The Real Value of Wealth

Invest first before living like a King and Queen

Asset vs Liability

Son: Dad, may I speak with you?
Dad: Go ahead.
Son: Among all my classmates, I am the only one without a car. It is embarrassing.
Dad: What do you want me to do?
Son: I need a car. I don’t want to feel odd.
Dad: Do you have a particular car in mind?
Son: Yes dad (smiling)
Dad: How much?
Son: $15K
Dad: I will give you the money on one condition.
Son: What is the condition?
Dad: You will not use the money to buy a car but invest it. If you make enough profit from the investment, you can go ahead and buy the car.
Son: Deal.

Then, the father gave him a check of $15K. The son cashed the check and invested it in obedience to the verbal agreement that he had with his father.

Some months later, the father asked the son how he was faring. The son responded that his business was improving. The father left him.

After some months again, the father asked him about his business again and the son told him that he is making a lot of profit from the business.

When it was exactly a year after he gave him the money, the father asked him to show him how far the business has gone. The son readily agreed and the following discussion took place:

Dad: From this I can see that you have made a lot of money.
Son: Yes dad.
Dad: Do you still remember our agreement?
Son: Yes
Dad: What is it?
Son: We agreed that I should invest the money and buy the car from the profit.
Dad: Why have you not bought the car?
Son: I don’t need the car. I want to invest more.
Dad: Good. You have learned the lessons that I wanted to teach you.
– You didn’t really need the car, you just wanted to feel apart of the crowd. That would have placed extra financial obligations on you. It wasn’t an asset then; but a liability.
– Two, it is very important for you to invest in your future before living like a king.
Son: Thanks dad.

Then the father gave him the keys of the latest model of that car.

MORALS:
1. Always invest first before you start living the way you want.

2. What you see as a need now may become a want if you can take a little time to get over your feelings.

3. Try to be able to distinguish between an asset and a liability so that what you see as an asset today will not become a liability to you tomorrow.

You’re Responsible for Managing Your Money

“Don’t be like a ship at sea without a rudder, powerless and directionless. Decide what you want, find out how to get it, and then take daily action toward achieving your goal. You will get exactly and only what you ask and work for. Make up your mind today what is it you want and start today to go after it! Do It Now!” ~ Napoleon Hill

When you understand that you alone are responsible for managing your money and building wealth, everything changes. It’s not up to the government or your neighbor—it’s all on you.

Take control and make it happen.

It is ultimately the choices and actions you take with your money that have the greatest impact on your financial well-being.

It is about developing disciplined spending and saving habits, being responsible with debt, making wise investment decisions, and exhibiting patience and long-term thinking when it comes to financial goals.

Start by thinking about your end financial goal. What is the number (amount needed for retirement) you are aiming for? Once you have that number in mind, consider what actions you need to take now to make it a reality. If you’re unable to invest a lot right now, think about what steps you can take to change that situation.

Break down your goals into smaller, more manageable tasks, and you’ll be surprised at how much progress you can make.

Even if you cannot afford to invest $1,000 monthly, do not allow that to discourage you from investing. Beginning with more modest amounts such as $25, $50, or $100 can be a great starting point. It is crucial to make investing a priority, no matter how little, and then gradually increase your investments as time goes by.

When striving to build wealth and for financial freedom, don’t forget the importance of maintaining good health. True wealth is not only the freedom to pursue personal goals, but also the presence of good health. Without good health, financial freedom holds little to no worth.

While a healthy person desires numerous things, a sick person longs for just one: good health.

Defining Wealth

Frequently, when discussing wealth, the importance of good health is overlooked.

Being wealthy means more than just having money—it also means having good health. So, while you’re working hard to build wealth and be financially free, don’t discount the importance of good health.

Wealth is not about having the most expensive possessions, but rather having the freedom to do what you want, feeling joy and contentment in life, and being healthy. This is the best definition and meaning of wealth.

Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones II, Tudor Group’s Founder and Chief Investment Officer, is one of the pioneers of the modern-day hedge fund industry.  He is known for his macro trades, particularly his bets on interest rates and currencies.

In 1980, he founded Tudor Investment Corporation, which now manages $13 billion in assets.

Between 1989 to 2014, he generated compounded annual returns of nearly 20% without a single down year.

Tudor considers himself one of the most conservative investors in the world.  He would describe himself as the “single most conservative investor on earth”, and he “absolutely hates losing money.” Once he commented that his grandfather told him at a very early age that “you are only worth what you can write a check for tomorrow.”

Thus, his investment philosophy is that he does not take a lot of risks, instead, he looks “for opportunities with tremendously skewed reward-risk opportunities.” Others describe his strategy as: ‘Don’t be a hero. Don’t have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability. Don’t ever feel that you are very good. The second you do, you are dead”


Source:  https://www.tudor.com/

 

Building Wealth ‘One Brick at a Time’

“Rome wasn’t built in a day, but they were laying bricks every hour.” – James Clear

Laying bricks systematically to build a city works similarly well for building wealth. Building wealth is a slow systematic process of investing over the long term and compounding returns over time for most savers and investors. Successfully building wealth is not an overnight success.

“Goals are good for setting a direction, but systems [habits] are best for making progress.” ~ James Clear

Small Cap Stocks Performance

Historically, small-cap stocks have been shown to outperform the rest of the market over the long term.  And, small-caps tend to underperform during bear markets but outperform in bull markets.

Some of the best stocks to buy in the past 25 years started as small-cap stocks. Amazon was a $7 stock in 1998, and Tesla had a market valuation of just over $1 billion in 2010. Of course, not every small-cap company becomes a giant. Investing in small companies can be rewarding, but it also comes with risks that investors need to understand.

Over the long-term, small caps tend to outperform because of greater growth opportunities. A massive company is limited by its existing size. It’d be exceptionally difficult for, say, Apple Inc. to triple its revenues and free cash flow anytime soon.

However, a $1 billion company can much more easily grow to be multiples of its current size. Many small caps stay small because they have structural problems, management lacks the capability to grow the business, or their niche simply isn’t large enough to support a bigger enterprise. That said, many small caps can graduate to greater things, earning shareholders tremendous returns along the way.

Small-cap stocks tend to experience more price volatility and to suffer more stock price destruction than their larger cap peers during bear markets and when equities are broadly struggling due to inflationary and recessionary fears.

Small cap stocks typically underperform entering recessions and periods of economic weakness but outperforms coming out of them. In the long run, small caps tend to be winning investments. Yale professor Roger Ibbotson and financial consultancy Duff & Phelps analyzed nearly a century of data to find that small caps have outperformed large companies by 1.6% on average every year through 2020.

Fearful investors who throw in the towel during market downturns risk missing out on the rewards when the market possibly reverses course in 2023.

“This is one of the best times to invest in small company stocks that we’ve seen in a very long period of time,” says Gregg Fisher, founder of global small cap hedge fund Quent Capital, which manages $1 billion in assets. “The odds historically of a huge rally off this massive decline are high.”

The small-cap benchmark Russell 2000 Index (RUT) generated a total return (price appreciation plus dividends) of -20.4% for the year-to-date through Dec. 16. That trailed the S&P 500’s (SPX) total return of -17.9%.

No surprises there. Risker and “growthier” equities such as small-cap stocks tend to underperform when markets are volatile and headed south (bearish).

By the same token, however, small-cap stocks also tend to outperform the broader market when equities are catching a bid. No one can know for certain if we’ve already seen the bottom of our current bear market. Once the equity malaise lifts, however, the best small-cap stocks to buy should theoretically be among the market’s top outperformers.

To find the best performing small cap that have continued to grow through the bear market, Search for companies with a market value between $300 million and $2 billion that also had positive sales growth over the past 12 months and a share price of at least $5. Financial institutions, REITs, utilities, royalty trusts and limited partnerships were excluded, as were companies that have been public for less than one year.

Over time, small-cap stock prices tend to be more volatile than those of larger companies, and stock values fluctuate more dramatically. But, in general, the longer the evaluation period, the greater the likelihood that small-cap stocks outperform the large-caps.

in recent months small-cap stocks have fallen sharply amid a broader pullback on fears of a Federal Reserve Board rate hike, especially in high-priced growth stocks. Since small-cap stocks are more likely to be in their growth phase and are often unprofitable or minimally profitable, they get hit harder during “risk-off” moments like the one that started 2022. In other words, small-caps tend to underperform during bear markets but outperform in bull markets.


References:

  1. https://www.fidelity.com/insights/investing-ideas/small-caps-2023
  2. https://www.forbes.com/lists/best-small-cap-companies
  3. https://money.usnews.com/investing/slideshows/9-of-the-best-small-cap-stocks-to-buy-for-2023
  4. https://www.fool.com/investing/stock-market/types-of-stocks/small-cap-stocks/
  5. https://www.fool.com/investing/stock-market/types-of-stocks/small-cap-stocks/how-to-find-small-cap-stocks/

The Power of Compounding

There are two things to direct your attention to.

  • First, the power of compounding. A 12% return in one year isn’t life changing, but stay invested for 20 years and, on average, you’ve grown your capital nearly ninefold.
  • Second, notice that the lowest number on the chart is the worst one-year return, a 39% loss. As the time extends, not only do the average results improve, but the worst losses also get smaller.

Over the long-term, the worst 20-year S&P 500 returns result has been a gain of 155%. The fact that risk decreases with time is apparent in the annualized standard deviations, which are lowest for the longest holding periods. That means the annual returns are not independent of each other, but rather, are mean reverting. And that’s good to know after a year like this year.

That’s why buying stocks only for investors who can leave their money in the market for multiple years is encouraged. If you expect to cash in your stocks in just a year, you expose yourself to a loss that is multiples of your expected gain. If you can wait five years to cash in, your expected gain is multiples of the worst historical loss. And if you can wait 20 years, there has never been an outcome worse than doubling your investment.

You shouldn’t buy stocks if you expect to sell within five years. And you’re  also discouraged market timing. Most investors tend to throw in the towel after large losses and go all in after large gains. History says the opposite has produced better results market tended to increase more than usual following a bear market. The average two-year increase was 33% after hitting down 20%, meaning the market had usually recovered more than all its losses within two years. Further, that 33% gain was nearly double the median two-year increase. This positive outlook can be hard to wrap your arms around given that most advice you hear, especially from professionals, is to get more cautious after the market has fallen.

The tendency of good periods following bad and vice versa is part of the reason why the long-term risk-return characteristics of equities have been so favorable. The table below shows the average 1-, 5-, 10- and 20-year total returns for the S&P 500 for the past 77 years and the best and worst returns for each period.


References:

  1. https://oakmark.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/3/documents/2022-0930_Oakmark-Funds_Annual_Report.pdf

Top Investing Rules

The number one rule of investing is: Don’t lose money. In other words, preservation of capital and management of risk are most important for investors than maximizing returns and income.

What follows are 10 proven rules of investing to make you a more successful — and hopefully to build wealth — investor.

Rule No. 1 – Never lose money

Legendary investor Warren Buffett stated that “Rule No. 1 is never lose money. Rule No. 2 is never forget Rule No. 1.” The Oracle of Omaha’s advice stresses the importance of avoiding loss in your portfolio. When you have more money in your portfolio, you can make more money on it. So, a loss hurts your future earning power.

What Buffett’s rule essentially means is don’t become enchanted with an investment’s potential gains. Instead, focus on downside investment risks and preservation of capital. If you don’t get enough upside for the risks you’re taking, the investment may not be worth it. Focus on the downside risk first, counsels Buffett.

Rule No. 2 – Think like an owner

Think like an owner. Remember that you are buying fractional ownership of companies, not just stocks.

While many investors treat stocks like gambling, real businesses stand behind those stocks. Stocks are a fractional ownership interest in a business, and as the business performs well or poorly over time, the company’s stock is likely to follow the direction of its profitability.

Investing involves an analysis of fundamentals, valuation, and an opinion about how the business will perform and produce cash in the future.

Rule No. 3 – Stick to your process

The best investors develop a process that is consistent and successful over many market cycles. Be discipline and don’t deviate from your process because of short-term challenges and market volatility.

One of the best strategies for investors: a long-term buy-and-hold approach. You can buy stock funds regularly in a 401(k), for example, and then hold on for decades. But it can be easy when the market gets volatile to deviate from your plan because you’re temporarily losing money. Don’t do it.

Rule No. 4 – Buy when everyone is fearful

When the market is down, investors often sell or simply quit paying attention to it. But that’s when the bargains are out in droves. It’s true: the stock market is the only market where the goods go on sale and everyone is too afraid to buy. As Buffett has famously said, “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”

The good news if you’re a 401(k) investor is that once you set up your account you don’t have to do anything else to continue buying in. This structure keeps your emotions out of the game.

Rule No. 5 – Keep your investing discipline

It’s important that investors continue to save over time, in rough climates and good, even if they can put away only a little. By continuing to invest regularly, you’ll get in the habit of living below your means even as you build up a nest egg of assets in your portfolio over time.

The 401(k) is an ideal vehicle for this discipline, because it takes money from your paycheck automatically without you having to decide to do so. It’s also important to pick your investments skillfully – here’s how to select your 401(k) investments.

Rule No. 6 – Stay diversified

Keeping your portfolio diversified is important for reducing risk. Having your portfolio in only one or two stocks is unsafe, no matter how well they’ve performed for you. So experts advise spreading your investments around in a diversified portfolio.

“If I had to choose one strategy to keep in mind when investing, it would be diversification,” says Mindy Yu, former director of investments at Stash. “Diversification can help you better weather the stock market’s ups and downs.”

The good news: diversification can be easy to achieve. An investment in a Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fund, which holds hundreds of investments in America’s top companies, provides immediate diversification for a portfolio. If you want to diversify more, you can add a bond fund or other choices such as a real estate fund that may perform differently in various economic climates.

Rule No. 7 – Avoid timing the market

Experts routinely advise clients to avoid trying to time the market, that is, trying to buy or sell at the right time. “Time in the market is more important than timing the market.” The idea here is that you need to stay invested to get compounding returns and avoid jumping in and out of the market.

And that’s what Veronica Willis, an investment strategy analyst at Wells Fargo Investment Institute recommends: “The best and worst days are typically close together and occur when markets are at their most volatile, during a bear market or economic recession. An investor would need expert precision to be in the market one day, out of the market the next day and back in again the following day.”

Experts typically advise buying regularly to take advantage of dollar-cost averaging.

Rule No. 8 – Understand everything you invest in

“Don’t invest in a product you don’t understand and ensure the risks have been clearly disclosed to you before investing,” says Chris Rawley, founder and CEO at Harvest Returns, a fintech marketplace for investing in agriculture.

Whatever you’re investing in, you need to understand how it works. If you’re buying a stock, you need to know why it makes sense to do so and when the stock is likely to profit. If you’re buying a fund, you want to understand its track record and costs, among other things. If you’re buying an annuity, it’s vital to understand how the annuity works and what your rights are.

Rule No. 9 – Review your investing plan and goals regularly

While it can be a good idea to set up a solid investing plan and then only tinker with it, it’s advisable to review your plan regularly to see if it still fits your needs. You could do this whenever you check your accounts for tax purposes.

“Remember, though, your first financial plan won’t be your last,” says Kevin Driscoll, vice president of advisory services at Navy Federal Financial Group in the Pensacola area. “You can take a look at your plan and should review it at least annually – particularly when you reach milestones like starting a family, moving, or changing jobs.”

Rule No. 10 – Stay in the game, have an emergency fund

It’s absolutely vital that you have an emergency fund, not only to tide you over during tough times, but also so that you can stay invested long term.

“Keep 5 percent of your assets in cash, because challenges happen in life,” says Craig Kirsner, president of retirement planning services at Stuart Estate Planning Wealth Advisors in Pompano Beach, Florida. He adds: “It makes sense to have at least six months of expenses in your savings account.”

If you must sell some of your investments during a rough spot, it’s often likely to be when they are down. An emergency fund can help you stay in the investing game longer. Money that you might need in the short term (less than three years) needs to stay in cash.

Investing is effectively about doing the right things and about avoiding the wrong things. And, it’s important to manage your temperament (emotions) so that you’re focused and disciplined to do the right things even as they may feel risky, scary or unsafe.

References:

https://www.bankrate.com/investing/golden-rules-of-investing/