U.S. Housing Market

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Updated: July 22, 2022

Home sellers are contending with apprehensive buyers amid rising mortgage rates and the possibility of an oncoming recession. RedFin

Single family home sales in June showed the first signs of leveling off after steady monthly increases for more than a year, according to the Jacksonville Daily Record. Although, sellers still were receiving slightly above 100% of asking price in June in certain housing markets, the general trend is mixed nationwide.

Price drops have become a common feature of the cooling housing market, particularly in places that were popular with homebuyers earlier in the pandemic, writes Dana Anderson, a data journalist at Redfin. Nearly two-thirds (61.5%) of homes for sale in Boise, ID, had a price drop in June, the highest share of the 97 metros in RedFin’s analysis. Next came Denver (55.1%) and Salt Lake City (51.6%), each metros where more than half of for-sale homes had a price drop. 

Home prices rise in June

In June 2022, home prices were up 11.2% compared to last year, selling for a median price of $428,379, according to Redfin.

On average, the number of homes sold was down 17.4% year over year and there were 609,147 homes sold in June this year, down 737,598 homes sold in June last year. The national average 30 year fixed rate mortgage rate is at 5.5% and is up 2.5 points year over year.

While also in June 2022, the number of homes for sale was 1,647,846, up 1.6% year over year.

The number of newly listed homes was 782,083 and down 4.4% year over year. The median days on the market was 18 days, up from 3 year over year. The average months of supply is 18 months, up from 3 year over year.

Additionally, 55.5% of homes sold lower list price, down 0.86 points year over year. There were only 17.9% of homes that had price drops, up from 9.0% of homes in June last year. There was a 102.3% sale-to-list price, down 0.24 points year over year.

Moreover, inflation and higher mortgage rates have slowed sales and priced out of the housing market many potential home buyers. As a result, the inventory of homes are beginning to pile up on the market and prices are slowly falling nationwide.

Takeaway…the once red hot U.S. housing market is showing signs of cooling and housing prices are contracting. Instead of over eager buyers and multiple offers on listed homes for sale, buyers are canceling sales contracts in increasing numbers and walking away from earnest money. And, what was unthinkable just a year ago, home sellers and builders are cutting home prices to entice potential home buyers and close sales.

For sellers, there is still money to be made in the housing market, but asking prices need to be very attractive to home buyers.

References:

  1. https://www.redfin.com/us-housing-market
  2. Dana Anderson, More than 60% of Boise Home Sellers Dropped Their Asking Price in June Amid Cooling Market, Redfin.com, July 14, 2022. https://www.redfin.com/news/price-drops-cooling-market-june-2022/
  3. Dan MacDonald, Northeast Florida home prices dip after months of increases, Jacksonville Daily Record, July 22, 2022, pg. 4. https://www.jaxdailyrecord.com/article/northeast-florida-home-prices-dip-after-months-of-increases
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