Inflation: Core Consumer Price Index

Inflation is measure of the increase in the cost of living which can erode the value of your money, and more importantly – the goods, services, rent and mortgages that you can purchase with that money.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that falling gasoline prices helped lead to a second consecutive lower annual U.S. inflation reading, but the consumer price index still edged up by 0.1% in August, contrary to the 0.1% drop expected by economists polled by The Wall Street Journal, writes MarketWatch. The core Consumer Price Index (CPI), which strips out food and energy prices rose by a much sharper 0.6%.

The year-over-year food index component of the CPI was up 11.4% in August. Higher food prices “reflect very tight global supply/demand dynamics,” says Jake Hanley, managing director and senior portfolio strategist at Teucrium. Rising costs don’t impact all households the same way. Some families may have a personal inflation rate that’s lower (or higher) than the national average, depending on what they buy.

Rising costs don’t impact all households the same way. Some families may have a personal inflation rate that’s lower (or higher) than the national average, depending on what they buy.

“Fuel prices have continued to be a major component in inflation figures, but while gasoline prices have cooled considerably over the last 3 months, diesel prices have remained fairly elevated,” says Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy. Diesel prices are a “major component of inflation in other areas of the economy, such as the cost of groceries.”

“Fuel prices have continued to be a major component in inflation figures, but while gasoline prices have cooled considerably over the last 3 months, diesel prices have remained fairly elevated,” says Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy. Diesel prices are a “major component of inflation in other areas of the economy, such as the cost of groceries.”

“Fuel prices have continued to be a major component in inflation figures, but while gasoline prices have cooled considerably over the last 3 months, diesel prices have remained fairly elevated.” — Patrick De Haan, GasBuddy

Diesel and natural-gas prices have remained high, despite a retreat in recent weeks, and fuel costs are a key component when it comes to growing the food the nation needs. Diesel engines power about 75% of U.S. farm equipment and transport 90% of farm products, according to data from the Diesel Technology Forum. 

Diesel “will likely remain at historical premiums to gasoline—and could see more disconnect if this winter is cold due to diesel and heating oil being essentially the same product, keeping demand elevated,” De Haan says.

Wall Street economists see the U.S. Federal Reserve lifting interest rates higher than they previously expected following the latest U.S. consumer price inflation data. Economists at TD Securities said they now expect the Fed to raise its benchmark rate by 75 basis points next week.


References:

  1. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/high-fuel-costs-will-continue-to-contribute-to-the-rise-in-food-costs-11663100705
  2. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-biggest-fed-rate-hike-in-40-years-it-might-be-coming-11663097227
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