Dividends are Important in Retirement

“Get paid to wait” Kevin O’Leary

Noted Shark Tank investor, Kevin O’Leary aka “Mr. Wonderful”, has one simple rule when it comes to investing in a stock. If it doesn’t pay a dividend, he does not consider the stock. His investment mantra is “get paid to wait”.

“My whole investment strategy is built around cash flow”, O’Leary said. “I have a little Charlie Munger on my shoulder every day when I look at a deal, and he’s just saying two words: ‘cash flow, cash flow.'”

Know your cash flow.

How much do you make after taxes? How much do you spend. Investors in retirement must figure out how to generate cash flow without a job from multiple income streams to meet essential living expenses and spending while also making sure they don’t outlive their income stream.

Receiving regular dividends, or “getting paid to wait” reduces an investor’s dependence on the market’s volatility and the roller coaster like price swings by stocks to make ends meet.

Essentially, dividends could become investors “cash flow” in retirement. Naturally, then, the best retirement stocks to buy in 2021 (or any other year) to accomplish those objectives are ones that pay dividends.

Regular dividends lessen an investor’s dependence on the market’s fickle price swings because it reduces or eliminates the need to sell shares to generate income. Regardless of whether the market rises or falls in 2021, a portfolio of high-quality companies can provide you with predictable, growing dividend income.

And in today’s low-interest-rate environment, dividend stocks can generate much higher income than many fixed-income instruments. Better still, many dividend-paying stocks grow their payouts, which preserves those dividends’ purchasing power. And dividend stocks, like other equities, also provide meaningful long-term price appreciation potential.

Whether or not the market rises or falls, a portfolio of quality businesses delivering predictable, growing dividend income is always preferred.

Dividend stocks, like other equities, can provide long-term price appreciation. Dividends are the periodic payouts investors can earn by investing. And because many companies pay a dividend — more than 80% of the S&P 500 stocks currently pay dividends, according to data from FactSet — investors can actually earn money even when the market is down.

Research firm Simply Safe Dividends published an in-depth guide about living on dividends in retirement here. However, a key component to this strategy is finding the best retirement stocks that can deliver safe dividends and grow in value over time.

What are Dividend Stocks

When investors buy stocks, they can make money two different ways. The first is by selling their shares for a price that’s higher than their original cost. The second is by collecting dividends. Dividend stocks are companies that pay shareholders a portion of earnings, as dividend, on a regular basis. Not all stocks pay dividends, but those that do offer shareholders a steady stream of income.

These payments are funded by profits and cash flow that a company generates but doesn’t need to retain to reinvest in the business. Shareholders can receive dividends as cash or additional shares of stock. As an investment category, dividend stocks also have an impressive track record of helping people build wealth over the long term.

To live on dividends in retirement, a key component to this strategy is finding the best retirement stocks that can deliver safe dividends and grow in value over time. Look for companies with a history of paying and increasing dividends, as well as sufficient earnings and cash flow from current operations.

Dividend Aristocrats

Dividend Aristocrats are a select group of S&P 500 Index stocks with a history of 25+ years of consecutive dividend increases. These businesses have both the desire and ability to pay shareholders rising dividends year-after-year. They are considered the ‘best of the best’ dividend growth stocks.

The Dividend Aristocrats have a long history of outperforming the market. The requirements to be a Dividend Aristocrat are that they’re in the S&P 500, have 25+ consecutive years of dividend increase, and must meet certain minimum market cap and liquidity requirements.

Dividend Yield

Dividend yield refers to a stock’s annual dividend payments to shareholders expressed as a percentage of the stock’s current market price. A stock’s dividend yield can and frequently does change over time, either in response to market fluctuations or as a result of dividend increases or decreases by the issuing company. And, it’s important to keep in mind that a high dividend yield alone doesn’t make a stock a great investment.

Dividend amounts and yield might seem small in mid-2019. The average dividend payment for U.S. stocks was 1.87% of your investment, according to Siblis Research. Regardless the size of the ratio, they can drastically impact an investor’s long-term investment performance and retirement income.

GE’s Dividend Story

General Electric (GE) has been one of America’s most widely held stocks, and countless retirees relied on the dividend payments. But, the company was under enormous balance sheet and cash flow pressure, and it became necessary to cut the dividend in half. By cutting, GE saved significant cash flow making it one of the largest dividend cuts in the history of the S&P 500 and the biggest for GE since 2009, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices.

But dividend cuts had been rare at the time since many companies were increasing them because the U.S. economy was healthy and the stock market was booming. GE’s dividend had been reliably paid for multiple decades.

Prior to GE Board’s decision to cut its dividend, GE was having problems and could not earn enough money to cover its dividend payments. Free cash flow, which measures how much cash is being generated after investing in the business, had deteriorated for six straight years.

Dividends: Cash Flow is King during Retirement

The distinction between income and cash flow is important during retirement. Generating income in retirement is focused on finding investments that pay a high yield, which necessarily means taking on more risk. Focusing instead on cash flow allows investors to take a broader perspective, assessing various aspects of their finances to determine how to creatively produce the money required for expenses. Cash flow strategies may allow retirees to reach their financial goals while not necessarily taking on a higher level of risk.

A primary financial goal in retirement is to guarantee a minimum daily standard of living so you don’t outlive your nest egg and can sleep well at night.  Some folks are able to meet that minimum income amount they need through some combination of pension income, Social Security payments, and guaranteed interest from certificates of deposit. 

 “I have found that retirement is all about cash flow, not net worth, especially after the real estate crash. I have met people who have a net worth of $2 million, which looks great on paper, but when it comes to retirement income, they are just barely squeaking by on their Social Security and a small pension. It’s great that you are worth $2 million, but ultimately, it’s your cash flow that will determine your quality of life in retirement, not your net worth.” Jason R. Parker, Sound Retirement Planning: A Retirement Plan Designed to Achieve Clarity, Confidence & Freedom

When picking dividend stocks, chasing yield can cause issues where the price has declined, which may be an opportunity for capital appreciation, but may create greater risk for income seekers since the stock may be cheap for a legitimate idiosyncratic reason.

It’s important for investors to find a company they feel comfortable with, and whose product line they understand. Next, they can look at the company’s ability to generate sufficient earnings and cash flow to pay their annual dividends, operate their business, and have enough left over to grow, remembering that not all quarters must indicate growth.

An investor’s particular situation must be considered such as their required income needs during retirement, weighed against their desire for capital growth— typically, lower-growth segments, such as utilities, pay more yield. Investors who allocate upwards of 80-100% of their portfolio to dividend-paying stocks to generate more income and achieve stronger long-term capital appreciation potential and income growth, are incurring greater risks.

Additionally, their specific risk/reward trade-off (and there is risk in all stocks), keeping in mind their ability to ride out a downturn without having to sell the stock on the way down.


References:

  1. https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/shark-tank-star-kevin-oleary-investing-yahoo-short-retail-pandemic-2021-1-1029932948
  2. https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stocks/dividend-stocks/602016/21-best-retirement-stocks-income-rich-2021
  3. https://www.simplysafedividends.com/intelligent-income/posts/1-living-off-dividends-in-retirement
  4. https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanshenkman/2020/10/21/7-strategies-to-generate-sufficient-cash-flow-in-retirement/?sh=2fe4062b2ac4#click=https://t.co/qv3DensgA1
  5. https://www.spindices.com/documents/education/indexology-december-2017-can-dividends-yield-a-better-retirement.pdf?force_download=true
  6. https://www.fool.com/knowledge-center/dividend.aspx
  7. https://www.fool.com/investing/your-definitive-dividend-investing-guide.aspx
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