Tag Archives: #Dividends

Dividend Growth

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“One common trap that dividend investors can fall into is chasing stocks with high yields when they should be buying dividend growth stocks that can promise years of steady income raises.” ~ Dan Burrows, Senior Investing Writer, Kiplinger.com

Over the last few years when non-dividend paying growth stocks were delivering significant double-digit gains in the span of months, it was easy to ignore the benefits of equity income, writes Stephen Dover, CFA, Chief Market Strategist, Franklin Templeton Institute. Today, given rising interest rates, slowing growth and heightened volatility, the role of dividends is changing amid a more challenging environment for multiple expansion.

Over the long-term, dividends have proven to be a significant driver of total return. Over the last 31 years, spanning January 1990 through December 2021, the receipt and reinvestment of dividends accounted for about 50% of the cumulative total return of the S&P 500 Index, according to Franklin Templeton. In addition, dividend growers, proxied by the S&P 500 Quality High Dividend Index, have outperformed their value and growth counterparts over the more than two decades since 1995.

Dividend payouts can act as a useful quality barometer. A solid track record of growing dividends consistently and sustainably over an extended period of time is typically seen as a signal of healthy company fundamentals, astute and efficient capital allocation and a firm commitment to shareholder value.

Dividend payouts are often cut during periods of grave economic stress, particularly in the most vulnerable companies.

  • Dividends offer evidence of financial strength. Historically companies that initiated or increased their dividend have significantly outperformed those that cut or don’t pay a dividend.
  • Often, stocks with the highest dividend yields come from companies whose market prices have fallen, indicating stress.

In the U.S., 242 companies cut or suspended dividends, according to Capital Group. This number of dividend cuts and suspension nearly match the total for the previous 11 years combined.

After historic cuts, some U.S. companies are restoring dividends

Source: Wolfe Research, LLC. Copyright © Wolfe Research, LLC 2021. All rights reserved. Only companies with market cap of at least $250 million included. Reinstated dividends statistic is through 5/31/21.

But the picture is improving. With the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines and the reopening of economies, many U.S. companies have begun to resume payments.

Many investors, when they search for dividend paying stocks, tend to start with companies that pay the highest dividend yields. These companies can be sound investments, but the high yield can also be a warning sign. “Companies that have very high dividends to start may not be able to sustain them,” Joyce Gordon, Capital Group equity portfolio manager, notes. “The high yield may indicate a company is a melting ice cube, and their business is in decline and they’re not reinvesting.”

Gordon says that dividend growing stocks represent a compelling value for investors. “I look for companies that are yielding around 2.5% to 3.0%, and that are growing their dividends and earnings around 10% or 12% a year. Today I am finding a number of companies that meet that criteria across a wide range of sectors and global markets.”

The best dividend stocks – companies that raise their payouts like clockwork decade after decade – can produce superior total returns (price plus dividends) over the long run, even if they sport apparently ho-hum yields to begin with.

Dividend growers are strong companies that are likely to be even stronger in five or 10 years. “I look for a company that can demonstrate the capacity and commitment to raise its dividends over time,” Gordon says. “I look for dividend growth that matches the underlying earnings growth of the company.”

Dividend growers historically have tended to generate greater returns than other dividend strategies, while also keeping up relatively well with the broader market. People assume that growth companies far outpaced dividend paying stocks over the past decade, and that’s true when you look at the highest yielding stocks. But dividend growers did nearly as well as the overall market.

By providing a growing stream of income, dividend growth can be a sign of company executive management’s more rigorous capital allocation process. “Because they are committed to setting aside some proportion of their earnings for investors, they tend to have better discipline and may be less likely to make some ill-advised acquisition,” Gordon says.

Because it is reflective of growing earnings, dividend growth can also offer a measure of resilience against interest rate hikes, Gordon adds.

Reinvested dividends. The power of reinvested dividends

One company that has consistently grown its dividends is McDonald’s. To get a sense of how regularly reinvesting dividend payments can compound over time, consider a hypothetical $100,000 investment in the company for the 20 years from December 31, 2000, through December 31, 2020, with all dividends reinvested.

Sources: Capital Group, FactSet. Growth rate calculations for value of shares from reinvested dividends and dividends paid use the first year’s dividends payment ($676) as a starting value.

Reinvested dividends tend to provide a downside cushion for total returns during periods of modest capital gains. The 2000s—the “lost decade” for stocks—is a crucial case-in-point. While the S&P 500 delivered annualized total returns of -0.95% in the 10 years from January 2000 through December 2009, the figure would have been worse had dividends been removed from the calculation. Annualized price return for the index in the 2000s averaged -2.72% versus dividends, which provided 1.77% annualized return over the 10-year period.

Using the power of the compounding of re-invested dividends is a good way to build real wealth, simply. Albert Einstein has called compound interest the “Eighth Wonder of the World,” since the power of compounding can be a wonder to behold. The magic of compounding, as Ben Franklin famously said, “Money makes money. And the money that money makes, makes money.”

“Compound interest is the Eighth Wonder of the World. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t pays it” ~ Albert Einstein

Compound interest or “interest on interest” is effectively what compound interest is for investors. “Interest on Interest” or “dividends on dividends” is why the compounding effect on dividend reinvestment creates wealth. The longer you reinvest the dividends, the more dividends you receive because you own more shares. And the cycle continues as long as the investor stay invested in the market and reinvests his/her dividends.

S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats.

The objective is to find companies that are growing their dividends faster than the market average over time. The Dividend Aristocrats are companies in the S&P 500 Index that have raised their payouts for at least 25 consecutive years. This list of the S&P 500’s best dividend stocks is a mix of household names and more obscure firms, but they all play key roles in the American economy. And although they’re scattered across pretty much every sector of the market, they do all share one thing in common: a commitment to reliable and long-term dividend growth.

References:

  1. https://www.capitalgroup.com/advisor/insights/articles/dividend-growth-special-sauce-long-term-investing.html
  2. https://www.franklintempleton.com/articles/strategist-views/the-case-for-dividends
  3. https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stocks/dividend-stocks/604131/best-dividend-stocks-you-can-count-on-in-2022
  4. https://www.wealthplicity.com/investing-strategy/stocks-and-equities/the-power-of-compounding-dividend/

All investments involve risks, including possible loss of principal. The value of investments can go down as well as up, and investors may not get back the full amount invested.

International Dividend Investing

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U.S. dividend stocks continue to sport relatively low yields compared with other assets, especially as bond yields climb amid the Federal Reserve’s rate-hike.

But, there are alternatives assets to U.S. dividend stocks…international stocks:

  • MSCI Europe index was yielding 3.4%,
  • Japan’s Nikkei 225 index was yielding 2%,
  • MSCI Emerging Markets index was at 3.1%.
  • S&P500 was yielding 1.6%.

“Outside the U.S., there’s more of a culture of returning capital to shareholders through dividends rather than buybacks,” says Julian McManus, a portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors.

International stocks offer an higher yield than U.S. equities, though there are risks. Early in the pandemic, for example, dividend cuts went much deeper overseas than they did in the U.S.

Additionally, most countries impose a withholding tax on dividends paid to nonresidents. However, those withholding taxes, in many cases, can be credited against the U.S. shareholder’s U.S. tax liability, according to Robert Willens, a New York–based accounting and tax expert.

Another risk international dividends pose is that they can be more apt to get cut in economic downturns.

U.S. investors face a trade-off when it comes to international dividends: higher yields with higher risk.

References:

  1. Lawrence C. Strauss, Why Income Seekers Should Consider International Stocks, Barron’s, August 5, 2022.
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/international-stocks-income-dividends-yield-51659585601

Qualified Dividends vs. Ordinary Dividends

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The distinction between Qualified and non-Qualified dividends has to do with how you’re taxed on those dividends.

  • Qualified dividends are taxed at 15% for most taxpayers. (It’s zero for single taxpayers with incomes under $40,000 and 20% for single taxpayers with incomes over $441,451.)
  • Ordinary dividends (or “nonqualified dividends”) are taxed at your normal marginal tax rate.

The concept of qualified dividends began with the 2003 tax cuts. Previously, all dividends were taxed at the taxpayer’s normal marginal rate.

The lower qualified rate was designed to fix one of the great unintended consequences of the U.S. tax code. By taxing dividends at a higher rate, the IRS was incentivizing companies not to pay them. Instead, it incentivized them to do stock buybacks (which were untaxed) or simply hoard the cash.

By creating the lower qualified dividend tax rate that was equal to the long-term capital gains tax rate, the tax code instead incentivized companies to reward their long-term shareholders with higher dividends. It also incentivized investors to hold their stocks for longer to collect them.

Qualified Dividends

To be qualified, a dividend must be paid by a U.S. company or a foreign company that trades in the U.S. or has a tax treaty with the U.S. That part is simple enough to understand.

Importance of dividends

From 1871 through 2003, 97% of the total after-inflation accumulation from stocks came from reinvesting dividends. Only 3% came from capital gains.”

To put this into perspective, take a look at the example used by John Bogle, where he writes: “An investment of $10,000 in the S&P 500 Index at its 1926 inception with all dividends reinvested would by the end of September 2007 have grown to approximately $33,100,000 (10.4% compounded). If dividends had not been reinvested, the value of that investment would have been just over $1,200,000 (6.1% compounded)—an amazing gap of $32 million.” The reinvestment of dividends accounted for almost all of the stocks’ long-term total return.

Dividends are an important consideration when investing in the share market as they provide a reliable source of return while you wait.

References:

  1. https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stocks/dividend-stocks/601396/qualified-dividends-vs-ordinary-dividends

The Power of Dividends

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Dividends account for about 40% of total stock market return over time

Value of dividends

There are 2 ways to make money in the stock market: capital appreciation and dividends.

Capital appreciation—an increase in a stock’s price—gets most of the attention, but dividends can be surprisingly powerful.

Fidelity Investments’ research finds that dividend payments have accounted for approximately 40% of the overall stock market’s return since 1930.

What’s more, dividends can help prop up returns when stock prices struggle. For example, stock prices in the S&P 500 fell during the 1930s and 2000s, but dividends almost completely offset the decline. In the 1940s and 1970s, when inflation surged, dividends accounted for 65% and 71% of the S&P 500’s return, respectively.

“From a multi-asset income perspective, I am always seeking investments that pay a high enough level of current income to help cushion the blow during down markets. Conversely, in rising markets, this income component contributes to the overall total return of the investment. In this regard, companies that pay a sustainable and growing dividend have the potential to grow their income to keep up with inflation,” says Adam Kramer, portfolio manager for the Fidelity Multi-Asset Income Fund

References:

  1. https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/trading-investing/inflation-and-dividend-stocks

Power of Dividends

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A dividend is a share of profits and retained earnings that a company pays out to its shareholders. When a company generates a profit and accumulates retained earnings, those earnings can be either reinvested in the business or paid out to shareholders as a dividend.

Dividends can create a rising source of income for a lifetime. They have proven to grow at twice the rate of inflation over the better part of stock market history.

Dividends are one of three ways for a company to return value of their profits and a portion of its free cash flow to shareholders. The other two ways are for a company to buy back its shares and to re-invest in the company.

  • A share buyback is when a company uses cash on the balance sheet to repurchase shares in the open market. This has two effects.
      • It returns cash to shareholders
      It reduces the number of shares outstanding.

    As a company increase the dividend on a annual basis, the amount may be small, but over time, it can become significant.

    For example, if you own stock in a company that pays a dividend of 57 cents per share, they may announce a dividend increase of 4 cents to 61 cents. That means you get and extra 4 cents for each share you own.

    Although, it’s only 4 cents, but 4 cents on 57 cents is am7% dividend increase on each share you own. If the dividend increased by this amount, 4 cents, every year, the dividend would double in about 10 years. Thus, over time, if you stick with dividends, the money will begin to grow.

    In S&P 500 Index companies alone paid out $485 billion in dividends to shareholders.

    Dividends outpace inflation

    Back in 1980, a $10,000 investment in the S&P 500 Index paid a dividend of about $421, or 4.21%, on the initial investment. Forty years later, the dividend income had climbed to $5,724, a 57% annual yield on the original investment. And, the original $10K investment grew as well. The original $10K invested in the S&P 500 Index in 1980 would have grown into more than $287K as the stock price increased. That’s not counting the dividends paid.

    The price-only-return (which excludes dividends income) is 8.75% per year. If you add in another 3% for the dividends you receive each year, you get a total average return of about 11.75% per year.

    Dividends have proven to be a more consistent source of growing income that has outpaced inflation.

    Dividends and Total Return over that 40 year period,

    Total return is one of the most important concepts in finance, and it involves more than just the dividends a company pays out.

    The total return of a stock is the total amount your investment changes in value, calculated by adding the amount of dividend or interest income received to the investment’s capital return (i.e. change in the investment’s price).

    Total return is driven by three components: earnings growth (which fuels capital gains and the underlying intrinsic value of a stock), dividends, and changes in valuation multiples.

    Dividends have been a major component of the stock market’s overall total returns throughout history and have contributed anywhere from 25% to 75% of the market’s overall total return over the past seven decades (the remaining portion of total return is accounted for by capital gains, or the market’s change in price).

    Takeaway, dividends are a powerful wealth building tool. If you invest in perennial dividend payers and consistent dividend grower companies, and then be patient, the dividends will add up significantly over decades.

    References:

    1. https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/finance/dividend/
    2. https://www.wesmoss.com/news/the-power-of-investing-in-dividends-generating-income-from-stock-dividends-vs-bond-interest/
    3. https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/strategy-and-corporate-finance/our-insights/paying-back-your-shareholders
    4. https://1.simplysafedividends.com/dividends-vs-total-returns/

    Wealth Building and Dividends

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    “Systems are the vehicles that are going to take you to your goals—your goals are simply the destination.” James Clear

    “We don’t rise to the level of our goals; we fall to the level of our systems.  Don’t share with me your goals; share with me your systems.” James Clear

    Are you prepared for your financial future and to build wealth? There are many benefits of investing for the long term and to building wealth. Here is a simple and straightforward checklist to get started:.

    • Start early!
    • Investing starts with a plan
    • Investment plan starts with defining and identifying your financial goals.
    • Create a savings and investment plan based on your goals.
    • Two primary goals must be creating an emergency fund and building wealth for retirement
    • Develop good financial habits
    • Pay off high-interest debt first.
    • Participate in your company’s 401(k) plan and max out any employer match.
    • Understand your risk tolerance.
    • Understand investment fees and their impact on returns.
    • Research all investments thoroughly.
    • Check your investments regularly and maintain a diversified portfolio.
    • Avoid investment opportunities that sound too good to be true.

    40% of stock market returns come from dividends

    It’s interesting that most investors don’t know how powerful stocks that pay dividends are. Dividend stocks are stocks of companies which pay out a portion of their earnings to the shareholder in the form of dividends. Between January 1926 and December 2004, 41% of the S&P 500’s total return owed not to the price appreciation of the stocks in the index, but to the dividends its companies paid out.

    An additional benefit is that, under the current tax laws, qualified dividends are taxed at lower rate instead of your standard income bracket rate which translates into more money in your pocket.

    Investors know that the best dividend stocks aren’t those with a high yield, but rather are quality businesses that can grow over time and pass along profits to shareholders through the dividend, by repurchasing shares and reinvesting in the business.

    Bottomline is that dividend-paying stocks have outperformed in the past and that they have a good chance of doing so in the future. The secret is to reinvest those dividends, and put the power of compounding to work in your portfolio.

    To build wealth, investors need to account for a range of significant, real-world challenges, including:

    • Longevity
    • Inflation and rising costs
    • Fixed income vs. equity valuations
    • Low yields

    With tens of billions of dollars trading hands every day on the New York Stock Exchange alone, it’s easy to lose sight that when purchasing a stock investors are effectively purchasing ownership interest in a business. Assume for a moment that you don’t get a quote every day for your shares in that business and that you can’t sell your ownership interest for several decades. Your focus would likely shift from price to value.

    And the value of that business, whether publicly traded or privately held, is the present value of all future cash flows. After all, what is the point in owning a business – or any investment – if you’re never going to receive any cash from it? When a company generates positive free cash flow, it has several options; the company can hold cash in reserve, fund organic growth, make acquisitions, pay down debt, or return it to shareholders through dividends or stock buybacks.

    Using dividends to pay your expenses and allow you to reinvest to get more income. You can achieve this by investing in excellent dividend-paying securities now and letting those dividends reinvest as you work towards your retirement.

    References:

    1. https://www.investor.gov/sites/investorgov/files/2019-03/OIEA_Financial_Capability%20Checklist.pdf
    2. https://www.fool.com/investing/dividends-income/2006/09/19/the-secret-of-dividends.aspx
    3. https://advisor.morganstanley.com/christopher.f.poch/documents/field/p/po/poch-christopher-francis/WhyDividendsMatter.pdf

    Dividends and Income

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    “Income and cash flow are the priority in retirement.”

    A dividend is a payment made from a company to its shareholders – often quarterly, but sometimes monthly. Dividends are a way for shareholders to participate and share in the growth of the underlying business above and beyond the share price’s appreciation.

    Dividends are cash payments made on a per-share basis to investors. For instance, if a company pays a dividend of 20 cents per share, an investor with 100 shares would receive $20 in cash. Stock dividends are a percentage increase in the number of shares owned. If an investor owns 100 shares and the company issues a 10% stock dividend, that investor will have 110 shares after the dividend.

    When publicly traded companies have extra cash on hand, it gives the management team some flexibility and options. With some extra cash, they can:

    • Take that money and invest it back in the business – they might do that through expanding existing operations, building factories, possibly acquiring another company that can help them grow.
    • Take that money and buy back shares of its own company – this strategy reduces the number of ways ownership of the company is sliced up, increasing the ownership. or
    • They can pay out some of that money to people who own shares of the company as a way to “share the wealth” and reward them for owning the business (dividend)

    Dividends vs. Bonds

    Bonds are obligated to pay interest to bondholders on a regular basis, but there’s no obligation for a company to pay dividends. When income from dividend producing assets decline, retirees may realize they don’t have enough cash flow to pay all their expenses. In order to save cash, some non-essential expenses are often cut or eliminated.

    Investors who rely on income, especially those in retirement, tend to gravitate to dividend stocks because bonds pay so little. They could be in for a big shock. Many steady dividends payers have said they will cut their dividends (AT&T) or eliminate them completely (Boeing). For people who live off of dividends, a severe cut would significantly affect the amount of money they have to live on.

    Additionally, dividends are taxed at the more favorable capital gains tax rates. This can be an important benefit for retirees who likely don’t have a lot of write-offs,

    Long-term investors should focus on total return (capital gains plus dividend income) when thinking about how to invest your retirement savings.

    Dividends importance to total equity returns over the long term cannot be overstated. Ibbotson Associates data from 1927 to 2002 show that more than 40% of the compound annual growth of its large-cap equity index can be attributed to dividend payouts. That said, the contribution of dividends over shorter periods can exhibit a fair amount of disparity. Indeed, over the decades, it has ranged from a low of about 15% in the 1990s to a high of 71% in the 1970s.

    Graphing the difference between ten-year compounded growth rates from dividends and capital appreciation for the years 1947 through 2002, a picture of alternating leadership begins to appear. Clearly, capital appreciation has been dominant in periods of lower inflation and stable interest rates due to the positive impact that it has on price-to-earnings (P/E) multiples. On the other hand, dividends have carried most of the burden of equity market returns in periods of higher inflation and volatile interest rates when P/E multiples were contracting.

    Consider all streams of income — Social Security, pensions, IRAs, part-time work — when devising a broader strategy (and tax plan) for your retirement years. Given that “investors using dividend-paying stocks for income must have a strong constitution,” says Richard Steinberg, chief market strategist at The Colony Group.

    Dividends are not guaranteed and are paid at the discretion of the board of directors. Unlike a bond, which must pay a contracted amount or be in default, the board of directors can decide to reduce the dividend or even eliminate it at any time.

    References:

    1. https://money.usnews.com/investing/investing-101/articles/how-to-live-on-dividend-income
    2. https://money.usnews.com/investing/investing-101/articles/what-are-dividends-and-how-do-they-work

    Dividend Growth Stock Investing

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    Dividend growth stocks, known for steady dividend increases over time, can be valuable additions to your income portfolio.

    Since 1926, dividends have accounted for more than 40% of the return realized by investing in large-cap U.S. domestic stocks, according to American Association of Individual Investors. The 9.9% historical annualized return for stocks is significantly impacted by the payment of dividends. Research shows that if dividends were taken out of the equation, the long-term annual return for stocks would fall to 5.5%.

    Dividend stocks have long been a foundation for steady income to live on and a reliable pathway to accumulating wealth for retirement. Even in times of market stress, companies could be counted on to do everything possible to maintain their payouts. Most dividend-paying companies follow a regular calendar schedule for distributing the payments, typically on a quarterly basis. This gives investors a reliable source of income.

    This stream of income helps to boost and protect returns. When stock prices move upward, dividends enhance shareholders’ returns. Shareholders get the benefit of a higher stock price and the flow of income; when combined, these elements create total return. Dividend payments provide a minimum rate of return that will be achieved, as long as the company does not alter its dividend policy. This helps cushion the blow of downward market moves.

    Yet, dividend stocks typically don’t offer dramatic price appreciation, but they do provide investors with a steady stream of income.

    “I do not own a single security anywhere that doesn’t pay a dividend, and I formed a mutual-fund company with that very simple philosophy.” Kevin O’Leary

    Kevin O’Leary, known to many as “Mr. Wonderful”, is Chairman of O’Shares Investments and can be seen on the popular TV show Shark Tank, invests only in stocks that have steady “cash flow” and “pay dividends” to shareholders.  He looks for stocks that exhibit three main characteristics:

    1. First, they must be quality companies with strong financial performance and solid balance sheets.
    2. Second, he believes a portfolio should be diversified across different market sectors.
    3. Third, and perhaps most important, he demands income—he insists the stocks he invests in pay dividends to shareholders.

    Kiplinger

    Power of Dividend Investing

    Dividends are a commitment by a company to distribute a portion of its earnings to shareholders on a regular basis. Once companies start paying a dividend, they are reluctant to cut or suspend periodic the payments.

    Dividends are payments that companies make to shareholders at regular intervals, usually quarterly. Dividends and compounding may be a strong force in generating investor returns and growing income.

    Dividend-paying stocks are not fancy, but they have a lot going for them. Dividends have played a significant role in the returns investors have received during the past 50 years. Going back to 1970, 78% of the total return of the S&P 500 Index can be attributed to reinvested dividends and the power of compounding.

    “High” dividend yield stocks beat “Highest”

    Investors seeking dividend-paying investments may make the mistake of simply choosing those that offer the highest yields possible. A study conducted by Wellington Management reveals the potential flaws in this thinking.

    The highest-yielding stocks have not had the best historical total returns despite its ability to pay a generous dividend. The study found that stocks offering the highest level of dividend payouts have not always performed as well as those that pay high, but not the very highest, levels of dividends.

    With the economy in recession, equity income investors may be at risk of dividend cuts or suspensions in their portfolios. Dividend quality matters more today than it has in a long time. Thus, it’s important to select high quality U.S. large-cap companies for their profitability, strong balance sheets and dividend quality, which increase the likelihood that they will be able to maintain and grow dividends paid to investors even during periods of economic uncertainty.

    Income-producing dividend stocks

    Dividends have historically played a significant role in total return, particularly when average annual equity returns have been lower than 10% during a decade. Seek dividend stocks that possess the following characteristics:

    • Currently pays a dividend;
    • Dividend yield above bench mark yields;
    • Higher dividend payments this year relative to last year, or a reasonable expectation that future dividend payments will be raised (in certain cases, a company that recently initiated a dividend will be considered if there is a reasonable expectation that it will increase its dividend in the future);
    • A free-cash-flow payout ratio below 100%(utility stocks are allowed to have a ratio above 100% if free cash flow is positive when calculated on a pre-dividend basis);
    • Improving trends in sales and earnings;
    • A strong balance sheet, as measured by the current ratio and the liabilities-to-assets ratio;
    • An attractive valuation, as measured by the price-earnings ratio;
    • Has no more than one class of shares; and
    • Dividends are paid as qualified dividends, not non- dividend distributions.

    Dividend Growth Key to Outperformance

    You should invest in corporations that consistently grow their dividends, have historically exhibited strong fundamentals, have solid business plans, and have a deep commitment to their shareholders. They also demonstrate a reasonable expectation of paying a dividend in the foreseeable future and a history of rising dividend payments.

    You should also take into consideration the indicated yield (projected dividend payments for the next 12 months divided by the current share price) for all stocks, but place a greater emphasis on stocks with the potential to enhance the portfolio’s total return than those that merely pay a high dividend.

    The market environment is also supportive of dividends. A pre-pandemic strong US economy has helped companies grow earnings and free cash flow, which resulted in record levels of cash on corporate balance sheets. This excess cash should allow businesses with existing dividends to maintain, if not grow, their dividends. And while interest rates have risen from historic levels, they’re expected to stay stable for another year or so. This means dividend- paying stocks should continue to offer attractive yields relative to many fixed-income asset classes.

    Furthermore, dividend growers and initiators have historically provided greater total return with less volatility relative to companies that either maintained or cut their dividends. There is ample evidence that dividend growers outperform other stocks over time with much lower volatility. For instance, a Hartford Funds study of the past 50 years showed dividend growers outperforming other dividend payers by 37 basis points annually and non-dividend payers by 102 basis points.

    One reason dividend growers tend to outperform may be the expanding earnings and cash flow and shareholder-friendly management teams that often characterize these companies. In addition, consistent profitability, solid balance sheets and low payouts enable dividend growers to weather any economic storm.

    Trends that bode well for dividend-paying stocks include historically high levels of corporate cash, historically low bond yields, and baby boomers’ demand for income that will last throughout retirement.

    Traits of consistent dividend payers

    Today’s historically low interest rates have caused investors to invest heavily in dividend- paying stocks and strategies, which has helped bolster their performance. This trend shows no sign of abating as long as interest rates continue to remain relatively low, and demand for these investments will only grow as investors continue to seek income and return.

    Here are several financial traits investors should look for in consistent dividend payers:

    • Relatively low payout ratios. A payout ratio measures the percentage of earnings paid out as dividends. The median is 38% for S&P 500 companies, according to Goldman Sachs. In theory, the higher the ratio, the less financial flexibility a company has to boost its dividend
    • Reasonable debt levels. As with payout ratios, this isn’t a one-size-fits-all metric. But if a company has a big debt load, there’s less cash available for the dividend.
    • Strong free cash flow. This typically measures operating cash, minus capital expenditure. It’s important for a company to cover its dividend with its free cash flow.
    • Stable earnings growth. Put another way, dividend investors should be wary of companies with volatile earnings, which can pressure the ability to maintain, let alone raise, payouts.

    It’s important to know that not all dividends are treated the same from a tax perspective.

    There are 2 basic types of dividends issued to investors:

    • Qualified dividends: These are dividends designated as qualified, which means they qualify to be taxed at the capital gains rate, which depends on the investor’s modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) and taxable income (the rates are 0%, 15%, 18.8%, and 23.8%). These dividends are paid on stock held by the shareholder, which must own them for more than 60 days during the 121-day period that begins 60 days before the ex-dividend date. This means if you actively trade stocks and ETFs, you probably can’t meet this holding requirement.
    • Nonqualified dividends: These dividends are not designated by the ETF as qualified because they might have been payable on stocks held by the shareholder for 60 days or less. Consequently, they’re taxed at ordinary income rates. Basically, nonqualified dividends are the amount of total dividends minus any portion of the total dividends treated as qualified dividends. Note: While qualified dividends are taxed at the same rate at capital gains, they cannot be used to offset capital losses.

    Dividend growth stocks, known for steady dividend increases over time, can be valuable additions to your income portfolio. A dividend grower typically has a cash-rich balance sheets, formidable cash flow and meager payouts allowing room for more dividend growth. Additionally, dividend growth stocks can provide an hedge against inflation by providing a bump in income every time the dividend is hiked.

    References:

    1. https://www.aaiidividendinvesting.com/files/pdf/DI_UsersGuide_12.pdf
    2. https://www.hartfordfunds.com/dam/en/docs/pub/whitepapers/WP106.pdf
    3. https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stocks/dividend-stocks/602692/dividend-increases-stocks-announcing-massive-hikes
    4. https://www.valdostadailytimes.com/news/business/kevin-o-leary-says-thanks-a-billion-as-aum-passes-1-0-billion-for-o/article_0c22d134-4004-5bc5-868b-c705e26194cc.html
    5. https://vgi.vg/37Gls7y

    Past performance does not guarantee future results. Dividend-paying stocks are not guaranteed to outperform non-dividend-paying stocks in a declining, flat, or rising market.

    Dividends are Important in Retirement

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    “Get paid to wait” Kevin O’Leary

    Noted Shark Tank investor, Kevin O’Leary aka “Mr. Wonderful”, has one simple rule when it comes to investing in a stock. If it doesn’t pay a dividend, he does not consider the stock. His investment mantra is “get paid to wait”.

    “My whole investment strategy is built around cash flow”, O’Leary said. “I have a little Charlie Munger on my shoulder every day when I look at a deal, and he’s just saying two words: ‘cash flow, cash flow.'”

    Know your cash flow.

    How much do you make after taxes? How much do you spend. Investors in retirement must figure out how to generate cash flow without a job from multiple income streams to meet essential living expenses and spending while also making sure they don’t outlive their income stream.

    Receiving regular dividends, or “getting paid to wait” reduces an investor’s dependence on the market’s volatility and the roller coaster like price swings by stocks to make ends meet.

    Essentially, dividends could become investors “cash flow” in retirement. Naturally, then, the best retirement stocks to buy in 2021 (or any other year) to accomplish those objectives are ones that pay dividends.

    Regular dividends lessen an investor’s dependence on the market’s fickle price swings because it reduces or eliminates the need to sell shares to generate income. Regardless of whether the market rises or falls in 2021, a portfolio of high-quality companies can provide you with predictable, growing dividend income.

    And in today’s low-interest-rate environment, dividend stocks can generate much higher income than many fixed-income instruments. Better still, many dividend-paying stocks grow their payouts, which preserves those dividends’ purchasing power. And dividend stocks, like other equities, also provide meaningful long-term price appreciation potential.

    Whether or not the market rises or falls, a portfolio of quality businesses delivering predictable, growing dividend income is always preferred.

    Dividend stocks, like other equities, can provide long-term price appreciation. Dividends are the periodic payouts investors can earn by investing. And because many companies pay a dividend — more than 80% of the S&P 500 stocks currently pay dividends, according to data from FactSet — investors can actually earn money even when the market is down.

    Research firm Simply Safe Dividends published an in-depth guide about living on dividends in retirement here. However, a key component to this strategy is finding the best retirement stocks that can deliver safe dividends and grow in value over time.

    What are Dividend Stocks

    When investors buy stocks, they can make money two different ways. The first is by selling their shares for a price that’s higher than their original cost. The second is by collecting dividends. Dividend stocks are companies that pay shareholders a portion of earnings, as dividend, on a regular basis. Not all stocks pay dividends, but those that do offer shareholders a steady stream of income.

    These payments are funded by profits and cash flow that a company generates but doesn’t need to retain to reinvest in the business. Shareholders can receive dividends as cash or additional shares of stock. As an investment category, dividend stocks also have an impressive track record of helping people build wealth over the long term.

    To live on dividends in retirement, a key component to this strategy is finding the best retirement stocks that can deliver safe dividends and grow in value over time. Look for companies with a history of paying and increasing dividends, as well as sufficient earnings and cash flow from current operations.

    Dividend Aristocrats

    Dividend Aristocrats are a select group of S&P 500 Index stocks with a history of 25+ years of consecutive dividend increases. These businesses have both the desire and ability to pay shareholders rising dividends year-after-year. They are considered the ‘best of the best’ dividend growth stocks.

    The Dividend Aristocrats have a long history of outperforming the market. The requirements to be a Dividend Aristocrat are that they’re in the S&P 500, have 25+ consecutive years of dividend increase, and must meet certain minimum market cap and liquidity requirements.

    Dividend Yield

    Dividend yield refers to a stock’s annual dividend payments to shareholders expressed as a percentage of the stock’s current market price. A stock’s dividend yield can and frequently does change over time, either in response to market fluctuations or as a result of dividend increases or decreases by the issuing company. And, it’s important to keep in mind that a high dividend yield alone doesn’t make a stock a great investment.

    Dividend amounts and yield might seem small in mid-2019. The average dividend payment for U.S. stocks was 1.87% of your investment, according to Siblis Research. Regardless the size of the ratio, they can drastically impact an investor’s long-term investment performance and retirement income.

    GE’s Dividend Story

    General Electric (GE) has been one of America’s most widely held stocks, and countless retirees relied on the dividend payments. But, the company was under enormous balance sheet and cash flow pressure, and it became necessary to cut the dividend in half. By cutting, GE saved significant cash flow making it one of the largest dividend cuts in the history of the S&P 500 and the biggest for GE since 2009, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices.

    But dividend cuts had been rare at the time since many companies were increasing them because the U.S. economy was healthy and the stock market was booming. GE’s dividend had been reliably paid for multiple decades.

    Prior to GE Board’s decision to cut its dividend, GE was having problems and could not earn enough money to cover its dividend payments. Free cash flow, which measures how much cash is being generated after investing in the business, had deteriorated for six straight years.

    Dividends: Cash Flow is King during Retirement

    The distinction between income and cash flow is important during retirement. Generating income in retirement is focused on finding investments that pay a high yield, which necessarily means taking on more risk. Focusing instead on cash flow allows investors to take a broader perspective, assessing various aspects of their finances to determine how to creatively produce the money required for expenses. Cash flow strategies may allow retirees to reach their financial goals while not necessarily taking on a higher level of risk.

    A primary financial goal in retirement is to guarantee a minimum daily standard of living so you don’t outlive your nest egg and can sleep well at night.  Some folks are able to meet that minimum income amount they need through some combination of pension income, Social Security payments, and guaranteed interest from certificates of deposit. 

     “I have found that retirement is all about cash flow, not net worth, especially after the real estate crash. I have met people who have a net worth of $2 million, which looks great on paper, but when it comes to retirement income, they are just barely squeaking by on their Social Security and a small pension. It’s great that you are worth $2 million, but ultimately, it’s your cash flow that will determine your quality of life in retirement, not your net worth.” Jason R. Parker, Sound Retirement Planning: A Retirement Plan Designed to Achieve Clarity, Confidence & Freedom

    When picking dividend stocks, chasing yield can cause issues where the price has declined, which may be an opportunity for capital appreciation, but may create greater risk for income seekers since the stock may be cheap for a legitimate idiosyncratic reason.

    It’s important for investors to find a company they feel comfortable with, and whose product line they understand. Next, they can look at the company’s ability to generate sufficient earnings and cash flow to pay their annual dividends, operate their business, and have enough left over to grow, remembering that not all quarters must indicate growth.

    An investor’s particular situation must be considered such as their required income needs during retirement, weighed against their desire for capital growth— typically, lower-growth segments, such as utilities, pay more yield. Investors who allocate upwards of 80-100% of their portfolio to dividend-paying stocks to generate more income and achieve stronger long-term capital appreciation potential and income growth, are incurring greater risks.

    Additionally, their specific risk/reward trade-off (and there is risk in all stocks), keeping in mind their ability to ride out a downturn without having to sell the stock on the way down.

    References:

    1. https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/shark-tank-star-kevin-oleary-investing-yahoo-short-retail-pandemic-2021-1-1029932948
    2. https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stocks/dividend-stocks/602016/21-best-retirement-stocks-income-rich-2021
    3. https://www.simplysafedividends.com/intelligent-income/posts/1-living-off-dividends-in-retirement
    4. https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanshenkman/2020/10/21/7-strategies-to-generate-sufficient-cash-flow-in-retirement/?sh=2fe4062b2ac4#click=https://t.co/qv3DensgA1
    5. https://www.spindices.com/documents/education/indexology-december-2017-can-dividends-yield-a-better-retirement.pdf?force_download=true
    6. https://www.fool.com/knowledge-center/dividend.aspx
    7. https://www.fool.com/investing/your-definitive-dividend-investing-guide.aspx

    A Dividend-Growth Investment Strategy

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    “Dividend stocks can provide investors with predictable income as well as long-term growth potential.”  Motley Fool

    Dividend stocks have faced strong headwinds, including payout cuts and suspensions as efforts to fight the pandemic have hampered corporate cash flows.

    Yet, investors who have a moderate risk tolerance should consider pursuing a proven dividend-growth investment strategy for income and return in volatile markets.  In volatile markets, protecting current income becomes more important than ever for investors.  But you also want to satisfy your need for current income and capital growth.

    Dividend-paying stocks tend to provide more defensive protection in adverse market environments and they tend to grow over time and protect your real purchasing power. Dividend-paying stocks also tend to have more of a value orientation.

    When dividend stocks go up, you make money. When they don’t go up — you still make money (from the dividend). When a dividend stock goes down in price, it’s not all bad news, because the dividend yield (the absolute dividend amount, divided by the stock price) gets richer the more the stock falls in price.

    Historically, stocks with rising dividends greatly outpaced the dividend cutters or non-dividend-paying stocks. Further, if you focused on rising-dividend stocks over non-dividend-paying stocks, you would have increased your investment by an average of 4.3% per year over this nearly 48-year study.

    pexels-photo-164527

    So, a $10,000 investment in non-dividend-paying stocks made at the beginning of this study, growing at an average annual return of 8.57%, would be worth over $500,000 today.

    However, the same $10,000 investment in dividend growers over the same period at a 12.87% average annual return would be worth an incredible $3.24 million!

    That’s not the only benefit. Returns from dividends have also exhibited a lower standard deviation, or variability, over time. Since the overall volatility of a stock’s total return is typically dominated by its price movements, dividends contribute a component of stability to that total return.

    Looking for good dividend-paying stocks

    Despite challenging economic times, certain companies have grown their dividends during previous downturns; there may be precedent for their willingness and ability to grow their dividends again.  While much remains uncertain, the highest-quality companies have proven their ability to grow their dividends over time.  They have demonstrated an ability to survive through a range of market environments, even raising dividends during and after previous recessions.

    These companies prioritize sustaining dividends in challenging times. They are dividend-paying royalty.  However, it’s advised to avoid stocks with very high yields since they could be prone to dividend cuts or suspensions.  Seek dividend stocks with a fortress balance sheet providing solid cash flow, reasonable dividend payout yield, above average earnings growth and little to no debt.  Avoid companies with heavier debt loads, as measured by net debt (debt minus cash) to earnings-before-interest-taxes-deprecation-and amortization (EBITDA) ratios.

    Investors seeking dividend sustainability need look no further than the Dividend Aristocrats: a list of companies within the S&P 500 index that have increased their dividend payouts consecutively for 25 years or more.  The 64 S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats have raised their dividends in an era that spans the Iraq wars, the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, the Great Recession, and now the novel coronavirus pandemic.

    But while the Dividend Aristocrats list is a great place to start for identifying dividend stalwarts, you are advised to avoid the highest-yielding stocks—some of which can be value traps or worse.  It is okay to look for companies that are paying a decent amount of their earnings back in the form of income, but if the price moves too high and their dividend yield drops, then you’ll sell the stock and capture the gains.

    Additionally, under the recently passed 2020 CARES Act, “companies that borrow money from the federal government may not repurchase stock, pay a dividend, or make any other capital distributions until 12 months after the loan is repaid in full,” according to Goldman Sachs.

    Investors should always consider their investment objectives, their comfort level and risk tolerance before investing. And, they should keep in the forefront of their mindset that investment plans do not need to change in periods of high volatility since they should be based on five years or longer time horizon.

    References:

    1. https://www.fool.com/investing/stock-market/types-of-stocks/dividend-stocks/
    2. https://www.aaiidividendinvesting.com/subscribe/diLP.html?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=Facebook_Desktop_Feed&utm_campaign=all_leads&utm_content=DI%20Long%20Form%20DCO&adset=di_bundle&fbclid=IwAR1enL0oTxkF5E5phIBVJ1dGk4VYQ_OV6a2RCXNDh-lgeNOFtkxcoXWLJn0