Tag Archives: Investing

Valuing a Company | Motley Fool

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The most common way to value a stock is to compute the company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. The P/E ratio equals the company’s stock price divided by its most recently reported earnings per share (EPS).

You can calculate it two different ways, by:

  • Taking the company’s market cap and dividing it by net income – or,
  • Dividing a company’s current stock price by earnings per share

You’ll wind up with the same number either way because in the share price approach, both numbers have already been divided by the total number of shares the company has outstanding. So it’s two different ways to the same place.

A low P/E ratio implies that an investor buying the stock is receiving an attractive amount of value.

You’ll usually see the P/E ratio quoted two different ways:

  • Trailing twelve month (TTM) – which looks at the company’s actual income over the past twelve months.
  • Forward – This approach takes analyst estimates of earnings expectations for the upcoming year and using that as the earnings figure.

If a company is growing, its forward P/E ratio will always be smaller than its trailing twelve month P/E ratio, because more income is expected and the denominator will be larger. If you see a P/E ratio out in the wild and it isn’t specified which kind it is, you can probably assume it’s based on the company’s trailing twelve month earnings.

The P/E ratio only works if there’s an E – or earnings. So it’s a helpful tool for companies that have income, but it’s totally useless if a company isn’t currently profitable. That’s why investors also use another tool for unprofitable companies, the P/E ratio would return a negative number, which really wouldn’t be very helpful, so instead investors use the price to sales ratio.

Price-to-sales is a company’s market cap divided by its total sales over the past twelve months. Because the P/S ratio is based on revenue instead of earnings, this metric is widely used to evaluate public companies that do not have earnings because they are not yet profitable.

High growth software companies can have price-to-sales ratios of over 10, while more established businesses are usually in the mid to low single digits. The P/E and P/S ratios are great because they allow you to normalize companies of different sizes and immediately get a sense of what investors are willing to pay for a piece of that company’s earnings or revenue.

You can use these ratios to compare how a company stacks up to the overall stock market, peers in their industry, or itself relative to the past. Generally, businesses that are posting high growth rates are going to have higher price-to-earnings and price-to-sales ratios. That’s because investors expect that company to be considerably bigger in the future, and they have bid up shares to reflect that. That doesn’t mean that they’re bad stocks to own, it just means that people are expecting big growth to continue and if it doesn’t, shares could fall dramatically.

Conversely, stodgy old businesses in crawling industries tend to have lower p/e ratios because they aren’t growing very quickly – for them this year’s earnings will probably look a lot like last year’s earnings. The market isn’t expecting much from stocks with low valuations, so if the outlook gets worse, they’re less likely to take a huge hit, but they’re also less likely to give investors huge returns.

All you’re trying to do with valuation is to get a sense of how much you have to pay for a dollar of earnings or revenue from a company, and what the market expects of that company.

You can look at to see how a company’s valuation compares to the growth the company is posting. The PEG ratio accounts for the rate at which a company’s earnings are growing. It is calculated by dividing the company’s P/E ratio by its expected rate of earnings growth.

Most investors use a company’s projected rate of growth over the upcoming five years, you can use a projected growth rate for any duration of time. Using growth rate projections for shorter periods of time increases the reliability of the resulting PEG ratio.

The generally accepted rule is that a PEG ratio of 1 represents a “fair value” while anything under 1 is cheap and anything over 1 is expensive compared to the growth the company is posted.

For all these ratios there aren’t absolutes, just guidelines.

As investors we’re looking for quality companies with good business models and exciting growth prospects — it’s worth paying a premium for companies like that, these metrics help us understand what the premium looks like and how it fits into the company’s growth story.

References:

  1. https://www.fool.com/investing/how-to-invest/stocks/how-to-value-stock/

Beat Inflation with Dividend Stocks | Fidelity Viewpoints

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“Stocks that can boost dividends during periods of high inflation may outperform.” Fidelity Viewpoints

Key takeaways according to Fidelity Viewpoints

  • Dividends aren’t just nice to have, they’re essential to the stock market’s return—accounting for approximately 40% of overall stock market returns since 1930.
  • During periods of high inflation, stocks that increased their dividends the most considerably outperformed the broad market, on average, according to Fidelity’s sector strategist, Denise Chisholm.
  • Dividend-paying stocks’ regular, scheduled payments also may help to reduce the volatility of a stock’s total return.

The economy is gradually recovering from its pandemic-related slowdown and shutdowns, and inflation has hit its highest rate in 39 years. People are emerging from the pandemic and are spending money they saved or money they’re getting from the government. Thus, a combination of soaring pent-up consumer demand and persistent supply chain disruptions has tarnished an otherwise robust economic recovery.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics said the Consumer Price Index of food, energy, goods and services rose by 0.8 percent in November, pushing annual inflation above 6.8 percent. The level is the highest since 1982 and it also marked the sixth consecutive month in which annual inflation rates have exceeded 5 percent.

Currently, approximately 70 percent of Americans rate the economy negatively, with nearly half of Americans blaming Biden for inflation, according to a recent Washington Post-ABC poll.

This combination of economic challenges and consumer worries may make this an especially good time to consider investing in stocks that pay consistent dividends.

A few important things for investors to know about dividend stocks:

  • Dividend payouts typically happen quarterly, although there are a few companies that payout monthly.
  • Many high-quality companies routinely raise their dividend payouts, helping hedge against inflation.
  • A stock’s dividend yield moves in the opposite direction of its stock price, all else being equal, so a high yielding stock may be reason for caution.

Fidelity research finds that dividend payments have accounted for approximately 40% of the overall stock market’s return since 1930. What’s more, dividends have propped up returns when stock prices struggle.

Dividends account for about 40% of total stock market return over time

US stock returns by decade (1930–2020). Over various decades, dividends have remained a fairly steady component of stocks’ total returns amid more highly volatile stock prices. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Source: Fidelity Investments and Morningstar, as of 12/31/2020.

To invest successfully in dividend stocks, one of the keys is finding companies with strong balance sheets and with secure payouts that can grow consistently over the long haul. Moreover, it’s important to understand the concept of dividend yield, which investors use to gauge how much dividend income their investment will produce.

Investing in dividend stocks

When selecting dividend stocks, it’s important to keep dividend quality in mind. A quality dividend payout can grow over time and potentially be sustained during economic downturns. It’s the primary reason investors must not focus solely on yield.

Steve Goddard, founder and chief investment officer of Barclay, prefers companies with high returns on capital and strong balance sheets. “High return-on-capital companies usually by definition will generate a lot more free cash flow than the average company would,” he says. And cash flow is what pays the dividend.

Although overall dividend health has improved markedly since 2020 and looks good heading into 2022, it’s equally important to check a company’s dividend policy statement so you know how much to expect in payment and when to expect it. Dividend yield is a stock’s annual dividend expressed as a percentage of its price.

It’s crucial to recognize that a stock’s price and its dividend yield move in opposite directions, as long as the dollar amount of the dividend doesn’t change. Investing in the highest-yielding shares can lead to trouble, notably dividend cuts or suspensions and big capital losses

This means a high dividend yield may be a red flag of a problem with the underlying company. For example, a stock’s yield may be high because business problems are weighing down the company’s share price. In that case, the company’s challenges may even cause it to stop or reduce its dividend payments. And before that happens, investors are likely to sell off the stock.

Fidelity Investments’ research has found that stocks that reduce or eliminate their dividends historically have underperformed the market by 20% to 25% during the year leading up to the cut.

Also consider the company’s payout ratio—the percent of its net income or free cash flow it pays in dividends. Low is usually good: A low ratio suggests the company may be able to sustain and possibly boost its payments in the future.

“As a rule of thumb, no matter what the payout ratio is, it is always important to stress test a company’s payout ratio at all points in the business cycle in order to carefully judge whether it will be able to maintain or increase its dividend,” says Adam Kramer, portfolio manager for the Fidelity Multi-Asset Income Fund.

“It all depends on the stability of the cash flows of a company, so it’s more about that than the level of payout. You want to test the company’s ability to pay and increase the dividend under different scenarios. In general, when the payout ratio is more than 50%, it’s a good reminder to always stress test that ratio,” Kramer explains.

Be sure to diversify as you build a portfolio of dividend-paying stocks. To help manage risk, invest across sectors rather than concentrating on those with relatively high dividends, such as consumer staples and energy.

References:

  1. https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/trading-investing/inflation-and-dividend-stocks
  2. https://www.barrons.com/articles/quality-dividend-stocks-51639134001
  3. https://news.yahoo.com/inflation-pinch-challenges-biden-agenda-200620196.html

Past performance and dividend rates are historical and do not guarantee future results. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or guarantee against loss. Investing in stock involves risks, including the loss of principal.

Investors Need to be Patient and Rational

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“It’s a textbook example of why panic is not a[n investment] strategy, unless you’re deliberately trying to lose money.” Jim Cramer, CNBC Mad Money Host

CNBC Mad Money Host Jim Cramer made his comments after the stock market indexes moved higher after a previous major market downturn due to COVID-19 Omicron variant concerns and fear. Wall Street experienced a strong melt-up session led by the technology heavy Nasdaq Index’s 3% jump.

Markets had sold off sharply on November 26, with the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all losing more than 2% in market cap value as investors knee-jerked reacted to the discovery of the Omicron variant.

“I want you to use it as a reminder that, most of the time, it pays to wait for cooler heads to prevail rather than freaking out in a situation where everyone else is freaking out and lost their heads without complete information,” Cramer said.

“Look, it would’ve been great if you bought stocks something near the lows—that’s what I urged you to do, actually, even if you had to hold your nose because we were simply too oversold. I was relying on technicals,” Cramer said. “But the cardinal sin here was selling stocks out of fear, rather than sitting tight out of rationality.”

The obvious takeaway for investors is that fear and panic are not sound investment strategies, “…unless you’re deliberately trying to lose money.” Never make permanent investment decisions based on temporary market circumstances.

References:

  1. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/07/cramer-stocks-recent-rally-shows-need-for-investor-patience-not-fear-.html

Retail Investor Inflation Strategy

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Inflation refers to an aggregate increase in prices, commonly measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

The federal government has pumped trillions of dollars into the economy through deficit spending and stimulus measures since the COVID-19 pandemic began. Meanwhile, the central bank of the United States, the Federal Reserve, has dropped interest rates to near zero and has committed to keeping them there through 2023.

The Federal Reserve’s mandates are to manage the money supply and set the federal funds interest rate in an attempt to keep inflation within a reasonable limit. This reasonable level of inflation is maintained because it encourages people to spend now, thereby promoting economic growth, rather than saving, as a dollar today is worth more than the same dollar tomorrow on average.

A constant level of inflation helps maintain price stability and is thought to maximize employment and economic well-being. Investors expect returns greater than this “reasonable,” average level of inflation, and workers expect wage increases to keep pace with the increasing cost of living.

The Consumer Price Index tracks prices for a broad range of products such as gasoline, healthcare, and groceries. The CPI rose 6.2% in October from the same month in 2020, the biggest spike since December 1990, according to the Labor Department.

High and variable inflation is considered bad for both investors and the wider U.S. economy because it can eat away at the value of financial assets denominated in the inflated currency, such as cash and bonds, particularly longer term bonds with more interest rate risk.

The prospect of variable or high inflation introduces uncertainty to both the economy and the stock market, which doesn’t really benefit anyone. This uncertainty or variable inflation distorts asset pricing and wages at different times. Prices also tend to rise faster and earlier than wages, potentially contributing to economic contraction and possible recession.

“Cash is not a safe investment, is not a safe place because it will be taxed by inflation.” Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates

In an inflationary environment, “cash is trash” since inflation operates like a tax which causes saved dollars lose value over time. High inflation rates decrease the purchasing power of money and it discourages people from holding cash assets and saving. “Cash is not a safe investment, is not a safe place because it will be taxed by inflation,” Bridgewater Associates’ Ray Dalio, the founder of the world’s biggest hedge fund said on CNBC Squawk Box.

Here are several suggestions for investors to consider to counter the risk and derisive impact of inflation on assets and the economy.

  • Consider buying equity stocks like bank stocks or consumer goods companies that will benefit from higher inflation or higher interest rates. Banking, consumer staples, energy, utility, and healthcare equities are likely to perform well. Banks would come out ahead if the Federal Reserve eventually raises interest rates to combat inflation, and banks’ spreads between loans and deposits widen. Also, look for companies that benefit from rising labor costs and be very attentive to how much you pay for (e.g., the intrinsic value) of risk assets.
  • Consider buying TIPS, or Treasury inflation-protected securities, which are a useful way to protect your investment in government bonds. These U.S. government bonds are indexed to inflation, so if inflation moves up, the effective interest rate paid on TIPS will too. TIPS bonds pay interest every six months, and they’re issued in maturities of 5, 10 and 30 years. Because they’re backed by the U.S. federal government, they’re considered among the safest investments in the world.
  • Avoid fixed income assets such as corporate and government non-TIP bonds. If rates rise sharply, their principal value will take a major hit. If rates climb, then certificates of deposit, fixed annuities, bonds, and bond funds purchased today will look less attractive in the future. Similarly, buying a lifetime income annuity is less enticing in an inflationary environment. The monthly check you get for the rest of your life will lose value more quickly with high inflation.
  • Keep the right sort of debt. Don’t pay off that home mortgage or real estate investment mortgages early, you’re better off paying it off over time with watered-down dollars. Homeowners carrying fixed mortgages with low interest rates are in a great position. It’s highly recommended to refinance your mortgage to lock in low rates. If inflation takes off, homes prices are likely to climb and your fixed monthly payment may appear like a real bargain in a few years.
  • Consider commodities or gold. Investing in oil, natural gas, wheat and corn can be good hedges against inflation. Gold has traditionally been a safe-haven asset for investors when inflation revs up or interest rates are very low. Gold tends to fare well when real interest rates – that is, the reported rate of interest minus the inflation rate – go into negative territory. Investors often view gold as a store of value during tough economic times.
  • Make essential purchases and charitable giving. If consumers expect to spend money on home goods, renovations, car repairs, or other products and services, they might be better off doing so now, before prices climb even higher.
  • Expect rising health costs. Health costs have risen faster than inflation for years. The pandemic, which is driving some health professionals out of the field, could accelerate that trend.

Keep in mind that inflation is always happening within the economy, but hopefully at a relatively low and steady rate, and kept under control by the Federal Reserve. Investors with a long time horizon, a high tolerance for risk, and a high allocation to stocks shouldn’t be worried about short-term inflation fears.

However, it’s perfectly suitable and even desirable for retirees, risk-averse investors, and those with a short time horizon to have some allocation to inflation-protected assets like TIPS, REITs and bank stocks.

Rising inflation is a big concern for investors, but it remains to be seen whether current high levels of inflation will persist or end up being due to “transitory” factors. Investors will likely come out ahead using assets like equity stocks, REITs, short-term nominal bonds, and TIPS to hedge against inflation.

References:

  1. https://www.barrons.com/articles/protect-finances-from-inflation-51637782342
  2. https://www.optimizedportfolio.com/inflation/
  3. https://www.bankrate.com/investing/inflation-hedges-to-protect-against-rising-prices/

Investing in China

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Ray Dalio, founder and chairman of the world’s biggest hedge fund firm, Bridgewater Associates, on CNBC Squawk Box.

Dalio has long been vocal in support of Chinese investments and Bridgewater Associates is among the largest foreign asset managers operating in China, according to Forbes. 

However, much of Wall Street disagrees and many American investors fled after China’s recent regulatory crackdowns on the technology and education sectors. 

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/30/ray-dalio-says-cash-is-not-a-safe-place-right-now-despite-heightened-market-volatility-.html

Intrinsic Value of a Company

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“Intrinsic value is an all-important concept that offers the only logical approach to evaluating the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses. Intrinsic value can be defined simply: It is the discounted value of the cash that can be taken out of a business during its remaining life.”  Warren Buffett

Intrinsic value is an important concept to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Intrinsic value can be defined as the discounted value of the cash that can be taken out of a business during its remaining life, explains investing guru Warren Buffett, Chairman and CEO, Berkshire Hathaway. It measures the value of an investment based on its current and future cash flows. Where market value tells you the current price per share other investors are willing to pay for an asset, intrinsic value shows you the asset’s value based on an analysis of its future cash flows and its actual financial performance.

Essentially, valuing a company intrinsically allows you to look analytically at a business and determine how much cash that business will generate over time, and then you discount the cash flows back to the present day.

Book value vs intrinsic value

In most cases, a company’s book value tends to understate its intrinsic value because many businesses are worth much more than their ‘carrying value’. The ‘carrying value’ is the original cost of an asset as reflected in a company’s books or balance sheet, minus the accumulated depreciation of the asset.

As a result, a company’s intrinsic value often exceed its book value, a result that proves capital was wisely deployed. In many cases, book value is not a reliable indicator of intrinsic value or a true representation of an asset’s fair value or market value. Thus, a company’s book value alone is somewhat meaningless as an indicator of its intrinsic value.

However, intrinsic value tend to be only effective on stocks that are stable and less volatile so that you can reliably valuate. If you see the book value growth and dividends all over the place, your estimates would be very uncertain.

You need 3 factors to determine a company’s intrinsic value:

  • Current free cash flow or owner’s earnings
  • Free cash flow growth rate over an eight to ten year period. Determine free cash flow growth rates by looking at past 5 year and 10 year growth rate.
  • Discount rate to discount future free cash flow to present day.

Discounted future cash flows

Cash taken out of a business in the future is not worth the same as it is today. If you had the money today you could invest it today. Money in the future is partly eaten up by inflation, but more importantly more uncertain if it is there at all.

The calculation of intrinsic value is not so simple. Intrinsic value is an estimate rather than a precise figure, and it is additionally an estimate that must be changed if interest rates move or forecasts of future cash flows are revised.

To calculate owner earnings, or another way to look and to calculate free cash flow, one adds things back in such as depreciation, changes in working capital and such. Buffett feels that “owner’s earnings” more accurately reflects the actual cash flow that an owner receives.

Net present value for the ten years and your discounted terminal value for the 10th year we can calculate the intrinsic value.

When investing in a company, you first must determine the value of the company according to your estimates of discounted cash flow. You want the biggest difference between its intrinsic value (high as possible) and its market price which is the current price of the stock that is traded on the exchange (low as possible). Over time, you should expect the market value to intersect its intrinsic value.

When you arrive at an intrinsic value it will not necessarily match the current market value or price of the stock. In most cases you will find that there is a vast difference. You have potentially found a great company at a bargain and with a margin of safety. If the market price is much higher than the intrinsic value, it is also great. You can avoid the common mistake made by many retail investors of overpaying for a stock.

Knowing the value of a stock is perhaps the most desired skill. And in summary, intrinsic value is simply the discounted value of the cash that can be taken out of a business during its remaining life, according to Warren Buffett.

References:

  1. https://einvestingforbeginners.com/intrinsic-value-warren-buffett-aher/
  2. https://acquirersmultiple.com/2017/02/warren-buffett-how-to-calculate-intrinsic-value/
  3. https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/accounting/carrying-amount/
  4. https://www.buffettsbooks.com/how-to-invest-in-stocks/intermediate-course/lesson-21/

Planning for Financial Freedom

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Planning for financial freedom is the key to getting there. 

Your financial plan has to consider both the future and the present. For the present, you need enough cash available to cover your current expenses. Your long-term financial plan should prepare you for retirement, your kids’ college education or a big dream purchase. Putting money every month toward your current budget and your long-term goals is the goals.

For most investors, the biggest challenge has been staying the course and focusing on long-term goals in the face of market fluctuations. And, it’s important for investors to avoid getting discouraged since saving and investing are a long-term journey.

Working toward your goals:

  • Create a plan. Figure out how much you’ll need and set a target date to have that amount saved up, so you can create a savings plan with a specific monthly goal.
  • Automate your savings and investing. Include your monthly savings and investing goals in your budget to hold yourself accountable today for the future you want tomorrow.
  • Manage or eliminate your debt. Keeping your debt-to-income ratio low can help you get a better interest rate on both the home you have today and the home of your dreams. Furthermore, eliminating your debt gives you increased flexibility with your income to Dave and invest.

Another key to that financial freedom is building an emergency fund that can more than cover your expenses for 3–6 months if you needed it for life’s unexpected surprises like unforeseen major car repairs and medical bills that can derail your personal finances if you haven’t built up a buffer to cover them. 

Essentially, you should:

  • Build an emergency fund. Create and track your emergency fund in a separate account that you can access easily in case you need it.
  • Make a budget. Create a budget that includes a monthly savings goal, and track your savings contributions to build that emergency fund quickly.
  • Track your expenses. Watch your spending to make sure you’re staying within your budget, and check in on that budget regularly to find new places to save.
  • Track your debt. Create a comprehensive list of all your loans and credit card accounts so you can see everything together. Free yourself from debt by paying your minimums and attacking one debt at a time with extra monthly payments.
  • Include all your loan information. Keep track of the interest rate and monthly payment for each loan to help you create a solid debt-reduction plan.
  • Plan and schedule your extra payments. Pay extra on the loan with the highest interest rate until that one is paid off, then roll those payments into the next loan to pay that off even faster. 

A financial free retirement is one in which you can do the things you enjoy in life without worrying about money. For long-term goals like retirement, it is imperative to stay on track with your saving and investing no matter what comes your way.

Planning for a financially free retirement includes:

  • Track your net worth and cash flow. Tracking your net worth and cash flow can help you stay focused on your long-term objectives, reducing stress by giving you the information you need along with concrete goals to strive for. “Net worth is what’s yours, really yours. First, add up the value of everything you own, then subtract the total amount of any debts that you have. What’s left is your net worth”, explains Investment adviser Robert LeFevre Jr., a certified public accountant and certified financial planner
  • Consider your options. As you face decisions along the way, experiment with various scenarios to see how those decisions could affect your retirement.
  • Make managing and tracking your finances a habit. By reviewing regularly your long-term financial plan, you’ll have the information you need to keep on track with your financial goals—no guessing needed.

Financial freedom means that you get to make life decisions without being overly stressed about the financial impact because you are prepared. You control your finances instead of being controlled by them.

References:

  1. https://www.quicken.com/blog/claim-financial-freedom

Billionaire’s Income Tax

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“Some liberal lawmakers hope the “billionaire tax” will eventually be extended to millionaires.”

A ‘Billionaires Income Tax’ would be a fundamental change in how the tax system operates in the United States, and open up a new revenue stream for the Treasury. The wealth tax plan would “get at the wealth of the richest Americans that currently goes untaxed until assets are sold”, according to Roll Call.

The Senate has proposed a special new tax on the uber wealthy, think billionaires, that Democrats will use to help pay for their next big multi-trillion dollar ‘Build Back Better’ fiscal spending package. The proposed tax on the net worth of billionaires’ stock holdings, real estate and other assets could help Democrats accomplish goals of raising taxes on the wealthy and funding their pet social safety net and climate programs.

The Senate Finance Committee Chair wants to “begin requiring people with more than $1 billion in assets, or who earn more than $100 million in three consecutive years, to begin paying capital gains taxes each year on the appreciation in value of their assets, regardless of whether they are sold”, Politico reported.

The ‘billionaire tax’ plan would reportedly hit around 700 Americans and generate several hundred billion dollars in tax receipts. “We have a historic opportunity with the Billionaires Income Tax to restore fairness in our tax code, and fund critical investments in American families,” said Senate Finance Chair Ron Wyden (D-Ore.). “The Billionaires Income Tax would ensure billionaires pay tax each year, just like working Americans.”

The proposal, should it pass Congress and be signed into law by the President, would almost certainly be challenged in federal court on its constitutionality. The Constitution restricts so-called direct taxes, ‘a term referring to levies imposed directly on someone that can’t be shifted onto someone else’. There’s a big exception for income taxes, as a result of the 16th Amendment, which allows Congress to tax income and earnings. (All current taxes are either forms of income tax or levies on transactions).

The proposed plan would tax people on the appreciation of their publicly traded marketable securities. Effectively, the plan would tax billionaires’ assets on any gains or appreciation in value of those assets. For example, if that asset became worth $110, they’d only owe on the $10 gain. And, the proposal would begin by imposing a one-time tax on all the gains that had accrued before the tax had been created.

Stocks, bonds and other publicly traded assets, marketable securities, would be assessed the levy each year. Harder-to-value assets like real estate or ownership stakes in privately held businesses would not be taxed until they are sold, but would then face an interest charge designed to approximate the tax people would have faced if they had been publicly traded assets.

Capital losses

Under the proposal, a billionaire subject to the tax whose asset values take a dive during the year would have two options. They could choose to:

  • Carry those losses forward to offset potential future mark-to-market gains, or
  • Carry them back to a year within the previous three to generate refunds for taxes paid on unrealized gains.
  • Carrybacks could only offset prior mark-to-market tax, not taxes paid on other income.

    • Nevertheless, the plan would incentivize the wealthy to move into non-publicly traded assets in order to avoid having to pay the IRS. And if the billionaire wealth tax survives the certain court challenges under the current conservative Supreme Court, you can safely bet that many liberal leaning states will follow suit and implement their own version of a billionaire or millionaire wealth tax.

    This new billionaire tax on wealth, instead on income, is a tax that some liberals lawmakers hope will eventually be extended to include every millionaire in assets, regardless of actual net worth. However, Congress always seem able to devise work arounds to exclude their own financial assets and the assets of their big re-election campaign donors from these extremely regressive tax policies.

    Additionally, this proposal, if enacted into law, would dramatically impact compound growth of assets and, would have the unintended consequences of slowing job creation and capital investments in the U.S.

    Senator Mitt Romney (R-Utah) said that the billionaire tax will leave the rich thinking: “I don’t want to invest in the stock market, because as that goes up, I gotta get taxed. So maybe I will instead invest in a ranch or in paintings or things that don’t build jobs and create a stronger economy.”

    References:

    1. https://www.rollcall.com/2021/10/27/wyden-details-proposed-tax-on-billionaires-unrealized-gains/
    2. https://www.politico.com/news/2021/10/27/billionaires-income-tax-details-wyden-517318
    3. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/mitt-romney-says-a-billionaire-tax-will-push-the-rich-to-buy-paintings-or-ranches-instead-of-stocks-11635269305

    Planning and Achieving Financial Freedom

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    Financial freedom can be an elusive—and hard-to-define—goal.

    Financial freedom is often said to be in the eye of the beholder. To some it may mean freedom of debt and being able to fund your lifestyle with your cash flow; to others it may mean early retirement on a Caribbean island. Whatever your financial goals or definition of financial freedom, there are ways and things you can learn to help you get your financial house in order.

    Once you’ve decided that financial freedom is one of your top goals, you can start taking steps to achieve it. Thus, the first step toward achieving financial freedom is to define exactly what it means for you. You can’t generally achieve something that you haven’t defined. So, once you’ve defined what financial freedom means to you, you can start taking steps toward your goals.

    “What then is freedom? The power to live as one wishes.” Marcus Tullius Cicero

    Just because you have money does not mean you have financial freedom. There have been numerous people, especially professional athletes and entertainers, who have earned millions of dollars and subsequently lost it all through reckless spending and debilitating debt. Thus, even if you have a lot of money, if you don’t know how to manage and make your money work for you, it will more than likely disappear.

    Financial freedom typically means having enough savings, financial assets, and cash on hand to afford the kind of life you desire for yourself and your families. It means growing savings and investments to a level that enables you to retire or pursue the career you want without being driven to earn a wage or salary each year. Financial freedom means your money and assets are working hard for you rather than the other way around…you’re working hard for your money.

    In other words, financial freedom is about much more than just having money. It’s the freedom to be who you really are and do what you really want in life. It’s about following your passion, making choices that aren’t influenced by your bank account, net worth or cash flow, and living life on your terms.

    Track your expenses

    It’s difficult to know how to save money if you don’t have a good idea of where your money is going. Carefully track your spending habits for a typical month. Doing this will help you to become more conscious of your discretionary expenditures. It will also reinforce what expenses are essential and remind you to plan for unexpected expenditures, like medical emergencies and car repairs. Therefore, it is vital to understand and to know where your money is going.

    Make a budget

    Once you’ve taken inventory of your expenses, next step is to create a budget. While budgeting can sound like a cumbersome task, you may want to start by using a budgeting calculator to get a feel for how you are currently spending your money and how you’d like to change your spending.

    One popular budgeting method is the 50/30/20 rule. The 50/30/20 rule is a way to divide your post-tax income based on your needs, wants and savings. The rule states that people should spend 50% of their income on their needs. This includes health insurance, housing, transportation, and groceries. Then, the guideline states that people should spend 30% of their income on wants or non-necessities such as entertainment, travel, and more. Finally, the last 20% of a person’s income should be saved or invested. This might include retirement savings and building a stock portfolio.

    Once you have created a budget, don’t put it in a drawer and forget about it. Instead, make it a working and living document that you check and refer to often. Spend a half-hour per month reviewing how your actual expenses match your budget and make adjustments as necessary.

    Automate your savings

    Automating your savings and investing is one of the easiest steps you can take to ensure that you are on the path to financial freedom. You can set automated contributions to your employer-sponsored investments, including your 401(k) contributions and employee stock options.

    When your savings and investing are automated, your money will continue to grow without you having to think about it. This will help you to reach your financial goals easily and quickly.

    Have some percentage (10% to 20%) of your paycheck automatically deposited into a separate account—whether it’s a savings account, a 401(k) or an IRA. Money that isn’t easily accessible is not easily spent.

    Unfortunately, many Americans are not saving enough to maintain their current standard of living during their retirement years. It was found that about 21% of Americans have nothing saved for retirement, according to the Northwestern Mutual’s 2018 Planning & Progress Study.

    Start investing early

    Follow the adage, the best time to start investing was twenty years ago; the second best time is today. You should start investing in a tax deferred account, preferably with your employer matching a portion or all of your contribution.

    Planning for retirement is a marathon and not a sprint. Even if you are starting small, the most important thing is to get started. Therefore, it will likely take decades to reach your goal. Therefore, it is important to remember why you want to achieve financial freedom. Keeping your purpose, goals and the bigger picture in mind will help you navigate the day-to-day financial decisions.

    Once you become financially free, you have more choices of how to live your life and spend your days.

    When you decide that you want to start working toward financial freedom, it is important to remember that you will not become financially free overnight. However, according to certified financial planner David Rae, in a 2018 article in Forbes magazine, there are eight hierarchies of financial freedom that you can work towards:

    1. Level 1: Not Living Paycheck to Paycheck – The first level of financial freedom is building up an emergency fund and paying off any credit card debt. Unfortunately, living paycheck to paycheck is the reality of millions of Americans. According to the Federal Reserve’s Report on the Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households in 2017, some 40% of households could not cover a $400 unexpected expense.
    2. Level 2: Enough Money to take a sabbatical from your work – Accumulating enough money to be able to take a break away from work can be rewarding. This does not mean you have to quit your job, but it sure is a good feeling to know you can.
    3. Level 3: Enough to be Financially Happy and still Save – it’s about enjoying your life and having the money to do it. There can be peace when you are earning enough to save, doing the things you enjoy and still having extra at the end of the month.
    4. Level 4: Freedom of Time – Many people desire more flexibility with their schedules. Freedom of time and financial independence go hand in hand. Together, they are about following your passion, or spending more time with family, and not going completely broke doing it.
    5. Level 5: Enough for a Basic Retirement – Think about what your bare minimum retirement would look like. By knowing your bare minimum retirement, and knowing that you have enough money saved to at least cover some standard of living in your retirement, will also influence other life choices you may make along the way.
    6. Level 6: Enough to Actually Retire Well – Knowing you are on track to accumulate a nest egg to support that lifestyle is a big win. Well done to those who have accumulated enough assets, or passive income streams, to be in a position to retire well.
    7. Level 7: Enough for Dream Retirement – It would feel great knowing that you are on track to have enough money to retire and be able to live your dream life. What is stopping you from getting there.
    8. Level 8: More Money Than You Could Ever Spend – Having more money than you expected to spend is great. Building enough wealth so that you could not possibly spend all of it is another.

    Bottomline is that if you want to be financially free, if you want to be able to live the lifestyle of your choosing while responsibly managing your finances, you need to become a different person than you are today and let go of the financial mindset that has created your current financial predicament and has held you back in the past.

    Attaining financial freedom, which means having enough savings, investments and cash flow to live as you desire, both now and in your later years, requires a continuous process of growth, learning and emotional strength. In other words, whatever has held you back and provided you comfort in the past or kept you less than who you really are will have to be replaced. You will have to become comfortable for awhile being uncomfortable. And in return, the financially empowered, purposeful, and successful you will emerge — like a butterfly shedding its cocoon.

    References:

    1. https://www.richdad.com/what-is-financial-freedom
    2. https://smartasset.com/financial-advisor/financial-freedom
    3. https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidrae/2019/04/09/levels-of-financial-freedom

    U.S. Middle Class Owns Few Financial Assets

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    U.S. Middle Class Households Have Few Financial Assets, According to New Analysis from the National Institute on Retirement Security (NIRS)

    New analysis finds that across generations, middle class households in the U.S. own few financial assets and the median amounts held fall far short of the assets needed to fund a secure retirement.

    In 2019, middle class Millennials owned only 14 percent of their generation’s financial assets. The numbers are even worse for middle class Gen Xers and Baby Boomers, which owned eight percent and six percent, respectively, of their generation’s financial assets.

    “In America, the middle class can no longer afford retirement. Middle class Americans face sharp economic inequality, with ownership of financial assets highly concentrated among the wealthy,” explained Tyler Bond, National Institute on Retirement Security (NIRS) research manager. “Now that we have a retirement system largely built around the individual ownership of financial assets in 401(k) accounts, middle class Americans are struggling to accumulate sufficient financial assets during their working years. This means the retirement outlook for many in the middle class is bleak at best.”

    The research also finds low numbers when examining the mean and median financial assets owned.

    • For middle class Millennial households in 2019, the mean financial assets owned were $17,802, and the median was $7,800.
    • Middle class Generation X households had mean financial assets of $62,944, and median financial assets of $39,000 in 2019.
    • For middle class Baby Boomers, the mean amount of financials assets held was $93,298 in 2019, while the median was only $51,700.

    Baby Boomer households are retired or near retirement, but their assets fall far short of what’s required to finance a secure retirement,” Bond explained. “A nest egg of $51,700, the median amount middle class Boomers hold, would generate only $2000 of income annually over 30 years. This means that many middle class Boomer households may struggle in retirement and could face a sharp reduction in their standard of living.”

    The research indicates that implementing pragmatic fiscal policy solutions can help middle class households get on a better path to saving for retirement including strengthening and expanding Social Security; protecting defined benefit pensions; and ensuring access to a retirement savings plan through an employer.

    For this research, the middle class is defined as those between the 30th and 70th percentiles of net worth, or the middle 40 percent. The research is based upon data from the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF). It examines financial asset ownership, a broader category than retirement assets.

    According to the SCF, the category of financial assets consists of liquid assets, certificates of deposit, directly held pooled investment funds, stocks, bonds, quasi-liquid assets, savings bonds, whole life insurance, other managed assets, and other financial assets. It does not include physical assets such as a home or a car.

    The data for this research is for households rather than individuals.

    References:

    1. https://www.nirsonline.org/2021/10/middle-class-u-s-households-have-few-financial-assets/