Dividend Growth Stock Investing

Dividend growth stocks, known for steady dividend increases over time, can be valuable additions to your income portfolio.

Since 1926, dividends have accounted for more than 40% of the return realized by investing in large-cap U.S. domestic stocks, according to American Association of Individual Investors. The 9.9% historical annualized return for stocks is significantly impacted by the payment of dividends. Research shows that if dividends were taken out of the equation, the long-term annual return for stocks would fall to 5.5%.

Dividend stocks have long been a foundation for steady income to live on and a reliable pathway to accumulating wealth for retirement. Even in times of market stress, companies could be counted on to do everything possible to maintain their payouts. Most dividend-paying companies follow a regular calendar schedule for distributing the payments, typically on a quarterly basis. This gives investors a reliable source of income.

This stream of income helps to boost and protect returns. When stock prices move upward, dividends enhance shareholders’ returns. Shareholders get the benefit of a higher stock price and the flow of income; when combined, these elements create total return. Dividend payments provide a minimum rate of return that will be achieved, as long as the company does not alter its dividend policy. This helps cushion the blow of downward market moves.

Yet, dividend stocks typically don’t offer dramatic price appreciation, but they do provide investors with a steady stream of income.

“I do not own a single security anywhere that doesn’t pay a dividend, and I formed a mutual-fund company with that very simple philosophy.” Kevin O’Leary

Kevin O’Leary, known to many as “Mr. Wonderful”, is Chairman of O’Shares Investments and can be seen on the popular TV show Shark Tank, invests only in stocks that have steady “cash flow” and “pay dividends” to shareholders.  He looks for stocks that exhibit three main characteristics:

  1. First, they must be quality companies with strong financial performance and solid balance sheets.
  2. Second, he believes a portfolio should be diversified across different market sectors.
  3. Third, and perhaps most important, he demands income—he insists the stocks he invests in pay dividends to shareholders.

Kiplinger

Power of Dividend Investing

Dividends are a commitment by a company to distribute a portion of its earnings to shareholders on a regular basis. Once companies start paying a dividend, they are reluctant to cut or suspend periodic the payments.

Dividends are payments that companies make to shareholders at regular intervals, usually quarterly. Dividends and compounding may be a strong force in generating investor returns and growing income.

Dividend-paying stocks are not fancy, but they have a lot going for them. Dividends have played a significant role in the returns investors have received during the past 50 years. Going back to 1970, 78% of the total return of the S&P 500 Index can be attributed to reinvested dividends and the power of compounding.

“High” dividend yield stocks beat “Highest”

Investors seeking dividend-paying investments may make the mistake of simply choosing those that offer the highest yields possible. A study conducted by Wellington Management reveals the potential flaws in this thinking.

The highest-yielding stocks have not had the best historical total returns despite its ability to pay a generous dividend. The study found that stocks offering the highest level of dividend payouts have not always performed as well as those that pay high, but not the very highest, levels of dividends.

With the economy in recession, equity income investors may be at risk of dividend cuts or suspensions in their portfolios. Dividend quality matters more today than it has in a long time. Thus, it’s important to select high quality U.S. large-cap companies for their profitability, strong balance sheets and dividend quality, which increase the likelihood that they will be able to maintain and grow dividends paid to investors even during periods of economic uncertainty.

Income-producing dividend stocks

Dividends have historically played a significant role in total return, particularly when average annual equity returns have been lower than 10% during a decade. Seek dividend stocks that possess the following characteristics:

  • Currently pays a dividend;
  • Dividend yield above bench mark yields;
  • Higher dividend payments this year relative to last year, or a reasonable expectation that future dividend payments will be raised (in certain cases, a company that recently initiated a dividend will be considered if there is a reasonable expectation that it will increase its dividend in the future);
  • A free-cash-flow payout ratio below 100%(utility stocks are allowed to have a ratio above 100% if free cash flow is positive when calculated on a pre-dividend basis);
  • Improving trends in sales and earnings;
  • A strong balance sheet, as measured by the current ratio and the liabilities-to-assets ratio;
  • An attractive valuation, as measured by the price-earnings ratio;
  • Has no more than one class of shares; and
  • Dividends are paid as qualified dividends, not non- dividend distributions.

Dividend Growth Key to Outperformance

You should invest in corporations that consistently grow their dividends, have historically exhibited strong fundamentals, have solid business plans, and have a deep commitment to their shareholders. They also demonstrate a reasonable expectation of paying a dividend in the foreseeable future and a history of rising dividend payments.

You should also take into consideration the indicated yield (projected dividend payments for the next 12 months divided by the current share price) for all stocks, but place a greater emphasis on stocks with the potential to enhance the portfolio’s total return than those that merely pay a high dividend.

The market environment is also supportive of dividends. A pre-pandemic strong US economy has helped companies grow earnings and free cash flow, which resulted in record levels of cash on corporate balance sheets. This excess cash should allow businesses with existing dividends to maintain, if not grow, their dividends. And while interest rates have risen from historic levels, they’re expected to stay stable for another year or so. This means dividend- paying stocks should continue to offer attractive yields relative to many fixed-income asset classes.

Furthermore, dividend growers and initiators have historically provided greater total return with less volatility relative to companies that either maintained or cut their dividends. There is ample evidence that dividend growers outperform other stocks over time with much lower volatility. For instance, a Hartford Funds study of the past 50 years showed dividend growers outperforming other dividend payers by 37 basis points annually and non-dividend payers by 102 basis points.

One reason dividend growers tend to outperform may be the expanding earnings and cash flow and shareholder-friendly management teams that often characterize these companies. In addition, consistent profitability, solid balance sheets and low payouts enable dividend growers to weather any economic storm.

Trends that bode well for dividend-paying stocks include historically high levels of corporate cash, historically low bond yields, and baby boomers’ demand for income that will last throughout retirement.

Traits of consistent dividend payers

Today’s historically low interest rates have caused investors to invest heavily in dividend- paying stocks and strategies, which has helped bolster their performance. This trend shows no sign of abating as long as interest rates continue to remain relatively low, and demand for these investments will only grow as investors continue to seek income and return.

Here are several financial traits investors should look for in consistent dividend payers:

  • Relatively low payout ratios. A payout ratio measures the percentage of earnings paid out as dividends. The median is 38% for S&P 500 companies, according to Goldman Sachs. In theory, the higher the ratio, the less financial flexibility a company has to boost its dividend
  • Reasonable debt levels. As with payout ratios, this isn’t a one-size-fits-all metric. But if a company has a big debt load, there’s less cash available for the dividend.
  • Strong free cash flow. This typically measures operating cash, minus capital expenditure. It’s important for a company to cover its dividend with its free cash flow.
  • Stable earnings growth. Put another way, dividend investors should be wary of companies with volatile earnings, which can pressure the ability to maintain, let alone raise, payouts.

It’s important to know that not all dividends are treated the same from a tax perspective.

There are 2 basic types of dividends issued to investors:

  • Qualified dividends: These are dividends designated as qualified, which means they qualify to be taxed at the capital gains rate, which depends on the investor’s modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) and taxable income (the rates are 0%, 15%, 18.8%, and 23.8%). These dividends are paid on stock held by the shareholder, which must own them for more than 60 days during the 121-day period that begins 60 days before the ex-dividend date. This means if you actively trade stocks and ETFs, you probably can’t meet this holding requirement.
  • Nonqualified dividends: These dividends are not designated by the ETF as qualified because they might have been payable on stocks held by the shareholder for 60 days or less. Consequently, they’re taxed at ordinary income rates. Basically, nonqualified dividends are the amount of total dividends minus any portion of the total dividends treated as qualified dividends. Note: While qualified dividends are taxed at the same rate at capital gains, they cannot be used to offset capital losses.

Dividend growth stocks, known for steady dividend increases over time, can be valuable additions to your income portfolio. A dividend grower typically has a cash-rich balance sheets, formidable cash flow and meager payouts allowing room for more dividend growth. Additionally, dividend growth stocks can provide an hedge against inflation by providing a bump in income every time the dividend is hiked.


References:

  1. https://www.aaiidividendinvesting.com/files/pdf/DI_UsersGuide_12.pdf
  2. https://www.hartfordfunds.com/dam/en/docs/pub/whitepapers/WP106.pdf
  3. https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stocks/dividend-stocks/602692/dividend-increases-stocks-announcing-massive-hikes
  4. https://www.valdostadailytimes.com/news/business/kevin-o-leary-says-thanks-a-billion-as-aum-passes-1-0-billion-for-o/article_0c22d134-4004-5bc5-868b-c705e26194cc.html
  5. https://vgi.vg/37Gls7y

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Dividend-paying stocks are not guaranteed to outperform non-dividend-paying stocks in a declining, flat, or rising market.

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