Tag Archives: Bonds

Burton G. Malkiel: Index Funds and Bond Substitutes

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Burton Gordon Malkiel, the Chemical Bank Chairman’s Professor of Economics, has been responsible for a revolution in the field of investing and money management. And he’s also author of the widely influential investment book, A Random Walk Down Wall Street.

His book, A Random Walk Down Wall Street, first published in 1973, used research on asset returns and the performance of asset managers to recommend that all investors would be wise to use passively managed total market “index” funds as the core of their investment portfolios. An index fund simply buys and holds the securities available in a particular investment market.

There were no publicly available index funds when Malkiel in a Random Walk first advanced this recommendation, and investment professionals loudly decried the idea. Today, indexing has been adopted around the world.

Additionally, Malkiel believes that investors “probably needs to take a bit more risk on that stable part of the portfolio”. One asset class that he recommends, instead of low yielding bonds, is preferred stocks. There are good-quality preferred stocks, which are basically fixed-income investments. They’re not as safe as bonds. Bonds have a prior claim on corporate earnings.

According to Malkiel, investors need some part of the portfolio to be in safe, bond like assets–such as preferred stocks, or what he calls bond substitutes, for at least some part of their portfolio.

He suggest a preferred stock of like JPMorgan Chase. He doesn’t think you’re taking an enormous amount of risk. The banks now have much more capital. They are constrained by the Federal Reserve in terms of what they can do and buying back stock and increasing their dividends. And with a portfolio of diversified, high-quality preferred stocks, one can earn a 5% yield.

And if one wants to take on even a bit more risk, there are high-quality common stocks that also yield 5% or more: a stock like IBM, which has a very well-covered dividend, yields over 5%; AT&T– you can think of basically blue chips and they might play a role.

Regarding diversification, investors do need some income-producing assets in their portfolio. But his recommendation is that you think in the diversification of not simply bonds, but maybe some bond substitutes. However, there is a trade-off; there is going to be a little more risk in the portfolio. And one needs to recognize that there is not a perfect solution.

But part of the solution for an investor, especially a retired investor, must be to revisit their spending rule. If one is worried about outliving one’s money, then the spending rate has to be less. In part, it means maybe a bit more belt-tightening.

There’s no easy answer to this. Malkiel wished there were an easy answer that there’s a riskless way to solve the problem. But there isn’t. In terms of wanting more safety, one ought to be saving more before retirement, and maybe the answer is to be spending less in retirement. Thus, on a relative-value basis, things like preferred stocks, and some of the blue chips that have good dividends, and dividends that have been rising over time, ought to play at least some role in the portfolio.

In this age of “financial repression”, where safe bonds yield next to nothing, an asset allocation of 40% bonds is too high, states Malkiel. Now, of course, there’s not just one figure that fits all. For some people it might be 60-40 would be OK. But, in general, the asset allocations that Malkiel recommended have a much larger equity allocation and a much smaller bond allocation. And if you look at the 12th edition of Random Walk book, you’ll find that he has generally reduced the fixed-income allocation and increased the equity allocation–different amounts for different age groups,

References:

  1. https://dof.princeton.edu/about/clerk-faculty/emeritus/burton-gordon-malkiel
  2. https://www.morningstar.com/articles/995453/burton-malkiel-i-am-not-a-big-fan-of-esg-investing

I Bonds

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The main benefit of I Bonds is that they protect your cash from inflation. I bonds currently earn 7.21% through April 2022.

U.S. Treasury issued Series I savings bonds are a low-risk savings product. They are a good hedge against inflation (the “I” in the name stands for “inflation”), because during their lifetime they earn interest and are protected from inflation.

Inflation can be a very destructive economic force that reduces the value and purchasing power of your money over time. With inflation at a 40-year high, many investors are looking for ways to protect the value of their cash, and Series I bonds could be a good solution.

These Series I bonds have two interest rates:

  • A fixed rate that never changes for as long as you hold the bond — currently 0%
  • A variable inflation adjusted rate that changes every six months based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) — current annual rate is 7.12% through April 2022.

The Treasury will announce the new I bond annual interest rate based on CPI in May, which might be higher or lower than the current rate.

You may purchase:

  • Electronic I bonds via TreasuryDirect.gov
  • Paper I bonds with your IRS tax refund via IRS Form 8888

I bonds are sold at face value and earn interest from the first of the month in the issue date. Interest is earned monthly and is compounded semiannually:  the interest the bond earned in the previous six months is added to the bond’s principal value; then, interest for the next six months is calculated using this adjusted principal.

Interest accrues until the bond reaches 30 years maturity or you cash the bond. You can’t access the interest payments until you cash the bond.

I bonds do not incur state or local taxes (SALT), but the bond owner will owe federal tax on the interest earnings unless the money is used for qualified education expenses.

You can’t redeem the bond for at least 12 months, and if you redeem the bond within five years, you forfeit the last three months of interest.

There are dollar limits on the quantity of Series I bonds you can purchase each calendar year:

  • $10k maximum in electronic bonds per person (minimum $25)
  • $5k maximum in paper bonds (minimum $50)

You can also purchase bonds for children under the age of 18 and, in some instances, for trusts and estates.

The main benefit of Series I bonds is that they protect your cash from inflation. And, Series I bonds can be a good solution if you have a savings goal over the next 2 to 5 years and want to protect the value of your savings.

References:

  1. https://www.treasurydirect.gov/indiv/products/prod_ibonds_glance.htm
  2. https://www.treasurydirect.gov/indiv/research/indepth/ibonds/res_ibonds.htm
  3. https://facetwealth.com/article/series-i-bonds/

Bonds Getting Clobbered

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“Bondholders are going to be in for some nasty surprises…because the losses are piling up.” CNBC’s Kelly Evans

A bond is a debt security, similar to an IOU. Borrowers issue bonds to raise money from investors willing to lend them money for a certain amount of time.

When you buy a bond, you are lending to the issuer, which may be a government, municipality, or corporation. In return, the issuer promises to pay you a specified rate of interest during the life of the bond and to repay the principal, also known as face value or par value of the bond, when it “matures,” or comes due after a set period of time.

Just as individuals get a mortgage to buy a house, or a car loan to buy a vehicle, or use credit cards, corporations use debt to build factories, buy inventory, and finance acquisitions. Governments use debt to build infrastructure and to pay obligations when tax revenues fluctuate. Loans help to keep the economy running efficiently.

Whenever the size of the loan is too large for a bank to handle, companies and governments go to the bond market to finance their debt. The purpose of the bond market is to enable large amounts of money to be borrowed.

Bonds can provide a means of preserving capital and earning a predictable return for investors. Bond investments provide steady streams of income from interest payments prior to maturity.

The bond market (also known as the debt market or credit market) is a financial market where players can buy and sell bonds in the secondary market or issue fresh debt in the primary market. Like the stock market, the bond secondary market is made up of investors trading with other investors. The original company that received the money and is responsible for paying back the money, is not involved in the day-to-day trading. The market value of bonds can fluctuate daily due to changes in inflation, interest rates, and fickleness of investors.

The United States accounts for around 39% of total bond market value. According to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA), the bond market (total debt outstanding) was worth $119 trillion globally in 2021, and $46 trillion in the United States (SIFMA). The worldwide bond market is almost three times larger than the global stock market.

“I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the President or the Pope or as a 400 basball hitter. But now I would like to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody.” James Carville

The bond market is more important to the health of the U.S. and global economies than the stock market. And, you prefer for the bond market is not in the news, to be boring and functioning smoothly. Disruption in the bond market is what can get the economy in trouble.

As with any investment, bonds have risks which include:

  • Interest rate risk. Interest rate changes can affect a bond’s value. If bonds are sold before maturity, the bond may be worth more or less than the face value. Rising interest rates will make newly issued bonds more appealing to investors because the newer bonds will have a higher rate of interest than older ones. To sell an older bond with a lower interest rate, you might have to sell it at a discount.
  • Inflation risk. Inflation is a general upward movement in prices. Inflation reduces purchasing power, which is a risk for investors receiving a fixed rate of interest.

In aggregate, bond values are down significantly over the past three months–one of the worst quarters the securities have experienced since the 1980s, explains CNBC’s Kelly Evans. According to Natalliance, “government bonds are on pace for their worst year since 1949.”

Famed former Legg-Mason investor Bill Miller warned several years ago that “when people realize they can actually lose money in bonds, they panic”. Going into the inflationary 1970s, he said, “investors had done so well in bonds for so long they viewed them as essentially riskless, until it was too late.”
Investors have been warned for years about a bond crash that never panned out until recently. The chorus of financial pundits have said that the Federal Reserve’s massive quantitative easing and the federal government’s fiscal response to the financial crisis would ultimately cause inflation and crater bonds, it turns out they were right.

As a result, investors are piling out of bonds, which have seen outflows for ten straight weeks. Municipal bonds have seen historic outflows and are about to post their worst quarter since 1994, down more than 5%, according to Bloomberg. Investors have also been fleeing high-yield debt, especially as the Fed has turned increasingly hawkish this month.

You won’t find many financial professionals, other than fixed-income specialists, recommending big exposure to bonds right now. The outlook is just too uncertain.

“Bonds have nowhere to go but down since [interest] rates have nowhere to go but up.” Liz Young, SoFi Chief Investment Officer

Bonds are not expected to rally or perform better if growth slows, unless there is a meaningful dent in the outlook for inflation, and it would take a very deep and lengthy downturn to do so, as economists and financial pundits have warned.

Bonds have sold off and they haven’t served as downside protection within an investor’s diversified portfolio of stocks and bonds. Year-to-date, bonds have returned -8.7% YTD on 7-10-year Treasury bonds compared to a -6.0% YTD return in the S&P 500.

When bonds are in the red and cash is losing value because of inflation, investors turn to the stock market, at least tactically.

In this environment, “real assets” like real estate and commodities have done extremely well tend to do well in a tough investment environment for the long run (gold, metals, energy — along with globally diversified real estate).

As for stocks, Bill Smead, of Smead Capital Management, likes energy and housing market plays; noted investor Bill Miller likes energy, financials, housing stocks, travel-related names, and even some Chinese stocks (he’s also still bullish on mega-cap tech like Amazon and Meta).

The S&P 500 overall has been impressively resilient thus far, hanging in there with drop of less than 5% since the start of January–less than bonds, in other words. As bond losses deepen, don’t be surprised to see the “TINA” (There Is No Alternative) dynamic continue to bolster stocks.

However, there are several good reasons for purchasing bonds and including them in your portfolio:

  • Bonds are a generally safe investment, which is one of their advantages. Bond prices do not move nearly as much as stock prices.
  • Bonds provide a consistent income stream by paying you a defined sum of interest twice a year.
  • Bonds provide diversification to your portfolio, which is perhaps the most important benefit of investing in them. Stocks have outperformed bonds throughout time, but having a mix of both can lower your financial risk.

References:

  1. https://www.investor.gov/introduction-investing/investing-basics/investment-products/bonds-or-fixed-income-products/bonds
  2. https://www.themoneyfarm.org/investment/bonds/why-is-there-a-market-for-bonds/
  3. https://www.sofi.com/blog/liz-looks-stocks-vs-bonds/
  4. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/28/kelly-evans-its-getting-ugly-out-there-for-bonds.html
  5. https://archerbaycapital.com/bond-market-more-important-to-economy/

Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining market equity values.

Inflation and the Bond Market

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The bond market—Treasuries, high-grade corporate bonds, and municipal bonds—are experiencing depressed yields in the 1% to 3% range and near-record negative real rates with inflation running at 6%. Barron’s

Real interest rates can be effectively negative if the rate of inflation exceeds the nominal interest rate, according to Investopedia. Real interest rate refers to interest paid to borrowers minus the rate of inflation. There are instances, especially during periods of high inflation, where lenders are effectively paying borrowers when they, the borrowers, take out a loan. This is called a negative interest rate environment.

The real interest rate is the nominal interest rate that has been adjusted to remove the effects of inflation to reflect the real cost of funds to the borrower and the real yield to the lender or to a bond investor. The real interest rate is calculated as the difference between the nominal interest rate and the inflation rate:

Real Interest Rate = Nominal Interest Rate – Inflation (Expected or Actual)

While the nominal interest rate is the interest rate actually paid on a loan or bond, the real interest rate is a reflection of the change in purchasing power derived from a bond or given up by the borrower. Real interest rates can be effectively negative if inflation exceeds the nominal interest rate of the bond.

There is risk for bond returns in 2022, when the Federal Reserve is widely expected to start lifting short-term interest rates to manage inflation.

And things could get worst for bonds if inflation persists. That could force the Fed to tighten more aggressively. It wouldn’t take a big rise in rates to generate negative returns on most bonds. The 30-year Treasury, now yielding just 1.9%, and most municipals yield 2% or less and junk bonds yield an average of 5%. Bonds would drop significantly in price if rates rise a percentage point.

The real interest rate adjusts the observed market interest rate for the effects of inflation.

“Cash has been trash for a long time but there are now new contenders for the investment garbage can. Intermediate to long-term bond funds are in that trash receptacle for sure.” Bill Gross, “Bond King”

References:

  1. https://www.barrons.com/articles/best-income-investments-for-2022-51640802442
  2. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/negative-interest-rate.asp

Loss of Purchasing Power: Is $1 million enough for retirement?

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“One million dollars doesn’t buy as many Cadillac Escalades as it used to.”

Today, $1 million no longer buys as many McDonald’s Big Mac sandwiches or Rolex Submariner watches or Ford F150 trucks as it once did thirty years ago.  There’s a good reason for that called ‘loss of purchasing power’ which is a byproduct of inflation. That’s because $1 million of purchasing power in 1970 was the equivalent of nearly seven million dollars today, according to Motley Fool. And as recently as 1990, a million dollars has lost half its buying power since then, meaning you’d need two million today to have the same buying power as you did in 1990.

As a result of normal inflation and loss of purchasing power, $1 million retirement nest egg today definitely will not offer you as comfortable a retirement lifestyle as it did a few years ago or a few decades ago.

Retirement is not an age, but a number

Financial preparedness is more important than reaching a certain retirement age. And, to answer the question of whether $1 million or any amount of money is enough for retirement, the answer depends on what you want your retirement to look like.

It’s important to ensure you have enough savings and income to sustain your spending and lifestyle in retirement. If you don’t have enough money set aside to pay for your retirement, then you may have to delay retiring. And no matter where you are on your retirement journey, you can make your financial number. No matter how little you have or how much time you have left until you want to retire, you can always improve your financial situation. Getting started and creating a retirement plan can carry you a long way.

A 2018 Northwestern Mutual study found that one in three Americans has less than $5,000 saved up for retirement, and 21% of Americans have no retirement savings at all. Overall, Americans are feeling underprepared and less confident regarding the financial realities of retirement, according to the data.

Despite these findings regarding the woeful retirement savings rate by Americans, it’s still not too late to enjoy the kind of life you’ve worked so hard for… and the retirement you deserve.

One of the most important goals for Ameriocans facing retirement is knowing that they can sustain their desired level of spending and lifestyle throughout their lives, with a sense of financial peace of mind and without the fear of running out of money.  For our purposes, financial peace of mind is the knowledge that, no matter your level of savings or degree of market volatility, you are confident that you are unlikely to run out of money during retirement to support your level of spending and  lifestyle.

Taking the financial road less traveled

Conventional wisdom recommend that older Americans should reduce their stock allocation in retirement and move into more safe investments such as bonds and cash.  Although this may seem the less risky road to take in your retirement years, a few experts do not agree.  If you expect to maintain your purchasing power into future, you must stay invested in stocks.

“The idea that a 60-year-old retiree should be investing primarily in conservative investments is an antiquated way of approaching personal finance”, says Jake Loescher, financial advisor, at Savant Capital Management in a 2017 U.S. News article. “Historically, the rule of thumb stated that an individual should take the number 100, subtract their age, which will define the amount of stocks someone should have in their portfolio. For a 60-year-old, this obviously would mean 40 percent stocks is an appropriate amount of risk.”

“A better approach would be to perform a risk assessment and consider first how much risk an individual needs to take based on their personal circumstances,” Loescher says.

According to the article, there are five circumstances when retirees should eskew conventionl wisdom:

  1. The likelihood you’ll live into your 90s or beyond. Since life expectancy is much longer these days and in today’s low-interest environment, you face an increase risk of your nest egg not keeping up with inflation over the long haul.
  2. If you don’t have enough cash for retirement. If you didn’t accumulate enough retirement assets to sustain an expected lifestyle, it becomes essential to decide how much capital in a retirement portfolio you’re willing to risk for the potential upside appreciation.
  3. When interest rates are low. Low interest rates makes the capital risk seem greater than the value bonds might provide due to a loss of purchasing power.  Taking a total-return approach, using low volatility, dividend-paying stocks to replace part of our typical bond component seems the best approach.
  4. If you have estate planning needs. If you don’t depend totally on your investments for income, then your money may be providing a bequest for charity or an inheritance for children.
  5. For historical purposes. The stock market has outperformed all other asset classes over the last century.

In retrospect, retirees will need to allocate a certain portion of their assets to higher-return equity investments to achieve long-term retirement objectives – be it longevity of assets, a desired level of sustainable income, the ability to leave a legacy, etc.

Essentially, the stock market has outperformed all other asset classes over the last century. And studies continue to show that unless you are within three years of retirement, the average variability of stocks relative to their returns is superior to that of Treasurys, municipal and corporate bonds.  Thus, the right course of action is for older Americans to stay invested in the stock market past age 60 which will provide you at least 20 years, on average, to ride out the long-term volatility inherent in equities.

References:

  1. https://www.fool.com/ext-content/is-1-million-enough-for-retirement/
  2. https://www.pimco.com/en-us/insights/investment-strategies/featured-solutions/worried-about-retirement-pimcos-plan-to-help-retirement-savings-last-a-lifetime
  3. https://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/2017-07-24/5-reasons-to-stay-in-the-stock-market-in-your-60s
  4. https://www.pimco.com/en-us/insights/investment-strategies/featured-solutions/income-to-outcome-pimcos-retirement-framework
  5. https://money.usnews.com/money/blogs/on-retirement/2011/03/22/why-retirement-is-not-an-age

Index Fund Investing

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Successful investing always starts with a goal!

Source: Napkin Finance

Investing is for everyone and it can help you reach your financial goals. And, you don’t have to try to pick the winners in the stock market to achieve long-term investing success.

When investing, you don’t have to have tons of money, trade a lot, or employ sophisticated strategies. A proven strategy is just doing the “boring” thing of determining an appropriate asset mix (of stocks, bonds, cash and real estate), owning well-diversified, passively managed index funds, avoiding the herd following tendency to “buy high / sell low,” and sticking with that asset mix over time can help you reach your financial goals.

Even billionaire investor Warren Buffett, the chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, has repeatedly recommended index funds. Buffett said at a shareholders’ conference, “In my view, for most people, the best thing to do is to own the S&P 500 index fund,”

An index fund is a professionally managed collection of stocks, bonds, or other investments that tries to match the returns of a specific index. They tend to:

  • Pool money from a group of investors and then buy the individual stocks or other securities that make up a particular index. That model helps to reduce the associated costs that fund managers charge, compared to those funds where someone is actively strategizing which investments to include.
  • Track the performance of a particular market benchmark, like the S&P 500 or the Dow Jones Industrial Average. They’re a form of passive investing, because they allow investors to buy a lot of assets at once and hold them for the long term.
  • Offer instant diversification for a portfolio, which helps reduce risk. They also tend to be low-cost investment options, which is a big reason why they’re popular with investors.

While individual stock prices can fluctuate wildly, the broader index tends to go up over time — and with index funds, you don’t have to pick the winning stocks to benefit from the market’s overall gains.

Although all index funds track an index, according to Napkin Finance, what they invest in can vary widely:

  • U.S. stocks—some index funds track a well-known U.S. index, like the S&P or the Dow.
  • Global stocks—some try to essentially track the entire global stock market.
  • A specific industry—some index funds focus only on tech or healthcare stocks or those of another industry.
  • A particular region or country—there are index funds that track only investments in Japan, South America, or other regions.
  • Bonds—some index funds try to track the whole bond market, while others focus on a specific slice.
  • Alternatives—there are index funds that track oil, gold, real estate, and more.

Putting your money to work

There are some inherent risks that come with investing in the stock market, but investing also offers a higher rate of return than the interest rates you’ll earn on a savings account. The S&P 500, an index representing the 500 largest U.S. companies, has delivered average annual returns of almost 10% going back 90-plus years.

You don’t have to be an expert or professional investor to be successful. Index funds are a low cost and easy way to beef up the diversification of your portfolio. Additionally, they are relatively low cost and you don’t need a lot of index funds to achieve diversification.

References:

  1. https://napkinfinance.com/napkin/index-fund/
  2. https://grow.acorns.com/warren-buffett-index-funds/
  3. https://rajn.co/warren-buffett-quotes-investing-business-stocks-risk-debt/
  4. https://grow.acorns.com/why-index-funds-are-often-the-best-way-to-invest/

Why would anyone own bonds now? There are at least five reasons | MarketWatch

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Published on www.MarketWatch.com: Aug. 4, 2020 at 12:52 p.m. ET

By Ben Carlson

Bonds play a role in an investment portfolio, even amid historically low interest rates

What’s the better performer 2020 year to date — the red-hot Nasdaq 100 index of tech behemoths (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet, etc.) or boring, old long-term bonds?

The Nasdaq 100 ETF QQQ is up an astonishing 25.5%. But the long-term treasury ETF TLT is up 27.3%. Surprisingly, long-term bonds are outperforming tech stocks.

Yet, according to Deutsche Bank, we’re now experiencing the lowest government bond yields in well over 200 years:

Fixed income assets, such as bonds, typically provides regular cash and lower volatility when markets hit turbulence.  And, bond prices often are uncorrelated to equities. Stocks typically do well in periods of economic growth, whereas bonds typically do well in periods of declining economic activity and recessions.  Additionally,  bonds offer downside protection and moderate upside potential as investors tend to seek out the safety of U.S. government and investment-grade corporate bonds amid stock market uncertainty.

Many investors have been saying for years that bond coupon rates and yields can only go up from here, and yet, they’ve done nothing but fall more. And maybe they’ll fall even further and possibly go negative like in Europe and Japan (something we should not rule out in the U.S. if the pandemic worsens).

But eventually short-term movements in rates will wash out and the long-term returns will be based more on the current bond yields. When you consider how paltry those yields are, investors in fixed-income are guaranteed to see minuscule returns from here over the long haul.

So why own bonds at historically low yields? Some reasons:

  1. Bonds hedge stock-market volatility
  2. Bonds can be used to rebalance
  3. Bonds can be used for spending purposes
  4. Bonds protect against deflation
  5. There are other asset class options, but there aren’t many

Although bonds and bond funds have done extremely well in 2020, the bottom-line regarding bonds and bond funds…you can either earn less income from low yielding bonds to better protect your capital or earn more income from dividend paying stocks to accept more risk in your portfolio.

Read the entire opinion article at: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-would-anyone-own-bonds-now-there-are-at-least-five-reasons-2020-08-04

References:

  1. https://www.fidelity.com/insights/investing-ideas/bond-funds-portfolio-protection

10 Money Lessons He Wished Heard — or Listened to — When Younger | MarketWatch

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Updated: February 23, 2020

Jonathan Clements, author of “From Here to Financial Happiness” and “How to Think About Money,” and editor of HumbleDollar.com., is the former personal-finance columnist for The Wall Street Journal. He has devoted his entire adult life to learning about money.

That might sound like cruel-and-unusual punishment, but he has mostly enjoyed it. For more than three decades, he has spent his days perusing the business pages, reading finance books, scanning academic studies and talking to countless folks about their finances.

Yet, despite this intense financial education, it took him a decade or more to learn many of life’s most important money lessons and, indeed, some key insights have only come to him in recent years.

Here are 10 things he wished he’d been told in his 20s—or told more loudly, so he actually listened:

— Read on www.marketwatch.com/story/10-money-lessons-i-wish-id-listened-to-when-i-was-younger-2020-02-12

1. A small home is the key to a big portfolio. Financially, it turned out to be one of the smartest things he had ever done, because it allowed him to save great gobs of money. That’s clear to him in retrospect. But he wished he’d known it was a smart move at the time, because he wouldn’t have wasted so many hours wondering whether he should have bought a larger place.

2. Debts are negative bonds. From his first month as a homeowner, he sent in extra money with his mortgage payment, so he could pay off the loan more quickly. But it was only later that he came to view his mortgage as a negative bond—one that was costing him dearly. Indeed, paying off debt almost always garners a higher after-tax return than you can earn by investing in high-quality bonds.

3. Watching the market and your portfolio doesn’t improve performance. This has been another huge time waster. It’s a bad habit he belatedly trying to break.

4. Thirty years from now, you’ll wish you’d invested more in stocks. Yes, over five or even 10 years, there’s some chance you’ll lose money in the stock market. But over 30 years? It’s highly likely you’ll notch handsome gains, especially if you’re broadly diversified and regularly adding new money to your portfolio in good times and bad.

5. Nobody knows squat about short-term investment performance. One of the downsides of following the financial news is that you hear all kinds of smart, articulate experts offering eloquent predictions of plummeting share prices and skyrocketing interest rates that—needless to say—turn out to be hopelessly, pathetically wrong. In his early days as an investor, this was, alas, the sort of garbage that would give him pause.

6. Put retirement first. Buying a house or sending your kids to college shouldn’t be your top goal. Instead, retirement should be. It’s so expensive to retire that, if you don’t save at least a modest sum in your 20s, the math quickly becomes awfully tough—and you’ll need a huge savings rate to amass the nest egg you need.

7. You’ll end up treasuring almost nothing you buy. Over the years, he had had fleeting desires for all kinds of material goods. Most of the stuff he purchased has since been thrown away. This is an area where millennials seem far wiser than us baby boomers. They’re much more focused on experiences than possessions—a wise use of money, says happiness research.

8. Work is so much more enjoyable when you work for yourself. These days, he earn just a fraction of what he made during my six years on Wall Street, but he is having so much more fun. No meetings to attend. No employee reviews. No worries about getting to the office on time or leaving too early. he is working harder today than he ever have. But it doesn’t feel like work—because it’s his choice and it’s work he is passionate about.

9. Will our future self approve? As we make decisions today, he think this is a hugely powerful question to ask—and yet it’s only in recent years that he had learned to ask it.

When we opt not to save today, we’re expecting our future self to make up the shortfall. When we take on debt, we’re expecting our future self to repay the money borrowed. When we buy things today of lasting value, we’re expecting our future self to like what we purchase.

Pondering our future self doesn’t just improve financial decisions. It can also help us to make smarter choices about eating, drinking, exercising and more.

10. Relax, things will work out. As he watch his son, daughter and son-in-law wrestle with early adult life, he glimpse some of the anxiety that he suffered in my 20s and 30s.

When you’re starting out, there’s so much uncertainty — what sort of career you’ll have, how financial markets will perform, what misfortunes will befall you. And there will be misfortunes. he’d had my fair share.

But if you regularly take the right steps—work hard, save part of every paycheck, resist the siren song of get-rich-quick schemes—good things should happen. It isn’t guaranteed. But it’s highly likely. So, for goodness’ sake, fret less about the distant future, and focus more on doing the right things each and every day.

You can follow Jonathan Clements on Twitter @ClementsMoney and on Facebook at Jonathan Clements Money Guide.

7 Low-Risk Investments With High Returns in 2019 | TheStreet

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Low-risk is a relative term when it comes to investing. The classic risk-free investment is Treasury securities, but even they carry some degree of price risk. For those looking for low-risk investments, here are some to consider….

— Read on www.thestreet.com/personal-finance/low-risk-investments-with-high-returns-15170504