Category Archives: Small Cap Stocks

Small Cap Company Investment

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For small caps, the key investing question is whether they can grow into successful large cap companies and then sustain that success. Remember, Amazon and Microsoft began life as a small cap company.

To address these questions, long-term investors should focus on three key elements throughout their investment research:

  • long-term growth opportunities,
  • durable competitive advantages, and
  • management quality.

The stock prices of small cap companies tend to be more sensitive to economic and market changes. Thus, looking at the long-term prospects is essential to the investment process.

Small Cap Companies

Developing an approach and commitment to investing in small caps can be a driver for your investment success. An investment process of extensive research and evaluation can give you an edge over passive products,.

The equity universe is vast, and only a small fraction of the stocks in it are large companies. This leaves plenty of choice for small cap investors, but few investors are skilled enough to successfully navigate through the thousands of choices and identify the best opportunities. As long as there is innovation and disruption, there will be attractive small businesses that have the potential to become larger and successful.

You should always seek and research these investment opportunities.

References:

  1. https://www.baronfunds.com/sites/default/files/Quarterly-Report-6.30.2023.pdf

Russell 2000® Growth Index measures the performance of small-sized U.S. companies that are classified as growth.

Risks: All investments are subject to risk and may lose value. Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the investment carefully before investing. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate; an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost

  • Alpha measures the difference between a fund’s actual returns and its expected performance, given its level of risk as measured by beta.
  • Beta measures a fund’s sensitivity to market movements. The beta of the market is 1.00 by definition.
  • Upside Capture explains how well a fund performs in time periods where the benchmark’s returns are greater than zero.
  • Diversification cannot guarantee a profit or protect against loss.
  • Downside Capture measures how well a fund performs in time periods where the benchmark’s returns are less than zero.
  • Active Share is a term used to describe the share of a portfolio’s holdings that differ from that portfolio’s benchmark index. It is calculated by comparing the weight of each holding in the Fund to that holding’s weight in the benchmark. Positions with either a positive or negative weighting versus the benchmark have Active Share. An Active Share of 100% implies zero overlap with the benchmark. Active Share was introduced in 2006 in a study by Yale academics M. Cremers and A. Petajisto, as a measure of active portfolio management.
  • Sharpe Ratio is a risk-adjusted performance statistic that measures reward per unit of risk. The higher the Sharpe ratio, the better a fund’s risk adjusted performance.
  • Standard Deviation (Std. Dev.) measures the degree to which a fund’s performance has varied from its average performance over a particular time period. The greater the standard deviation, the greater a fund’s volatility (risk).
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted measure of 30 U.S. blue-chip companies. It covers all industries with the exception of Transportation and Utilities. The total return version of the index is calculated with gross dividends reinvested.
  • The S&P 500 Index measures the performance of 500 widely held large-cap U.S. companies. The indexes are unmanaged. Index performance is not fund performance; one cannot invest directly into an index. The indexes include reinvestment of dividends before taxes. Reinvestment of dividends positively impacts performance results.

 

Small Cap Stocks

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Small-cap stocks are usually considered to be stocks with market capitalizations somewhere between $250 million and $2.5 billion.

Most companies start out as small-caps, but by continually growing their earnings and cash flow, their share prices appreciate. This can increase the market capitalization (share price times shares outstanding) of the company to large, or even mega-sized, while investors along for the ride reap the value appreciation.

Big names like Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon were all small-caps at one point.

Not all small-caps companies flourish like those giants have. Many fail or stop growing, which means losses or little profit for investors.

Great companies reveal themselves over the long term by continually producing quality earnings and sales growth.

According to Forbes, here are a few small-cap companies to research further are:

  • ACM Research produces cleaning equipment for the semiconductor industry. The company’s products remove impurities and particles from microchips. The company also offers other equipment that is used in various semiconductor processes.
  • Digi International is a technology company focusing on wireless communication and devices. It has more than 160 patents on products and 15 global offices.

References:

  1. https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/best-small-cap-stocks/

Small Cap Stock Investing

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Small Cap Stocks

Small Cap Stocks Performance

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Historically, small-cap stocks have been shown to outperform the rest of the market over the long term.  And, small-caps tend to underperform during bear markets but outperform in bull markets.

Some of the best stocks to buy in the past 25 years started as small-cap stocks. Amazon was a $7 stock in 1998, and Tesla had a market valuation of just over $1 billion in 2010. Of course, not every small-cap company becomes a giant. Investing in small companies can be rewarding, but it also comes with risks that investors need to understand.

Over the long-term, small caps tend to outperform because of greater growth opportunities. A massive company is limited by its existing size. It’d be exceptionally difficult for, say, Apple Inc. to triple its revenues and free cash flow anytime soon.

However, a $1 billion company can much more easily grow to be multiples of its current size. Many small caps stay small because they have structural problems, management lacks the capability to grow the business, or their niche simply isn’t large enough to support a bigger enterprise. That said, many small caps can graduate to greater things, earning shareholders tremendous returns along the way.

Small-cap stocks tend to experience more price volatility and to suffer more stock price destruction than their larger cap peers during bear markets and when equities are broadly struggling due to inflationary and recessionary fears.

Small cap stocks typically underperform entering recessions and periods of economic weakness but outperforms coming out of them. In the long run, small caps tend to be winning investments. Yale professor Roger Ibbotson and financial consultancy Duff & Phelps analyzed nearly a century of data to find that small caps have outperformed large companies by 1.6% on average every year through 2020.

Fearful investors who throw in the towel during market downturns risk missing out on the rewards when the market possibly reverses course in 2023.

“This is one of the best times to invest in small company stocks that we’ve seen in a very long period of time,” says Gregg Fisher, founder of global small cap hedge fund Quent Capital, which manages $1 billion in assets. “The odds historically of a huge rally off this massive decline are high.”

The small-cap benchmark Russell 2000 Index (RUT) generated a total return (price appreciation plus dividends) of -20.4% for the year-to-date through Dec. 16. That trailed the S&P 500’s (SPX) total return of -17.9%.

No surprises there. Risker and “growthier” equities such as small-cap stocks tend to underperform when markets are volatile and headed south (bearish).

By the same token, however, small-cap stocks also tend to outperform the broader market when equities are catching a bid. No one can know for certain if we’ve already seen the bottom of our current bear market. Once the equity malaise lifts, however, the best small-cap stocks to buy should theoretically be among the market’s top outperformers.

To find the best performing small cap that have continued to grow through the bear market, Search for companies with a market value between $300 million and $2 billion that also had positive sales growth over the past 12 months and a share price of at least $5. Financial institutions, REITs, utilities, royalty trusts and limited partnerships were excluded, as were companies that have been public for less than one year.

Over time, small-cap stock prices tend to be more volatile than those of larger companies, and stock values fluctuate more dramatically. But, in general, the longer the evaluation period, the greater the likelihood that small-cap stocks outperform the large-caps.

in recent months small-cap stocks have fallen sharply amid a broader pullback on fears of a Federal Reserve Board rate hike, especially in high-priced growth stocks. Since small-cap stocks are more likely to be in their growth phase and are often unprofitable or minimally profitable, they get hit harder during “risk-off” moments like the one that started 2022. In other words, small-caps tend to underperform during bear markets but outperform in bull markets.

References:

  1. https://www.fidelity.com/insights/investing-ideas/small-caps-2023
  2. https://www.forbes.com/lists/best-small-cap-companies
  3. https://money.usnews.com/investing/slideshows/9-of-the-best-small-cap-stocks-to-buy-for-2023
  4. https://www.fool.com/investing/stock-market/types-of-stocks/small-cap-stocks/
  5. https://www.fool.com/investing/stock-market/types-of-stocks/small-cap-stocks/how-to-find-small-cap-stocks/

Assessing Small Capital Companies

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Historically, small-cap stocks have been shown to outperform the rest of the market because of greater growth opportunities. A massive company is limited by its existing size. ~ U.S. News and World Report

Small cap company pundits recommend that investors review several key financial metrics and ratios to properly evaluate small cap companies. Following these metrics and ratios, you will be well on your way to finding a few hidden gems in the small cap market.

Each small cap company should be evaluated on fundamental factors to identify which ones can exhibit durable long-term growth.

  • Growth measures include revenue growth rate;
  • Profitability measures include operating profit and earnings per-share; and
  • Capital efficiency measures include return on invested capital.

In short, investors should seek to invest in the top-tier of eligible small cap companies .

Here are seven key metrics that should be reviewed before buying any stock. These indicators should help you get most of the way in understanding a company, its operations, and its underlying business.

1. Institutional activity. Pension funds, mutual funds, hedge funds, insurance companies and corporations that buy and sell huge blocks of shares can create tremendous volatility in prices. To lessen this risk in your investments, try to buy shares in companies where institutions own less than 40% of their shares.

2. Analyst coverage . Another indication of future share volatility is the number of Wall Street analysts covering a stock. Analysts – like the big institutions – have a herd mentality. When one sells, so do the rest, resulting in great numbers of shares changing hands, and usually leading to price declines. It’s best to avoid companies with more than 10, or fewer than 2 analysts following them. (You need some analyst interest or you may be waiting a long time for price appreciation, even in the strongest and most undervalued company) .

3. Price-earnings ratio (P/E) . The price of one share of a company’s stock divided by four quarters of its earnings per share, the P/E ratio is of utmost importance in determining if a company’s shares are over- or under-valued. For the best perspective, go to Reuters , then select Ratios and compare the current P/E of the company to its average P/E for the last 3-5 years, to its estimated future P/E and to the average P/E of its industry or sector. One note: If a company’s P/E is more than 35, it might be too pricy. You may want to stick with companies that are trading at lower P/Es, particularly if you are fairly new to investing.

4. Cash flow. One of the most important parts of a financial report is its Statement of Cash Flows, which is a summary of how the company made and spent its money. The Total Cash Flow From Operating Activities represents the cash the company took in from its primary business operations.

It’s important that this number be positive, or at least trending positive over the course of a year. After all, if the business isn’t making money from its primary product – not from investing in real estate or the stock market – then you probably want to pass it by.

5. Debt/equity. This ratio is how much debt per dollar of ownership the business has incurred. Compare the firm’s historic debt/equity ratios, so you can find out if its debt level over the past few years has been rising too rapidly. Debt isn’t bad, as long as it is used as a springboard to grow sales and earnings. Next, contrast the company’s ratio with its competitors and its industry so you can further determine if your company’s debt position is reasonable.

6. Growing sales and income. One rule of thumb is to buy shares in companies whose sales and net income are growing at double-digit rates. I cannot emphasize this enough, as, appreciation in stock prices is generally precipitated by growth in earnings (which usually follows expansion of sales) . It’s certainly possible to buy stock in a company that has no earnings growth (a new business, or a tech company in the late 90’s, for example) and still make money on the shares – short-term – but it’s not a formula for serious, successful long-term investing.

7. Insider activity. Investors will also want to review the buying and selling activities of a company’s insiders – its top officers and directors. A sudden rush to sell large quantities of the firm’s shares may be a good indicator that the business is falling on rough times. Likewise, a large increase in purchases may mean good news is on the way.

No single financial metric or ratio will determine the validity or potential of your investment. It is of utmost importance that you take a complete look at a company’s financial strength and its future growth prospects, by conducting a thorough analysis – over time – usually a 3-5 year track-record.

Many small caps stay small because they have structural problems, management lacks the capability to grow the business, or their niche simply isn’t large enough to support a bigger enterprise.

In contrast, many small cap companies can graduate to greater things, earning shareholders tremendous returns along the way.

References:

  1. https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/seven-critical-factors-evaluating-small-cap-stocks-2011-06-28
  2. https://money.usnews.com/investing/slideshows/9-of-the-best-small-cap-stocks-to-buy-for-2023

Small Cap Investing

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A focus on finding small cap companies with great fundamentals and big growth prospects.

A small-cap stock is a stock of a publicly-traded company whose market capitalization ranges from $300 million to approximately $2 billion, explains Corporate Finance Institute. The word “cap” in this term refers to a company’s market capitalization.

Savvy investors cannot afford to overlook small-cap growth companies. Although, there are several pros and cons of investing in small-cap stocks that must be considered.

Small-cap companies, in general, tend not to get the same kind of publicity as their large-cap siblings. They aren’t going to lead a segment on CNBC or the home page of the Wall Street Journal on a daily basis.

With smaller market capitalizations, small-cap companies tend to fly under the radar.

The Rise of Small-Cap Stocks

Reasons that people may invest in small-cap companies are capital appreciation — they think the stock price will go up and dividends — where the company pays you to hold it.

But some of these are solid companies and excellent small-cap stocks to buy.

Small-cap equities are more sensitive to the economy (inflation, rising interest rates and dollar strength), so a robust economic rebound would favor them.

Small-cap stocks are popular among investors because of their potential for providing better returns in the long term relative to their large-cap peers.

The advantages of investing in small-cap stocks are:

1. Growth potential – Relative to bigger companies, small-cap companies show significantly higher growth potential. For small-cap companies, it is easier to grow significantly their operational and financial base than is the case for most large-cap stocks.

Picking the right small-cap stock can turn into a profitable investment.

2. High probability of inefficiencies in the market – Information about the small-cap stocks is harder to find compared to large and mid-cap companies. Analysts typically give little attention to these companies; thus, there is a high probability of improper pricing of small-cap stocks. This situation creates vast opportunities for investors to leverage the inefficiencies in market pricing and earn a great return on their investments.

3. Financial institutions do not push prices up – Financial institutions, including mutual and hedge funds, should comply with certain regulations that do not allow them to invest heavily in small-cap stocks. For this reason, it is unlikely that the stock price will be artificially pushed up because of large investments from major financial institutions.

Nevertheless, there are some disadvantages of investing in small-cap stocks:

1. High risk – Investing in small-cap stocks involves higher risk. First, small-cap companies may have an unreliable and faulty business model which can result in company’s management not being able to adjust the business model, and can result in poor operational and financial results. And, small-cap companies usually have less access to new capital and new sources of financing. Due to this reason, it is more likely that the company will not be able to bridge gaps in its cash flows or expand the business because of the inability to undertake the necessary investments.

2. Low liquidity – Small-cap stocks are less liquid than their large counterparts. Low liquidity results in the potential unavailability of the stock at a good price to purchase or it may be difficult to sell the stocks at a favorable price. Low liquidity also adds to the overall risk of the stock.

3. Time-consuming – Investing in small-cap stocks can be a time-consuming activity. Due to the under-coverage of small-cap stocks by financial media, institutions and analysts, the amount of available research on small-cap companies is usually limited.

Moreover, small cap technology and all small cap stocks are discounted to a great degree by investors in a rising interest rate environment, purely due to the fact that they have the bulk of potential earnings and cash flow far out into the future. The higher long-term rates are, the less those future earnings and cash flow are worth. This goes for virtually all unprofitable growth tech stocks.

Essentially, small-cap stocks may provide investors with an opportunity to earn a substantial return on their investments. However, this type of investing should be approached with caution as small-cap stocks are often risky and volatile.

References:

  1. https://investorplace.com/2022/11/7-excellent-small-cap-stocks-to-buy-before-this-year-ends/
  2. https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/wealth-management/small-cap-stock/
  3. https://news.yahoo.com/10-best-small-cap-stocks-140302020.html

The Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy

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The Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy is an extremely effective way to “beat the market” if you regard the S&P 500 as “the market.” Paul A. Merriman

For more than half a century, investors who held equal parts of the S&P 500 index funds and nine other equity asset classes could more than double their long-term returns — with surprisingly little additional risk, explains Paul A. Merriman, founder of investment-advisory firm Merriman Wealth Management..

Much of the additional investment return comes from adding value, small-cap and international stocks to the S&P 500 index portfolio. By itself, the S&P 500 index is a good investment. Since 1928, the worst 40-year period for the S&P 500 index was a compound annual growth rate of 8.9%; the best was 12.5%.

For the past 52 calendar years, from 1970 through 2021, the S&P 500 index has compounded at 11%. An initial investment of $100,000 in 1970 would have grown to $23.1 million by the end of 2021.

The Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy is an extremely effective way to “beat the market” if you regard the S&P 500 index as “the market.” Instead of investing all your capital into a S&P 500 index fund, you diversify your money amongst a variety of index funds, as follows:

  • 10% into large-cap S&P 500 index stocks
  • 10% into large-cap value stocks
  • 10% into U.S. small-cap blend stocks
  • 10% into U.S. small-cap value stocks
  • 10% of the portfolio to four more important asset classes:
  • 10% into international large-cap blend stocks
  • 10% into international large-cap value stocks
  • 10% into international small-cap blend stocks
  • 10% international small-cap value stocks
  • 10% in emerging markets stocks

Index funds are exchange-traded fund (ETF) or mutual fund. ETFs and mutual funds that are pooled investments of stocks or bonds. They offer investors a highly diversified opportunity to invest in a specific index, sector, or a wide range of other portfolio compositions.

When it comes to index funds, these funds’ portfolios are constructed specifically to mimic the action seen in the underlying index. Index funds — in particular low-cost index funds — should have a place in just about anyone’s investment portfolio.

Ultimate portfolio requires owning and periodically rebalancing 10 component parts.

The “ultimate” all-equity portfolio automatically takes advantage of stock-market opportunities wherever the opportunities might be.

“A low-cost index fund is the most sensible equity investment for the great majority of investors. By periodically investing in an index fund, the know-nothing investor can actually out-perform most investment professionals.” Warren Buffett

References:

  1. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-investment-strategy-is-an-extremely-effective-way-to-beat-the-s-p-500-11645065209
  2. https://www.moneycrashers.com/warren-buffett-invest-index-funds/

Small-Cap Stocks

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“Growth is greatest in the early stages of a company’s development.” Cabot Wealth

There is a common perception among investors that over the long term, small-cap stocks outperform large-cap stocks. In exchange for more risk, you get more reward.

As it turns out, this is mostly untrue, according to Seeking Alpha. The best small-cap stocks offer more explosive upside potential, but as a group they don’t really outperform large-cap stocks, subject to a few caveats.

The best possible investing scenario is to identify a top small-cap stock that will go on to become a large-cap stock over the coming years, and go up in value by 10x or 100x.

Unfortunately, for every massive winner that does that, there are multiple losers. Both Russell and Wilshire data show that small-cap stocks don’t really outperform as a group. They’re not bad, but over four decades they don’t really stand out either. Mid-cap stocks are a potential sweet spot, that investors can benefit from either by directly investing mid-cap fund or investing into an equal weight large-cap fund which tends to have a lot of overlap with the mid-cap space.

A 2017 study by Hendrik Bessembinder that analyzed virtually all U.S. public stocks over the past 90 years found that small-cap stocks have much higher performance variance. A smaller percentage of small-cap stocks provide positive long-term returns compared to the percentage of large-cap stocks that provide positive long-term returns. As a consequence, small stocks more frequently deliver returns that fail to match benchmarks.

Conversely, while the absolute best-performing small caps outperform the best-performing large caps over a given period, small caps as a group also have much higher rates of catastrophic loss.

Anytime you buy shares of a small, lessor-known company, there are a plethora of unknowns. Thus, it’s impossible to take the risk completely out of small-cap investing. But there are ways to minimize those risks without sacrificing potential profits.

The defining characteristics of small-cap stocks are that many are young, attractive investments and tend to be highly volatile. This volatility can be absolutely maddening for those who are new to small-cap investing (and even to those who aren’t).

Don’t let this volatility drive you away from small-cap stocks if you’re inclined to invest in them. Volatility comes and goes, and over the long-term small caps tend to beat the market.

FIVE SIMPLE RULES FOR SUCCESS WITH SMALL-CAP STOCKS

It’s important to set up a clearly established set of rules ahead of time, and stick to them. The simple rules that can increase your odds of success, especially during uncertain markets, are:

Rule #1: Commit To The Long Term: One of the more frequently quoted Warren Buffett quips is, “If you aren’t thinking about owning a stock for 10 years, don’t even think about owning it for 10 minutes.”

You don’t need to own every small-cap stock you buy for the next decade. But you do need to look out at least a year or two if you expect to have significant success.

There are select examples of investors making money trading in and out of small caps in the short term. But very few can do it week in and week out, year after year. All the studies say the same thing; your odds of making money go up the longer you stick with small-cap stocks.

A study from Ibbotson, a financial research firm owned by Morningstar, found that investors have a 70% chance of making money with small-cap stocks if they stay invested for one year. That probability goes up to 82% after three years, 86% after five years and 98% after 10 years. The percentages aren’t all that different for large caps.

Rule #2: Dollar Cost Average Your Cost Basis: Small-cap stocks can be irrational in the short term. That’s why you never do anything too drastic. Don’t go all in on an individual stock on a big pullback, or a big breakout. Instead, average into a position by buying shares at different prices and on different days. The strategy helps to reduce the risk of buying a full position in a stock at an unlucky time, which is bound to happen occasionally.

The period over which you average in should be dictated by your holding time horizon. If you’re investing for just a year or two, you’ll probably average in over a week or two, maybe a month. If you’re in it for three or more years, you can average in over a year, or more.

Rule #3: Take Partial Profits: If averaging in makes sense, then averaging out should too. Consider selling a quarter or a half position on the way up, and especially if a gain has surpassed 100%. This doesn’t have to mean giving up on the stock. It’s simply a risk-mitigation strategy. The original capital can be allocated to a lower-risk investment.

Also, it’s fine to average back into a position even if you sold shares at an earlier date. Sometimes, especially during corrections, investors are forced to dump some shares to protect their gains. Months later, the stock might be doing just fine. If the growth story is intact and the market is trending up there’s no reason you can’t build up your position again.

Rule #4: Use a Stop Loss: For small cap stocks, many advisors advocate a 15% to 30% stop loss for large caps. The reason is that you often see quality small caps drop 20% or so during market corrections. Often, these are the times to average down if and when the stock has stabilized, assuming the stock’s growth story is intact,.

That said, it can also be a time to sell a partial, or full, position to protect gains, or help avoid catastrophic losses. How close you are to your desired position size will usually determine if you’re averaging in, or out. The underlying reason for using stop losses is that the bigger the loss, the bigger the return you need to get back to break even (see table below). Don’t go below the red line!

Rule #5: If You’re Not Sure What To Do, Do Nothing: Just because the market is open doesn’t mean you need to participate in it. If you’ve had a streak of losses, or things just don’t feel right, take a break. Focus your attention on a few stocks you’d like to own eventually and read up on those so you’re ready to go when the stock’s margin of safety improves, and your confidence returns.

As Warren Buffett said, “I’ve had periods in my life when I’ve had a bundle of ideas come along, and I’ve had long dry spells. If I get an idea next week, I’ll do something. If not, I won’t do a damn thing.”

Investing in small-cap stocks is a good way to earn huge returns. Consequently, there are two major ways to outperform the market.

  • You can take advantage of short-term price dislocation versus a company’s intrinsic value, or
  • Use long-term compounding to achieve market outperformance.

References:

  1. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4287533-small-cap-performance-gap-doesnt-exist-why
  2. https://cabotwealth.com/category/daily/small-cap-stocks
  3. https://cabotwealth.com/daily/small-cap-stocks/small-cap-stock-warren-buffett/