA account isn’t at least 5 years old or if you’re not yet 59½. The earnings portion of the withdrawal may be subject to taxes and a 10% penalty.

The contribution limit for Roth IRA accounts is $6,000 a year in 2021 (or $7,000 for people 50 and older).

There are also income restrictions for Roth IRA.

  • Single individuals with modified adjusted gross incomes (MAGI) of less than $125,000 in 2021 can contribute up to the limit, but their contributions are phased out if their MAGI is between $125,000 and $140,000.
  • If individuals earn more than $140,000, single taxpayers cannot contribute to a Roth IRA. For married couples filing jointly, the threshold is between $198,000 and $208,000 in 2021. 

Individuals can also use Roth conversions, where they take money from a traditional IRA and move it into a Roth after paying a one-time income tax on the transferred assets since pre-taxed dollars converted to a Roth are taxable at ordinary income rates. These transfers can also be known as a “backdoor Roth,” because they’re working around income limits to push money into these ultimately tax-free accounts. 

References:

  1. https://www.barrons.com/articles/peter-thiel-roth-ira-propublica-51624558641
  2. https://www.edwardjones.com/us-en/investment-services/account-options/retirement/roth-ira

Roth IRA Conversion

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A Roth individual retirement account (IRA) is off-limits for people with high annual incomes.

If your earnings put Roth IRA contributions out of reach, a backdoor Roth IRA conversion is an option that lets you enjoy the tax benefits of a Roth IRA. A backdoor Roth IRA is a strategy that helps you save retirement funds in a Roth IRA even though your annual income would otherwise disqualify you from accessing this type of individual retirement account.

Backdoor Roth IRA conversions are mainly useful for high earners whose annual income (plus access to workplace retirement plans) already make them ineligible for tax deductions for traditional IRA contributions.

Who Benefits from a Backdoor Roth?

  • High earners who don’t qualify to contribute under current Roth IRA rules.
  • Those who can afford the taxes for a Roth conversion and want to take advantage of future tax-free growth.
  • Investors who hope to avoid required minimum distributions (RMDs) when they reach age 72.

A general rule of thumb with Roth IRA conversions is that you will owe taxes on any money that has never been taxed before.

Roth IRA Conversion makes little Tax difference f

A Roth conversion will not make a significant difference to your retirement standard of living, according to an exhaustive new study.

The study findings reveal that “…only if you’re in the top 1% of retirement savers will a Roth conversion move the needle more than a little bit in your retirement.” The study, “When and for Whom Are Roth Conversions Most Beneficial?,” was conducted by Edward McQuarrie, a professor emeritus at the Leavey School of Business at Santa Clara University.

Unlike many previous analyses of Roth conversions, McQuarrie adjusted all his calculations by inflation and the time value of money, likely changes in tax rates, and a myriad other obvious and not-so-obvious factors.

McQuarrie finds that only if you have millions in your IRA or 401(k)—at least $2 million for an individual and $4 million for a couple—will your required minimum distributions in retirement be so large as to put you into even the middle tax brackets.

Only for those select few will the potential tax savings of a Roth conversion be significant. For most of the rest of us, we’ll likely be in lower tax brackets in retirement years, with an effective rate of 12% or less. That almost certainly will be lower than the tax we would pay for a Roth conversion during our peak earning years prior to retirement.

Even if tax rates themselves go up, furthermore, it’s still likely that your tax rate in retirement will be lower than preretirement. That’s because you’ll likely be at your peak earning years prior to retirement, when you might be undertaking a Roth conversion, and therefore in a relatively high tax bracket.

Once you stop working and retire, and are living on Social Security and the withdrawals from your retirement portfolio, your tax rate will most likely be lower—even if the statutory tax rates themselves have been increased in the interim.

Backdoor Roth IRA conversions lets you circumvent the prescribed AGI limits if your annual earnings put direct Roth IRA contributions out of reach.

References:

  1. https://www.forbes.com/advisor/retirement/backdoor-roth-ira/
  2. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/to-roth-or-not-to-roth-11623431970
  3. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3860359

The Five Simple Rules to Investing | TD Ameritrade

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Investing does not have to be complicated and can be a hedge to expected strong inflation.

https://youtu.be/NxEcO7ITtMo
 

“Global investment managers are more worried about the risk of inflation on markets than they are about the risk of Covid-19.” Bank of America survey

72% of global fund managers expect strong inflation to be transitory, despite US prices surging 5% year-on-year in May, according to Bank of America’s latest survey. The Bank of America survey polled 224 managers with $630 billion in assets under management between March 5 and 11, 2021.

In their collective opinions, trillions of dollars in federal stimulus spending in the United States helped set the economy on the path to recovery, but it’s also fueled concerns about ballooning levels of debt and the rapid inflation that could accompany the injection of so much money into the fragile economic system, according to an article in Forbes. 

Despite the risks, investor sentiment overall is still “unambiguously bullish,” the survey found, with 91% of fund managers expecting a stronger economy in the future and nearly half of fund managers are now expecting a v-shaped recovery in global markets. 

“Investors (are) bullishly positioned for permanent growth, transitory inflation and a peaceful Fed taper,” said Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at BofA, adding that 63% of the investors believe Fed will signal a taper by September.

References:

  1. https://www.forbes.com/sites/sarahhansen/2021/03/16/inflation-not-covid-19-is-now-the-biggest-risk-to-markets-bank-of-america-survey-shows/?sh=6f5fd2db3b1f
  2. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-markets-survey-bofa/investors-see-transitory-inflation-and-peaceful-fed-taper-bofa-survey-idUSKCN2DR0Z9

Letter from a Dead Husband|

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If something tragic were to happen to you, would your surviving family members be able to manage the family finances without you? Motley Fool

Devoted husband Bob Hassmiller asked himself this same question because he was concerned that his spouse wouldn’t be able to take care of the household finances if he passed away, according to an article posted by Motley Fool.

So he wrote his spouse a letter, called “A Letter From Your Dead Husband,” that he updated every year. This letter was a document that contains information and instructions to help your loved ones make sense of their financial life after you die. If something happened to him, his wife would have the letter providing detailed instructions about where to find everything she needed.

In Hassmiller’s “Letter From Your Dead Husband”, he included things that were important to him. Additionally, in the letter, he described why this is important and meaningful, both for him and his spouse.

But, before you begin, spend some time thinking about how you’d like to structure your letter. Do you want to create a giant table or spreadsheet in a program like Excel? Or do you prefer typing out instructions in a word processor? Maybe you want to use a hybrid of both approaches.

Before discussing the topics to include in your letter, keep in mind that federal and state laws often differ depending on where you’re located. Please use this as a basic guide — but financial and estate experts recommend you do your own research.

Have an introduction

Although it may seem self-explanatory, your letter should describe why this is important and meaningful, both for you and whomever you leave behind.

This is a good place to list the contact info for those who are part of your “financial team” (attorney, financial planner, executor, etc.).

You should also include the locations of your personal documents (Quicken files, utility bills, tax returns, etc.), as well as the locations of any legal documents and the names of anyone else who has copies. Don’t forget to include access instructions for safes, alarms, and websites.

Break down your accounts

List all the accounts that hold your money, including the account numbers. Leave no account unidentified! Be sure to note what is and isn’t automatically paid. You can also include a section for recurring and automatic payment accounts that your spouse may wish to stop — things such as Netflix, Amazon Prime, home loans, insurance, and others. Some types of accounts to consider include savings, checking, money market, CDs, brokerage accounts, retirement accounts (401(k), IRA, Roth IRA), and FSAs (health and dependent care).

List out your assets

Provide the physical locations of your non-monetary items that have value. Include identifying information such as license plates, VINs, insurance appraisals, etc.. Some assets to consider are real estate, personal property (autos, motorcycles, jewelry, artwork, etc.), stock or bond certificates held outside brokerage accounts, what’s owed you (money, goods, or services), business interests, Social Security income, and pension income.

Explain your liabilities

List all the debt or other liabilities in this section. List everything you owe, with account numbers and information about automatic payments, if applicable. Be sure to identify debts held in your name alone separately from what is held jointly by you and another person (spouse, business partner, etc.).

Liabilities to consider are credit card accounts, home equity loans or lines of credit, student loans, personal loans, mortgages, auto loans, business loans, and money, goods, or services you owe someone.

Run through your insurance

People sometimes forget how many different types of insurance they have. If you have minor children, it is wise to review your insurance needs about every three years. And be sure to list the term/renewal date of any insurance.

Some insurances to consider are life, health, disability, vehicle, home or renters, and property (you know, for Aunt Gertrude’s rubies that nobody wants to wear).

Collect your legal documents

Provide the locations of all your legal or other important documents, as well as who has hard copies.  Legal documents should include a will, a living will, instructions for final arrangements, trusts or a living trust, power of attorney, medical power of attorney or an advance directive, financial power of attorney, and account names and locations of any passwords.

You can also use this section to address the general disposition of your assets when you die.

Share your financial roadmap
Use this section to provide a summary of your existing finances. You want to give your spouse a general overview of how your finances are set up, what your short- and long-term goals are, and how those may change once you’re gone. Along with a net-worth summary and a list of all our investments.

List trusted financial advisor and their telephone number, especially if you have allowed your investments to become complicated.

Plan for your spouse’s future, and end with love
Your can dictate the disbursement items or money that you feel strongly about. But many people choose to leave everything in bulk to a spouse, giving them the flexibility to spend as they see fit. So make your general wishes known, and include any special instructions.

End your letters with a statement of love. Your completing this letter speaks of all the wonderful times you’ve planned for your future. The document should require only minimal “tweaking” in the future, though it should be a yearly reminder to you and your spouse that financial planning, too, is a sign of your love.

There’s no “right” way to write your letter, so do what makes sense for your family. Remember, this document is for them — make sure they’re comfortable using it!

References:

  1. https://www.fool.com/retirement/letter.aspx
  2. file:///C:/Users/ebrow/Downloads/DeadLetterChecklist.PDF