The Best Filing Age for Social Security Benefits

Filing for Social Security benefits at age 62 can offer a greater financial benefit in tax savings and capital accumulation than filing at 70 in the right circumstances, states Devin Carroll, author of “Social Security Basics: 9 Essentials That Everyone Should Know”l

There are several factors or variables you should consider:

  1. You want to make sure your money is going to last throughout your 30 years or more of retirement
  2. You want to make sure your Social Security filing decision is coordinated with your other financial assets and income
  3. You want to know if a Roth conversion would work for you (and how much to convert)
  4. You need a better estimate of a year-by-year retirement income plan
  5. You want to make sure that your retirement income strategy won’t cost you unnecessary local, state and federal income taxes
  6. You want to make sure you understand the right sequence to access your taxable, deferred and Roth retirement accounts

 

Retirement: Longevity Risk

In the TIAA Institute and George Washington University’s Global Financial Literacy Excellence Center (GFLEC) measure of Americans’ financial literacy, nearly two-thirds of U.S. adults were unable to correctly answer the one question that is perhaps the most pertinent when it comes to retirement financial planning: expected life expectancy.

The exact wording of the question depended on whether the respondent was male or female. For males, the question was:

“What is life expectancy among 60-year-old men in the U.S.?” Respondents were given four choices:

  • About 16 more years (age 76)
  • About 22 more years (age 82)
  • About 28 more years (age 88)
  • Don’t know

Female respondents received the identical question, except that it focused on the life expectancy of the average 60-year old woman, and the multiple choices listed different ages.

The correct answer for men is about 22 more years—until the age of 82. For women it is 25 more years, until age 85. Only 37% of all respondents got the question correct.

These results help to explain why relatively few retirees use annuities as part of their retirement planning and financing. If they don’t appreciate the very real risks of outliving their money (longevity risk), then they will tend to under-emphasize the benefits of a guaranteed lifetime income provided by annuities.

It’s worrying that this percentage is so low. As Annamaria Lusardi, a George Washington University professor and GFLEC’s Academic Director, pointed out, “if we want to create better retirement outcomes, we need to start by making sure people understand how long they are going to live in retirement.”


References:

  1. Mark Hulbert, Most People Can’t Answer This One Life-and-Death Question, Barron’s, January 14, 2023.

Retirement Dilemma and Social Security Benefits

In the past, the primary retirement goal for most Americans was to have an employer provided secure pension and guaranteed healthcare insurance lasting for as long as they lived, writes Martin Neil Baily, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under President Clinton, in a Barron’s article.

Today regarding retirement, Americans must fend for themselves, relying on their own savings and investments, and figuring out how to avoid running out of money.

With little fanfare, America has moved from a world of traditional pensions, where risks were absorbed by employers, to a system of individual retirement accounts where families must manage uncertainty including the fact that none of us knows how long we will live and what large expenses we may face, especially in healthcare.

There has been transformation in America’s retirement system from traditional pensions to individual retirement accounts and employers’ 401K plans.

The risks for a secure retirement have been partly mitigated by Social Security and Medicare, the foundation of the American retirement system. The programs have, for the most part, been successes, sharply lowering the poverty rate among the elderly and providing a backstop for middle-income households. For decades, Social Security and Medicare have lifted American seniors, survivors, and people with disabilities out of poverty.

Unfortunately, these federal programs are not on a sound financial footing thanks in part to Washington‘s dysfunction. The Social Security* trust fund for retirement and survivors’ benefits is expected to run out of money and reduce benefits to recipients in 2033, while the Medicare** hospital fund could run out in 2028. Thus, older Americans can now add policy uncertainty to their list of risks to retirement.

Americans are willing to take on the challenge of managing their own retirement, but they need additional federal government help to do it.

The first step towards solving the ‘retirement dilemma’ is for Americans to save enough, consistently. The best way to do this is through automatic retirement savings plans, like 401(k) plans. Employees would be enrolled in the plan automatically when hired, with contributions taken out of paychecks unless they chose to opt out. The self-employed can set up their own plans but it would help if state governments, or the federal government, would operate retirement savings plans open to everyone.

Current tax law favors retirement savings, but the benefit of this tax break, worth over $250 billion a year, accrues mostly to the rich. Tax reform should redistribute the benefit more equally to encourage middle-income families to save.

Saving a solid retirement nest egg is not enough. Savers don’t know what returns they will earn on their savings. Family members don’t know how long they will live (people often underestimate their lifetimes). They don’t know if they will need in-home care, or if they will have to enter an expensive nursing home. (Many families hoard their financial assets for fear they will need all their savings for end-of-life care).

What may be needed to help fix retirement is a good financial advisor, and a reformed retirement system.

Annuities are a way to avoid market and length-of-life uncertainty, but at present it is hard to find the right annuity at the right price. Employers should negotiate with providers to offer their employees the option of putting some of their retirement savings into an annuity that guarantees regular monthly payments, either throughout retirement or to protect against running out of money at the end of life. It is a way of creating an individualized “pension” plan.

Today’s workers need a retirement plan that is flexible and can move with them. The downside means that retirees are exposed to a lot of economic and market risks. Yet, reasonable policy reforms can invigorate insurance markets to help ameliorate risks. Employers owe it to their employees to make it easier to build a secure retirement.


References:

  1. Martin Neil Baily, The Way Americans Retire Has Changed Forever. Why Saving a Nest Egg Isn’t Enough. Barron’s Magazine, February 17, 2023.

* Social Security is a federal benefits program that pays benefits to retirees and workers who are disabled, as well as their family members and survivors. It is financed through a 12.4% tax split among employers and employees; self-employed individuals pay the entire 12.4%.

This tax money is deposited into the two Social Security trust funds: the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund and the Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund. The Social Security Administration pays current benefits and administrative costs out of these trust funds.

As early as 2034, Social Security trust fund will no longer be able to pay full benefits scheduled under current law. Although the trust funds’ projected shortfalls are typically attributed to lower birth rates and increased life expectancies for workers.

** Medicare has been a successful component of the American social safety net.

As of September, 65.1 million people were covered, 85 percent of them elderly. 
It is also expensive: During fiscal 2022, the program accounted for $710 billion in federal spending, which was 11.4 percent of the $6.2 trillion total, according to the Congressional Budget Office.

By 2028, the Medicare trust fund, which pays for hospitals, skilled nursing facilities and hospices, and is financed by payroll taxes, is expected to be exhausted.

Social Security Administration (SSA) Benefits Increase in 2023

Social Security Administration announced that the COLA will increase Social Security benefits by 8.7% beginning January 2023 — the largest since 1981. 

Approximately 70 million Americans will see a 8.7% increase in their Social Security benefits and Supplemental Security Income (SSI) payments in 2023. On average, Social Security benefits will increase by more than $140 per month starting in January 2023.

A COLA at the this level is almost unprecedented. There were only three other times since the start of automatic inflation adjustments that COLAs were higher (1979-1981)

The Social Security Administration (SSA) will mail COLA notices throughout the month of December to retirement, survivors, and disability beneficiaries, SSI recipients, and representative payees.

But if you want to know your new benefit amount as soon as possible, you can securely obtain your Social Security COLA notice online using the Message Center in your personal my Social Security account. Your personal my Social Security account gives you immediate access to important information and tools.

According to The Motley Fool, December 2022, the Social Security Administration estimates monthly payouts for an assortment of beneficiaries will be as follows:

  • Average retired worker: $1,681/month
  • Average worker with disabilities: $1,364/month
  • Average aged couple, both receiving benefits: $2,734/month
  • Average widowed mother and two children: $3,238/month
  • Average aged widow(er) with no children: $1,567/month

Here’s what these same monthly Social Security checks will look like once the 2023 COLA takes effect in January:

  • Average retired worker: $1,827 ($146/month increase)
  • Average worker with disabilities: $1,483 ($119/month increase)
  • Average aged couple, both receiving benefits: $2,972 ($238/month increase)
  • Average widowed mother and two children: $3,520 ($282/month increase)
  • Average aged widow(er) with no children: $1,704 ($137/month increase)

For a majority of recipients, a triple-digit monthly “raise” is on the way, explains The Motley Fool.

January 2023 marks when other changes will happen based on the increase in the national average wage index. For example, the maximum amount of earnings subject to Social Security payroll tax in 2023 will be higher. The retirement earnings test exempt amount will also change in 2023.

There are few, if any, federal agencies that impact the lives of the American people to the extent that the Social Security Administration (SSA) does. Millions count on SSA—retirees who worked hard their whole lives, people who are no longer able to work due to disability, and many more.

SSA’s programs touch the lives of almost every person in the nation. SSA employees work diligently to ensure that they receive critical benefits and other services, and it is my honor and privilege to lead them in their efforts.


References:

  1. https://blog.ssa.gov/social-security-benefits-increase-in-2023/
  2. https://www.ssa.gov/news/newsletter/
  3. https://www.fool.com/retirement/2022/10/18/how-much-social-security-checks-increasing-in-2023/
  4. https://seniorsleague.org/week-ending-october-15-2022/

Social Security Trust Fund

Social Security’s Trustees project that the trust fund will be depleted in 2034. At that point, 71 million beneficiaries could face across-the-board Social Security benefit cuts of 23 percent if elected leaders fail to act.

With the retirement of baby boomers and lengthening life expectancies, programs critical to older Americans, such as Social Security, will come under significant strain in coming decades. Social Security’s Trustees project that the combined Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance (OASI) trust fund will be depleted in 2034. At that point, 71 million beneficiaries could face across-the-board Social Security benefit cuts of 23 percent if policymakers fail to act.

Social Security is the primary source of retirement income for million of Americans. But without action, it will lack sufficient resources to pay for all of the benefits promised under current law.

Almost every American worker pays a dedicated payroll tax, which entitles them to benefits when they retire or become disabled. But as the population ages, fewer workers will be paying taxes to support each Social Security beneficiary, thereby endangering the program’s finances.

Understanding the importance of the Social Security program for low-income Americans is a critical aspect of reforming the program in a fair and equitable way.

In 2018, Social Security was responsible for lifting almost 22 million Americans out of poverty, nearly 15 million of whom were seniors age 65 and older.

Options for improving the financial outlook of Social Security’s retirement program include:

  • Increasing payroll taxes. Raise the payroll tax rate from its current level of 12.4 percent (half paid by employees and half by employers) on wage earnings subject to the tax. In 2022, earnings up to $147,000 will be taxed.
  • Raising the full retirement age. Propose increasing the retirement age above age 67 for younger cohorts to account for future gains in average longevity.
  • Reducing initial benefits. Change the amount that retirees can receive when they first apply for benefits. Many proposals combine a reduction in benefits for high earners with an increase in benefits for lower earners. (This is known as “progressive price indexing.”)
  • Adjusting benefits after retirement. Slow the growth of retirees’ benefits over time by changing the cost-of-living index. Many economists believe that Social Security currently uses an index that overstates inflation, so benefits grow faster than the true cost of living. They propose replacing the current index with chained-CPI, which is a more accurate measure of inflation. (That change would also apply to other inflation-indexed federal retirement programs and tax provisions.)

These proposals are intended to put Social Security’s finances on a long-term sustainable footing.


References:

  1. https://www.pgpf.org/finding-solutions/retirement

Older Americans Have Not Saved for Retirement

Nearly one-third of older Americans have less than $10,000 saved for retirement.

Almost three in 10 older Americans between 55 and 67 years old have less than $10,000 saved for retirement, according to a new survey from Sagewell Financial, a banking and financial technology company focused on seniors’ money management.

Whereas, four in 10 older Americans had less than $50,000 saved for retirement. 

Paying for retirement by older Americans

The Sagewell Senior Certainty Survey of older Americans revealed:

  • 27% have less than $10K saved for retirement, and 40% have less than $50K
  • 57% are concerned that they will run out of money
  • 82% do not feel confident about their access to cash or liquidity in retirement
  • 73% said they welcome some income smoothing (receiving consistent income in the form of 1 or 2 consolidated monthly checks.)

“It is disheartening to learn that more than a quarter of Baby Boomers have less than $10K saved for retirement – that number jumps to 32% among women,” said Sam Zimmerman, co-founder and CEO of Sagewell. “Nearly 60% of seniors expect to live on less than $3K a month in retirement. We are at a crisis point now, and it will worsen unless we take drastic steps to improve the way our seniors plan for and live in retirement.”

Inflation and Recession

Older Americans are being hit hard by soaring inflation, painfully high gas prices, and fear of a looming recession which has outpaced increases in their benefits this year. These challenges have many older Americans worrying about their financial security and future. 

“If you have inflation and a recession combined together, it’s a whole different beast,” said Zimmerman. “This is a time for action. The quicker you move, the more agency you have in reducing the impact of a recession.”

Given the darkening forecast, it’s not too soon to plan ahead and prepare for a possible recession.

First, don’t do this

While there are money moves you can take to help ride out a downturn, that generally shouldn’t include bailing out of the stock market.  

“The worst thing people can do is they get nervous and pull money out the market,” said Jordan Rippy, a personal finance expert and accounting professor at Johns Hopkins Carey Business School. “Most people should be invested in the market for the long term.” 

Cut your budget

Instead, look for ways to trim your monthly budget. That can mean culling things like subscriptions and streaming services, while also negotiating discounts on your cable, cell phone and other bills. 

Pay off your debt 

It’s expensive to carry debt in an inflationary environment. In particular, you want to pay off credit card debt — or any kind of debt with a variable interest rate — right away. That’s because those interest rates will rise and add more debt. 

Keep contributing to your 401(k)

Do not press pause on saving for retirement. Indeed, if possible keep stashing the same fixed percentage of your income in your 401(k) or other retirement savings plan. Even if the market is volatile your assets will grow over time if you don’t try to time the market. 

This approach, known as dollar-cost averaging, ensures that people look past the usual dizzying swings in the stock market and keep building their nest egg.

Create new revenue streams

Try to diversify your income sources so that if your company downsizes and you lose your job, you’ll still have money coming in.

The Sagewell Senior Certainty Index is an online, random sample survey of 1,004 Americans between 55 – 67 who are approaching retirement or recently retired. The survey was conducted to gauge how seniors, particularly those who are online, view the certainty of their retirement planning. 


References:

  1. Jeff H, (June 21, 2022), Sagewell Senior Certainty Index, https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/retirement/nearly-one-third-of-older-americans-have-less-than-2410000-saved-for-retirement/ar-AAYHJVK
  2. https://www.sagewellfinancial.com/sagewell-senior-certainty-index-june-2022/
  3. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/inflation-recession-saving-money-tips-gas-how-to-prepare-financially/

Investing Involves Decision Making

Investing involves decision-making. But not making those investing decisions can be a more costly move in itself.

Choosing to invest your money in the stock market is like picking your first tattoo. The stakes are high and all the available options can seem overwhelming to your senses. Thankfully, there is an an abundant amount of good financial services, resources and advice available to help you avoid making a mistake mistake and to get you started.

There is truly no time like the present to start investing. Because the sooner you start, the more time your money has to grow and the more potential you have to earn, because of the power of compound interest. This is when your money earns money on itself and grows exponentially.

But, growth isn’t always guaranteed. Investing means taking in a certain amount of risk since the market moves in cycles. Although investing comes with some risk, it doesn’t have to feel like a high-stakes gamble.

Rest assured, historically, stocks have bounced back from every downturn in history. And, then continued to climb. Investing consistently overtime can make it easier to ride out the market volatility, the ups and downs.

The first step is determining what you want your future to look like financially in retirement. Retirement is probably your most important and expensive goal, and a good place to start.

It’s important to build a portfolio based on your time horizon, how you want to invest, how comfortable you’re with risk and what you plan to use your investment earnings are for. But, you must get started.

Ready, set, go(als).

Investing could help you owe the IRS less during tax time. For example, you have until the tax filing deadline each year to open and fund an IRA, which could help you claim an extra deduction.

Harvesting losses in your brokerage account could help you reduce your capital gains taxes for the year.

If you want more control over your investment portfolio, self-directed investing is the way to go. Self-directed investing is for people at all experience levels.

However, if you prefer a hands-off approach, financial advisors or automated robo-advisors can help you capture your financial goals and tailor an investment portfolio to achieve your financial goals, complete with regular rebalancing.

But, before you jump headfirst into investing your money, it’s wise to assess your present financial status first (your cash flow and net worth) and make sure you’ve got a solid savings foundation to build on.

Finding a balance between saving your money and building wealth through investing for your future is not rocket science. It is simple to build savings and help take the fear and uncertainty out of investing.


References:

  1. https://taskandpurpose.com/from-our-partners/set-your-future-up-for-success-save-and-invest/
  2. https://www.brighthousefinancial.com/education/retirement-planning/covering-everyday-expenses-in-retirement/

Great Retirement

Millions of Americans retired sooner than they anticipated because of Covid-19

The pandemic pushed millions of older Americans out of the labor force. They retired sooner than they anticipated because of COVD-19. But according to economists, the Great Retirement of Baby Boomers should have spawned a surge in Social Security benefits applications — but applications for Social Security benefits are roughly flat. Perhaps because they aren’t retired.

The disconnect has economists wondering how many of these baby boomers might come back to the workforce — a key question when job openings have remained near record levels for months now. 

The retired share of the population is now substantially higher than before COVD-19, according to a Federal Reserve analysis. About 2.6 million older workers retired above ordinary trends since the start of the pandemic two years ago, based on estimates by Miguel Faria e Castro, an economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Americans retired early for many reasons, including because they lost their jobs, feared for their health or had to care for family members. Another factor was the boom in the value of financial assets such as investments and real estate, which gave some Americans an opportunity to stop working earlier than they anticipated.

Average net worth jumped 12% and 14.8% among families with a head of household aged 55 to 69, and 70 and older, respectively, Fed researchers found.

Under the U.S.’s federal retirement program, eligible workers receive a percentage of their pre-retirement income in monthly payments from the government. Workers can start receiving Social Security payments at age 62, with full benefits coming at age 66 or 67 depending on their date of birth.

Despite the surge in baby boomers saying in surveys they retired, applications for Social Security benefits have been fairly flat, based on calculations by the Boston College Center for Retirement Research.

The surge was led by older White women without a college education, according to research by the St. Louis Federal Reserve. And, the Great Retirement — whether forced or by choice — was driven by baby boomers aged 65 and older, the regional Fed bank wrote in a blog post.


References:

  1. https://www.wealthmanagement.com/retirement-planning/great-retirement-disconnect-puzzles-us-economists
  2. https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2022/1/11/great-retirement-in-us-is-led-by-older-female-baby-boomers

Guide to Medicare Enrollment

At age 65, you’re eligible to enroll in Medicare and reap some benefits from a program you’ve contributed during your pre-retirement years. But, getting the most out of Medicare can be daunting. 

It’s important to understand your options and the rules that apply. For instance, missing your enrollment date may mean penalties or even higher premiums for the rest of your life. At the same time, you don’t want to pay for additional coverage you don’t need, especially if you’re still working.

If you are receiving Social Security, you are automatically enrolled in Medicare Parts A and B (known as Original Medicare) at 65. You’ll receive a Medicare card two or three months before your birthday, and coverage starts on the first day of your birthday month.

  • Part A covers hospitalization and usually comes with no premiums, assuming you or your spouse paid into Medicare while working.
  • Part B, which covers medical services, does require premiums, but you have the option of withdrawing if you wish.

If you aren’t yet receiving Social Security, you will need to apply for Medicare during one of the designated annual enrollment periods. Your initial enrollment period lasts for seven months, beginning three months before the month in which you turn 65. To help avoid a potential gap in coverage, consider enrolling during the three months prior to your 65th birthday.

If you’re still working and covered at age 65, you should consider enrolling in Part A anyway, as it is generally premium-free and may cover some expenses not included in your employer’s health plan.

Premiums for Part B may be higher because of your income, so it may be wise to delay enrollment in Part B until after you retire as long as you work for a company with 20 or more employees.

If your company has fewer than 20 employees, consider enrolling in Part B as well because Medicare is considered your primary insurance. You can enroll without penalty at any time during the eight months after you stop working or your employee health coverage ends.

If you miss that window, you may be subject to penalties that, in the case of Part B, could last as long as you remain covered. (For insights on what you can consider doing if you lose your health-care benefits before you turn 65.

Additional coverage includes Part C, known as Medicare Advantage. It includes plans administered by private companies such as health maintenance organizations and preferred provider organizations. They offer the benefits of Parts A and B, and often include such additional benefits as vision, hearing and dental coverage.

Costs for Part C plans vary according to the insurer. Some plans may require referrals or restrict you to doctors in a network, and you must already have Parts A and B in order to enroll. Another consideration: Some plans may limit their coverage to a certain geographic area, so if you anticipate traveling a great deal or relocating, Medicare Advantage might not be for you.

And, Part D offers prescription drug coverage for both brand-name and generic prescription drugs. You must be enrolled in Medicare to enroll in a Part D plan, which you purchase from a private insurer. Although premiums, deductibles and copays vary by plan, federal law limits your annual out-of-pocket costs for prescription drugs. Before enrolling in Part D, check whether you’re already covered for prescription drugs under a Part C Medicare Advantage plan. You may not need it. And if you decide later on that you need additional coverage or want to change your existing plan, you can do so during designated enrollment periods.

There are services that are not covered by Medicare. Original Medicare (Parts A and B) won’t cover copays, coinsurance or deductibles, nor will it cover medical care when you travel outside the United States. Some services, such as long-term care, acupuncture and cosmetic surgery, also aren’t covered. Some of these services are likely to be covered if you enroll in a Part C plan. Long-term care, however, is not among them.

As an alternative to Part C, you may supplement Original Medicare with Medicare Supplement Insurance, also known as Medigap. Plans providing such coverage follow strict federal and state standards, and costs vary by policy and insurer.

To buy a Medigap policy, you must be enrolled in both Parts A and B. To guarantee availability, you must sign up within six months of enrolling in Part B.

If you have TRICARE (health care program for active-duty and retired service members and their families), you generally must enroll in Part A and Part B when you’re first eligible to keep your TRICARE coverage. However, if you’re an active-duty service member or an active-duty family member, you don’t have to enroll in Part B to keep your TRICARE coverage.

Most people with TRICARE entitled to Part A must have Part B to keep TRICARE drug benefits. If you have TRICARE, you don’t need to join a Medicare drug plan. However, if you do, your Medicare drug plan pays first, and TRICARE pays second.

If you join a Medicare Advantage Plan with drug coverage, your Medicare Advantage Plan and TRICARE may coordinate their benefits if your Medicare Advantage Plan network pharmacy is also a TRICARE network pharmacy. Otherwise, you can file your own claim to get paid back for your out-of-pocket costs. For more information, visit tricare.mil, or call the TRICARE Pharmacy Program at 1-877-363-1303.

To learn more, the official Medicare site, medicare.gov, offers detailed information on signing up; the specifics of Parts A, B, C and D; costs associated with Medicare; penalties for missing enrollment; and other important issues. Go to the site’s “Find Health & Drugs Plans” section to sort through and compare the plans available in your region.


References:

  1. https://www.medicare.gov/sites/default/files/2020-12/10050-Medicare-and-You_0.pdf
  2. https://www.ml.com/articles/your-guide-to-medicare-5-key-questions-answered.html
  3. https://www.medicare.gov
  4. https://tricare.mil