“To maximize returns, buy stocks when everyone hates them and sell them when everyone loves them. This is easy in theory, but brutally difficult in practice.” ~ Brian Feroldi
Brian Feroldi is a financial educator and he has been saving and investing for 18+ years. From his experiences, below he shares 10 painful lessons he had to learn and sometimes relearn the hard way:
1. You don’t need leverage.
Margin and options are fun on the way up and BRUTAL on the way down. Many investors have lost more than 100% on investment before. Why? Leverage.
Buffett said it best:
2. Optimize for longevity, not upside
Compound interest is the most powerful wealth-building force that exists. But, it only works if you SURVIVE long enough for it to work.
You must avoid investing to optimize for upside potential. Instead, you should follow the barbell method to optimize for longevity.
3. High conviction DOES NOT = correct
If you convinced yourself that a certain stock could only go up. you might be right on some. On others, you may lost significant value.
Conviction is useful, but just because you think you are right doesn’t mean that you are right.
Allocate accordingly
4. Stock prices and business results (and intrinsic value) are 0% correlated in the short-term and 100% correlated in the long-term
Do not sell future mega-winners because their stocks were down (dumb).
Instead of watching the stock, instead focus on the fundamentals of the business.
5. Not having a system
Do not try to keep everything in my head, which was dumb (and impossible).
Instead, use checklists, journals, or watchlist, which are invaluable free tools.
6. Not understanding the P/E ratio
Do not pass on high P/E ratio stocks that went up big and buy low P/E ratio stocks that went down big.
Why? It’s about understanding the P/E ratio’s flaws.
Now, P/E only works in stage 4. It doesn’t work in stages 1, 2, 3 or 5
7. Panic selling and panic buying
Emotions have caused many investors to panic buy hype stocks and panic sell future mega-winners.
It’s easy to say you’ll be greedy when others are fearful, and visa-versa.
It’s hard to actually do it.
8. Study history
Human nature is remarkably consistent. The same forces that drove markets 100+ years still exist in all of us today.
There’s always a smart-sounded reason to sell and it’s important to understand that.
9. Don’t focused on what you can’t control
Do not follow the news closely, or watch for clues to predict the market.
This will be time poorly spent. Macro factors matter, but you have no control over them.
It essential you focus far more on what you can control.
10. Not changing your mind
This one is REALLY hard, but it’s necessary to do well.
Changing your mind is hard. Admitting you’re wrong is hard.
But, @JeffBezos said it best:
Learning invaluable investing lessons, especially from the mistakes of others, is an essential part of becoming a more successful long-term investor.
I've been investing for 18+ years.
Here are 10 painful lessons I had to learn the hard way:
— Brian Feroldi (@BrianFeroldi) October 2, 2022
References:
- https://bookshop.org/shop/Feroldi
- https://www.marketwatch.com/amp/story/the-critical-money-and-investing-lessons-i-wish-my-younger-self-had-understood-11651762064
- http://mindset.brianferoldi.com